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Danario Alexander - Lottery ticket? (1 Viewer)

Thankfully Peterson and Walsh saved me from DX's zero. I've been playing him at flex for the last 5 weeks or so, but next week I think I'm going with Stevie Johnson against Miami. Dynasty owners: Cashing in for trade during the off-season, or holding on for next year?
I started those two dudes too but at the last minute I benched DX for AJ Green. I had him in the lineup from Tuesday till thursday afternoon and decided to go with AJGreen. 18 points from a kicker was HUGE!
 
With Malcolm Floyd on IR, I don't see how Denario doesnt receive huge attention from the Jets. Comrartie plus a safety. After seeing how he and the Chargers responded to a similar situation yesterday, I will not risk playing him.

I'm rolling with Miles Austin and Antonio Brown over him in a ppr.

 
With Malcolm Floyd on IR, I don't see how Denario doesnt receive huge attention from the Jets. Comrartie plus a safety. After seeing how he and the Chargers responded to a similar situation yesterday, I will not risk playing him. I'm rolling with Miles Austin and Antonio Brown over him in a ppr.
The other thing to consider is both NYJ and SD are in disarray and look like they've quit trying.
 
With Malcolm Floyd on IR, I don't see how Denario doesnt receive huge attention from the Jets. Comrartie plus a safety. After seeing how he and the Chargers responded to a similar situation yesterday, I will not risk playing him. I'm rolling with Miles Austin and Antonio Brown over him in a ppr.
The other thing to consider is both NYJ and SD are in disarray and look like they've quit trying.
I won despite his performance last week and find it strange that Dodds in PPR scoring has him ranked over the likes of Gore, Ridley, BJE and Beanie Wells at the flex position. In my championship I will be playing one of the following over him: Wilson, Wells or Montel Owens considering his match up and the stinker he gave us last week.
 
I was considering DX over Lloyd & Crabtree if Sanchez started. The game would have gotten out of control and given River's a short field. With McIlroy, I see a much more conservative, ball control offense. Nice while it lasted DX! Thanks for helping to get me to the SB. :thumbup:

 
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I was considering DX over Lloyd & Crabtree if Sanchez started. The game would have gotten out of control and given River's a short field. With McIlroy, I see a much more conservative, ball control offense. Nice while it lasted DX! Thanks for helping to get me to the SB. :thumbup:
Why would either team play a conservative, ball control offense with nothing to play for and nothing to lose? I see potential for a lot of sloppiness and potentially big plays as guys mail it in.DX as an indivicual is still in audition mode with lot to play for vs Cromartie not so much. Maybe Cromartie takes a lot of chances going for the pick-6 and DX breaks one on a double move. Just as good odds that happening as anything else.
 
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I was considering DX over Lloyd & Crabtree if Sanchez started. The game would have gotten out of control and given River's a short field. With McIlroy, I see a much more conservative, ball control offense. Nice while it lasted DX! Thanks for helping to get me to the SB. :thumbup:
Why would either team play a conservative, ball control offense with nothing to play for and nothing to lose? I see potential for a lot of sloppiness and potentially big plays as guys mail it in.DX as an indivicual is still in audition mode with lot to play for vs Cromartie not so much. Maybe Cromartie takes a lot of chances going for the pick-6 and DX breaks one on a double move. Just as good odds that happening as anything else.
Agreed that this could happen but don't you think the Jets will be the more conservative? The Chargers were baffled when DX got the attention he did by Carolina. With Floyd on IR, one less threat to worry about.The Jets D is pissed and will probably put a lot of pressure on Phillip. Then again, who knows :shrug: just can't see them releasing the hounds with McIlroy.
 
'Dark Matter said:
I was considering DX over Lloyd & Crabtree if Sanchez started. The game would have gotten out of control and given River's a short field. With McIlroy, I see a much more conservative, ball control offense. Nice while it lasted DX! Thanks for helping to get me to the SB. :thumbup:
I too am anguishing over DX vs. Crabtree. Looks like Sherman's suspension won't be effective so I'd expect Crabtree to be up against a top CB and maybe SF looks to other passing options. Crabtree had just 4 recepts for 31 yards vs. Seattle in week 7, and Seattle is very strong at home. OTOH, Alexander has produced vs. good pass defenses (Denver/Balt/Cincy/Pitt) and remains one of the only targets River's has to work with over 60 minutes, with maybe a less viable running game given the Matthews injury. My gut tells me overreaction to DX failure/Crabtree explosion last week is a trap door, and I should be focused on the prior several weeks - where Alexander got me into playoffs and was a difference for me moving on in week 14.
 
I found FBG weekly ranking interesting, in that they do rank Alexander ahead of Crabtree. Seeing something totally different on Sportsline rankings, which have Alexander in the WR 40-50 range.

 
- Comartie

- DX posted a donut last week

- SD flying across country against 3 time zones

- Cromartie

- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road

- No Malcolm Floyd

- Cromartie

I think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season

 
- Comartie- DX posted a donut last week- SD flying across country against 3 time zones- Cromartie- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road- No Malcolm Floyd- CromartieI think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season
I love DX, but I think this is the right answer.I rolled with DX through the past 5 weeks or so and he got me through the playoffs and into the championship despite last week's bizarre outing. But going into this week, I have to plug Colston back in over DX. Will I hate myself for it? Maybe. But it's the right call.
 
FantasyPros rankings of the top 8 ranked WR "pickers" in 2012 has him in the low-mid 30's (free content). I have to decide between him, G. Jennings, Sid Rice and the WW (not much ...Btitt, Gibson and then some real flyers). Damn, I picked up Jennings on WW right after he got hurt and locked up a roster spot, just hoping he would be there for the playoffs. Well, he's here, but he kinda not really here too. Not digging all the bad vibes going on there now. Any GB homers opinion on possible improvements for Jennings/Rogers? Anyone else feeling Britt a little? (Not really feeling him as much as a case of the desperates.)

1 Calvin Johnson (DET vs ATL) P 1 2 1.3 0.4

2 A.J. Green (CIN at PIT) 1 3 2.4 0.7

3 Brandon Marshall (CHI at ARI) P 2 6 3.0 1.2

4 Julio Jones (ATL at DET) 4 7 4.6 1.0

5 Andre Johnson (HOU vs MIN) 1 7 5.4 1.9

6 Dez Bryant (DAL vs NO) P 4 12 7.5 2.9

7 Wes Welker (NE at JAC) Q 4 17 9.3 4.0

8 Victor Cruz (NYG at BAL) 5 14 10.0 3.4

9 Vincent Jackson (TB vs STL) 5 24 11.3 5.4

10 Randall Cobb (GB vs TEN) Q 8 24 11.5 4.9

11 Reggie Wayne (IND at KC) 7 18 11.8 3.6

12 Demaryius Thomas (DEN vs CLE) 7 23 12.5 6.0

13 Cecil Shorts (JAC vs NE) 5 22 13.9 5.4

14 Eric Decker (DEN vs CLE) P 8 20 14.4 3.4

15 Roddy White (ATL at DET) Q 8 22 14.6 4.7

16 Steve Smith (CAR vs OAK) 9 26 14.8 4.9

17 Mike Wallace (PIT vs CIN) 13 20 17.8 2.4

18 Marques Colston (NO at DAL) 13 30 17.9 4.9

19 Miles Austin (DAL vs NO) 9 21 18.0 3.5

20 Pierre Garcon (WAS at PHI) P 14 32 18.1 5.6

21 Danny Amendola (STL at TB) 13 28 20.6 4.0

22 Hakeem Nicks (NYG at BAL) P 17 27 22.3 3.2

23 Steve Johnson (BUF at MIA) 19 31 24.0 4.1

24 Brandon Lloyd (NE at JAC) Q 16 29 24.3 3.7

25 Torrey Smith (BAL vs NYG) Q 14 36 26.5 6.3

26 Jeremy Maclin (PHI vs WAS) P 21 34 26.5 4.8

27 Lance Moore (NO at DAL) 23 35 27.4 3.5

28 James Jones (GB vs TEN) 25 31 28.1 2.0

29 Michael Crabtree (SF at SEA) 24 37 28.5 3.6

30 Justin Blackmon (JAC vs NE) 16 37 28.6 7.2

31 Kenny Britt (TEN at GB) Q 27 33 30.5 2.2

32 Antonio Brown (PIT vs CIN) 21 36 31.5 4.4

33 Mike Williams (TB vs STL) P 29 35 32.3 1.8

34 Danario Alexander (SD at NYJ) 24 49 34.0 9.0

35 Anquan Boldin (BAL vs NYG) 29 43 36.3 3.8

36 Brian Hartline (MIA vs BUF) Q 31 41 36.4 2.9

37 Sidney Rice (SEA vs SF) Q 23 44 37.4 5.9

38 Ty Hilton (IND at KC) 32 46 37.5 4.4

39 Greg Jennings (GB vs TEN) 28 48 37.8 6.1

40 Josh Gordon (CLE at DEN) 30 44 39.3 3.8

41 Nate Washington (TEN at GB) 36 47 40.6 3.7

42 Larry Fitzgerald (ARI vs CHI) 39 46 41.6 2.6

43 Denarius Moore (OAK at CAR) 36 45 41.8 3.2

44 Brandon Gibson (STL at TB) 40 64 46.4 6.9

45 Golden Tate (SEA vs SF) 39 50 45.5 3.7

46 Donnie Avery (IND at KC) 41 51 45.9 3.7

47 Dexter McCluster (KC vs IND) 38 72 55.1 12.1

48 Darrius Heyward-Bey (OAK at CAR) 40 71 53.9 10.5

49 Greg Little (CLE at DEN) 42 62 51.7 6.9

50 Rod Streater (OAK at CAR) 45 60 49.6 4.6

 
- Comartie- DX posted a donut last week- SD flying across country against 3 time zones- Cromartie- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road- No Malcolm Floyd- CromartieI think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season
Besides Cromartie, I don't see on what basis any of that is supposed to be a deterrent for starting Danario. Danario's stats in games played 3 time zones away from SD are spectacular, as are his numbers when SD is facing pressure DEFs on the road. No Malcolm Floyd could just as easily be to Danario's benefit as it could his detriment. Yes Danario put up a donut last week, but so far that's the outlier, not studly performances from him. Again, obviously the Jets have one of the best pass defenses in the league which is a legitimate concern, but there's little evidence that any of that other stuff you mentioned are reasons for concern.
 
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- Comartie- DX posted a donut last week- SD flying across country against 3 time zones- Cromartie- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road- No Malcolm Floyd- CromartieI think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season
I love DX, but I think this is the right answer.I rolled with DX through the past 5 weeks or so and he got me through the playoffs and into the championship despite last week's bizarre outing. But going into this week, I have to plug Colston back in over DX. Will I hate myself for it? Maybe. But it's the right call.
+2 No way I can risk it with other viable options. People are forgetting this is the same team who's All Pro TE put up duds all year due to coverage. Rivers has no problem checking down or going to practice squad receivers all day rather than his studs.
 
It's also likely to be a low scoring game. If sd can get up early the jets won't have the firepower to catch up. The game plan will go to run heavy ball control.

I have DX in my wr3 spot this week but its only BC I don't have better options. I'm not too confident. I foresee a so so game. 50-75 yds Rec and we are lucky if we get a td.

 
It's also likely to be a low scoring game. If sd can get up early the jets won't have the firepower to catch up. The game plan will go to run heavy ball control.

I have DX in my wr3 spot this week but its only BC I don't have better options. I'm not too confident. I foresee a so so game. 50-75 yds Rec and we are lucky if we get a td.
The Chargers have played some pretty poor run defenses this year, and they have yet to go "run heavy ball control." Not sure why anyone would think that this would be the week that they'd start, especially considering that they're going to be rolling out Brinkley, Battle, and (a gimpy if he plays) Ronnie Brown.
 
FantasyPros rankings of the top 8 ranked WR "pickers" in 2012 has him in the low-mid 30's (free content). I have to decide between him, G. Jennings, Sid Rice and the WW (not much ...Btitt, Gibson and then some real flyers).
I've got DX but thinking Gibson could be an interesting play. 12/176/1 over his last two games and going up the 32nd ranked pass defense. Bradford has attempted at least 39 passes five of the last six games so logic would suggest the targets will be there once again. Amendola will get his for sure but could be a lot left over. Last week's goose egg scared the crap out of me going into the finals.
 
- Comartie- DX posted a donut last week- SD flying across country against 3 time zones- Cromartie- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road- No Malcolm Floyd- CromartieI think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season
Besides Cromartie, I don't see on what basis any of that is supposed to be a deterrent for starting Danario. Danario's stats in games played 3 time zones away from SD are spectacular, as are his numbers when SD is facing pressure DEFs on the road. No Malcolm Floyd could just as easily be to Danario's benefit as it could his detriment. Yes Danario put up a donut last week, but so far that's the outlier, not studly performances from him. Again, obviously the Jets have one of the best pass defenses in the league which is a legitimate concern, but there's little evidence that any of that other stuff you mentioned are reasons for concern.
For me, Cromartie is enough. The other factors are additional intangibles that support the conclusion to bench him. I'm not sure what evidence you'd want to go look for. Alexander doesn't have a long enough track record in the NFL to really study a lot of stats, so I've got to go on intangibles and gut. I've personally seen Rivers blow up on the road (both in person and on TV) when the pressure gets to him many times. It gets ugly quickly when he does. Screaming on the sideline, erratic passes, etc. That's not a DX factor, it's a Rivers tendency. The time zone thing could be minor, but generally means lower scoring. This game could be a 9-3 Jets victory. I wouldn't be afraid to put him in my lineup if my other options were Golden Tate or Doug Baldwin, but I've got better alternatives, so I'm benching him.
 
'spodog said:
'Time Kibitzer said:
- Comartie

- DX posted a donut last week

- SD flying across country against 3 time zones

- Cromartie

- Rivers has a tendency to lose his cool against pressure DEF on the road

- No Malcolm Floyd

- Cromartie

I think he's on my bench in the most important week of the season
Besides Cromartie, I don't see on what basis any of that is supposed to be a deterrent for starting Danario. Danario's stats in games played 3 time zones away from SD are spectacular, as are his numbers when SD is facing pressure DEFs on the road. No Malcolm Floyd could just as easily be to Danario's benefit as it could his detriment. Yes Danario put up a donut last week, but so far that's the outlier, not studly performances from him.

Again, obviously the Jets have one of the best pass defenses in the league which is a legitimate concern, but there's little evidence that any of that other stuff you mentioned are reasons for concern.
For me, Cromartie is enough. The other factors are additional intangibles that support the conclusion to bench him. I'm not sure what evidence you'd want to go look for. Alexander doesn't have a long enough track record in the NFL to really study a lot of stats, so I've got to go on intangibles and gut.

I've personally seen Rivers blow up on the road (both in person and on TV) when the pressure gets to him many times. It gets ugly quickly when he does. Screaming on the sideline, erratic passes, etc. That's not a DX factor, it's a Rivers tendency.

The time zone thing could be minor, but generally means lower scoring. This game could be a 9-3 Jets victory.

I wouldn't be afraid to put him in my lineup if my other options were Golden Tate or Doug Baldwin, but I've got better alternatives, so I'm benching him.
You know, the tangible kind based on data, and not the intangible kind based on gut feels and perceived trends. Just because there's not a huge sample size doesn't mean you should completely ignore the data you do have. Your anecdotal evidence of seeing Rivers "blow up" is skewing your perception of him from reality. This season, Rivers' numbers on the road are actually way better than his home numbers; on the road he's taken way less sacks, has a way better TD/INT ratio, and has a considerably better yards-per-attempt. So your statement that Rivers has a tendency to blow up on the road doesn't really hold up to reality.

 
Dude I sat him for joe whatever...that nos wr that gets 1 target per game. Thomas? Can't even remember his name lol.

My bad.

 
DX targets:

Week 12: 8

Week 13: 10

Week 14: 11

Week 15: 3

Week 16: 6

Any guesses about Week 17 @ home vs. the Raiders? I'd love to start him with confidence but can't afford another 3 target week.

 
DX targets:Week 12: 8Week 13: 10Week 14: 11Week 15: 3Week 16: 6Any guesses about Week 17 @ home vs. the Raiders? I'd love to start him with confidence but can't afford another 3 target week.
at home vs the #21 pass defense, I'd start him. The last 4 games were all against higher ranked defenses.I'm seeing him ranked around #16 on the WR charts this week.
 
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The Bills brought him in for a tryout after David Nelson went down for the season but they chose not to sign him. Of course 30 other teams in theory could have signed him as well but in hindsight it doesn't look real good for Buffalo. I guess they were too enamored with the likes of Ruvell Martin to bother signing DX.

 
Suggests the Chargers like him a bit...

(Rotoworld) The Chargers are expected to assign impending restricted free agent WR Danario Alexander with a tender "as high as the first round" this offseason. Analysis: A first-round tender would give San Diego the right of first refusal should another team try to sign Alexander to a multi-year deal, and a first-round pick as compensation should that team formally acquire Alexander. In other words, it would lock Alexander into being a Charger in 2013. The price of first-round restricted tenders in 2013 is expected to be an affordable $2.879 million.
 
Suggests the Chargers like him a bit...

(Rotoworld) The Chargers are expected to assign impending restricted free agent WR Danario Alexander with a tender "as high as the first round" this offseason. Analysis: A first-round tender would give San Diego the right of first refusal should another team try to sign Alexander to a multi-year deal, and a first-round pick as compensation should that team formally acquire Alexander. In other words, it would lock Alexander into being a Charger in 2013. The price of first-round restricted tenders in 2013 is expected to be an affordable $2.879 million.
That sucks. Vikings could sure use a guy like this.
 
(TheHuddle) The San Diego Chargers have offered restricted free-agent WR Danario Alexander the lowest tender. He would receive a one-year, $1.323 million contract if he signed the tender. Analysis: Looks as if the Chargers' new regime isn't sold on Alexander as their top receiver. Given his injury history, however, other teams may be equally as tentative in signing him so there's not much risk involved. The low tender could also suggests the Chargers plan to dip into this year's deep class of receivers on one of the first two days of the draft.

So what do we make of this? Has anyone heard anything on him lately?

 
(TheHuddle) The San Diego Chargers have offered restricted free-agent WR Danario Alexander the lowest tender. He would receive a one-year, $1.323 million contract if he signed the tender. Analysis: Looks as if the Chargers' new regime isn't sold on Alexander as their top receiver. Given his injury history, however, other teams may be equally as tentative in signing him so there's not much risk involved. The low tender could also suggests the Chargers plan to dip into this year's deep class of receivers on one of the first two days of the draft.So what do we make of this? Has anyone heard anything on him lately?
Gotta be the knees. Too bad because he's actually a pretty good WR.
 
I think SD is playing possum. They want to scare off teams by acting like they don't care if he's signed. They want others to think, "Surely if SD trusted his knees they would've tendered him higher." I'm guessing SD matches any offers or straight gets him cheap without having to compete for him.

It's a shame as I wish the Vikings would take a flyer on him. Great thread title as "Lottery Ticket" says it all. Didn't the other teams watch him last year? Little risk, high reward.

 

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