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Dynasty Value Discussion Thread (9 Viewers)

Sitting at 1.11 in ffpc SF bestball draft. I need a second qb bad to pair with Hurts. I also need rb depth behind CMC and Conner. I have some offers on the table.

A) Stay put and draft Levis or Achane
B) Trade for 2024 1st (1.08 this year could definitely be higher).
C) Trade for two 2023 2nds
D) Something else
I like the idea of getting the 2024 1st if it’s likely to be higher than 5.

I don’t like Levis at all.

I’m lukewarm on Achane, but love his landing spot & coach, there’s little competition, and he’s not a bad pick at 1.10, but doesn’t solve your QB problem.
 
What about Cee Dee Lamb and a mid 1st and a late 1st? I wouldn’t.
I’d absolutely consider say, Lamb, 1.03 & a late 1st, sure. It’s fair, gets me a replacement WR who’s semi-elite and has some room to grow.

Still lacks the true elite upside of Chase, but if your team has other needs it’s a nice profit that doesn’t hurt you much.
 
I'm very unlikely to move Chase, and agree with the replies above. Was just curious, mostly. The 1.03 he has is not his own, so a 1st next year would likely be almost as late as the 1.12 he has this year.

My QBs are Carr, Tua and Geno so the thought of adding Richardson is tempting. That was the main thing that got me thinking about the 1.03 when he brought it up.

BTW, his original message asked about moving from 1.09 to 1.03, and "throw in a WR". I responded with anyone other than Chase I'd think about and that's when i discovered he wanted Chase AND the 1.09 :rolleyes:.
 
FYI Chase for 1.06, a 2024 roughly mid 1st, and a 2nd rejected.
They didn’t want to pay that? Crazypants. 2x 1sts and a 2nd was a bargain. They should be kicking themselves for eternity for rejecting that. You were doing them a favor.
Chase and Eagles D traded for 1.08, a 2025 probably mid 2nd, ASRB and Giants D.
Chase for 1.08+ARSB+2025 2nd and swapping defenses isn’t awful. I love ARSB but I’d give him up for that pretty easily. Not sure why you had to downgrade your defense to get this done. It’s still a pretty good value for the team getting Chase without losing the Eagles D.
 
Looking for some feedback on a valuation, and in general.

Currently own 6 solid RBs, been looking to diversify into picks for about a year, not getting bites/decent value. Backs are Barkley, AJones, Mixon, Pollard, Rhamondre, Dobbins. Finally have another owner expressing interest in Rhamondre and wondering what the valuation should be in picks. I have him around 11/12 overall, consensus (KTC) looks more like 14.
The other owner seems like he'd go for 2023 2.02 and a 2024 2nd. This is just about even on KTC but feels low to me. This is a very competitive league where as I think KTC is generally a more reactive/casual consensus. Wondered where these boards are at. I already said I'd at the very least wait to pull the trigger on the aforementioned trade until it was OTC so I would know who would be there at 2.02 for me.
Honestly I think Stevenson is your most valuable back on that list outside of Barkley - and am truly shocked he doesn't have at least a mid 1st round value on him. I grabbed him in the 4th, then moved him in a package for Taylor last offseason (major buyer's remorse, but that's a whole different discussion) so I was gritting my teeth all last season watching him tear it up. This class feels fairly weak after Bijan/Gibbs (especially for RB). Depending on roster needs, I would take Stevenson over probably all 4 of the top WRs depending on team needs. You won't get 1.3 - but 1.6ish feels appropriate right now. I think I'd pass on the 2 2nds, as you're simply praying one of those 2 picks shows remotely what Stevenson has so far as a pro.
Much appreciated feedback from you and the others. That's how I felt as well. He does have a mid 1st value in this draft but I said no to those offers (got a one for 1.06 and another for 1.08). I don't see much of a difference between pick 1.05 - 2.02, in fact in general I've found I like the guys more who are getting mocked 1.10-2.4 better than those getting mocked higher. I said I would consider a 2024 1st, but no one wants to move those rn. He also countered the above noted verbal proposal (2.02 and a 2024 2nd) with 1.10 and 2.08 for Rhamondre and 2.09 lol.... soo it was a very easy decline for me.

Yeah I'd have Rhamondre at 2B behind Barkley as 1 and Pollard as 2A but I can understand anyone having those latter two flipped. His receiving upside makes him potentially elite coming into this year after the Patriots made no real noteworthy additions in FA or the draft. He had a 17%+ receiving share, and was only behind CMC and Ekeler in most receiving back metrics. Probably the only metric he wasn't very high in was goalline attempts putting him at 5 rushing TDs on the year. I think those are flukey to begin with, and with his size he'll likely stay in that role. So with some positive regression on TDs and the receiving chops, I think he could be a top 8-10 guy. Guess I'll just have to roll into the year with 6 RBs again :shrug:
 
Just for kicks I was looking back at the past few seasons of startup drafts. Almost none of the RBs taken in the first round have been worth anywhere near their draft capital.
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
 
Just for kicks I was looking back at the past few seasons of startup drafts. Almost none of the RBs taken in the first round have been worth anywhere near their draft capital.
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
I'd consider AJB there myself. And might sound crazy, but I'd also consider Mahomes. He won't last past the first round anyway, so sure you may be picking him a few spots ahead of ADP; but the point advantage he gives you over the rest of the QBs is stellar, his floor is most QB1 ceilings, and he will have a career that will likely double that of any RB you can take there. I've said elsewhere, and it's even more prominent in a start up draft: give me the safest player possible with those early 1st round picks. He will maintain his value better than just about anyone else picked in that first round.
 
Just for kicks I was looking back at the past few seasons of startup drafts. Almost none of the RBs taken in the first round have been worth anywhere near their draft capital.
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
I'd consider AJB there myself. And might sound crazy, but I'd also consider Mahomes. He won't last past the first round anyway, so sure you may be picking him a few spots ahead of ADP; but the point advantage he gives you over the rest of the QBs is stellar, his floor is most QB1 ceilings, and he will have a career that will likely double that of any RB you can take there. I've said elsewhere, and it's even more prominent in a start up draft: give me the safest player possible with those early 1st round picks. He will maintain his value better than just about anyone else picked in that first round.
A few spots? That's like a full couple rounds before I'd take him.
I'd go Lamb over AJB easily for me.
 
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.
This isn’t entirely accurate. Hall has held his value remarkably well , despite tearing his ACL.

Jonathan Taylor still commands decent return in trade, but the collapse of INDY as a rudderless ship devoid of competence at QB has more to do with his situation/value than anything he did or didn’t do.

Context is different for all of these players, and some have delivered more return than others.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?
To continue my thought from my last sentence, if Joe Burrow tore his labrum today, where would you pick Chase tomorrow in a start-up?

Context matters.

Bijan’s context also matters. He’s a more dynamic prospect than we’ve seen in years. Comparing him to some of the RBs taken last year or 2 years ago in the 1st or 2nd round isn’t a like comparison because Hall, Walker, Cook, Mixon & Najee aren’t Bijan Robinson.

I feel like it’s an easy call to take Bijan in the 1st round of a start-up to gamble on the upside. If he really is that game-breaking generational talent at RB who’ll command ~30% of the falcons offense, he’s going to be a league-winner for years. And moreover, he’ll be an incredibly valuable commodity for trading purposes.

And he’d potentially do it at a volatile position, giving a team a rare advantage at the position over most of the other teams.

Where there’s risk, there’s also reward.

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
This part is true - and I won’t fault you if you want to deal out of a top 3 start-up pick. That’s a strategic decision. But you’re also correct that value is higher in an existing league, so it would seem to make sense to take Bijan in that scenario, and then deal him down the road a spell when your league becomes “existing”.

Trading down is just going to net you a less valuable asset with lower ceiling, and less trade value. That’s no way to start a team, IMO.

I’d be taking Bijan, assuming JJ -> Chase go 1-2. Maybe you’ll get lucky & Chase falls to 3. It’s possible. Good luck.
 
Just for kicks I was looking back at the past few seasons of startup drafts. Almost none of the RBs taken in the first round have been worth anywhere near their draft capital.
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
I'd consider AJB there myself. And might sound crazy, but I'd also consider Mahomes. He won't last past the first round anyway, so sure you may be picking him a few spots ahead of ADP; but the point advantage he gives you over the rest of the QBs is stellar, his floor is most QB1 ceilings, and he will have a career that will likely double that of any RB you can take there. I've said elsewhere, and it's even more prominent in a start up draft: give me the safest player possible with those early 1st round picks. He will maintain his value better than just about anyone else picked in that first round.
A few spots? That's like a full couple rounds before I'd take him.
I'd go Lamb over AJB easily for me.

To each there own, just trying to help :shrug:

Just so ya know, you would be an outlier having Mahomes "a full couple rounds" later than mid 1st in a 1QB dynasty start up.

FFPC ADP

KTC ADP

Aggregate data pulled from recent Sleeper start ups

The misconception of waiting on QBs has been turned on his head the past 4-5 years, and sure it's still in play if you don't get one of the top 3-4 guys. But owning one of those top 3-4 guys, even in 1QB, has proven to be the most valuable position on your roster by point disparity and quite frankly, it's not close. Even outside of the QB position, I'd confidently bet a paycheck Mahomes outscores the field of RBs and WRs over the next 5 seasons. And history tells us he's safer than all of them; from an injury perspective, from a timeshare/touch perspective, from a usage/scheme perspective, and from a getting supplanted by a new rookie perspective.

It's your pick and you want to take someone who you believe in and want to root for week in week out. But I'd seriously rethink your value on QBs when you're saying you wouldn't take Mahomes earlier than the third round. Good luck with the pick tho! A decent chance someone takes Bijan and Chase falls to you!
 
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.
This isn’t entirely accurate. Hall has held his value remarkably well , despite tearing his ACL.

Jonathan Taylor still commands decent return in trade, but the collapse of INDY as a rudderless ship devoid of competence at QB has more to do with his situation/value than anything he did or didn’t do.

Context is different for all of these players, and some have delivered more return than others.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?
To continue my thought from my last sentence, if Joe Burrow tore his labrum today, where would you pick Chase tomorrow in a start-up?

Context matters.

Bijan’s context also matters. He’s a more dynamic prospect than we’ve seen in years. Comparing him to some of the RBs taken last year or 2 years ago in the 1st or 2nd round isn’t a like comparison because Hall, Walker, Cook, Mixon & Najee aren’t Bijan Robinson.

I feel like it’s an easy call to take Bijan in the 1st round of a start-up to gamble on the upside. If he really is that game-breaking generational talent at RB who’ll command ~30% of the falcons offense, he’s going to be a league-winner for years. And moreover, he’ll be an incredibly valuable commodity for trading purposes.

And he’d potentially do it at a volatile position, giving a team a rare advantage at the position over most of the other teams.

Where there’s risk, there’s also reward.

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
This part is true - and I won’t fault you if you want to deal out of a top 3 start-up pick. That’s a strategic decision. But you’re also correct that value is higher in an existing league, so it would seem to make sense to take Bijan in that scenario, and then deal him down the road a spell when your league becomes “existing”.

Trading down is just going to net you a less valuable asset with lower ceiling, and less trade value. That’s no way to start a team, IMO.

I’d be taking Bijan, assuming JJ -> Chase go 1-2. Maybe you’ll get lucky & Chase falls to 3. It’s possible. Good luck.

I mean everything is anecdotal, but it has not been my experience at all that you get lessor hauls in startups for top picks than you do for an existing players. Conceptually, there is value in having a pick without a name attached (for instance what if someone passes on Chase for Bijan?) In existing leagues it is tough to find someone with both the ammo and willingness to overpay for a Bijan, whereas in a startup you should have more interested buyers with a more even playing field of picks to swap. If anything, it's been the opposite in my experience where people are willing to wildly overpay for those top slots in a startup as most owners have rose-colored glasses on thinking they will hit on all those other later picks and be competitive. In existing leagues owners are generally more aware that their team can't compete or would be handicapped spending what it takes to acquire a Bijan.

Trading down from 3 could net you a late first, a extra 2nd rounder and likely a mid-round pick or some kind of swaps into earlier spots plus future 1st. You can easily setup a studly team that way, although obviously it comes down to who you draft in those slots. I once saw a team absolutely kill it in pre-draft trades in a startup with multiple 2nds, 3rds and mid-rounders, but then they blew nearly every pick they made on some questionable win-now players. Obviously don't take whatever just to move down, but if I drew a top pick in a startup, I would without a doubt be shopping it looking for someone in love with a player and willing to overpay.
 
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.
This isn’t entirely accurate. Hall has held his value remarkably well , despite tearing his ACL.

Jonathan Taylor still commands decent return in trade, but the collapse of INDY as a rudderless ship devoid of competence at QB has more to do with his situation/value than anything he did or didn’t do.

Context is different for all of these players, and some have delivered more return than others.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?
To continue my thought from my last sentence, if Joe Burrow tore his labrum today, where would you pick Chase tomorrow in a start-up?

Context matters.

Bijan’s context also matters. He’s a more dynamic prospect than we’ve seen in years. Comparing him to some of the RBs taken last year or 2 years ago in the 1st or 2nd round isn’t a like comparison because Hall, Walker, Cook, Mixon & Najee aren’t Bijan Robinson.

I feel like it’s an easy call to take Bijan in the 1st round of a start-up to gamble on the upside. If he really is that game-breaking generational talent at RB who’ll command ~30% of the falcons offense, he’s going to be a league-winner for years. And moreover, he’ll be an incredibly valuable commodity for trading purposes.

And he’d potentially do it at a volatile position, giving a team a rare advantage at the position over most of the other teams.

Where there’s risk, there’s also reward.

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
This part is true - and I won’t fault you if you want to deal out of a top 3 start-up pick. That’s a strategic decision. But you’re also correct that value is higher in an existing league, so it would seem to make sense to take Bijan in that scenario, and then deal him down the road a spell when your league becomes “existing”.

Trading down is just going to net you a less valuable asset with lower ceiling, and less trade value. That’s no way to start a team, IMO.

I’d be taking Bijan, assuming JJ -> Chase go 1-2. Maybe you’ll get lucky & Chase falls to 3. It’s possible. Good luck.

I mean everything is anecdotal, but it has not been my experience at all that you get lessor hauls in startups for top picks than you do for an existing players. Conceptually, there is value in having a pick without a name attached (for instance what if someone passes on Chase for Bijan?) In existing leagues it is tough to find someone with both the ammo and willingness to overpay for a Bijan, whereas in a startup you should have more interested buyers with a more even playing field of picks to swap. If anything, it's been the opposite in my experience where people are willing to wildly overpay for those top slots in a startup as most owners have rose-colored glasses on thinking they will hit on all those other later picks and be competitive. In existing leagues owners are generally more aware that their team can't compete or would be handicapped spending what it takes to acquire a Bijan.

Trading down from 3 could net you a late first, an extra 2nd rounder and likely a mid-round pick or some kind of swaps into earlier spots plus future 1st. You can easily setup a studly team that way, although obviously it comes down to who you draft in those slots. I once saw a team absolutely kill it in pre-draft trades in a startup with multiple 2nds, 3rds and mid-rounders, but then they blew nearly every pick they made on some questionable win-now players. Obviously don't take whatever just to move down, but if I drew a top pick in a startup, I would without a doubt be shopping it looking for someone in love with a player and willing to overpay.
All valid points, and I respect your takes here.

But then I imagine dealing down from 3 and then watching 1.02 take Bijan.

How’s that future 1st and 2nd looking now Vs missing Chase?
:doh:
 
Look at last years guys who were going in the first round of all or a lot of startups, or early 2nd: Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Javonte Williams, Najee Harris, Mixon, Cook, Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook......

Funny enough last year the only guy remotely worth it was CMC.
This isn’t entirely accurate. Hall has held his value remarkably well , despite tearing his ACL.

Jonathan Taylor still commands decent return in trade, but the collapse of INDY as a rudderless ship devoid of competence at QB has more to do with his situation/value than anything he did or didn’t do.

Context is different for all of these players, and some have delivered more return than others.

Just looking cause as I sit right now I have pick 3 in a startup. If JJ and Chase go, do I take Bijan? Heck he might go top 2 anyway, but if not, then what?
To continue my thought from my last sentence, if Joe Burrow tore his labrum today, where would you pick Chase tomorrow in a start-up?

Context matters.

Bijan’s context also matters. He’s a more dynamic prospect than we’ve seen in years. Comparing him to some of the RBs taken last year or 2 years ago in the 1st or 2nd round isn’t a like comparison because Hall, Walker, Cook, Mixon & Najee aren’t Bijan Robinson.

I feel like it’s an easy call to take Bijan in the 1st round of a start-up to gamble on the upside. If he really is that game-breaking generational talent at RB who’ll command ~30% of the falcons offense, he’s going to be a league-winner for years. And moreover, he’ll be an incredibly valuable commodity for trading purposes.

And he’d potentially do it at a volatile position, giving a team a rare advantage at the position over most of the other teams.

Where there’s risk, there’s also reward.

Such a volatile position to take with such a valuable pick.

Ideally I want to trade down, but almost any trade down from a top pick in a startup won't bring in the haul that player would fetch in an existing league.
This part is true - and I won’t fault you if you want to deal out of a top 3 start-up pick. That’s a strategic decision. But you’re also correct that value is higher in an existing league, so it would seem to make sense to take Bijan in that scenario, and then deal him down the road a spell when your league becomes “existing”.

Trading down is just going to net you a less valuable asset with lower ceiling, and less trade value. That’s no way to start a team, IMO.

I’d be taking Bijan, assuming JJ -> Chase go 1-2. Maybe you’ll get lucky & Chase falls to 3. It’s possible. Good luck.

I mean everything is anecdotal, but it has not been my experience at all that you get lessor hauls in startups for top picks than you do for an existing players. Conceptually, there is value in having a pick without a name attached (for instance what if someone passes on Chase for Bijan?) In existing leagues it is tough to find someone with both the ammo and willingness to overpay for a Bijan, whereas in a startup you should have more interested buyers with a more even playing field of picks to swap. If anything, it's been the opposite in my experience where people are willing to wildly overpay for those top slots in a startup as most owners have rose-colored glasses on thinking they will hit on all those other later picks and be competitive. In existing leagues owners are generally more aware that their team can't compete or would be handicapped spending what it takes to acquire a Bijan.

Trading down from 3 could net you a late first, a extra 2nd rounder and likely a mid-round pick or some kind of swaps into earlier spots plus future 1st. You can easily setup a studly team that way, although obviously it comes down to who you draft in those slots. I once saw a team absolutely kill it in pre-draft trades in a startup with multiple 2nds, 3rds and mid-rounders, but then they blew nearly every pick they made on some questionable win-now players. Obviously don't take whatever just to move down, but if I drew a top pick in a startup, I would without a doubt be shopping it looking for someone in love with a player and willing to overpay.

Like you said, it's mostly anecdotal, but a few years back when I was super into FF I started looking at the results of startup trades once the players were picked and noticed that in startups the team trading UP often came out way, way ahead once you actually put the players in.

I didn't do a statistically significant sample size of them, but I took startup trades that were deemed fair value via picks, then once the players were selected I put those trades in the AC forum with the player names instead of the pick numbers and in most cases the side that traded up came out way ahead in terms of which side people preferred once they were looking at actual player names.

IE in FFPC something like startup 4.05 + 2024 rookie 1st for startup 3.02 is considered a pretty fair trade on startup pick value, if not slanted in favor of 4.05+2024 1st in terms of what most people prefer.

But in FFPC ADP, that pick is DJ Moore + 2024 1st for Travis Etienne, and I think if I put that trade in the AC forum it would be almost unanimous that people would prefer Etienne.

Obviously that's not always the case with these trades, but when I looked, at least a few years ago, it seemed to be the resulting outcome in the vast majority I looked at.
 

Trading down from 3 could net you a late first, a extra 2nd rounder and likely a mid-round pick or some kind of swaps into earlier spots plus future 1st. You can easily setup a studly team that way, although obviously it comes down to who you draft in those slots. I once saw a team absolutely kill it in pre-draft trades in a startup with multiple 2nds, 3rds and mid-rounders, but then they blew nearly every pick they made on some questionable win-now players. Obviously don't take whatever just to move down, but if I drew a top pick in a startup, I would without a doubt be shopping it looking for someone in love with a player and willing to overpay.

Furthering my example above, I doubt you'd find many willing to give up this haul for an early pick, but I bet you'd find a lot of people willing to do it once you plug in the player names.

Part of it is a mental hurdle. We know consciously that a snake draft dictates that 1.03+2.11 is supposed to be relatively equal in value to 1.09+2.04. Obviously most people prefer the 1.03/2.11 combo but the value difference is considered relatively small in our heads, and if you poll people on their preferred startup position quite a few people prefer being late in the draft order straight up.

Simply put, outside of extreme edge cases startup 1.03 for startup 1.09 + startup 2.04 + rookie 1st is just not a trade you'll ever see, and most people would scoff at the idea of offering that for 1.03.

But turn around and plug the players in via ADP, and I bet if you polled Bijan vs. AJB/Burrow/Future 1st in the assistant coach forum there are a lot of people that would prefer the Bijan side.
 
edge cases startup 1.03 for startup 1.09 + startup 2.04 + rookie 1st is just not a trade you'll ever see
Anecdotal of course, but I used to see trades like this all the time in startups back in my 10+ leagues days (how did I ever have that kind of time back then?) Maybe not that exactly and maybe it was swap of a 3rd or 4th for that 2.04 but they happened quite frequently.
Maybe the dynamics have changed since then as I am not a fan of snake drafts for startups for other reasons so don't do those anymore. :shrug:
 
Talk me off the ledge...
I'm considering trading Burrow in a superflex league in a package to get Justin Jefferson. My QB stable isn't stacked. Currently Goff and Ridder and would want a package where I get a starting QB back like Carr.
Is it worth upgrading wr to Jefferson if you had the chance but at the cost of an elite QB? For perspective, this team is an aging contender.
 
Talk me off the ledge...
I'm considering trading Burrow in a superflex league in a package to get Justin Jefferson. My QB stable isn't stacked. Currently Goff and Ridder and would want a package where I get a starting QB back like Carr.
Is it worth upgrading wr to Jefferson if you had the chance but at the cost of an elite QB? For perspective, this team is an aging contender.
Ok. I’ll take you off the ledge. It better be a very good package with someone better than Carr coming back or I wouldn’t do it.
 
Talk me off the ledge...
I'm considering trading Burrow in a superflex league in a package to get Justin Jefferson. My QB stable isn't stacked. Currently Goff and Ridder and would want a package where I get a starting QB back like Carr.
Is it worth upgrading wr to Jefferson if you had the chance but at the cost of an elite QB? For perspective, this team is an aging contender.
Kind of a wash really. I think they are basically of equal value. I guess if you can a startable QB and Jefferson for just Burrow, it probably gives you the best chance for immediate upside.
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think its probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think its probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
True though hard to say without knowing what level of upgrade JJ is to the WR room. It's a totally even deal so I don't know if anyone wins or loses the deal.
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think its probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think its probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
True though hard to say without knowing what level of upgrade JJ is to the WR room. It's a totally even deal so I don't know if anyone wins or loses the deal.
Wr room is mediocre. G Wilson, Hollywood, Ridley, Gabe Davis, Lockett, D Parker, and Allen Robinson.
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think its probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think its probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
True though hard to say without knowing what level of upgrade JJ is to the WR room. It's a totally even deal so I don't know if anyone wins or loses the deal.
Wr room is mediocre. G Wilson, Hollywood, Ridley, Gabe Davis, Lockett, D Parker, and Allen Robinson.
that seems pretty decent to me...
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think its probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think its probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
True though hard to say without knowing what level of upgrade JJ is to the WR room. It's a totally even deal so I don't know if anyone wins or loses the deal.
Wr room is mediocre. G Wilson, Hollywood, Ridley, Gabe Davis, Lockett, D Parker, and Allen Robinson.
Don't get me wrong, Jefferson is the best WR in the game. He would make anyone's WR room better. However, QBs are just sooo hard to get. Look at this draft. If you don't have a top 4 pick (in what's considered a good class), you aren't getting one. And if you do, he has a 50% chance of busting. Even if you're a contender picking late, you can still get a good WR prospect.
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think it’s probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think it’s probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
Depends on league size as well, but Burrow, Mahomes, Allen, Hurts are all worth more than JJ in SF.

Carr is mediocre but because of SF, he has value.
 
If you were a team needing to move into rebuild, what would you be looking for to sell Tyreek, Cooper Kupp or even AJ Brown for?
 
Would Burrow for Jefferson/Carr be ok in the SF world?
I think its probably fair'ish. In my opinion, you need at least one stud QB to compete. I think its probably a bad move for a contending team to try to get by with Carr/Goff/Ridder.
True though hard to say without knowing what level of upgrade JJ is to the WR room. It's a totally even deal so I don't know if anyone wins or loses the deal.
Wr room is mediocre. G Wilson, Hollywood, Ridley, Gabe Davis, Lockett, D Parker, and Allen Robinson.
that seems pretty decent to me...
High variance WR room. Lots of players with fun upside but Hollywood has no QB, Ridley hasn't played in like 2 years, Gabe Davis puts up a lot of duds, Locket is getting old and got some major draft competition.
 
If you were a team needing to move into rebuild, what would you be looking for to sell Tyreek, Cooper Kupp or even AJ Brown for?
I'd keep Brown. Honestly, I may try to get another year or two out of the trio. It's a pretty stacked room.

If I was convinced I had to move them, I'd probably try to get 2024 or 2025 picks for Tyreek and Kupp even if I had to wait until the beginning of the season to do so. The cost of 2023 picks are at their peak now. Both are probably worth early to mid firsts.
 
If you were a team needing to move into rebuild, what would you be looking for to sell Tyreek, Cooper Kupp or even AJ Brown for?
I'd keep Brown. Honestly, I may try to get another year or two out of the trio. It's a pretty stacked room.

If I was convinced I had to move them, I'd probably try to get 2024 or 2025 picks for Tyreek and Kupp even if I had to wait until the beginning of the season to do so. The cost of 2023 picks are at their peak now. Both are probably worth early to mid firsts.
Oh, maybe I worded it poorly, I am the one looking to buy on those guys. A future 1st seems like a fair offer for Hill or Kupp. It's in line with what I was thinking.
 
Rookie Draft is underway in a 12 tm,1 QB ppr dynasty. The owner of the 1.08 pick has put it on the block. I have the 1.12 pick and have won the league back to back seasons. Bijan, Gibbs, JNS, Richardson, Stroud,Kincaid and Young are drafted. Is it worth it to try to move up from 1.12 to 1.08? I see about 4-5 guys close in value for the remaining players.
 
Talk me off the ledge...
I'm considering trading Burrow in a superflex league in a package to get Justin Jefferson. My QB stable isn't stacked. Currently Goff and Ridder and would want a package where I get a starting QB back like Carr.
Is it worth upgrading wr to Jefferson if you had the chance but at the cost of an elite QB? For perspective, this team is an aging contender.
For me, elite QB > elite WR. The ability to find some modicum of replacement points at the WR position is so much easier than at QB.
Would this trade improve your chances of contending? I lean no if your QB room is Goff, Carr and Ridder. Burrow is a core piece that you can keep through a retool, if necessary. Not sure what problem you’d be solving by trading away Burrow for Jefferson but I definitely see a problem you’d be creating in your QB room
 
Rookie Draft is underway in a 12 tm,1 QB ppr dynasty. The owner of the 1.08 pick has put it on the block. I have the 1.12 pick and have won the league back to back seasons. Bijan, Gibbs, JNS, Richardson, Stroud,Kincaid and Young are drafted. Is it worth it to try to move up from 1.12 to 1.08? I see about 4-5 guys close in value for the remaining players.
Just saying what I would do.

If I really was wanting to draft a WR I'd move up for Addison or at a minimum be ready to move up once one of Addison or Johnston are gone so you can get one of them.

If I really needed a RB I'd probably not do a thing and assume one of Charb, Miller, Achane or Spears make it to me and if they don't it means you got some great WR value.

Summary is I'm only looking at moving up if all things being equal I'd really prefer to draft a WR.
 
Rookie Draft is underway in a 12 tm,1 QB ppr dynasty. The owner of the 1.08 pick has put it on the block. I have the 1.12 pick and have won the league back to back seasons. Bijan, Gibbs, JNS, Richardson, Stroud,Kincaid and Young are drafted. Is it worth it to try to move up from 1.12 to 1.08? I see about 4-5 guys close in value for the remaining players.
Just saying what I would do.

If I really was wanting to draft a WR I'd move up for Addison or at a minimum be ready to move up once one of Addison or Johnston are gone so you can get one of them.

If I really needed a RB I'd probably not do a thing and assume one of Charb, Miller, Achane or Spears make it to me and if they don't it means you got some great WR value.

Summary is I'm only looking at moving up if all things being equal I'd really prefer to draft a WR.
Thanks. I was hoping a QB would fall to me, but the teams picking 4-7 love stockpiling QBs in a start 1 league.
My WRs are AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Diggs, Mike Evans, Meyers, Osborn, Doubs, Pickens, JRoss.
My top RBs are Pollard, JWilson, AGibson, Damien Harris, KHerbert.
So, my need is greater there and I was leaning towards standing pat.
 
Rookie Draft is underway in a 12 tm,1 QB ppr dynasty. The owner of the 1.08 pick has put it on the block. I have the 1.12 pick and have won the league back to back seasons. Bijan, Gibbs, JNS, Richardson, Stroud,Kincaid and Young are drafted. Is it worth it to try to move up from 1.12 to 1.08? I see about 4-5 guys close in value for the remaining players.
Just saying what I would do.

If I really was wanting to draft a WR I'd move up for Addison or at a minimum be ready to move up once one of Addison or Johnston are gone so you can get one of them.

If I really needed a RB I'd probably not do a thing and assume one of Charb, Miller, Achane or Spears make it to me and if they don't it means you got some great WR value.

Summary is I'm only looking at moving up if all things being equal I'd really prefer to draft a WR.
Thanks. I was hoping a QB would fall to me, but the teams picking 4-7 love stockpiling QBs in a start 1 league.
My WRs are AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Diggs, Mike Evans, Meyers, Osborn, Doubs, Pickens, JRoss.
My top RBs are Pollard, JWilson, AGibson, Damien Harris, KHerbert.
So, my need is greater there and I was leaning towards standing pat.
I’d definitely stand pat and grab a RB at 1.12, and if you have a mid-2nd-round pick, I‘d take another RB there to throw a few darts.
heck, with WRs that deep, can you trade one for an RB to a team with complimentary needs/wants?
you list Pickens all the way at the bottom of your WR list but I imagine he’d be very tradeable to a team that needs a young, upside WR. Or trade one of your top 4WRs for a proper stud RB. 2 cents
 
Rookie Draft is underway in a 12 tm,1 QB ppr dynasty. The owner of the 1.08 pick has put it on the block. I have the 1.12 pick and have won the league back to back seasons. Bijan, Gibbs, JNS, Richardson, Stroud,Kincaid and Young are drafted. Is it worth it to try to move up from 1.12 to 1.08? I see about 4-5 guys close in value for the remaining players.
Just saying what I would do.

If I really was wanting to draft a WR I'd move up for Addison or at a minimum be ready to move up once one of Addison or Johnston are gone so you can get one of them.

If I really needed a RB I'd probably not do a thing and assume one of Charb, Miller, Achane or Spears make it to me and if they don't it means you got some great WR value.

Summary is I'm only looking at moving up if all things being equal I'd really prefer to draft a WR.
Thanks. I was hoping a QB would fall to me, but the teams picking 4-7 love stockpiling QBs in a start 1 league.
My WRs are AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Diggs, Mike Evans, Meyers, Osborn, Doubs, Pickens, JRoss.
My top RBs are Pollard, JWilson, AGibson, Damien Harris, KHerbert.
So, my need is greater there and I was leaning towards standing pat.
I’d definitely stand pat and grab a RB at 1.12, and if you have a mid-2nd-round pick, I‘d take another RB there to throw a few darts.
heck, with WRs that deep, can you trade one for an RB to a team with complimentary needs/wants?
you list Pickens all the way at the bottom of your WR list but I imagine he’d be very tradeable to a team that needs a young, upside WR. Or trade one of your top 4WRs for a proper stud RB. 2 cents
I just randomly listed my WRs, not how I rank them.
You make it sound so easy to trade a WR for a RB....but it isn't in this league lol. In the past 5 years I haven't finished lower than 3rd place. So, some of the lower teams tell me I have to really "pay big" to get a backup QB or a solid RB. An example is someone offered me Cam Akers for AJ Brown and St.Brown. I countered, but it was rejected instantly without a further counter-offer.
 

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