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Dynasty Value Discussion Thread (6 Viewers)

Honestly can't imagine NOT smashing accept as quickly as possible.
Well, because it’s not an offer to me. There’s nothing to smash. lol

I have much fondness for ARSB. He’s a favorite player. And I have no idea how the Hampton/Najee split will look while Monty has a fairly predictable (and high floor) role.
I did read that after I posted, thought it was offer you were sent. So on the flip side if someone sent me this offer I could not hit reject quick enough.

Even if Ben Johnson was remaining you are getting signfinicantly younger and with little to no estimated production dropoff. The gap in value between Monty and Hampton due to thier ages is immense. Different ballparks.

But Ben Johnson leaving should IMO be considered a huge deal. IIRC ASRB's breakout late in his rookie season coincided with Dan Campell taking over play calling duties and promotoing Ben Johnson to passing game co-ordinator. Not only did Ben Johnson know how to unlock ASRB he has an incredible knack for knowing how to utilize multiple options and not have players unhappy over their role.

I'll give an unpopluar take. ASRB is not an elite talent. He's very good of course, a bit of a modern day Hines Ward who was one of my all time favoite players but he's not some kind of top 10 elite pass catching talent. He's been helped immensely by the system and cast and a lot of that just changed. I almost hate saying that on these boards because the ASRB love is strong here and I'm not looking for the ASRB horde to start swarming me today. I'm sure the new OC will try and keep status quo but it's not that easy. Please leave me alone ASRB horde, lol.
Thank you for articulating (BOLDED) what I've been thinking for a while now and why I'm actively pursuing Luther Burden III.
Thank you and I feel the same away about Burden's potential with Ben Johnson. Burden is in fact much more naturally talented IMO but the work ethic and will may be far off is how it could go wrong.

I've had ASRB on team where I drafted him at 2.10 or 2.11. Might be best draft pick I've made in 13 or 14 year history of the league. I drafted Burden at 1.12 thinking/hoping I can replicate this success again, even if it costs me more.
 
Honestly can't imagine NOT smashing accept as quickly as possible.
Well, because it’s not an offer to me. There’s nothing to smash. lol

I have much fondness for ARSB. He’s a favorite player. And I have no idea how the Hampton/Najee split will look while Monty has a fairly predictable (and high floor) role.
I did read that after I posted, thought it was offer you were sent. So on the flip side if someone sent me this offer I could not hit reject quick enough.

Even if Ben Johnson was remaining you are getting signfinicantly younger and with little to no estimated production dropoff. The gap in value between Monty and Hampton due to thier ages is immense. Different ballparks.

But Ben Johnson leaving should IMO be considered a huge deal. IIRC ASRB's breakout late in his rookie season coincided with Dan Campell taking over play calling duties and promotoing Ben Johnson to passing game co-ordinator. Not only did Ben Johnson know how to unlock ASRB he has an incredible knack for knowing how to utilize multiple options and not have players unhappy over their role.

I'll give an unpopluar take. ASRB is not an elite talent. He's very good of course, a bit of a modern day Hines Ward who was one of my all time favoite players but he's not some kind of top 10 elite pass catching talent. He's been helped immensely by the system and cast and a lot of that just changed. I almost hate saying that on these boards because the ASRB love is strong here and I'm not looking for the ASRB horde to start swarming me today. I'm sure the new OC will try and keep status quo but it's not that easy. Please leave me alone ASRB horde, lol.
Ok given that they changed their mind, would you swap ARSB for BTJ and Harvey?
BTJ >ARSB so that's at minimum free Harvey.
Strictly my opinion of course. ARSB doesn't have the physical talent of Calvin Johnson or Randy Moss. Prolly doesn't been have the talent of OBJ. Where he is equal or exceeds them all is the mental portion of being an elite athlete and why i have him quite a bit above Thomas Jr. ARSB's mental focus and training to improve is the closest we have seen to Mr. Rice. His upbringing and strength of family has nurtured that. I am in one league and in that league I own him. I wouldn't move him for Thomas and Harvey. Im not some big homer guy I just feel with his pedigree he is doing the little things all off-season to improve. So many athletes are so gifted they can give 50% in the off-season. This dude is 100% everyday. Imo
You are certainly entitled to your opinion and you won't be alone here even though I'm obviously not seeing it in the same way you are, not really any of it.

But did want to be clear when I said I don't consider ASRB a top 10 elite type talent I meant right now among current NFL WR's. You started throwing out names of all time great talents and I just wanted to clarify I mean just among current WR's. LIke I said earlier, he is more to me like a modern day Hines Ward, who I probably root for to be HOF player then any past player. Loved that guy. Feel like if you threw prime Hines Ward in this Lions offense he'd do ASRB things but I will say that and also say I don't think Hines was any kind of elite natural talent. Just a good match of the player and system and embodiment of the style the team wants to play.
 
said I don't consider ASRB a top 10 elite type talent I meant right now among current NFL WR's.
If you include work ethic and conscientiousness as talent, I’d disagree. Dude is the kind of player we’d all want our team to have, regardless of measurables.

Jerry rice wasn’t the most naturally talented guy either. Just the GOAT.
Also toss in hands and route running.
 
said I don't consider ASRB a top 10 elite type talent I meant right now among current NFL WR's.
If you include work ethic and conscientiousness as talent, I’d disagree. Dude is the kind of player we’d all want our team to have, regardless of measurables.

Jerry rice wasn’t the most naturally talented guy either. Just the GOAT.
I expect a lot of people to disagree with me and I'm fine with that but if you took someone like Devonta Smith and switched teams I just don't think there would be a lot of disagreement. He's just in a system that allows itself for a lot of stats and that's what people base their view on.
 
said I don't consider ASRB a top 10 elite type talent I meant right now among current NFL WR's.
If you include work ethic and conscientiousness as talent, I’d disagree. Dude is the kind of player we’d all want our team to have, regardless of measurables.

Jerry rice wasn’t the most naturally talented guy either. Just the GOAT.
I expect a lot of people to disagree with me and I'm fine with that but if you took someone like Devonta Smith and switched teams I just don't think there would be a lot of disagreement. He's just in a system that allows itself for a lot of stats and that's what people base their view on.
:shrug: I’m no expert but I see a player who does everything his coach wants. A better Wes welker type (not exactly).
 
said I don't consider ASRB a top 10 elite type talent I meant right now among current NFL WR's.
If you include work ethic and conscientiousness as talent, I’d disagree. Dude is the kind of player we’d all want our team to have, regardless of measurables.

Jerry rice wasn’t the most naturally talented guy either. Just the GOAT.
Also toss in hands and route running.
And willingness to play through injury and zero off field problems.
 
Too early to give up on ARich?

12 team SF, PPR, no K, no D/ST

Verbal offer of Tre Harris for ARich.

My QBs are Darnold + Cam Ward, so I’m a bit weary of sending off ARich even though I could use the WR depth.

Talk me off the ledge.
 
Too early to give up on ARich?

12 team SF, PPR, no K, no D/ST

Verbal offer of Tre Harris for ARich.

My QBs are Darnold + Cam Ward, so I’m a bit weary of sending off ARich even though I could use the WR depth.

Talk me off the ledge.

I have no issues moving ARich but no way am I doing for Tre Harris in SF...way too much room for error on that one...the fact it is a 12 league and that would leave you with only 2 QBs is another big reason not to do it.
 
Too early to give up on ARich?

12 team SF, PPR, no K, no D/ST

Verbal offer of Tre Harris for ARich.

My QBs are Darnold + Cam Ward, so I’m a bit weary of sending off ARich even though I could use the WR depth.

Talk me off the ledge.

I have no issues moving ARich but no way am I doing for Tre Harris in SF...way too much room for error on that one...the fact it is a 12 league and that would leave you with only 2 QBs is another big reason not to do it.
I have a few other backups who are an injury from relevance (Zack Wilson, Trubisky, Rudolph) but I kinda agree.

Sadly that’s about ARich’s value until we get any positive news out of camp.
 
Too early to give up on ARich?

12 team SF, PPR, no K, no D/ST

Verbal offer of Tre Harris for ARich.

My QBs are Darnold + Cam Ward, so I’m a bit weary of sending off ARich even though I could use the WR depth.

Talk me off the ledge.

I have no issues moving ARich but no way am I doing for Tre Harris in SF...way too much room for error on that one...the fact it is a 12 league and that would leave you with only 2 QBs is another big reason not to do it.
I have a few other backups who are an injury from relevance (Zack Wilson, Trubisky, Rudolph) but I kinda agree.

Sadly that’s about ARich’s value until we get any positive news out of camp.
ARich = hold at that price.
 
What value does Oduze have vs current picks? Where would he fall in this draft?

Lil personal context - got an offer of 1.9 and some stuff for Oduze. Am I wrong in thinking Burden might be the highest fantasy scoring wr on that team, who I can get with a low second? Oduze has more talent for sure, but is he more valuable than Kaleb Johnson in this rb scarce world?
 
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Too early to give up on ARich?

12 team SF, PPR, no K, no D/ST

Verbal offer of Tre Harris for ARich.

My QBs are Darnold + Cam Ward, so I’m a bit weary of sending off ARich even though I could use the WR depth.

Talk me off the ledge.

I have no issues moving ARich but no way am I doing for Tre Harris in SF...way too much room for error on that one...the fact it is a 12 league and that would leave you with only 2 QBs is another big reason not to do it.
I have a few other backups who are an injury from relevance (Zack Wilson, Trubisky, Rudolph) but I kinda agree.

Sadly that’s about ARich’s value until we get any positive news out of camp.

I would probably see if you can obtain Jones at a reasonable price, lockdown the Colts QB position then figure things out from there.
 
What value does Oduze have vs current picks? Where would he fall in this draft?

Lil personal context - got an offer of 1.9 and some stuff for Oduze. Am I wrong in thinking Burden might be the highest fantasy scoring wr on that team, who I can get with a low second? Oduze has more talent for sure, but is he more valuable than Kaleb Johnson in this rb scarce world?
I'm high on Odunze this season. He did well as a rookie in an absolute trainwreck of an offense...something like 55/750/3. I see him taking on the Jameson role in Ben Johnson's offense, but with better hands. His fantasy value is around that mid to late 1st rounder per the calcs I've seen, but I think he's a value at that price. If he were coming out as a rookie in the 2025 draft, I'd expect he'd be the #1 WR taken off the board.
 
What value does Oduze have vs current picks? Where would he fall in this draft?

Lil personal context - got an offer of 1.9 and some stuff for Oduze. Am I wrong in thinking Burden might be the highest fantasy scoring wr on that team, who I can get with a low second? Oduze has more talent for sure, but is he more valuable than Kaleb Johnson in this rb scarce world?
I think he would be the WR1 in this class. Given that I'm a firm believer in talent and tend to be patient, I would want the 1.03 or 1.04.
 
I don't think I've done enough startups to know the "normal" amount of future rookie picks that get traded, but I just finished one where 2 teams control 9 of the 2026 2nd rounders and 6 teams traded their 2026 1st. FFPC triflex, so very shallow rosters and you only keep 16. You cannot trade picks more than a calendar year in advance. I see it more of a keeper league than dynasty, but that's for a different day.

Sort of just interested in seeing how market dynamics play out. I got an extra 2026 1st for what I think is cheap. I think it's very unlikely that all 6 teams who traded their 1st are in the playoffs. Or are happy with their roster construction even if they earn the 1.07 that goes to someone else. I'm planning to hold both of my 1sts because my guess is they're going to become expensive to whoever ends up owning the orphans of those teams or the current managers if they stick it out.

I'm going to be a nerd about what those teams do with those 2nds. They've essentially cornered the market. They drafted a bunch of older players that I'd normally think a tanking team was trying to flip for 2nds, but those trades will not be there. FFPC is a little different in that there's a tournament for the 1.01, so I think guys like Kamara will stay on those tanking teams. I'm not a dynasty legend, but I don't really value actually picking 2nds very highly in a shallow format. I think they make excellent trade chips, though.

I'm not a start-up master man, so maybe this is typical? Figured the sharks could give me some ideas about the smart way to play.
 
What was the offer if you don’t mind me asking?
Eh, it’s not really relevant. It’s IDP, and there was a RB & LB involved for a team specifically saying those are 2 needs.

It’s fine to not like an offer, but value wise I’m confident it was a fair opening salvo. I might have improved it a little but anything beyond that would have been an overpay.

Just a weird way to reject a deal.
 
I don't think I've done enough startups to know the "normal" amount of future rookie picks that get traded, but I just finished one where 2 teams control 9 of the 2026 2nd rounders and 6 teams traded their 2026 1st. FFPC triflex, so very shallow rosters and you only keep 16. You cannot trade picks more than a calendar year in advance. I see it more of a keeper league than dynasty, but that's for a different day.

Sort of just interested in seeing how market dynamics play out. I got an extra 2026 1st for what I think is cheap. I think it's very unlikely that all 6 teams who traded their 1st are in the playoffs. Or are happy with their roster construction even if they earn the 1.07 that goes to someone else. I'm planning to hold both of my 1sts because my guess is they're going to become expensive to whoever ends up owning the orphans of those teams or the current managers if they stick it out.

I'm going to be a nerd about what those teams do with those 2nds. They've essentially cornered the market. They drafted a bunch of older players that I'd normally think a tanking team was trying to flip for 2nds, but those trades will not be there. FFPC is a little different in that there's a tournament for the 1.01, so I think guys like Kamara will stay on those tanking teams. I'm not a dynasty legend, but I don't really value actually picking 2nds very highly in a shallow format. I think they make excellent trade chips, though.

I'm not a start-up master man, so maybe this is typical? Figured the sharks could give me some ideas about the smart way to play.

I've done a lot of FFPC startups. Historically future 1sts are worth a 6th round startup pick and future 2nds are worth an 11th round startup pick.

I have noticed that the price seems to have risen a bit this year, hard to get a 1st out of just a 6th anymore, usually requires a sweetener or a 5th or both. Future picks seem to be getting more and more valuable every year.

I somewhat disagree on future 2nds being low value in FFPC. I love using them as bargaining chips during the current year draft when everyone is in that NFL draft, wheeling and dealing for picks mood. A great way to move up in the draft, or acquire future 1sts (1.11 + future 2nd for future 1st from a bad team, or 2.04 + 2.08 + future 2nd for future 1st from a mediocre team, etc).

It's really been at the core of my strategy in FFPC that has led to some pretty good success in that format.
 
I don't think I've done enough startups to know the "normal" amount of future rookie picks that get traded, but I just finished one where 2 teams control 9 of the 2026 2nd rounders and 6 teams traded their 2026 1st. FFPC triflex, so very shallow rosters and you only keep 16. You cannot trade picks more than a calendar year in advance. I see it more of a keeper league than dynasty, but that's for a different day.

Sort of just interested in seeing how market dynamics play out. I got an extra 2026 1st for what I think is cheap. I think it's very unlikely that all 6 teams who traded their 1st are in the playoffs. Or are happy with their roster construction even if they earn the 1.07 that goes to someone else. I'm planning to hold both of my 1sts because my guess is they're going to become expensive to whoever ends up owning the orphans of those teams or the current managers if they stick it out.

I'm going to be a nerd about what those teams do with those 2nds. They've essentially cornered the market. They drafted a bunch of older players that I'd normally think a tanking team was trying to flip for 2nds, but those trades will not be there. FFPC is a little different in that there's a tournament for the 1.01, so I think guys like Kamara will stay on those tanking teams. I'm not a dynasty legend, but I don't really value actually picking 2nds very highly in a shallow format. I think they make excellent trade chips, though.

I'm not a start-up master man, so maybe this is typical? Figured the sharks could give me some ideas about the smart way to play.

I've done a lot of FFPC startups. Historically future 1sts are worth a 6th round startup pick and future 2nds are worth an 11th round startup pick.

I have noticed that the price seems to have risen a bit this year, hard to get a 1st out of just a 6th anymore, usually requires a sweetener or a 5th or both. Future picks seem to be getting more and more valuable every year.

I somewhat disagree on future 2nds being low value in FFPC. I love using them as bargaining chips during the current year draft when everyone is in that NFL draft, wheeling and dealing for picks mood. A great way to move up in the draft, or acquire future 1sts (1.11 + future 2nd for future 1st from a bad team, or 2.04 + 2.08 + future 2nd for future 1st from a mediocre team, etc).

It's really been at the core of my strategy in FFPC that has led to some pretty good success in that format.
Thanks for the feedback. That helps. My trade was my startup 7 + my 2026 2nd for his 2026 1st and his startup 12th, so it sounds like I was in the range of okay value.

And totally agree with you on the value of 2nds for trade. Not arguing that at all. I just don't want to sit and pick those very often. I'd rather trade that like you said. A lot of dynasty content is centered around roster 25+ and then have a taxi squad and you also are keeping all of those players year to year minus your cuts for rookie picks, so the depth of a 2nd round drafted player is more important. I'd rather have the 28 year old RB in a super shallow format. But like I said, I don't know what I'm talking about.

By way of example, I'd rather have a 2nd than JK Dobbins. But only because I could trade that 2nd for more than I could trade Dobbins for. I'd rather have Dobbins than whoever is going at 2.06 if I'm never allowed to trade either. I'm confident there will be some drafted players in the 2nd that score more than whatever aging RB we put at issue over the next 2 years, but I'm equally confident that I'm too dumb to choose which ones.
 
Back in my day there was an FFA thread called "a note to my coworker; a place to vent." I think we need that for shark pool dynasty trade offers. I send over Lamar + DK for T-Law + Nabers. I think that's close. Hope for an accept, but won't be shocked if it's rejected. The note is "DK to Nabers is a big step down."

No ****ing ****?
 
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Back in my day there was an FFA thread called "a note to my coworker; a place to vent." I think we need that for shark pool dynasty trade offers. I send over Lamar + DK for T-Law + Nabers. I think that's close. Hope for an accept, but won't be shocked if it's rejected. The note is "DK to Nabers is a big step down."

No ****ing ****?
I don't think your offer was close, unless it's superflex
 
Back in my day there was an FFA thread called "a note to my coworker; a place to vent." I think we need that for shark pool dynasty trade offers. I send over Lamar + DK for T-Law + Nabers. I think that's close. Hope for an accept, but won't be shocked if it's rejected. The note is "DK to Nabers is a big step down."

No ****ing ****?
I don't think your offer was close, unless it's superflex
I was about to say the same - plus Nabers is getting tiered up with Chase, JJ, & Lamb. FBG has him as the WR1 for dynasty, for example.

Not sure I agree with that tiering but he is young and super talented. The drop to DKM is precipitous.
 
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Back in my day there was an FFA thread called "a note to my coworker; a place to vent." I think we need that for shark pool dynasty trade offers. I send over Lamar + DK for T-Law + Nabers. I think that's close. Hope for an accept, but won't be shocked if it's rejected. The note is "DK to Nabers is a big step down."

No ****ing ****?
I don't think your offer was close, unless it's superflex
Yikes. Of course it was superflex
 
Back in my day there was an FFA thread called "a note to my coworker; a place to vent." I think we need that for shark pool dynasty trade offers. I send over Lamar + DK for T-Law + Nabers. I think that's close. Hope for an accept, but won't be shocked if it's rejected. The note is "DK to Nabers is a big step down."

No ****ing ****?
I don't think your offer was close, unless it's superflex
I was about to say the same - plus Nabers is getting tiered up with Chase, JJ, & Lamb. FBG has him as the WR1 for dynasty, for example.

Not sure I agree with that tiering but he is young and super talented. The drop to DKM is precipitous.
The point is that dropping from Lamar (maybe the 3rd pick in a start up) to Lawrence is the bigger drop off. Which is why the trade made sense and why the comment didn't.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC. I said no but it did get me thinking about what his value is. 1 QB PPR dynasty.

I'm not a contending team (probably) so it feels like it might be a good idea to dangle him while he's healthy. So what say you carnivorous fish pool. What is a realistic asking price for CMC?
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC. I said no but it did get me thinking about what his value is. 1 QB PPR dynasty.

I'm not a contending team (probably) so it feels like it might be a good idea to dangle him while he's healthy. So what say you carnivorous fish pool. What is a realistic asking price for CMC?
Probably not much more than that, to be honest. You may can try and get a little more-probably looking at a 3rd at best. If you are not contending and you can get anything close to a 1st and a 2nd, I’d sell.

His value can always increase a little in-season-then again, it could drop like a stone with another multi-week injury.
 
If I am not contending... I think I would reply asking for their 2nd. I assume his 2026 would be projected as late (after CMC acquisition). I would use that to my advantage and ask for their 2nd.

I don't think 1.10 and 2.10 in 2026 is a lot to ask. Anytime someone is trading me future picks, I ask for more... when you get a loan from the bank, they charge interest. I charge interest when I am loaning players without any immediate repayment.
 
If I am not contending... I think I would reply asking for their 2nd. I assume his 2026 would be projected as late (after CMC acquisition). I would use that to my advantage and ask for their 2nd.
I would absolutely sell CMC for a single first, or a pair of 2nds if I had him.

I would not pay either of those prices if I did not have him.

I’d probably ask but would expect to see a counter of a 4th or something. CMC is damaged goods, and we know from last year that team reporting simply cannot be trusted. He also has a chronic condition with both of his Achilles/calves.

That makes him a very risky investment, IMO. I’d jump for joy to sell him for a 2026 1st.

I don't think 1.10 and 2.10 in 2026 is a lot to ask. Anytime someone is trading me future picks, I ask for more... when you get a loan from the bank, they charge interest. I charge interest when I am loaning players without any immediate repayment.
It’s not a loan - you don’t get him back next year. It’s a sale. Anything above average value is more like a commission on the sale.

But analogies aside, I agree with the point - future picks are worth less. Most FF folks I make deals with consider it about a half round, so a future first expected to be late is worth a present day mid-second, or maybe a future 1st & 2nd for a present day late 1st. A deal like that just went down in one of my leagues. Rebuilding team at 1.14 punted to 2026 to pick up an extra 2nd and a re-roll on the 1st hoping for better than 14-15-16.
 
The point is that dropping from Lamar (maybe the 3rd pick in a start up) to Lawrence is the bigger drop off. Which is why the trade made sense and why the comment didn't.
Now that i know it’s SF, that point doesn’t elude me. Until now I didn’t know that.

The deal is probably fair but the general perception seems to be that Lawrence is on the rise - I don’t agree with that, BTW.

DKM is in a rough spot in PIT with no QB.

Personally I’d hold onto Nabers with a polite decline and take my chances with TLaw. I don’t roster any of these players, but I’d be much more comfortable with Nabers+TLaw than LJax+DKM.

In this situation the TLaw owner has no urgency at QB, and DKM seems like an asset on the decline. You’re also asking your partner to get 6 years older at the WR position. That’s probably a bigger chasm than most would be comfortable with.

I dunno… just doesn’t seem like a compelling offer even in SF.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC
I said no since I think he might be worth more than that. I understand there's age/injury concerns but it's still CMC.
He's still CMC but you can't ignore the age/injury concerns. If I owned him in a league where I'm not a contender, I would certainly be shopping him around. Next year, he'll be worth a lot less.

Right now, to a contender, I'd put his value at maybe a mid 2026 1st. If somebody is trying to acquire him from you, that tells me he believes he is a strong contender and CMC could put him over the top. I'd use that against him by responding by pointing that out to him that his pick will be a late first, maybe 1.12 so you need more than his first in return. I'd counter with his 2026 1st and 2nd but I'd probably settle for a 1st and 3rd if I can't find any better offers.

Actually, worst case, If I can't get anything better, I'd probably accept his 1st. Nothing worse than holding on to a depreciating asset if you're not a contender.
 
Nothing worse than holding on to a depreciating asset if you're not a contender
I see 2 outcomes:
1. He gets hurt again and is worthless in trade from there out (85% chance, IMO)
2. He stays healthy & miraculously starts 17 games, helping/hurting your team to a later 1st round pick & is still probably only worth a mid-to-late 1st because he’s a year older.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC. I said no but it did get me thinking about what his value is. 1 QB PPR dynasty.

I'm not a contending team (probably) so it feels like it might be a good idea to dangle him while he's healthy. So what say you carnivorous fish pool. What is a realistic asking price for CMC?
What you were offered.
Just piling on to say: this.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC. I said no but it did get me thinking about what his value is. 1 QB PPR dynasty.

I'm not a contending team (probably) so it feels like it might be a good idea to dangle him while he's healthy. So what say you carnivorous fish pool. What is a realistic asking price for CMC?
Might be able to get more in August when teams are hoping to compete and not clutching their 1sts thinking every rookie is the next CMC. But I wouldn't expect much more, I've posted here before but I have tried shopping CMC in multiple leagues where I acquired him cheap last year and no one is interested, much less giving a 1st.

He did recently get traded for the 1.07 & 2.07 in one of my leagues when the rookie draft started, but everyone agreed that owner got bamboozled. Didn't even get Guerendo in the deal and the old owner had him.
 
If I am not a contender, then I would take a 2026 1st for CMC. He's a year 9 RB turning 29 years old in two weeks coming off a lower leg injury. While he has league winning upside at his best, that is a recipe for his dynasty value to tank quickly with one more even minor injury. Best case, you keep him this year and now you're trying to sell a 30 year old RB in year 10 next offseason. What would you expect to get then?
 
If I am not a contender, then I would take a 2026 1st for CMC. He's a year 9 RB turning 29 years old in two weeks coming off a lower leg injury. While he has league winning upside at his best, that is a recipe for his dynasty value to tank quickly with one more even minor injury. Best case, you keep him this year and now you're trying to sell a 30 year old RB in year 10 next offseason. What would you expect to get then?
I agree with every bit of what Ramblin is saying here. On the other side of the coin, if I am set up to win NOW, CMC is the exact player I am trying to get on the cheap with the hope he has one great season left in the tank.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC
I said no since I think he might be worth more than that. I understand there's age/injury concerns but it's still CMC.
His value will go up as the season gets closer. His value is worth more than a 1st when he's scoring 20+ pts a game. Just right now there is uncertainty.

Trading in the offseason is tricky as you should get more value but if a player gets hurt you get zero for him (or much less than you could have). If you want to lock in value maybe look at other teams rosters and get creative with some trade offers. Cook something up in a package type deal. If you are comfortable waiting until closer to week 1 that might be your best value or even after week 1-2 when he puts up 20pts (assuming health as you state).
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC. I said no but it did get me thinking about what his value is. 1 QB PPR dynasty.

I'm not a contending team (probably) so it feels like it might be a good idea to dangle him while he's healthy. So what say you carnivorous fish pool. What is a realistic asking price for CMC?
Might be able to get more in August when teams are hoping to compete and not clutching their 1sts thinking every rookie is the next CMC. But I wouldn't expect much more, I've posted here before but I have tried shopping CMC in multiple leagues where I acquired him cheap last year and no one is interested, much less giving a 1st.

He did recently get traded for the 1.07 & 2.07 in one of my leagues when the rookie draft started, but everyone agreed that owner got bamboozled. Didn't even get Guerendo in the deal and the old owner had him.
It is really league dependent. The CMC owner wouldn't trade him for a first in our league. It would probably take a first and a second at least to get the needle to move even a bit. He breaks fantasy when he plays.
 
If I am not a contender, then I would take a 2026 1st for CMC. He's a year 9 RB turning 29 years old in two weeks coming off a lower leg injury. While he has league winning upside at his best, that is a recipe for his dynasty value to tank quickly with one more even minor injury. Best case, you keep him this year and now you're trying to sell a 30 year old RB in year 10 next offseason. What would you expect to get then?
I agree if you are not a contender you need to move him. I'd see about adding on a future 2nd if possible, like a 2027 second or something like that. Or a back-up RB or a good back-up QB that you could flip in the future for a 2nd if the QB ended up starting. Squeeze that value.

Let the league know CMC is on the block and be creative sending deals to all contenders.
 
Got offered a 2026 1st for CMC
I said no since I think he might be worth more than that. I understand there's age/injury concerns but it's still CMC.
He's still CMC but you can't ignore the age/injury concerns. If I owned him in a league where I'm not a contender, I would certainly be shopping him around. Next year, he'll be worth a lot less.

Right now, to a contender, I'd put his value at maybe a mid 2026 1st. If somebody is trying to acquire him from you, that tells me he believes he is a strong contender and CMC could put him over the top. I'd use that against him by responding by pointing that out to him that his pick will be a late first, maybe 1.12 so you need more than his first in return. I'd counter with his 2026 1st and 2nd but I'd probably settle for a 1st and 3rd if I can't find any better offers.

Actually, worst case, If I can't get anything better, I'd probably accept his 1st. Nothing worse than holding on to a depreciating asset if you're not a contender.
It is a good point that CMC is worth more than 1.10-1.12 if this guy is contending. If CMC is healthy and plays all year that guys pick is likely 1.11-1.12.
 
I agree with every bit of what Ramblin is saying here.
I do too - because I said it 3 posts before him. ;)

On the other side of the coin, if I am set up to win NOW, CMC is the exact player I am trying to get on the cheap with the hope he has one great season left in the tank.
I’m the kind of FF manager who frequently says “F them picks”. But at the same time, I also recognize the future value I’m giving up as the rest of my team ages. So when spending future 1sts I want to make sure it’s for players that have some shelf life and extend my competitive window.

I might take on an old dude as part of a package if I think they still have a year in them, but not as the main target of a deal.

I was actually offered CMC for my 2026 1st and 3rd in a league I lost the LCG & was the 1-seed. I declined and instead dealt that pick (plus a 2nd) for Aiden Hutchinson, a dude who will theoretically be a core part of my defense for years.

For a competitive team, I just don’t see CMC as a very good trade acquisition target. One (predictable) injury away from lighting a future 1st round pick on fire and being in the same place I was before the deal. I’d much rather target a younger RB with those future assets. Especially during draft season when everyone is focused on pick value.
 
It is a good point that CMC is worth more than 1.10-1.12 if this guy is contending. If CMC is healthy and plays all year that guys pick is likely 1.11-1.12.
while true, “if” is doing some serious lifting in that sentence.

Bilateral Achilles tendinitis is chronic and incurable. CMC recently said it has “calmed down”, but it’s not gone. And it could flare up at literally any time.

If I rostered him, I’d move him for any 1st without blinking. Then I’d flip that 1st for a RB who I think I can get a few seasons out of.
 
I know any window can be a trade window, but when should people start looking to unload Lamar Jackson?

I'm sitting with Nix and Purdy in a 12 tm SF league to go along with him and am in win-now mode, but never a bad time to explore options.
 
I know any window can be a trade window, but when should people start looking to unload Lamar Jackson?

I'm sitting with Nix and Purdy in a 12 tm SF league to go along with him and am in win-now mode, but never a bad time to explore options.
I would say now or in the next year for sure if you want to get maximum value, otherwise soon your trade partners will say but he's almost 30....blah blah blah
 
I know any window can be a trade window, but when should people start looking to unload Lamar Jackson?

I'm sitting with Nix and Purdy in a 12 tm SF league to go along with him and am in win-now mode, but never a bad time to explore options.
No time soon I would say. You’re sitting pretty in a 12-team SF with those three guys, I’d be content there.
 
I know any window can be a trade window, but when should people start looking to unload Lamar Jackson?

I'm sitting with Nix and Purdy in a 12 tm SF league to go along with him and am in win-now mode, but never a bad time to explore options.
Having three good starters in SF is a nice advantage, what position would you be seeking to improve (or are you looking for picks)? Depth can be tempting to unload, but it can backfire as well.
 

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