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[DYNASTY] 2009 Top 12 Rookie Rankings (1 Viewer)

As far as these 2nd tier guys, some clearly lack explosiveness (Massaquoi, Gibson, and Robiskie- although he's not as slow as some people think), and some just weren't very productive (Murphy, Williams). Normally, I'd lean toward the latter in a dynasty draft. Looking for excuses, I can only say that Florida and Penn State haven't had prolific passing QBs recently, but at the same time, I'm sure most of the hype we hear on these guys is based on the schools they went to.
Derrick Williams has been overhyped since high school, when he was an all-everything five star recruit. I've never been that impressed with him and I'll be surprised if he makes a dent in the NFL. He's like a much worse version of Ted Ginn.
 
As far as these 2nd tier guys, some clearly lack explosiveness (Massaquoi, Gibson, and Robiskie- although he's not as slow as some people think), and some just weren't very productive (Murphy, Williams). Normally, I'd lean toward the latter in a dynasty draft. Looking for excuses, I can only say that Florida and Penn State haven't had prolific passing QBs recently, but at the same time, I'm sure most of the hype we hear on these guys is based on the schools they went to.
Derrick Williams has been overhyped since high school, when he was an all-everything five star recruit. I've never been that impressed with him and I'll be surprised if he makes a dent in the NFL. He's like a much worse version of Ted Ginn.
He's one of my favorite PSU players, but I can't disagree. I think he's a great lesson in the differences in High School competition. He looked great, showing athleticism and lots of speed and quickness in HS. But the competetion wasn't that great. They weren't horrible, just not as good as in other parts of the country. Then he skipped the Army All-American game, which I think would have shown that he wasn't as quick as the other elite HS players. He's still a very good athlete and a smart football player. But I doubt he does much in the NFL.
 
WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.

 
EBF said:
aposulli said:
As far as these 2nd tier guys, some clearly lack explosiveness (Massaquoi, Gibson, and Robiskie- although he's not as slow as some people think), and some just weren't very productive (Murphy, Williams). Normally, I'd lean toward the latter in a dynasty draft. Looking for excuses, I can only say that Florida and Penn State haven't had prolific passing QBs recently, but at the same time, I'm sure most of the hype we hear on these guys is based on the schools they went to.
Derrick Williams has been overhyped since high school, when he was an all-everything five star recruit. I've never been that impressed with him and I'll be surprised if he makes a dent in the NFL. He's like a much worse version of Ted Ginn.
I strongly disagree, I see Josh Cribbs as his downside. He'll most likely be a better real player than fantasy, but I think this kid will do some special things at the next level.
 
WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.
Missed 2007 with an injured knee. Had a decent 2008 season, IMO, but UVA had QB issues too. I think he's someone to keep an eye on but certainly not an elite prospect.I would guess 4th-7th round depending on workouts.
 
WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.
He thinks he will be a first day pick. If he runs a 4.3 something he might be, but he wont, imo. Needs to work on route running and hands(though not bad), but has great game speed and explosiveness. He's a gamer, so Im thinking late 3rd-4th round is a possibility.A few reasons he is leaving is because he doesnt like Groh, has already graduated, bad QB play, the previously mentioned knee injury, and they are installing a new spread offense at UVA.
 
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WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.
He thinks he will be a first day pick. If he runs a 4.3 something he might be, but he wont, imo. Needs to work on route running and hands(though not bad), but has great game speed and explosiveness. He's a gamer, so Im thinking late 3rd-4th round is a possibility.A few reasons he is leaving is because he doesnt like Groh, has already graduated, bad QB play, the previously mentioned knee injury, and they are installing a new spread offense at UVA.
:shock:
 
WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.
He thinks he will be a first day pick. If he runs a 4.3 something he might be, but he wont, imo. Needs to work on route running and hands(though not bad), but has great game speed and explosiveness. He's a gamer, so Im thinking late 3rd-4th round is a possibility.

A few reasons he is leaving is because he doesnt like Groh, has already graduated, bad QB play, the previously mentioned knee injury, and they are installing a new spread offense at UVA.
You'd think a spread offense would help a WR.
 
WR Kevin Olgetree of UVA has declared, anybody have any thoughts on him? What round should he go in the draft, gotta plead ignorance on this one as I have never heard of this kid.
He thinks he will be a first day pick. If he runs a 4.3 something he might be, but he wont, imo. Needs to work on route running and hands(though not bad), but has great game speed and explosiveness. He's a gamer, so Im thinking late 3rd-4th round is a possibility.

A few reasons he is leaving is because he doesnt like Groh, has already graduated, bad QB play, the previously mentioned knee injury, and they are installing a new spread offense at UVA.
You'd think a spread offense would help a WR.
Doesn't help him get any bigger or faster. The NFL doesn't really care what kind of offense you played in college.
 
Terrelle Pryor looks like another overhyped recruiting bust. All athlete and no passer.
Terrelle Pryor is an absolutely dreadful passer. Good athlete, yes. Good QB, no.
He looked terrible. Maybe he'll get it together and become a great player like Vince Young did. Then again, maybe he should start learning how to beat the jam and run some routes.
What I thought was funny was how they hyped leading up to the game that both Pryor and Todd Boeckman would be on the field together like it was some kind of special ordeal....when all it was really to get Boeckman in there when there was a need to throw a pass longer than 15 yards.Yes, they threw a couple of fades to Pryor down near the end zone so it worked out that the 6'6" Pryor was up against some 5'9" DB, but 90% of the time Boeckman was in the game he was heaving bombs down the field because Pryor couldn't do that with any accuracy or velocity to save his life.
As much as I hate it as a hawkeye fan who must face him for 2-3 years, Pryor is a true freshman who was playing in his first BCS bowl...he has a ton of raw talent and tremendous potential, we can't forget he still has a min of 2 more years of college refining before he comes outIs Dez Bryant a true sophmore or redshirt? he is a beast on the field and would be in my top 5 WR if he was coming out.Lastly, sleeping on Donald Brown would be a mistake...I have read artisles on his ridiculous work ethic and the fact that he is earning a degree in strength training sure doesn't hurt
 
Terrelle Pryor looks like another overhyped recruiting bust. All athlete and no passer.
Terrelle Pryor is an absolutely dreadful passer. Good athlete, yes. Good QB, no.
He looked terrible. Maybe he'll get it together and become a great player like Vince Young did. Then again, maybe he should start learning how to beat the jam and run some routes.
What I thought was funny was how they hyped leading up to the game that both Pryor and Todd Boeckman would be on the field together like it was some kind of special ordeal....when all it was really to get Boeckman in there when there was a need to throw a pass longer than 15 yards.Yes, they threw a couple of fades to Pryor down near the end zone so it worked out that the 6'6" Pryor was up against some 5'9" DB, but 90% of the time Boeckman was in the game he was heaving bombs down the field because Pryor couldn't do that with any accuracy or velocity to save his life.
As much as I hate it as a hawkeye fan who must face him for 2-3 years, Pryor is a true freshman who was playing in his first BCS bowl...he has a ton of raw talent and tremendous potential, we can't forget he still has a min of 2 more years of college refining before he comes out
There is no amount of time that would refine Pryor's throwing ability enough to make him a legit NFL prospect. Just not going to happen.Pat White (West Virginia) is a MUCH BETTER passer than Pryor would ever be able to be and scouts aren't even considering him as an NFL QB. If you can't throw a decent ball as a Freshman in college, there's no way to improve that enough in 2-3 years where he would be NFL capable.Pryor is a tremendous athlete and playmaker. He's not an NFL calibre QB.
 
Terrelle Pryor looks like another overhyped recruiting bust. All athlete and no passer.
Terrelle Pryor is an absolutely dreadful passer. Good athlete, yes. Good QB, no.
He looked terrible. Maybe he'll get it together and become a great player like Vince Young did. Then again, maybe he should start learning how to beat the jam and run some routes.
What I thought was funny was how they hyped leading up to the game that both Pryor and Todd Boeckman would be on the field together like it was some kind of special ordeal....when all it was really to get Boeckman in there when there was a need to throw a pass longer than 15 yards.Yes, they threw a couple of fades to Pryor down near the end zone so it worked out that the 6'6" Pryor was up against some 5'9" DB, but 90% of the time Boeckman was in the game he was heaving bombs down the field because Pryor couldn't do that with any accuracy or velocity to save his life.
As much as I hate it as a hawkeye fan who must face him for 2-3 years, Pryor is a true freshman who was playing in his first BCS bowl...he has a ton of raw talent and tremendous potential, we can't forget he still has a min of 2 more years of college refining before he comes out
There is no amount of time that would refine Pryor's throwing ability enough to make him a legit NFL prospect. Just not going to happen.Pat White (West Virginia) is a MUCH BETTER passer than Pryor would ever be able to be and scouts aren't even considering him as an NFL QB. If you can't throw a decent ball as a Freshman in college, there's no way to improve that enough in 2-3 years where he would be NFL capable.Pryor is a tremendous athlete and playmaker. He's not an NFL calibre QB.
To be fair, White doesn't have NFL QB size. Prior has great size and could develop into a better thrower than White. Lets all remember the guy was in High School 9 months ago.
 
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aposulli said:
offdee said:
HawkeyeChief said:
Terrelle Pryor looks like another overhyped recruiting bust. All athlete and no passer.
Terrelle Pryor is an absolutely dreadful passer. Good athlete, yes. Good QB, no.
He looked terrible. Maybe he'll get it together and become a great player like Vince Young did. Then again, maybe he should start learning how to beat the jam and run some routes.
What I thought was funny was how they hyped leading up to the game that both Pryor and Todd Boeckman would be on the field together like it was some kind of special ordeal....when all it was really to get Boeckman in there when there was a need to throw a pass longer than 15 yards.Yes, they threw a couple of fades to Pryor down near the end zone so it worked out that the 6'6" Pryor was up against some 5'9" DB, but 90% of the time Boeckman was in the game he was heaving bombs down the field because Pryor couldn't do that with any accuracy or velocity to save his life.
As much as I hate it as a hawkeye fan who must face him for 2-3 years, Pryor is a true freshman who was playing in his first BCS bowl...he has a ton of raw talent and tremendous potential, we can't forget he still has a min of 2 more years of college refining before he comes out
There is no amount of time that would refine Pryor's throwing ability enough to make him a legit NFL prospect. Just not going to happen.Pat White (West Virginia) is a MUCH BETTER passer than Pryor would ever be able to be and scouts aren't even considering him as an NFL QB. If you can't throw a decent ball as a Freshman in college, there's no way to improve that enough in 2-3 years where he would be NFL capable.Pryor is a tremendous athlete and playmaker. He's not an NFL calibre QB.
To be fair, White doesn't have NFL QB size. Prior has great size and could develop into a better thrower than White. Lets all remember the guy was in High School 9 months ago.
White is 6'3". Yes, he's skinny but he has plenty enough height, combined with his mobility to be an NFL QB. White doesn't have the mechanics, passing field awareness, accuracy or velocity that an NFL QB needs which is why he's not being considered. Pryor is worse in all of those categories than White is.
 
aposulli said:
offdee said:
HawkeyeChief said:
Terrelle Pryor looks like another overhyped recruiting bust. All athlete and no passer.
Terrelle Pryor is an absolutely dreadful passer. Good athlete, yes. Good QB, no.
He looked terrible. Maybe he'll get it together and become a great player like Vince Young did. Then again, maybe he should start learning how to beat the jam and run some routes.
What I thought was funny was how they hyped leading up to the game that both Pryor and Todd Boeckman would be on the field together like it was some kind of special ordeal....when all it was really to get Boeckman in there when there was a need to throw a pass longer than 15 yards.Yes, they threw a couple of fades to Pryor down near the end zone so it worked out that the 6'6" Pryor was up against some 5'9" DB, but 90% of the time Boeckman was in the game he was heaving bombs down the field because Pryor couldn't do that with any accuracy or velocity to save his life.
As much as I hate it as a hawkeye fan who must face him for 2-3 years, Pryor is a true freshman who was playing in his first BCS bowl...he has a ton of raw talent and tremendous potential, we can't forget he still has a min of 2 more years of college refining before he comes out
There is no amount of time that would refine Pryor's throwing ability enough to make him a legit NFL prospect. Just not going to happen.Pat White (West Virginia) is a MUCH BETTER passer than Pryor would ever be able to be and scouts aren't even considering him as an NFL QB. If you can't throw a decent ball as a Freshman in college, there's no way to improve that enough in 2-3 years where he would be NFL capable.Pryor is a tremendous athlete and playmaker. He's not an NFL calibre QB.
To be fair, White doesn't have NFL QB size. Prior has great size and could develop into a better thrower than White. Lets all remember the guy was in High School 9 months ago.
White is 6'3". Yes, he's skinny but he has plenty enough height, combined with his mobility to be an NFL QB. White doesn't have the mechanics, passing field awareness, accuracy or velocity that an NFL QB needs which is why he's not being considered. Pryor is worse in all of those categories than White is.
At this point, sure Pryor is worse, but he's got time is all I'm saying. White is not 6'3" from what I can see.
 
Where does the pool stand on Maclin vs. Harvin? Granted, it's early, but after seeing smaller guys like Jackson, Royal and Avery excel this year and seeing a bit more of Harvin's big play ability and strength (Royal clone?), I'm impressed. It seems that most rankings have Crabtree as the clearcut WR1 and Maclin WR2...but Harvin really closed the gap on Maclin, imo. Anyone else care to compare and contrast in terms of who they like better?

 
Where does the pool stand on Maclin vs. Harvin? Granted, it's early, but after seeing smaller guys like Jackson, Royal and Avery excel this year and seeing a bit more of Harvin's big play ability and strength (Royal clone?), I'm impressed. It seems that most rankings have Crabtree as the clearcut WR1 and Maclin WR2...but Harvin really closed the gap on Maclin, imo. Anyone else care to compare and contrast in terms of who they like better?
Not a whole lot of a difference. Maclin is a bit taller. Harvin a bit better of a runner in the open field. Maclin has to be the more polished route-runner at this point in his career given the offenses they each were a part of in college. Also I'd take Maclin with the ball in the air. Harvin will have a career similar to Royal for sure.
 
The pool seems to be A LOT higher on Shonn Greene than just about all of the mocks I've seen...what's the true story on this kid and where he slots amongst the "value" positions of RB and WR? By the comments here, it seems that the majority of people are believers...but will he really be a top 5-6 dynasty pick?

 
but will he really be a top 5-6 dynasty pick?
I think so. He's probably not going to be a great big play threat at the next level, but he's a fluid runner with a compact build. Good power, good balance, adequate speed. He could be a Rudi Johnson type for an NFL team next season.
 
The pool seems to be A LOT higher on Shonn Greene than just about all of the mocks I've seen...what's the true story on this kid and where he slots amongst the "value" positions of RB and WR? By the comments here, it seems that the majority of people are believers...but will he really be a top 5-6 dynasty pick?
He's definitely worth a top 5-6 dynasty pick, imo. I think at this point i rank him higher than Beanie Wells. Beanie is too vertical when he runs, has poor jukes/lateral movement, doesn't have great quickness, and has injury problems. Greene runs low, has fluid hips which help his lateral movement and ability to break tackles. Though Beanie likely has more straight line speed than Greene does. Most of the tackles that Beanie breaks are via stiff arm, he doesn't really bounce off of defenders as much as i would like. Greene bounces off defenders all the time. Right now i think i rank Greene 3rd for the incoming RB class behind Moreno and Mccoy.
 
Right now i think i rank Greene 3rd for the incoming RB class behind Moreno and Mccoy.
That sounds about right to me. Those are probably the three safest RBs in this crop.I like the way Moreno runs, but he doesn't have much speed. McCoy could be a Westbrook type, but has a lanky build and lacks power. Greene is what he is: a blue collar grinder who should be able to step in and handle 300+ carries. I need to see where they land before I definitively rank them. McCoy would be upgraded in PPR while Greene would be downgraded.
 
EBF, I noticed a few pages back you were one of the few that liked Harvin more than Maclin. Any additional thoughts you care to share on that? I haven't seen enough of them, but I think I'm warming up to Harvin.

 
The pool seems to be A LOT higher on Shonn Greene than just about all of the mocks I've seen...what's the true story on this kid and where he slots amongst the "value" positions of RB and WR? By the comments here, it seems that the majority of people are believers...but will he really be a top 5-6 dynasty pick?
He's definitely worth a top 5-6 dynasty pick, imo. I think at this point i rank him higher than Beanie Wells. Beanie is too vertical when he runs, has poor jukes/lateral movement, doesn't have great quickness, and has injury problems. Greene runs low, has fluid hips which help his lateral movement and ability to break tackles. Though Beanie likely has more straight line speed than Greene does. Most of the tackles that Beanie breaks are via stiff arm, he doesn't really bounce off of defenders as much as i would like. Greene bounces off defenders all the time. Right now i think i rank Greene 3rd for the incoming RB class behind Moreno and Mccoy.
Two Big10 backs amongst the top 5 fantasy picks...that can't have a happy ending! :goodposting:
 
The pool seems to be A LOT higher on Shonn Greene than just about all of the mocks I've seen...what's the true story on this kid and where he slots amongst the "value" positions of RB and WR? By the comments here, it seems that the majority of people are believers...but will he really be a top 5-6 dynasty pick?
He's definitely worth a top 5-6 dynasty pick, imo. I think at this point i rank him higher than Beanie Wells. Beanie is too vertical when he runs, has poor jukes/lateral movement, doesn't have great quickness, and has injury problems. Greene runs low, has fluid hips which help his lateral movement and ability to break tackles. Though Beanie likely has more straight line speed than Greene does. Most of the tackles that Beanie breaks are via stiff arm, he doesn't really bounce off of defenders as much as i would like. Greene bounces off defenders all the time. Right now i think i rank Greene 3rd for the incoming RB class behind Moreno and Mccoy.
Two Big10 backs amongst the top 5 fantasy picks...that can't have a happy ending! :goodposting:
I'm not a big fan of Beanie Wells. I won't be the one drafting him in the top 5 in any dynasty leagues anyway :shrug:
 
EBF, I noticed a few pages back you were one of the few that liked Harvin more than Maclin. Any additional thoughts you care to share on that? I haven't seen enough of them, but I think I'm warming up to Harvin.
Harvin is one of the top players on my board in PPR leagues. I think people are letting his gimmicky college usage distract them from his obvious potential as a pure WR at the next level. He has a great first step, he's a smooth runner, he's a natural hands catcher, he's lethal after the catch, and he's a phenomenal overall athlete with the physical tools needed to excel in the NFL. He seems like one of the safest picks in this draft from an FF perspective. It's fitting that he's entering the league the year after Eddie Royal and DeSean Jackson because he reminds me of each of them in different ways. Like Royal, he's a strength/speed freak of nature whose poor usage in college obscured very underrated pure WR skills. Like Jackson, he's a lightning quick speedster who's dangerous every time he touches the rock. Jeremy Maclin is no slouch and I think he has the potential to become a very good player in his own right, but I prefer Harvin because there's a little more of a "wow" factor athletically and he's more put together.
 
EBF, I noticed a few pages back you were one of the few that liked Harvin more than Maclin. Any additional thoughts you care to share on that? I haven't seen enough of them, but I think I'm warming up to Harvin.
Count me as another who is very high on Harvin.
 
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EBF, I noticed a few pages back you were one of the few that liked Harvin more than Maclin. Any additional thoughts you care to share on that? I haven't seen enough of them, but I think I'm warming up to Harvin.
Harvin is one of the top players on my board in PPR leagues. I think people are letting his gimmicky college usage distract them from his obvious potential as a pure WR at the next level. He has a great first step, he's a smooth runner, he's a natural hands catcher, he's lethal after the catch, and he's a phenomenal overall athlete with the physical tools needed to excel in the NFL. He seems like one of the safest picks in this draft from an FF perspective. It's fitting that he's entering the league the year after Eddie Royal and DeSean Jackson because he reminds me of each of them in different ways. Like Royal, he's a strength/speed freak of nature whose poor usage in college obscured very underrated pure WR skills. Like Jackson, he's a lightning quick speedster who's dangerous every time he touches the rock. Jeremy Maclin is no slouch and I think he has the potential to become a very good player in his own right, but I prefer Harvin because there's a little more of a "wow" factor athletically and he's more put together.
D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
 
D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. People are looking at the stats/usage and not the athlete. Eddie Royal never had more than 496 receiving yards in a college season. Did that prevent him from becoming the top rookie WR?Forget about how Florida used Harvin. It's irrelevant. What matters is whether or not he has the goods to play WR in the NFL. I say yes.
Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
I think Harvin can become a Santana Moss/Eddie Royal/Laveranues Coles type, which would be a great return on your investment if you take him roughly near where his ADP will be (probably around 1.05-1.10 in PPR leagues).
 
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D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. People are looking at the stats/usage and not looking at the athlete. Eddie Royal never had more than 496 receiving yards in a college season. Did that prevent him from becoming the top rookie WR this year?Forget about how Florida used him. It's irrelevant. What matters is whether or not he has the goods to play WR in the NFL. I say yes.
Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
I think Harvin can become a Santana Moss/Eddie Royal/Laveranues Coles type, which would be a great return on your investment if you take him roughly near where his ADP will be (probably around 1.05-1.10 in PPR leagues).
I'm basing him more on what he brings to the table as a WR, i just pointed out the stats to show jackson had showed he was capable of big receiving numbers.Is Harvin? I don't think he's polished enough at WR, at least at the moment he isn't. Can he develop into a great WR? I would say no way he becomes a fitz/aj/cj type, and would be lucky to have Coles/Moss type production as far as receiving stats go. If his upside is Coles then i think that just reinforces the point that Harvin isn't a great prospect as far as FF is concerned.Is he worth a midish/late 1st round pick, sure, but only because all midish/late picks are longshots to become very useful in FF unless it's a QB because they always fall in dynasty drafts.I'm not saying he's a bad pick or prospect, i'm just saying he isn't a GREAT prospect which is what many are saying. He has a limited upside IMO, which caps his value for FF.
 
I have to agree with everyone hear saying not to sleep on Donald Brown. I go to school with the guy and am pretty close friends with a few kids on the team and they have nothing bad to say about him at all. As has already been said, the guy is a workout warrior and can put up 600+ in squats and squats the most on the team. He will do great in the combine for any strength numbers and if he can put up 4.45 or lower in the 40 then he won't be a sleeper anymore.

 
I have to agree with everyone hear saying not to sleep on Donald Brown. I go to school with the guy and am pretty close friends with a few kids on the team and they have nothing bad to say about him at all. As has already been said, the guy is a workout warrior and can put up 600+ in squats and squats the most on the team. He will do great in the combine for any strength numbers and if he can put up 4.45 or lower in the 40 then he won't be a sleeper anymore.
squat and bench numbers don't mean much to me really. What I see on the field is a decent runner, but not someone who has enough of the "it" factor to have staying power in the NFL. He does many things good, but not much is great about his game. To continue to be a factor year in and year out in the NFL you have to have an aspect or two about you that are great.He may have a year or two where he turns some heads but will most likely fall to the wayside to more talented rushers just as quick. (think Mike Anderson, Reuben Droughns and Olandis Gary career path type)
 
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D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. People are looking at the stats/usage and not looking at the athlete. Eddie Royal never had more than 496 receiving yards in a college season. Did that prevent him from becoming the top rookie WR this year?Forget about how Florida used him. It's irrelevant. What matters is whether or not he has the goods to play WR in the NFL. I say yes.
Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
I think Harvin can become a Santana Moss/Eddie Royal/Laveranues Coles type, which would be a great return on your investment if you take him roughly near where his ADP will be (probably around 1.05-1.10 in PPR leagues).
I'm basing him more on what he brings to the table as a WR, i just pointed out the stats to show jackson had showed he was capable of big receiving numbers.Is Harvin? I don't think he's polished enough at WR, at least at the moment he isn't. Can he develop into a great WR? I would say no way he becomes a fitz/aj/cj type, and would be lucky to have Coles/Moss type production as far as receiving stats go. If his upside is Coles then i think that just reinforces the point that Harvin isn't a great prospect as far as FF is concerned.Is he worth a midish/late 1st round pick, sure, but only because all midish/late picks are longshots to become very useful in FF unless it's a QB because they always fall in dynasty drafts.I'm not saying he's a bad pick or prospect, i'm just saying he isn't a GREAT prospect which is what many are saying. He has a limited upside IMO, which caps his value for FF.
EBF is right on the money on this one. You're letting highlights of some of the running plays he made on ESPN dictate your judgement on him. If you don't think Percy is a great WR, when playing WR and running NFL style WR routes, then you haven't really watched him play. You're letting the fact that he's so good with the ball in his hands that Florida decided he'd do a better job getting a handoff than even their elite RB recruits would cloud your judgement.It's too bad that Florida doesn't have a RB as good with the ball as Harvin is so sportscenter would show you more highlights of his 40 yard TD receptions rather than the 60 yard TD runs that overshadow them.
 
D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. People are looking at the stats/usage and not looking at the athlete. Eddie Royal never had more than 496 receiving yards in a college season. Did that prevent him from becoming the top rookie WR this year?Forget about how Florida used him. It's irrelevant. What matters is whether or not he has the goods to play WR in the NFL. I say yes.
Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
I think Harvin can become a Santana Moss/Eddie Royal/Laveranues Coles type, which would be a great return on your investment if you take him roughly near where his ADP will be (probably around 1.05-1.10 in PPR leagues).
I'm basing him more on what he brings to the table as a WR, i just pointed out the stats to show jackson had showed he was capable of big receiving numbers.Is Harvin? I don't think he's polished enough at WR, at least at the moment he isn't. Can he develop into a great WR? I would say no way he becomes a fitz/aj/cj type, and would be lucky to have Coles/Moss type production as far as receiving stats go. If his upside is Coles then i think that just reinforces the point that Harvin isn't a great prospect as far as FF is concerned.Is he worth a midish/late 1st round pick, sure, but only because all midish/late picks are longshots to become very useful in FF unless it's a QB because they always fall in dynasty drafts.I'm not saying he's a bad pick or prospect, i'm just saying he isn't a GREAT prospect which is what many are saying. He has a limited upside IMO, which caps his value for FF.
EBF is right on the money on this one. You're letting highlights of some of the running plays he made on ESPN dictate your judgement on him. If you don't think Percy is a great WR, when playing WR and running NFL style WR routes, then you haven't really watched him play. You're letting the fact that he's so good with the ball in his hands that Florida decided he'd do a better job getting a handoff than even their elite RB recruits would cloud your judgement.It's too bad that Florida doesn't have a RB as good with the ball as Harvin is so sportscenter would show you more highlights of his 40 yard TD receptions rather than the 60 yard TD runs that overshadow them.
I've seen at least 50% of his games over the past 2 seasons. I'm not basing anything on highlight reels.Doesn't mean i'm right, but my evaluation has nothing to do with youtube clips.
 
D.Jackson had much much better receiving stats in college then Harvin ever did. He had a 1,000 yard season as a sophomore and was a ton more polished at WR then Harvin coming into the NFL.
This is exactly what I'm talking about. People are looking at the stats/usage and not looking at the athlete. Eddie Royal never had more than 496 receiving yards in a college season. Did that prevent him from becoming the top rookie WR this year?Forget about how Florida used him. It's irrelevant. What matters is whether or not he has the goods to play WR in the NFL. I say yes.
Harvin won't have near the rushing numbers in the NFL and i don't see him being able to put up big enough receiving stats to be anything more than at best a #2 fantasy WR throughout his career, more likely a #3 or #4 for fantasy purposes.No way i would touch high in rookie drafts.
I think Harvin can become a Santana Moss/Eddie Royal/Laveranues Coles type, which would be a great return on your investment if you take him roughly near where his ADP will be (probably around 1.05-1.10 in PPR leagues).
I'm basing him more on what he brings to the table as a WR, i just pointed out the stats to show jackson had showed he was capable of big receiving numbers.Is Harvin? I don't think he's polished enough at WR, at least at the moment he isn't. Can he develop into a great WR? I would say no way he becomes a fitz/aj/cj type, and would be lucky to have Coles/Moss type production as far as receiving stats go. If his upside is Coles then i think that just reinforces the point that Harvin isn't a great prospect as far as FF is concerned.Is he worth a midish/late 1st round pick, sure, but only because all midish/late picks are longshots to become very useful in FF unless it's a QB because they always fall in dynasty drafts.I'm not saying he's a bad pick or prospect, i'm just saying he isn't a GREAT prospect which is what many are saying. He has a limited upside IMO, which caps his value for FF.
EBF is right on the money on this one. You're letting highlights of some of the running plays he made on ESPN dictate your judgement on him. If you don't think Percy is a great WR, when playing WR and running NFL style WR routes, then you haven't really watched him play. You're letting the fact that he's so good with the ball in his hands that Florida decided he'd do a better job getting a handoff than even their elite RB recruits would cloud your judgement.It's too bad that Florida doesn't have a RB as good with the ball as Harvin is so sportscenter would show you more highlights of his 40 yard TD receptions rather than the 60 yard TD runs that overshadow them.
What NFL style WR routes has Harvin shown he can run? I've watched at least half of the Florida games and I've failed to see this. EBF tried to site some but they were simple quick slants with no disruption at the LOS and again it was more of a tremendous athlete making great plays with the ball in his hands. I think ILUVBEER99 is right on the money here and you guys are the ones who are seeing what you want to see. The offense at Florida just doesn't allow him to show NFL-style WR skills IMO. That doesn't mean he doesn't have them or can't learn them. We are just saying he will be a bit of a project. The best comparison for Harvin as a prospect is Hester IMO.
 
Fair enough.

Also, FWIW to the folks that were seeing one of their first tastes of Harvin last night, take note that his 171 yard, 1 touchdown performance against the #1 team in the country all came while playing on a fractured ankle, not a sprained ankle as they had originally let on.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/blogs/content...ured_ankle.html
FWIW, I've always contested that I love Harvin as a prospect and as a player. I just struggle to get high on him as a fantasy player because I think he will struggle to find an "identity" in the NFL. I'd love for me Steelers to draft him, but not so sure I'd love to be drafting him personally if that makes sense.
 
What NFL style WR routes has Harvin shown he can run? I've watched at least half of the Florida games and I've failed to see this. EBF tried to site some but they were simple quick slants with no disruption at the LOS and again it was more of a tremendous athlete making great plays with the ball in his hands. I think ILUVBEER99 is right on the money here and you guys are the ones who are seeing what you want to see. The offense at Florida just doesn't allow him to show NFL-style WR skills IMO. That doesn't mean he doesn't have them or can't learn them. We are just saying he will be a bit of a project. The best comparison for Harvin as a prospect is Hester IMO.
What NFL style routes hasn't he run? A deep out is the only one I can think of. You mentioned slants already, he's run a bevy of deep ins (basically the money route in the NFL). Last night when UF went 5-wide OU tried to rush 6 and man up the other 5 at first. It didn't take long for Percy to come off the bump, catch a shallow cross and turn it into a 17 yard gain before OU had to back off that gameplan.He ran corners early on in his career, though they haven't run many this year. No one can cover him on a post, and if Tebow hadn't missed when he burnt the DB by 6 yards on the 3rd to last play of that Ole Miss game then Florida would have just finished an undefeated season. And he has absolutely torched players on streaks and hitch and go's (again, seen last night on that first drive of the second half where Tebow overthrew him on what would've been a 70 yard TD).Granted, he doesn't do it as much as other guys because of the style of offense that they've run, but he's done it enough to convince me. Not to mention, that's probably the easiest thing for a WR to learn. His ball skills are probably the most underrated out there because he's so fast that guys usually aren't close enough to him to show how well he plays the ball with a defender right on him, but when they're there he does it as naturally as anyone coming out this year.We're just seeing different things I guess. Not the first time two people on this board have, and only time will tell.I do think that Harvin is a bit of a risk because he always seems to be dinged up, and it's always his legs that are dinged, which doesn't work well for a speed WR. Even if he ends up working out well in the pros, I could see him being a bit of a fantasy headache as the guy who plays well for 4 weeks, then tweaks an ankle, sits out two weeks and then rushes back only to play gimpy for 4 more weeks and be unproductive while the ankle continues to heal up.
 
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Route running really isn't that complicated. If you're a phenomenal athlete with great speed, great quickness, a smooth stride, and great football talent then you can run routes. Once again, I'd point to Eddie Royal. Not a very accomplished college WR, but had all the physical and football skills needed to play the position at the pro level. Harvin is cut from the same cloth.

To me, he's actually one of the less enigmatic prospects in this class. I think I have a pretty good idea of what he'll be in the NFL.

 
Route running really isn't that complicated. If you're a phenomenal athlete with great speed, great quickness, a smooth stride, and great football talent then you can run routes. Once again, I'd point to Eddie Royal. Not a very accomplished college WR, but had all the physical and football skills needed to play the position at the pro level. Harvin is cut from the same cloth. To me, he's actually one of the less enigmatic prospects in this class. I think I have a pretty good idea of what he'll be in the NFL.
It's kind of ironic that guys like Ginn got hung around here because he wasn't a polished route runner and yet Harvin gets a free pass. Ginn proved a LOT more as a WR in college too.
 
Harvin seems like he's always dinged up, but he also runs a lot of pure running plays out of the backfield. For a skinny WR, he's taken a lot of hits from big ole LB's and DLmen over his UF career. Somehow, I doubt his NFL team will run him 8 times a game from the backfield.

Kid's for real. Might take a year or two, but he's for real.

 
Here are some good highlight packages that showcase his skills. There are a lot of running plays here, but also some routes.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1ZGxEZfOvk...feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A34up1pGP84...feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJOzQSuW6ag...feature=related

I don't know about anyone else, but I've seen enough. Guy is very fast, very explosive, and very smooth. His short stride will allow him to maintain his speed out of his cuts when running routes and his upper body strength and quickness will allow him to beat the jam.

You don't see him skying over defenders to make leaping catches, but that doesn't mean he can't play an Eddie Royal or Wes Welker type role for someone. And if you think he lacks upside, watch the play starting at 0:40 in this clip:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9jsSUWNW0E...re=channel_page

This guy is an animal.

 
Route running really isn't that complicated. If you're a phenomenal athlete with great speed, great quickness, a smooth stride, and great football talent then you can run routes. Once again, I'd point to Eddie Royal. Not a very accomplished college WR, but had all the physical and football skills needed to play the position at the pro level. Harvin is cut from the same cloth. To me, he's actually one of the less enigmatic prospects in this class. I think I have a pretty good idea of what he'll be in the NFL.
It's kind of ironic that guys like Ginn got hung around here because he wasn't a polished route runner and yet Harvin gets a free pass. Ginn proved a LOT more as a WR in college too.
I don't think Ginn and Harvin have much in common aside from speed.Ginn is a lanky long strider with built up speed. In terms of body type and playing style, he's a lot closer to Troy Williamson than he is to Percy Harvin (but with much better hands). Long, loping stride and a very thin frame. He might have the best top speed of any WR in the NFL, but his game is pure speed and he really isn't built to operate in the short area. Harvin is thicker with shorter legs and a smoother stride. I think he has a lot more potential as a route runner. When I watch him play, I don't see Ted Ginn at all. I see traces of Eddie Royal and Santana Moss: shorter WRs who have the lateral quickness and choppy steps to run all the underneath routes with precision.
 
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I do think that Harvin is a bit of a risk because he always seems to be dinged up, and it's always his legs that are dinged, which doesn't work well for a speed WR. Even if he ends up working out well in the pros, I could see him being a bit of a fantasy headache as the guy who plays well for 4 weeks, then tweaks an ankle, sits out two weeks and then rushes back only to play gimpy for 4 more weeks and be unproductive while the ankle continues to heal up.
:no: The next Reggie Bush?
 

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