Here are three observations after a second viewing and a night to ponder the Detroit Lions’ 34-17 win over the Chicago Bears.
Grin and bear it
Things are about to get weird.
OK, I concede it doesn’t have to be that way, but with all due respect to Rasheed Wallace’s mantra “If it ain’t rough, it ain’t right,” the Lions could really use a stress-free week before the start of the postseason.
Hear me out. With the Philadelphia Eagles running into some injury misfortune on Sunday — losing starting quarterback Jalen Hurts and backup Kenny Pickett to injury in a last-second defeat to the Washington Commanders — the Lions gained an incredibly valuable buffer with one of two challengers for the top seed in the NFC.
The other half of that equation, the Minnesota Vikings, did the Lions no such favor. The NFC North rival fended off a stiff challenge from the Seahawks in Seattle with a late Justin Jefferson touchdown.
The Lions and Vikings have matching 13-2 records with two games remaining. The good news is the Lions hold the tie-breaker, but the sides play again in the season finale. Regardless, if the Vikings were to lose next week, paired with a Lions win on Monday Night Football, the Honolulu blue and silver will lock up the conference’s top seed for the first time in the Super Bowl era.
Here’s the catch, you have to root for the Packers.
I get it. It runs against everything you’ve been conditioned to believe in as a fan of the Lions, but in this case, the enemy of your enemy is your ally.
Here’s everything the Lions stand to gain with a Packers’ victory in Minneapolis next Sunday:
- The chance to lock up the division and the conference on Monday night in San Francisco, securing a first-round bye and home-field advantage through the Super Bowl.
- The ability to rest some key starters for a half or the full game in Week 18.
- Alternatively, it could be an opportunity to give some younger, inexperienced players on the roster live reps to aid their development.
- Who knows? Maybe Hendon Hooker has a Matt Flynn-esque game in him.
If the conference is locked up, you'll likely avoid being slotted into primetime for the season finale, given there would be no meaningful playoff positioning at stake.
No one is asking you to wear a Cheesehead in public. But I promise it’s OK to pump your fist when no one is looking if Josh Jacobs runs one across the goal line or Xavier McKinney picks off Sam Darnold. No one needs to know.
Eye-opening debut
It’s difficult to focus on a singular offensive lineman while watching live, but on second viewing, I zeroed in on rookie Christian Mahogany, analyzing how he answered the bell in place of injured starter Graham Glasgow.
Pleasantly surprised would be an understatement. Despite having significantly more experience playing on the right side coming into the league, Mahogany looked comfortable and natural on the left in his first NFL start.
As a run blocker, he fired off the ball, regularly knocking his man back at the point of attack. Alternatively, he reached his landmarks in the second level to body assignments both on runs and screens.
In pass protection, he played with quick feet, a strong base, and active hands, making the necessary adjustments to mirror his man or help a teammate when Chicago's front tried to execute a twist/stunt. Mahogany regularly provided a late assist to keep quarterback Jared Goff’s pocket clean.
He did have one notable breakdown in pass protection, getting bested one-on-one on a third down that resulted in Goff getting hit as he threw, causing an incompletion. But, overall, the results were stellar.
Not bad for a guy who got knocked on his *** by mononucleosis this offseason, costing him the entirety of his first training camp.
Of course, there will be a level of overreaction, including some who will call for Mahogany to immediately replace Glasgow in the starting lineup. It's unlikely the team would abruptly bench the accomplished veteran, but they could feel compelled to give Glasgow an extra week or rest for his injured knee given Sunday’s results.
The 49ers, like the Bears, don’t have a particularly daunting set of interior defensive linemen, especially with two-time Pro Bowler Javon Hargrave on injured reserve.
More important than the immediate, Mahogany offered a glimpse into a possible future of Detroit’s offensive line. Again, we have to be careful not to overreact to the small sample size, but his movement skills and temperament were as promising a combination as we’ve seen from a Lions backup o-lineman in a while.
The Lions face some offseason decisions with the unit. Presently, the future of the right guard spot is cloudy with stellar veteran Kevin Zeitler operating on a one-year deal. And, even though he’s under contract for two more seasons, it’s difficult to say Glasgow will see the final year of his deal with a projected $8.4 million cap hit in 2026 as he enters his age-34 season.
The Lions could use an injection of youth to the unit with three starters over 30. Perhaps we'll see Mahogany emerge as part of that solution as early as next season.
Easy does it
While Mahogany was a question mark coming into the contest, running back Jahmyr Gibbs was not. There was no doubt the second-year back would be prepared to handle a bigger share of the workload with David Montgomery on the shelf.
Just like he did against the Raiders last season, Gibbs delivered in the featured role in Chicago, grinding out 154 yards and a touchdown with a career-high 27 touches. And while he might be a little sorer than normal this Monday, you couldn’t tell the 5-foot-9, 200-pounder had gone to war for four quarters during a locker room interview shortly after the final whistle.
For as much as we like to think of Gibbs as a speed-and-space weapon, he’s equally physical and tough. Plenty of his runs on Sunday were between the tackles, where he never hesitates to lower his shoulder into a would-be tackler.
During his postgame interview, Gibbs claimed to be used to this type of workload, but that’s not necessarily true. He only topped 27 touches once in college and 20 carries three times.
Still, there’s no question, he won’t hesitate to take on as much as the Lions ask of him. But I’d argue the team has to do a better job managing the back’s load down the stretch. And, to be fair, they did adjust in the second half against the Bears.
Remember what has helped fuel Gibbs’ outstanding sophomore campaign. It's been the rotation with Montgomery. They keep each other's legs fresh. And even though the Lions are on the cusp of earning a first-round bye, and potentially face a less-than-demanding Week 18, they need Gibbs at his best for a possible for a Super Bowl run.
Admittedly, he’s made impressive strides with the way he manages his body, through both his prehab and post-game recovery routines, but this is still a player who has been hindered by soft-tissue concerns his first two seasons.
Craig Reynolds and Jermar Jefferson aren’t as dynamic as Gibbs. It’s a sentence so obvious it didn’t really need to be said. Still, the backups can grind out 4.0 yards per carry, run decent routes out of the backfield, and hold up in pass protection. A little more balance between those two and Gibbs against San Francisco, and Minnesota in Week 18 if necessary, could pay dividends when it matters most