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:sick: 109.65 with only AJ Brown and C. Sutton left. need some monster scores. Saquon dropping at the one was a good move for the G-men but did not make me happy at all.

What numbers do Brown and Sutton need to beat? You're still definitely in it bromigo
-QG
 
132.95 with no TE score, so either Goedert or Schultz will count fully. The other one and/or Sutton will be counting after 5.8 and 7.5. Breathing a sigh of relief. JuJu and Stevenson stepping up nicely.
 
:sick: 109.65 with only AJ Brown and C. Sutton left. need some monster scores. Saquon dropping at the one was a good move for the G-men but did not make me happy at all.

What numbers do Brown and Sutton need to beat? You're still definitely in it bromigo
-QG

I hate to guess with the Thursday night game still to go, but based on the 4 prior weeks that had only had 1 Monday night game, I would say the final cut line this week will likely be in the neighborhood of 115-117. It will be interesting to see how it really plays out this week, with a 20% cut percentage.

Good luck to everybody who is not sure they are over the hump yet!
 
There may be some on here who are out but this is the count I have for Sunday and Monday night. Average rooster has just under 3 players:


M GallupDAL
431​
T PollardDAL
394​
C LambDAL
309​
E ElliottDAL
208​
B MaherDAL
162​
J TolbertDAL
158​
DAL DDAL
133​
J WashingtonDAL
40​
C SuttonDEN
2165​
A OkwuegbunamDEN
709​
R WilsonDEN
626​
DEN DDEN
510​
B McManusDEN
488​
J JeudyDEN
235​
KJ HamlerDEN
141​
M GordonDEN
129​
G DulcichDEN
16​
J PalmerLAC
791​
M WilliamsLAC
511​
A EkelerLAC
480​
D HopkinsLAC
440​
J HerbertLAC
398​
LAC DLAC
202​
K AllenLAC
120​
J GuytonLAC
47​
S MichelLAC
46​
I SpillerLAC
41​
D ParhamLAC
39​
D GoedertPHI
1190​
J HurtsPHI
1087​
PHI DPHI
463​
AJ BrownPHI
441​
D SmithPHI
296​
K GainwellPHI
229​
J ElliottPHI
202​
B ScottPHI
184​
M SandersPHI
138​
G MinshewPHI
29​
A TatePHI
4​



-QG
 
My mercurial TEs came through this week, but it’s looking a little dicey.

I have Mike Williams and Sutton left.

9 over the cut line.

This is my kicker-less week (thanks Rodrigo) so it’s gonna be a little dicey. I’ll feel a lot better big-picture if i can get through this week.

Bad time to be without Bateman. Get well soon, buddy. Also a bad week for both defenses to suck.

TOTAL111.45
CUT LINE102.45
 
I am DONE at 133.65.....Hoping for a low scoring game Monday night ....a bad game from Sutton would go a long way since so many of yall seem to have him.
 
New Cut line is 110.45 after the 8 pm game
Splendid. So I’m less than 2 points above.

Hopefully
Sutton
&
Williams
have monster games. 20+ ea would be great.

I am DONE at 133.65.....Hoping for a low scoring game Monday night ....a bad game from Sutton would go a long way since so many of yall seem to have him.

Not sure how you are done if you scored 133. Cut like likely will be around 120 per people smarter than me.
I meant done scoring..... I hope the people smarter than you and me are right because 120 seems kinda low to me....Or I am just a worry wart lol
 
Might make it with Sutton left tomorrow. 😰
TOTAL127.35
CUT LINE110.45
You are looking good. The final cut line probably won't be above 120.

While these guys with 20 pt + cushions that are concern are quite funny, keep in mind that with 4 teams on byes, injuries building, and a poopy week in general for scoring, the players remaining will have a bigger impact. 10-20 point Monday moves have been quite frequent in the past once we got into the season. I'm just not seeing enough volume guys outside of Sutton that can make this one of those weeks.
 
I'm just not seeing enough volume guys outside of Sutton that can make this one of those weeks.
Herbert could put up numbers, but against the DEN d it seems unlikely.

Williams & Sutton could pop.

Maybe an Everett or even MelGo has a big night. Ekeler coupe also make things interesting.

We shall see…
 
To get a better idea, here are tonight's ownership percentages:

37.81% - WR Courtland Sutton - 2165
13.81% - WR Josh Palmer - 791
12.38% - TE Albert Okwuegbunam - 709
10.93% - QB Russell Wilson - 626
9.85% - RB Javonte Williams - 564 - IR
8.92% - WR Mike Williams - 511
8.91% - D Denver Broncos - 510
8.52% - K Brandon McManus - 488
8.38% - RB Austin Ekeler - 480
8.16% - TE Gerald Everett - 467
7.68% - K Dustin Hopkins - 440
6.95% - QB Justin Herbert - 398
4.10% - WR Jerry Jeudy - 235
3.53% - D Los Angeles Chargers - 202
2.46% - WR KJ Hamler - 141
2.25% - RB Melvin Gordon - 129
2.10% - WR Keenan Allen - 120
0.82% - WR Jalen Guyton - 47 - IR
0.80% - RB Sony Michel - 46
0.72% - RB Isaiah Spiller - 41
0.68% - TE Donald Parham - 39
0.28% - TE Greg Dulcich - 16
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I feel the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15 (cut currently 110.45) with Herbert (20.2) & Mike Williams (3.2) to go ... When I first look at my status, I thought LAC was on Bye .... so I thought I was done!
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I feel the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15 (cut currently 110.45) with Herbert (20.2) & Mike Williams (3.2) to go ... When I first look at my status, I thought LAC was on Bye .... so I thought I was done!

You're joking correct?

Give me this predicament until the finals every and I take 1000 our of 1000 times.
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I'm pulling for you because I think we live or die together. I'm 12.2 Over The Line and have Sutton minus 4.5.

Actually you're separated more than you think. 1150 teams are getting cut. There are likely 150 teams between the two of you now and rough 275 once Sutton posts 6.1. That's about 25% of the cut line.
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I feel the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15 (cut currently 110.45) with Herbert (20.2) & Mike Williams (3.2) to go ... When I first look at my status, I thought LAC was on Bye .... so I thought I was done!

You're joking correct?

Give me this predicament until the finals every and I take 1000 our of 1000 times.
I guess I did not explain that when I looked at my score, it was PRIOR to the PHIL-DAL Game and thinking I was done... so I expected more scoring in the game.
But yeah, actual anxiety is not there, but it was the initial mistake that created the concern.
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I feel the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15 (cut currently 110.45) with Herbert (20.2) & Mike Williams (3.2) to go ... When I first look at my status, I thought LAC was on Bye .... so I thought I was done!

You're joking correct?

Give me this predicament until the finals every and I take 1000 our of 1000 times.
I guess I did not explain that when I looked at my score, it was PRIOR to the PHIL-DAL Game and thinking I was done... so I expected more scoring in the game.
But yeah, actual anxiety is not there, but it was the initial mistake that created the concern.
Ah...that makes more since. I thought the line would move more last night too. Huge relief it didn't jump a large amount.

I feel (felt) the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15.

Can someone point me to the strike thru option on this board?
 
True sweat for my team. I have no players left and sit at 121.95

Pulling for you.

As a side note, how does BroncoFan have no Broncos?
Oh I have a Bronco….thanks Javonte! I typically avoid picking players from the Broncos due to fear of fandom bias over valuing the player. I broke that rule this year I’m going with Javonte but most of the FF community was calling for big things from him.
 
10 above the cut with Sutton -6.1. I knew this week would be close but could really use some help here Denver.
I feel the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15 (cut currently 110.45) with Herbert (20.2) & Mike Williams (3.2) to go ... When I first look at my status, I thought LAC was on Bye .... so I thought I was done!

You're joking correct?

Give me this predicament until the finals every and I take 1000 our of 1000 times.
I guess I did not explain that when I looked at my score, it was PRIOR to the PHIL-DAL Game and thinking I was done... so I expected more scoring in the game.
But yeah, actual anxiety is not there, but it was the initial mistake that created the concern.
Ah...that makes more since. I thought the line would move more last night too. Huge relief it didn't jump a large amount.

I feel (felt) the anxiety ... sitting at 130.15.

Can someone point me to the strike thru option on this board?
Re: Strike through option- Click on the 3 dots to the right of the color pallet and more options appear. It's one of those.
 
True sweat for my team. I have no players left and sit at 121.95

Pulling for you.

As a side note, how does BroncoFan have no Broncos?
Oh I have a Bronco….thanks Javonte! I typically avoid picking players from the Broncos due to fear of fandom bias over valuing the player. I broke that rule this year I’m going with Javonte but most of the FF community was calling for big things from him.

Mr. Pot here....I understand as a Panther fan who avoided all Panthers.
 
True sweat for my team. I have no players left and sit at 121.95

Pulling for you.

As a side note, how does BroncoFan have no Broncos?
Oh I have a Bronco….thanks Javonte! I typically avoid picking players from the Broncos due to fear of fandom bias over valuing the player. I broke that rule this year I’m going with Javonte but most of the FF community was calling for big things from him.

Mr. Pot here....I understand as a Panther fan who avoided all Panthers.
Niners fan here who avoided Niners. Had so many versions of my rooster with Aiyuk - would have helped this week.
 
1 point above the cut.
:oldunsure:

Glad I have 2 YTP, but I’m nervous. This was a tough BYE/injury week, especially without a K.

Actually you have three to replace a zero. 4-60 from any of them and you advance. FBG projections have you adding 26 points to your score. 19 points if you back out the TD projections. Better yet, you have the top 2 LAC WRs so even if one has a horrible game, the other should do something. Gotta think Vegas has you at 98%+ chance to advance.

Glad you are almost a lock to advance.
 
1 point above the cut.
:oldunsure:

Glad I have 2 YTP, but I’m nervous. This was a tough BYE/injury week, especially without a K.

Actually you have three to replace a zero. 4-60 from any of them and you advance. FBG projections have you adding 26 points to your score. 19 points if you back out the TD projections. Better yet, you have the top 2 LAC WRs so even if one has a horrible game, the other should do something. Gotta think Vegas has you at 98%+ chance to advance.

Glad you are almost a lock to advance.
Yay!

Forgot Palmer was in play.

Would be nice for my other teams if he'd start...playing.
 
I pointed out the worse team in the standings last Monday and they scored 123 pts to easily clear the cut line.

Don't think it's happening this week. https://footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/106372/week/6 Guess they are a Raiders fan.

The 2nd to last place team isn't going to threaten advancing either https://footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105243/week/6

Wow this guy ate some donuts including 4 QBs https://footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/103015/week/6

Soft spot for White Caslte https://footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101196/week/6 62 points back but gets all of Hebert and Sutton plus Ekeler - 4.1, Everett - 5.3, and McManus - 4. It will be tough buts there's a chance.
 
First 10 below the cut

1. Gordon - 2, Sutton /Palmer - 5.8. This is a cut mover.
2. Gets all of McManus. Will be sweating.
3. Done
4. Gets all of Palmer and Ekeler - 5.2. Another cut mover
5. Sutton counts instantly
6. Done...should have taken more than one D and K.
7. Done and another one D and one K team going down.
8. Gets all of Sutton plus Hopkin - 6
9. McManus - 10.5....cooked. If you'r going to WR Hopkins, it's not best to select Henry and Waller before he's back. 4 QBs doesn't help either.
10. Has Hebert but needs to top 37. Lineup construction almost guaranted a 0 at flex. Has OGun - 0 and McManus - 8.4.

So 5 of these teams will have an impact on the cut. Two could, but it won't be much.
 
To get a better idea, here are tonight's ownership percentages:

37.81% - WR Courtland Sutton - 2165
13.81% - WR Josh Palmer - 791
12.38% - TE Albert Okwuegbunam - 709
10.93% - QB Russell Wilson - 626
9.85% - RB Javonte Williams - 564 - IR
8.92% - WR Mike Williams - 511
8.91% - D Denver Broncos - 510
8.52% - K Brandon McManus - 488
8.38% - RB Austin Ekeler - 480
8.16% - TE Gerald Everett - 467
7.68% - K Dustin Hopkins - 440
6.95% - QB Justin Herbert - 398
4.10% - WR Jerry Jeudy - 235
3.53% - D Los Angeles Chargers - 202
2.46% - WR KJ Hamler - 141
2.25% - RB Melvin Gordon - 129
2.10% - WR Keenan Allen - 120
0.82% - WR Jalen Guyton - 47 - IR
0.80% - RB Sony Michel - 46
0.72% - RB Isaiah Spiller - 41
0.68% - TE Donald Parham - 39
0.28% - TE Greg Dulcich - 16

RE: Cut line

Maybe my logic is flawed, :ponder: but if you assume that Sutton ownership is equally distributed among the current 5,726 live teams, that means that only 541 teams below the cut line have Sutton on their roster. If Sutton has a big night and 541 teams that are currently below the cut line are able to move above it, the team 541 slots above the current cut line (in 4,043rd place) has 117.15 points. That might not mean anything, but I still think my statement that the cut line likely would not move above 120, still has a chance to be correct. It will be interesting to see what happens.

Of course this does not account for how big a night is a good night, and also doesn't consider the other lesser percentage owned players or what they score tonight. Bottom line is I hope everyone here clears the bar and is able to move on to week 7! :-) Tonight I'll be jockeying back and forth between Monday night football and the Penguins vs Montreal NHL game.
 
To get a better idea, here are tonight's ownership percentages:

37.81% - WR Courtland Sutton - 2165
13.81% - WR Josh Palmer - 791
12.38% - TE Albert Okwuegbunam - 709
10.93% - QB Russell Wilson - 626
9.85% - RB Javonte Williams - 564 - IR
8.92% - WR Mike Williams - 511
8.91% - D Denver Broncos - 510
8.52% - K Brandon McManus - 488
8.38% - RB Austin Ekeler - 480
8.16% - TE Gerald Everett - 467
7.68% - K Dustin Hopkins - 440
6.95% - QB Justin Herbert - 398
4.10% - WR Jerry Jeudy - 235
3.53% - D Los Angeles Chargers - 202
2.46% - WR KJ Hamler - 141
2.25% - RB Melvin Gordon - 129
2.10% - WR Keenan Allen - 120
0.82% - WR Jalen Guyton - 47 - IR
0.80% - RB Sony Michel - 46
0.72% - RB Isaiah Spiller - 41
0.68% - TE Donald Parham - 39
0.28% - TE Greg Dulcich - 16

RE: Cut line

Maybe my logic is flawed, :ponder: but if you assume that Sutton ownership is equally distributed among the current 5,726 live teams, that means that only 541 teams below the cut line have Sutton on their roster. If Sutton has a big night and 541 teams that are currently below the cut line are able to move above it, the team 541 slots above the current cut line (in 4,043rd place) has 117.15 points. That might not mean anything, but I still think my statement that the cut line likely would not move above 120, still has a chance to be correct. It will be interesting to see what happens.

Of course this does not account for how big a night is a good night, and also doesn't consider the other lesser percentage owned players or what they score tonight. Bottom line is I hope everyone here clears the bar and is able to move on to week 7! :-) Tonight I'll be jockeying back and forth between Monday night football and the Penguins vs Montreal NHL game.
Looking at the current top 30

1. Sutton
2. none
3. Sutton
4. none
5. none
6. JWilliams, Sutton
7. Sutton
8. none
9. none
10. Hebert
11. palmer
12. none
13. none
14. none
15. none
16. none
17. none
18. Sutton
19. Palmer
20. Palmer
21. LAC D
22. none
23. none
24. Hamler
25. Palmer, Everett
26. none
27. Herbert
28. none
29. MWill, Everett, LAC D
30. Herbert
31. none
32. none
33. none

Should be 12 Suttons, only 5
4 Palmers, there are 4
4 Oguns, there are none
3 Wilsons, there are none
3 JWillimas, there is one
3 MWill, 3 Den D, 3 McManus, 3 Ekeler, 3 Everett....there are 1, 0, 0, 0 , 2

I don't think you can assume equal distribution. Teams with high scores are more likely to have had more players played.
 
514 owners within 10 points of the cut. Assuming even distribution 194 have Sutton. Assuming the average owner is replacing a 5 and Sutton scores 20, then 194 move over the current line by at least 5 points. Of the 194 they replace, 36 have Sutton. That alone moves the cut to 113.35 (one player evenly distributed with all his owners assigned a score 10 points behind the cut line)
 
514 owners within 10 points of the cut. Assuming even distribution 194 have Sutton. Assuming the average owner is replacing a 5 and Sutton scores 20, then 194 move over the current line by at least 5 points. Of the 194 they replace, 36 have Sutton. That alone moves the cut to 113.35 (one player evenly distributed with all his owners assigned a score 10 points behind the cut line)
I didn't get the hype for Sutton this year. He's played in 55 games and has 5 games with over 100yds rec. So he's averaging 1 of those games per season, although he was on IR for almost an entire year. He has 13 TDs across 5 seasons. His numbers in those two categories are exactly the same as MVS. Yet one guy is regarded as an elite WR1 while the other guy is a hit or miss WR2. Maybe they are both the latter.
 
So with Hollywood Brown quite probably done for the year (and at least done for week 9) if I make it to that week things suddenly become even more dicey. Extremely concerning I have to say.

What I will have that week as of now:

QB: Allen and Goff
RB: Mixon, Pierce and Zamir
WR: JuJu, Palmer, Berrios and Shenault
TE:. Pitts, Higbee, Hurst, Otton
PK: MoneyMac
DEF: Vikings, Cardinals, Titans

A lot of must scores in there :oldunsure:

-QG
 

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