He always needs to sit down and take a break... his hobby is hyping players he owns. But don't let him liking Morris turn you off on the player. Comparing DMC last year to Morris this year is not a quality comparison. Randle was, at the time, still considered the favorite, by a large margin, to win the job while DMC was coming off three straight years of total garbage (8 games missed, 485 carries @ 3.3 yc, outplayed by Marcel Reese and Rashad Jennings).
I must disagree strongly with the bolded and why I would also disagree it's not a quality comparison. If it's not a quality comparison it's because Morris is not on same footing DMC was versus Randle last year.
As for Randle maybe it boils down to timing of the drafts. The rookie drafts I did all took place 1-2 weeks after the NFL draft. Most of them are FFPC leagues or high stakes FFPC players in private leagues that mostly mirror FFPC rules. In those leagues DMC was going in late second as a general rule, ahead of Randle at the time. If you drafted after camps opened this would have changed, but at the time of my rookie drafts it was not for sure not only not known who was the starter but DMC was going ahead of Randle.
And yes DMC was horrible the previous 3 years but other than Dallas being good for just about any RB it's tailor made for a RB's like DMC who like Murray, and like Derrick Henry, are long striders who need good blocking to build a head of steam. So long story short Dallas is good for all RB's, some more than others.
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We don't know for sure DMC will enter camp 100% as the starter. They might like to relegate him to the role they signed him for - 3rd down/spot duty. Nobody wants to rely on DMC for 20 touches a game. That's a recipe for disaster even if he did defy the odds and play all 16 games last year. You think they want to double down on that? I wouldn't.
No we don't know for sure if he will enter camp as the 100% starter but I'll be stunned if it's Morris. DMC did everything they asked him to do and Garrett is actually pretty loyal. You won't agree but it's his job to lose and he might still lose it to a drafted player. I also disagree they signed him to be 3rd down/spot duty , which I pretty much just addressed in my response to you saying at this point last year Randle as the sure thing starter. Fact is when Dunbar was playing he was almost always the third down back.
No they do not want to give DMC 20 touches a game, that we agree on. He and Morris should actually make a nice complement together and it's a really nice signing by Dallas but two things about that are negatives to Morris fantasy value.
First off I strongly believe he's the complement back to DMC. Secondly in 2013-2014 Morris averaged almost 17 carries a game for an average of 1,174 yards rushing and still could not average 12 fantasy points a game. So when people rip me or think I'm trolling for saying he's a third round rookie pick this is part of what I'm getting at. His rookie year he put up amazing stats but even when he's been a 1,000 yard rusher the next two years he's been an average fantasy player and I guarantee if you've owned him in a PPR fantasy league you were always looking for someone else to start over him or never quite felt comfortable using him. I know because I've owned him for two years and still own him on a team of mine that is weak at RB and I still never only use him out of sheer desperation and I'm talking about when he was the full time RB.
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Morris hasn't been utilized as a pass catcher, but that doesn't mean he's inept. Ivory had only caught 23 passes in 55 games until last year when he caught 30 in 15 games. Ingram had only caught 53 passes in 50 games until he caught 50 in 12 games. Morris has caught 47 in 64 games. I'm not saying Dallas is going to make him a 3 down back. I'm just challenging the thought that just because a guy hasn't caught passes that he can't.
And I know this is crazy, but not everyone plays PPR. Just a pet peeve, but it always irritates me when people bring PPR into the discussion as if it is the golden standard. There are a lot of 0 and 0.5 leagues where not catching a lot of passes fails to disqualify a guy as a fantasy player. Maybe it's weird to prefer a format where Bilal Powell can't be picked up off waivers and dominate a H2H matchup for a week?
DMC and Dunbar are both better pass catching RB's then Morris and Dallas does not utilize their RB's heavily in the passing game. They were 20th last year with 99 targets to RB's and 25th the season before with 92. I don't expect Morris to get much of that pie.
I only mentioned PPR for two reasons. It's all I play and when I said that Morris now moved up to a third round rookie draft pick I felt the need to say it was PPR as I would guess his value is higher in non-PPR leagues.
Appreciate you responding in a well thought out manner. For me Morris is a volume dependent back who won't get the volume, won't catch a lot of passes, but has RB2 upside if DMC falters or gets hurt. That to me is generally third round rookie value for a 27 year old RB, maybe due to weakness of this draft he climbs up to back of second like DMC did last year. That's as high as I see him going but stands to fall further if they draft someone decent.