I was bored so I thought I'd do a little exercise. There's three main arguments against Travis Hunter's fantasy value:
- Concern about snaps due to playing defense
- Concern about being able to produce WR1 numbers with Brian Thomas Jr. in front of him
- Tied in with the above, but concern about Trevor Lawrence's ability to produce a fantasy WR1, let alone two of them
I can't really argue against the first point, that's always going to be the biggest risk with Hunter. But to the other two points, there's plenty of evidence of NFL teams having two (in one case, even three) fantasy WR1's on the same team in the same season. I struggled to come up with a good cutoff point but since I'm just doing this for fun, I decided to have my first year of playing fantasy football (1998) as my arbitrary cutoff point.
In this exercise, I went to
Pro Football Reference and used their fantasy rankings for each season and used their position rank for WR and QB. I used the cutoff at overall WR12, so that's not counting any of the great receivers from WR13+. I'm looking for teams who had at least two top-12 fantasy WR's for that season. I'll also include the top fantasy QB for that team and their final ranking for context. I noticed there were a mix of elite QB's and a mix of guys that either performed well above their norm or simply weren't anything special from a fantasy perspective. It shows that TLaw doesn't have to be a top 5 fantasy QB in order for both BTJ and Hunter to put up fantasy WR1 numbers. Not being the team's WR1 doesn't mean the player can't still be a WR1 for your fantasy team. Here were the results I came up with after about an hour of digging:
1998 Minnesota Vikings
Randy Moss (WR1) -- Cris Carter (WR8) -- Randall Cunningham (QB2)
1998 San Francisco 49ers
Terrell Owens (WR3) -- Jerry Rice (WR10) -- Steve Young (QB1)
1998 Denver Broncos
Rod Smith (WR9) -- Ed McCaffrey (WR11) -- John Elway (QB13)
1999 Minnesota Vikings
Randy Moss (WR1) -- Cris Carter (WR3) -- Jeff George (QB14)
1999 Carolina Panthers
Patrick Jeffers (WR7) -- Muhsin Muhammad (WR10) -- Steve Beuerlein (QB2)
2000 Minnesota Vikings
Randy Moss (WR1) -- Cris Carter (WR11) -- Daunte Culpepper (QB2)
2000 Denver Broncos
Rod Smith (WR4) -- Ed McCaffrey (WR8) -- Brian Griese (QB14)
2000 St. Louis Rams
Isaac Bruce (WR6) -- Torry Holt (WR7) -- Kurt Warner (QB13)
2001 Oakland Raiders
Tim Brown (WR8) -- Jerry Rice (WR12) -- Rich Gannon (QB3)
2002 Buffalo Bills
Eric Moulds (WR4) -- Peerless Price (WR7) -- Drew Bledsoe (QB9)
2002 Pittsburgh Steelers
Hines Ward (WR2) -- Plaxic Burress (WR9) -- Tommy Maddox (QB22)
2004 Indianapolis Colts
Marvin Harrison (WR5) -- Reggie Wayne (WR8) -- Brandon Stokley (WR12) -- Peyton Manning (QB2)
2004 Green Bay Packers
Javon Walker (WR3) -- Donald Driver (WR10) -- Brett Favre (QB6)
2005 Arizona Cardinals
Larry Fitzgerald (WR2) -- Anquan Boldin (WR7) -- Kurt Warner (QB22)
2006 Indianapolis Colts
Marvin Harrison (WR1) -- Reggie Wayne (WR3) -- Peyton Manning (QB1)
2006 Cincinnati Bengals
Chad Johnson (WR4) -- T.J. Houshmandzadeh (WR11) -- Carson Palmer (QB5)
2007 New England Patriots
Randy Moss (WR1) -- Wes Welker (WR11) -- Tom Brady (QB1)
2007 Cincinnati Bengals
Chad Johnson (WR6) -- T.J. Houshmandzadeh (WR7) -- Carson Palmer (QB9)
2008 Arizona Cardinals
Larry Fitzgerald (WR1) -- Anquan Boldin (WR7) -- Kurt Warner (QB5)
2009 New England Patriots
Randy Moss (WR2) -- Wes Welker (WR12) -- Tom Brady (QB7)
2011 New York Giants
Victor Cruz (WR4) -- Hakeem Nicks (WR11) -- Eli Manning (QB6)
2012 Denver Broncos
Demaryius Thomas (WR5) -- Eric Decker (WR7) -- Peyton Manning (QB6)
2012 Atlanta Falcons
Julio Jones (WR9) -- Roddy White (WR10) -- Matt Ryan (QB7)
2013 Denver Broncos
Demaryius Thomas (WR2) -- Eric Decker (WR9) -- Peyton Manning (QB1)
2013 Chicago Bears
Brandon Marshall (WR5) -- Alshon Jeffery (WR8) -- Jay Cutler (QB23)
2014 Green Bay Packers
Jordy Nelson (WR2) -- Randall Cobb (WR6) -- Aaron Rodgers (QB1)
2014 Denver Broncos
Demaryius Thomas (WR3) -- Emmanuel Sanders (WR7) -- Peyton Manning (QB4)
2015 New York Jets
Brandon Marshall (WR3) -- Eric Decker (WR10) -- Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB11)
2016 Green Bay Packers
Jordy Nelson (WR2) -- Davante Adams (WR7) -- Aaron Rodgers (QB1)
2016 New Orleans Saints
Brandin Cooks (WR8) -- Michael Thomas (WR9) -- Drew Brees (QB3)
2018 Pittsburgh Steelers
Antonio Brown (WR2) -- JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR9) -- Ben Roethlisberger (QB3)
2018 Minnesota Vikings
Adam Thielen (WR7) -- Stefon Diggs (WR12) -- Kirk Cousins (QB13)
2019 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chris Godwin (WR2) -- Mike Evans (WR8) -- Jameis WInston (QB5)
2020 Minnesota Vikings
Justin Jefferson (WR7) -- Adam Thielen (WR8) -- Kirk Cousins (QB11)
2020 Seattle Seahawks
D.K. Metcalf (WR5) -- Tyler Lockett (WR11) -- Russell Wilson (QB6)
2021 Seattle Seahawks
D.K. Metcalf (WR10) -- Tyler Lockett (WR11) -- Russell Wilson (QB15)
2022 Miami Dolphins
Tyreek Hill (WR3) -- Jaylen Waddle (WR7) -- Tua Tagovailoa (QB15)
2022 Philadelphia Eagles
A.J. Brown (WR4) -- DeVonta Smith (WR10) -- Jalen Hurts (QB3)
2023 San Francisco 49ers
Deebo Samuel (WR7) -- Brandon Aiyuk (WR10) -- Brock Purdy (QB6)
Now look at the QB's on this list. Lots of legends and Pro Bowlers and what have you. But also a good number of non-elite QB's. TLaw's best fantasy finishes have been QB7 (2022) and QB12 (2023). That's right in the range, or even better, than a good handful of QB's here. If TLaw can just be in that range he can absolutely support both BTJ and Hunter as fantasy assets, especially considering the lack of target competition such as Brenton Strange, Dyami Brown, and Parker Washington who are merely ancillary players, and maybe Travis Etienne if he can somehow bounce back to 2023 form.
I'm not saying it's likely. Out of all these listed, there's only three rookies (Randy Moss in 1998, Michael Thomas in 2016, and Justin Jefferson in 2020). But if Hunter's legendary stamina can keep him on the field for enough snaps, I could see him sneaking into top 12 for this season. At minimum I wouldn't be surprised to see him be a major factor in the red zone and get a bunch of receiving TD's. Consider me very, very intrigued.