Blick
Footballguy
I can only add…No, not a chance in hell, never, nada, no way…..how else can I say it!
never, ever, ever. Put your calculator away on this one.
Just enjoy Pitts for the next 10 years.
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I can only add…No, not a chance in hell, never, nada, no way…..how else can I say it!
That was my gut feeling too, but appreciate the affirmation from you & @GallyNo, I wouldn't. That's not even a calc trade, really. No way do those pieces suffice for Pitts.
Haha - yeah, well, I have a full rebuild going and every player has a price. If I get a godfather offer, I might consider it.I can only add…
never, ever, ever. Put your calculator away on this one.
Just enjoy Pitts for the next 10 years.
The way I see the TE landscape is that there are ton of guys like 'Muth. You may not know who they are from year to year but those TE5-10 guys are all very similar so their value is pretty low to me in the grand scheme of things.If the 2nd was a 1st, would that change the callous for you? Or still not enough?
I’m feeling like we’ve hit the point where Pitts’ value may be at a peak. Starting to wonder how long it’s going to take for him to realize his potential on a team that’s kind of a hot mess. Especially since it’s not TE-P.
I respect your opinions on this Forum, but not even a 2023 1st would do it for me. Enjoy what you have ( in life and Pitts)That was my gut feeling too, but appreciate the affirmation from you & @Gally
I might see if I can turn the 2nd into a 1st.
my initial offer was Garrett Wilson, ‘23 mid-1st & ‘Muth and he countered.
i felt like that was a pretty fair deal. I’mma stick to my guns, but appreciate the input, thanks!
I’d be looking for the equivalent of 3 firsts. Even then I don’t know if I’d do it. Your initial offer wasn’t terrible.Haha - yeah, well, I have a full rebuild going and every player has a price. If I get a godfather offer, I might consider it.
clearly this ain’t that.![]()
Appreciate you talking me off the ledge. Still, Wilson/1.06-ish/‘Muth is like 2x 1sts and a replacement TE.I respect your opinions on this Forum, but not even a 2023 1st would do it for me. Enjoy what you have ( in life and Pitts)
I think you're lucky he turned down the deal, actually. I wouldn't accept that for Pitts. Unless you need bodies more than anything. If you told me a '22 1st, a '23 mid-first, and a '22 early second, I wouldn't accept that, I don't think. Maybe my valuation of Pitts is all out of whack, but that's what I think. He's at least as valuable as that, really, and I lean more valuable.That was my gut feeling too, but appreciate the affirmation from you & @Gally
I might see if I can turn the 2nd into a 1st.
my initial offer was Garrett Wilson, ‘23 mid-1st & ‘Muth and he countered.
i felt like that was a pretty fair deal. I’mma stick to my guns, but appreciate the input, thanks!
That’s what the calcs say he’s worth, but in reality I’m seeing more trades like what I offered. There’s a bit of a chasm between “on paper” value, and how much FF managers are willing to pay for him.I think you're lucky he turned down the deal, actually. I wouldn't accept that for Pitts. Unless you need bodies more than anything. If you told me a '22 1st, a '23 mid-first, and a '22 early second, I wouldn't accept that, I don't think. Maybe my valuation of Pitts is all out of whack, but that's what I think. He's at least as valuable as that, really, and I lean more valuable.
I think the 23 class is supposed to be significantly better at QB and RB, but how could it not be.Maybe the Wilson offer would have been beneficial. I don't really know. To me, a second is a total crapshoot so you're looking at Wilson in a Jets offense and a mid 2023 1st, and we're not even sure how good those guys are going to be. Starting to see chatter about the '23 class coming back to earth once you get past six or seven of them if it's a 1 QB league.
Always a consideration. Zeke is still worth a first in dynasty according to paper value. Good luck getting that.That’s what the calcs say he’s worth, but in reality I’m seeing more trades like what I offered. There’s a bit of a chasm between “on paper” value, and how much FF managers are willing to pay for him.
Oh yeah, no doubt. That's why I said after the first six or seven position guys, though it may even be more guys deep than that when it's all said and done. It may just be a dynamite first round for dynasty. But I've heard the chatter that it goes down a bit after that. Per Footballguys, they have said not to necessarily stock up on second rounders because it might not be that deep, and the individual reports on guys aren't as sterling as we thought. For instance, you have people claiming that Jaxon Smith-Njigba won't blaze the combine and will run around a 4.5 or so. And Bijan you have estimated at a 4.5 and doesn't have that breakaway speed others have, etc. Those are other peoples' claims, not mineFor a rebuild, the top of this draft isn’t that bad.
Can you say blunder? I never thought he'd only outbid me by two bucks so for me to go back over the top meant I wound up with the rook. I might eat that one. But I had money to burn, I guess, and nobody to really burn it on.Don't ask that guy. He pays $26 for DB's.....hahahahahaaaa
it’s a SF league, but I have the ‘23 class deeper than that. The RB class is spectacularly deep. Bijan at the top, clearly, but there’s a tier of Gibbs, Evans, Tucker, Bigsby, plus JSN & Boutte - that’s 7 right there. Plus Addison, Young, Stroud and maybe Richardson - and possibly guys like Rattler & Van Dyke. There are 3-4 other WR who could sneak up the board, and Michael Mayer is the elite TE.Starting to see chatter about the '23 class coming back to earth once you get past six or seven of them if it's a 1 QB league.
yeah, I’m not buying that. I’ve seen plenty of tape on Bijan and dude can fly. He’s broken away from defenses plenty. And through and over them. He’s a beast, he has burst and he has take it to the house speed. Oh yeah, and he can catch & run routes. I’m likely to have 4 of the first 5 picks, and Robinson is high on my list.And Bijan you have estimated at a 4.5 and doesn't have that breakaway speed others have, etc.
Allow me to make you feel a lot better.Can you say blunder? I never thought he'd only outbid me by two bucks so for me to go back over the top meant I wound up with the rook. I might eat that one. But I had money to burn, I guess, and nobody to really burn it on.
Bad move.
This is not close to good value for Pitts. Whichever calculators are saying they prefer the other side or its close get rid of.In a 12 team PPR *non TE-P* (start 1 TE) would you take Christian Watson, Freiermouth & a ‘23 mid-2nd (6-7-8) for Kyle Pitts?
Caught with your hand in the cookie jar........hahahah. Cookie Monster!!!!! Yum!Can you say blunder? I never thought he'd only outbid me by two bucks so for me to go back over the top meant I wound up with the rook. I might eat that one. But I had money to burn, I guess, and nobody to really burn it on.
Bad move.
it’s a SF league, but I have the ‘23 class deeper than that. The RB class is spectacularly deep. Bijan at the top, clearly, but there’s a tier of Gibbs, Evans, Tucker, Bigsby, plus JSN & Boutte - that’s 7 right there. Plus Addison, Young, Stroud and maybe Richardson - and possibly guys like Rattler & Van Dyke. There are 3-4 other WR who could sneak up the board, and Michael Mayer is the elite TE.
that’s more than 6 for sure.
Me luv cookie. Watch Cross and Pierre Strong become untouchable pieces on my team.Caught with your hand in the cookie jar........hahahah. Cookie Monster!!!!! Yum!
dynasty 101 has Pitts at an absurd value.This is not close to good value for Pitts. Whichever calculators are saying they prefer the other side or its close get rid of
Keep Trade Cut also has the Wilson deal being ahead of Pitts by a decent margin and KTC usually values studs by way too much. I'm still inclined to really disagree with their valuation this time. I would have liked the Pitts side.dynasty 101 has Pitts at an absurd value.
To be clear, the calcs didn’t have this one that close. This was the counter. I’d asked for their 2023 1st (5-6-7), Garrett Wilson, and ‘Muth. Dynasty 101 had me losing by ~20%, Dynasty Dominator had me winning it by ~30%, which is why I posted the counter herr - to see if I was way off in my judgement or if the calcs were.
But the deal you quoted was the counter offer, not what I was asking for, and none of the calcs liked it.
I think this is your answer right hereI can only add…
never, ever, ever. Put your calculator away on this one.
Just enjoy Pitts for the next 10 years.
Keep Trade Cut also has the Wilson deal being ahead of Pitts by a decent margin and KTC usually values studs by way too much. I'm still inclined to really disagree with their valuation this time. I would have liked the Pitts side.
See, I feel like there’s a point where Pitts trade value vastly exceeds his real world value. And we may actually be at that point. His potential is worth more in assets than he can possibly deliver on that rebuilding ATL team.I think this is your answer right here
i doubt that very much. Those guys are pros.But I'll defer to you on this one since you're really up on this class and probably know the players better than even some of the writers who only dabble in the devy world do.
i did. What I’m saying is that they’re all wildly far apart on Pitts.Calculator nerds are the worst. They should serve as a soft baseline and you should use 3-4 to gauge different viewpoints. The people who decline and screen-share a picture of calc results are the nuts worst.
i have Brown as a hold. His value rock bottomed in BAL, and they never used him enough, or correctly, and I saw him as a bad fit with LJax regardless.——————
How are you valuing Marquise Brown? Is he a buy/hold/sell?
I’m high on Hill. I think his move to Miami is way overblown. The day I opined that here I noticed Joe Bryant’s email that evening said much the same. He’s going to be a focal point of that offense & they’re going to force feed him. As a mid-2nd he’s an absolute steal in redraft.What about Tyreek Hill and D. Adams? I don’t see either moves and when I do it’s for a 1st and 2nd.
Same. I have him in a full rebuild and someone would just have to completely blow me away with an offer to get me to budge. I’m talking ridiculous overpay.Pitts is all but untradable for me. He's the most valuable dynasty asset and it's not close IMO. Way easier to find a WR if you need one than a bona fide stud TE who will rule the position for a decade. He's worth far more than Chase or Jefferson IMO due to positional scarcity.
I just put him on the block saying I’d need at least 2x 1sts and a replacement TE in the 5-9 range, or equivalent player value + TE.Same. I have him in a full rebuild and someone would just have to completely blow me away with an offer to get me to budge. I’m talking ridiculous overpay.
It’s really bad when they show you the 5 guys they offered for your 1 guy adds up to the same amount of points.Calculator nerds are the worst. They should serve as a soft baseline and you should use 3-4 to gauge different viewpoints. The people who decline and screen-share a picture of calc results are the nuts worst
There’s no way Pitts is worth “far more” than Jefferson or Chase - that’s crazy hype.Pitts is all but untradable for me. He's the most valuable dynasty asset and it's not close IMO. Way easier to find a WR if you need one than a bona fide stud TE who will rule the position for a decade. He's worth far more than Chase or Jefferson IMO due to positional scarcity.
If he is, then it’s almost certainly time to deal him.There’s no way Pitts is worth “far more” than Jefferson or Chase - that’s crazy hype.
IMHO he is.There’s no way Pitts is worth “far more” than Jefferson or Chase - that’s crazy hype.
For the most part agree with all of this except what has already been mentioned and you addressed on the "not close" and "far more" then Chase/JJ. I have Pitts over them, but due to those WR's age, production and Pitt's QB issue I can't throw around that terminology. And this year matters and with Pitt's QB issue I can't see him having the impact those two do.Pitts is all but untradable for me. He's the most valuable dynasty asset and it's not close IMO. Way easier to find a WR if you need one than a bona fide stud TE who will rule the position for a decade. He's worth far more than Chase or Jefferson IMO due to positional scarcity.
I’m not expecting his value to change much this season because I expect a similar statistical season from him, just with more tds. Which is still ridiculous considering his youth. I fully expect, beginning in 2023, we’re going to see a 6-8 year run from Pitts like we’ve never seen at the position before. I think he’s going to have several 1500+/10+ td seasons. He is truly a unicorn.
Although I agree that I have Pitts highly valued I think it is fairly easy to find a startable TE every year too. The bar for a starting TE is not very high.IMHO he is.![]()
Huge advantage at TE for the next decade. I can always find a startable WR. Only have Pitts in one league and wouldn't part with him unless it was a king's ransom.
Y’all have convinced me that I got lucky my offer of Pitts for G. Wilson, ‘Myth + ‘23 mid 1st was rejected.Although I agree that I have Pitts highly valued I think it is fairly easy to find a startable TE every year too. The bar for a starting TE is not very high.
The advantage that Pitts has over every other TE is that his floor is TE5-ish (think last year). So even in a disappointing year he is top 5-ish for TE's. That is where his value lays for me.
yeah, I got lucky.That dude should have snap accepted, but got greedy.
I think maybe the gap between Pitts and the other TEs isn’t as great as you’re trying to make it. I like him and he’s surely the top dynasty TE but he’s at best only going to be the third highest scoring TE this season and could possibly not finish top 5 of Mariotta struggles. There’s some good TEs in the league and some to come.IMHO he is.![]()
Huge advantage at TE for the next decade. I can always find a startable WR. Only have Pitts in one league and wouldn't part with him unless it was a king's ransom.
I agree with @foxco. Teams who've had Kelce, and last year Andrews, have won a lot of leagues in recent years. A set and forget stud TE is a massive advantage.Dr. Octopus said:There’s no way Pitts is worth “far more” than Jefferson or Chase - that’s crazy hype.
Do you think you can get Kelce for Harris/Bateman?What is the consensus view on Travis Kelce? I know older, but for a team in a win now (three straight 2nd place finishes) that is loaded at RB and WR would you trade Damien Harris (RB5 on this squad and has the 1.1 to take Hall) and either Bateman or Jeudy (WR4/5) for Kelce? Thanks.
I 100% completely agree with all of this, and it brings up a very interesting point I think. Pitts may well be 2 years or more away from being fully unleashed, meaning he'd be out of a bad offense and with his QB of the future. If you're a contender, is he really the piece you want to go get to make a push now? And if you're in the end of a rebuild and wanting to start making your push in '22 or '23, is Pitts ready to help you do it?See, I feel like there’s a point where Pitts trade value vastly exceeds his real world value. And we may actually be at that point. His potential is worth more in assets than he can possibly deliver on that rebuilding ATL team.
MM / the rookie might be able to replicate last year’s value. Maybe a few more TDs, a few fewer receptions/yards.
but then what? ATL plays their way into a stroud or young? Now it’s a rookie QB on a still rebuilding team. So 2022 & 2023 likely won’t see an ascension of Pitts RW value.
If I can get a player of 1st round value, and a couple 1sts, or a replacement TE + a ‘23 1st, can I really afford to turn that down as a rebuilding team?
The Pitts value discussion is one of the more fascinating in fantasy. As a Pitts owner on a full rebuild obviously I have a vested interest in it.
I still might try to move him while his value is so high, but I won’t settle for a counter like the one above. I’mma put him on the block. I’ll post up any subsequent offers I get.
I’m full rebuild, 5 core players + 6x 2023 1sts & likely 2.01, so I feel like he’s a perfect foundational piece to bring me to contention by 2024, 2023 if I’m really, really lucky.I 100% completely agree with all of this, and it brings up a very interesting point I think. Pitts may well be 2 years or more away from being fully unleashed, meaning he'd be out of a bad offense and with his QB of the future. If you're a contender, is he really the piece you want to go get to make a push now? And if you're in the end of a rebuild and wanting to start making your push in '22 or '23, is Pitts ready to help you do it?
I'm a rebuilder in the only league I have him in, and I would only sell him for an obvious overpay. BUT, that's because I have other picks/draft capital to help build around him. If you were a mediocre team and deciding to enter a rebuild I'd think he'd be the guy you'd have to sell to kick off your teardown. And you wouldn't want to sell to a contender as he might very well be the piece that pushes them to the title and makes those firsts you'd acquire be very late.
Damn you HSG got me thinking too hard on a Friday...
I could have made either trade, but in the end I preferred to keep Bateman so I completed the trade with Harris and Jeudy for Kelce.Do you think you can get Kelce for Harris/Bateman?
Surprised he let Kelce go so easily. Harris is in a crowded situation and Jeudy, who I happen to like, has been underwhelming. Not really a knock on Jeudy but Kelce is still a difference maker. Be interesting to hear the other owner's rationale, rebuilding; rather sell an year early than too late; etc.I could have made either trade, but in the end I preferred to keep Bateman so I completed the trade with Harris and Jeudy for Kelce.
No doubt. If it's a TE-premium league, and you can get 8 years of Pitts as a top-3 TE, that is worth way more than any WR.I agree with @foxco. Teams who've had Kelce, and last year Andrews, have won a lot of leagues in recent years. A set and forget stud TE is a massive advantage.