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FBG Playoff Contest this year? (1 Viewer)

If the AFC/NFC title games are Den/Hou and Sea/GB, then I should be golden to make the finals. Lost no players in the WC round.Peyton Manning $29 Knowshon Moreno $17 Demaryius Thomas $24 Eric Decker $20 Deion Branch $3 Matt Schaub $20 Arian Foster $19 James Casey $2 Aaron Rodgers $30 Randall Cobb $16 Greg Jennings $13 Jordy Nelson $13 James Jones $10 Green Bay Packers $10 Russell Wilson $24

 
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Peyton Manning $29 / 0.00

Ronnie Hillman $5 / 0.00

Demaryius Thomas $24 / 0.00

Eric Decker $20 / 0.00

Matt Prater $13 / 0.00

Shane Vereen $4 / 0.00

Arian Foster $19 / 27.40

Dennis Pitta $14 / 11.70

Andrew Luck $17 / 16.90

Andy Dalton $17 / 6.85

Aaron Rodgers $30 / 20.90

John Kuhn $2 / 14.90

Randall Cobb $16 / 2.30

Greg Jennings $13 / 10.10

Jordy Nelson $13 / 8.10

Adrian Peterson $14 / 11.20

TOTAL 109.85

CUTOFF 64.85

Obviously hoping for a Packers/Broncos SB, which would give me 10 players. But I scored way too much this week, and wasted 48 bucks doing it. Not liking the odds when I'm playing against 5,000+ people, but at least I'm still active. I have 7 players alive this week, and I'm hoping that's enough...

 
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If the Broncos and Packers make the superbowl, I'll have the following players on my team (assuming I make the cut):Aaron RodgersGreg JenningsRandall CobbJermichael FinleyPeyton ManningDemariyus ThomasEric DeckerKnowshon MorenoAnyone else have all 8 of these players as well (and maybe more)?
There are nine teams still alive that have all eight of those players plus at least one more from GB or DEN:
Code:
ENTRY	DEN	GB	TOTAL100486	5	9	14103236	6	6	12100743	6	6	12104393	4	6	10102406	5	5	10102900	6	4	10101577	5	4	9104666	4	5	9102004	4	5	9
Thanks for running the numbers. Once I saw the cutline, I knew I was out of it. Had the cutline been much higher, I would feel relatively confident about the 12 and 14 teams likely getting eliminated (no chance the 9 GB team would make it past each cut under that scenario), but I'd still be sweating the three 9's and three 10's. Looks like Denver Vs. SF with a couple of studs from other teams sprinkled in was the way to go. Heck, you could probably advance to round 2 with only 2 or 3 players in the first round :loco:
 
Not really understanding the strategy from some teams who picked 2-3 from each of the 8 wilcard teams. They had 1 heck of week this week but they have 0 chance.

 
Liking my chances with a GB-NE Super Bowl. I would have 13 players scoring for me. I'll score 7 players this week and have all $250 working for me. If Dodds projections are decent I'll get 75 from Schaub/Flacco/Ryan. Hoping one of the GB WRs does 6-80-1 for 20 pts and a NE position player should get 15 pts. That's 110 with Brady and Rodgers left to add from there.I selcted QBs from my off Super Bowl teams because they have less variance.Tom Brady $26 0.00 Danny Woodhead $8 0.00 Shane Vereen $4 0.00 Wes Welker $17 0.00 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 Stephen Gostkowski $13 0.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Matt Ryan $23 0.00 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 John Kuhn $2 14.90 Randall Cobb $16 2.30 Greg Jennings $13 10.10 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Mason Crosby $10 6.00

 
I am really not sure how my garbage team made it through, but here is hoping for a NE-SF SuperBowl. I lost one to a loss and one to IR, not bad. Only 19 bucks flushed down the terlit.....

AFC

PATS

Tom Brady $26 0.00

Stevan Ridley $14 0.00

Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00

Stephen Gostkowski $13 0.00

New England Patriots $14 0.00

RAVENS

Vonta Leach $2 6.20

Dennis Pitta $14 11.70

NFC

SF

Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00

Michael Crabtree $19 0.00

San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00

GB

DuJuan Harris $13 18.50

Randall Cobb $16 2.30

Greg Jennings $13 10.10

WAS

Kai Forbath $9 2.00

SEA

Russell Wilson $24 22.05

Zach Miller $7 10.80

Steve Hauschka $10 11.00

----------------------------------------------------

81.55

CUTOFF 64.85

Peace

 
Not really understanding the strategy from some teams who picked 2-3 from each of the 8 wilcard teams. They had 1 heck of week this week but they have 0 chance.
Yeah, the top 275 scorers from last week put up about 140+ points. You have to think most if not all of those have no shot at the cut this week.There will be a lot of other garbage/no chance entries that actually did make the week 1 cut as well but arent as obvious. Should be interesting.
 
This is the total number of players selected in the contest, by NFL team:

Code:
GB	14529DEN	12740NE	12516SEA	7873HOU	4949ATL	4666BAL	4163WAS	3749SF	3583IND	3487MIN	2869CIN	2576
SF getting no love...
What also strikes me is the disparity between GB and SEA as wildcard teams.If GB loses this week, that is going to knock a ton of people out of contention for the finals but that will also likely make the cut this week. Most helpful to people picking SF to win it all of course, but even moreso considering how few people picked SF players.
 
Made the cut, but not liking my chances this week because of losing a few people from last week. I have 14 players (including Hauschka) from NE & SEA, and barring 1 SEA WR other than Rice putting up top 2 numbers, should have each team's top 2 scorers. Ill only have Andre Johnson and Alex Green also scoring though.Guessing I have no shot at making it to the finals even if NE and SEA get there since Ill lose AJ if NE wins anyway this week, but who knows. A DEN upset and SF winning would probably do wonders for me.

 
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This is the total number of players selected in the contest, by NFL team:

Code:
GB	14529DEN	12740NE	12516SEA	7873HOU	4949ATL	4666BAL	4163WAS	3749SF	3583IND	3487MIN	2869CIN	2576
SF getting no love...
This makes me feel better about my Den-SF team.
Den-SF here too..... just squeaked by.....Peyton Manning $29 0.00 Knowshon Moreno $17 0.00 Lance Ball $6 0.00 Eric Decker $20 0.00 Matt Prater $13 0.00 Bernard Pierce $7 10.30 Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00 Frank Gore $15 0.00 Michael Crabtree $19 0.00 San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 Marshawn Lynch $20 20.60 Seattle Seahawks $13 6.00 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 65.90 CUTOFF 64.85
 
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Based on Dodds' projections, I should have 9 players score giving me a total of 141.2. I didn't pay much attention to the playoff contest in years past, so I have no idea if that is a decent score or not for Week 2 of this thing.

 
I was nervous about making it through week 1, planning on a HOU/ATL super bowl. Reggie Wayne was a big one for me, along with Arian Foster (finished with 82.20).

This week it's HOU, ATL, Cobb/Jennings, and the Ravens D. Only 16 players total, only one eliminated in week 1 (Wayne). Hoping for HOU, ATL wins, with BAL and GB as a bonus.

103959

 
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Went heavy on Baltimore/SF. Like my chances to score if that somehow is how it happens. Although I had 12 total from NE/NYG last year and didn't cash.-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Matt Schaub $20 12.20 James Casey $2 2.50 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Ray Rice $19 12.20 Bernard Pierce $7 10.30 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 Jacoby Jones $6 1.80 Dennis Pitta $14 11.70 Justin Tucker $12 6.00 Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00 Adam Vinatieri $7 14.00 Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00 Frank Gore $15 0.00 LaMichael James $5 0.00 Anthony Dixon $2 0.00 Michael Crabtree $19 0.00 Randy Moss $10 0.00 Delanie Walker $11 0.00 San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00 Ryan Grant $5 2.80 Leonard Hankerson $5 4.70 Kyle Rudolph $8 8.70 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 82.90 CUTOFF 64.85

 
Went heavy on Baltimore/SF. Like my chances to score if that somehow is how it happens. Although I had 12 total from NE/NYG last year and didn't cash.-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Matt Schaub $20 12.20 James Casey $2 2.50 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Ray Rice $19 12.20 Bernard Pierce $7 10.30 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 Jacoby Jones $6 1.80 Dennis Pitta $14 11.70 Justin Tucker $12 6.00 Baltimore Ravens $10 7.00 Adam Vinatieri $7 14.00 Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00 Frank Gore $15 0.00 LaMichael James $5 0.00 Anthony Dixon $2 0.00 Michael Crabtree $19 0.00 Randy Moss $10 0.00 Delanie Walker $11 0.00 San Francisco 49ers $11 0.00 Ryan Grant $5 2.80 Leonard Hankerson $5 4.70 Kyle Rudolph $8 8.70 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 82.90 CUTOFF 64.85
Pretty much counting on Schaub although I could see Grant surprising for a nice game.
 
I went Denver vs SF in the Bowl, but even then I doubt I have enough players to win it all. Not even sure I can get past the AFC/NFC Championship with only six players counting, although maybe so if I have three of the four QBs counting for me. So many people have New England players that I don't think I'll be able to advance unless Denver really limits them.

Peyton Manning $29 0.00

Knowshon Moreno $17 0.00

Demaryius Thomas $24 0.00

Eric Decker $20 0.00

Deion Branch $3 0.00

Ray Rice $19 12.20

Dennis Pitta $14 11.70

Andy Dalton $17 6.85

Colin Kaepernick $26 0.00

Frank Gore $15 0.00

Michael Crabtree $19 0.00

Greg Jennings $13 10.10

James Jones $10 9.10

Russell Wilson $24 22.05

 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.

 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
Those entries you despise actually make our odds of winning much, much better. Sure, you've got to invest a bit in a couple wild card teams that you don't expect to play more than 2 games, but it would be a lot harder the other way.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
According to my latest sim, you have a 0% chance of winning.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I think you'll be a much happier person if you just forego this contest next year
 
5) Most teams seem to have 8+ decent scorers for week 2. IMO this will in fact make the "12+ Superbowl player" entries very unlikely to get through week 2. But I guess that is the whole point. How far can you push it for the SB, but still get by week 2.With #5 in mind, who still likes their chances to advance through week 2, but has 12+ in your SB? How many viable scorers are you taking into week 2?
Have 13 among BAL/ATL for potential SB. 11 potential scorers in week 2, 9 of those quite solid.Only $22 eliminated.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I like having those guys around
1st place: $1,000 + lifetime subscription 2nd place: $250 + lifetime subscription 3rd place: $200 + lifetime subscription 4th place: $100 + 2013 subscription 5th place: $75 + 2013 subscription
You give me 72 entires out of the 5000 and I place one team in the top 5 every time.36 super bowl combos x 2 different sets of supporting players. How many large contests offer you a 1/72 chance of winning???
 
Peyton Manning $29 0.00 Knowshon Moreno $17 0.00 Eric Decker $20 0.00 Joel Dreessen $9 0.00 Matt Prater $13 0.00 Denver Broncos $16 0.00 Stevan Ridley $14 0.00 Julio Jones $19 0.00 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 Randall Cobb $16 2.30 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Russell Wilson $24 22.05 Marshawn Lynch $20 20.60 I was able to squeeze by, 72 over the 64. However, I am already having regrets by not having enough Broncos. Should have added D Thomas. Hindsight is 20/20....I think I can survive the next 2 rounds, but Super Bowl.....even if GB and Denver get there, I don't think I will have enough.Always a great contest though....

 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
Those entries you despise actually make our odds of winning much, much better. Sure, you've got to invest a bit in a couple wild card teams that you don't expect to play more than 2 games, but it would be a lot harder the other way.
Well that depends on how the numbers work out...if 2000 entries all picked a QB and RB from 6 teams; chances are they are all going to advance and anyone who picked a logical team where they tried to stock up on 5+ guys from 2 teams are most likely out this week. Without seeing any metrics and just eyeballing so far; it's tough to tell how much they are going to shift the cut. Besides I'd rather compete against people that have a clue even if it's harder; makes it more fun and interesting.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
According to my latest sim, you have a 0% chance of winning.
Interesting....which week do you have me getting bumped? If you have a sim, post some stats and info already!! Pretty curious to see a more detailed breakdown.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
Those entries you despise actually make our odds of winning much, much better. Sure, you've got to invest a bit in a couple wild card teams that you don't expect to play more than 2 games, but it would be a lot harder the other way.
Well that depends on how the numbers work out...if 2000 entries all picked a QB and RB from 6 teams; chances are they are all going to advance and anyone who picked a logical team where they tried to stock up on 5+ guys from 2 teams are most likely out this week. Without seeing any metrics and just eyeballing so far; it's tough to tell how much they are going to shift the cut. Besides I'd rather compete against people that have a clue even if it's harder; makes it more fun and interesting.
i don't get all this crying about how others select their teams. Part of the contest is determining how much to spend on sb teams and how much is needed to advance. if you overspent on sb teams that is your mistake not others.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I like having those guys around
1st place: $1,000 + lifetime subscription 2nd place: $250 + lifetime subscription 3rd place: $200 + lifetime subscription 4th place: $100 + 2013 subscription 5th place: $75 + 2013 subscription
You give me 72 entires out of the 5000 and I place one team in the top 5 every time.36 super bowl combos x 2 different sets of supporting players. How many large contests offer you a 1/72 chance of winning???
Obviously not a stats guy, huh?Having a few of those guys around is fun to laugh at and in most cases does increase the odds of winning, but when it is so rampant that it has the possibility to severely alter cut lines it loses some luster. Luck starts to play an even greater factor too.It's like when I'm playing baseball and at bat....while it's nice if the other team throws some meatballer throwing 65mph who I can .600 off of if I want to pad my stas, I find it much more fun and fullfilling when I have to face the guy throwing 80-85. I might occassionally K or only hit .350, but at least it was a worthwhile competition.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I like having those guys around
1st place: $1,000 + lifetime subscription 2nd place: $250 + lifetime subscription 3rd place: $200 + lifetime subscription 4th place: $100 + 2013 subscription 5th place: $75 + 2013 subscription
You give me 72 entires out of the 5000 and I place one team in the top 5 every time.36 super bowl combos x 2 different sets of supporting players. How many large contests offer you a 1/72 chance of winning???
Obviously not a stats guy, huh?Having a few of those guys around is fun to laugh at and in most cases does increase the odds of winning, but when it is so rampant that it has the possibility to severely alter cut lines it loses some luster. Luck starts to play an even greater factor too.It's like when I'm playing baseball and at bat....while it's nice if the other team throws some meatballer throwing 65mph who I can .600 off of if I want to pad my stas, I find it much more fun and fullfilling when I have to face the guy throwing 80-85. I might occassionally K or only hit .350, but at least it was a worthwhile competition.
hmmmm, so you're mad at the people who's entries are keeping you from winning, or should we say challenging you.. yet in this doozy of an example you explain how you like to be challenged and even lose or "K" occasionally
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
Those entries you despise actually make our odds of winning much, much better. Sure, you've got to invest a bit in a couple wild card teams that you don't expect to play more than 2 games, but it would be a lot harder the other way.
Well that depends on how the numbers work out...if 2000 entries all picked a QB and RB from 6 teams; chances are they are all going to advance and anyone who picked a logical team where they tried to stock up on 5+ guys from 2 teams are most likely out this week. Without seeing any metrics and just eyeballing so far; it's tough to tell how much they are going to shift the cut. Besides I'd rather compete against people that have a clue even if it's harder; makes it more fun and interesting.
i don't get all this crying about how others select their teams. Part of the contest is determining how much to spend on sb teams and how much is needed to advance. if you overspent on sb teams that is your mistake not others.
Absolutely true...and for a good number of teams I'm sure that's true......but when there are teams only took WC teams and no bye teams and were looking to "reset" their team this week when the rules expressly prohibited it...or guys that only took "bye" teams and were already bumped out.....or they, again, only took the QB and RB from select teams....you can't really think they are playing to "WIN" do you? Does anybody seriously think that you can win this competition with only 4 players active in the super bowl??Only the top 5 win/earn anything...playing to "make the finals" and end up in 800th isn't really playing in my mind. It's like playing for the "just particpated" ribbon rather than playing to try and win. Sure I could have put a team together to easily make the finals...bit whoop...where's the fun in that if you have no chance in winning?
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I like having those guys around
1st place: $1,000 + lifetime subscription 2nd place: $250 + lifetime subscription 3rd place: $200 + lifetime subscription 4th place: $100 + 2013 subscription 5th place: $75 + 2013 subscription
You give me 72 entires out of the 5000 and I place one team in the top 5 every time.36 super bowl combos x 2 different sets of supporting players. How many large contests offer you a 1/72 chance of winning???
Obviously not a stats guy, huh?Having a few of those guys around is fun to laugh at and in most cases does increase the odds of winning, but when it is so rampant that it has the possibility to severely alter cut lines it loses some luster. Luck starts to play an even greater factor too.It's like when I'm playing baseball and at bat....while it's nice if the other team throws some meatballer throwing 65mph who I can .600 off of if I want to pad my stas, I find it much more fun and fullfilling when I have to face the guy throwing 80-85. I might occassionally K or only hit .350, but at least it was a worthwhile competition.
hmmmm, so you're mad at the people who's entries are keeping you from winning, or should we say challenging you.. yet in this doozy of an example you explain how you like to be challenged and even lose or "K" occasionally
Not so much that they keep me from winning, just that they screw up and alter the game unfairly - for all...I do my best to adjust my entries to account for them....but, my original point was it gets pretty frustrating they are showing up to play football by bringing a baseball. Can it increase chances of winning...sure if there aren't too many of them...but it can also distort the results unfairly too. I feel bad for the guys that maybe put in an hour of constructing his team for a good shot to try and win by picking, for example 10 guys from 2 teams and filling in others as they felt are needed to try and make the early rounds...then he gets bumped out by someone who took 20 minutes, didn't read the rules properly and only picked 2-3 guys from 6 teams and has no chance of winning. Maybe I'll be one of them, maybe I won't...but none of us should really have to be in that position because someone is too dumb to understand the rules.Kind of like in your fantasy league when a guys gets an automatic win because the other guy forgot to set his team or quit the league when they were out of contention...then it ends up impacting who makes the playoffs. That's why most leagues allow commissioner control to set teams rosters for these occassions.
 
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
According to my latest sim, you have a 0% chance of winning.
Interesting....which week do you have me getting bumped? If you have a sim, post some stats and info already!! Pretty curious to see a more detailed breakdown.
Pretty sure I have you getting eliminated in week 3. What was your team number again?
 
'rmfesh33 said:
'ShutdownStranger80 said:
'rmfesh33 said:
'BassNBrew said:
'rmfesh33 said:
This does the have the potential to be a great contest; but accounting for all the jackoffs who can't read the rules and compose teams with no chance of winning (just advancing) just totally ruins it for me. Just way to many entries where people took 2-3 players from like 5-6 teams...wish they could all just be eliminated for stupidity and let the real entries compete.

In addition, waiting for results and still not having percentages up yet is pretty sad considering it's a playoff week and there are only 4 games...how much analysis time do they need...most of this should be automated by now anyway.
I like having those guys around
1st place: $1,000 + lifetime subscription

2nd place: $250 + lifetime subscription

3rd place: $200 + lifetime subscription

4th place: $100 + 2013 subscription

5th place: $75 + 2013 subscription
You give me 72 entires out of the 5000 and I place one team in the top 5 every time.36 super bowl combos x 2 different sets of supporting players. How many large contests offer you a 1/72 chance of winning???
Obviously not a stats guy, huh?Having a few of those guys around is fun to laugh at and in most cases does increase the odds of winning, but when it is so rampant that it has the possibility to severely alter cut lines it loses some luster. Luck starts to play an even greater factor too.

It's like when I'm playing baseball and at bat....while it's nice if the other team throws some meatballer throwing 65mph who I can .600 off of if I want to pad my stas, I find it much more fun and fullfilling when I have to face the guy throwing 80-85. I might occassionally K or only hit .350, but at least it was a worthwhile competition.
hmmmm, so you're mad at the people who's entries are keeping you from winning, or should we say challenging you.. yet in this doozy of an example you explain how you like to be challenged and even lose or "K" occasionally
Not so much that they keep me from winning, just that they screw up and alter the game unfairly - for all...I do my best to adjust my entries to account for them....but, my original point was it gets pretty frustrating they are showing up to play football by bringing a baseball. Can it increase chances of winning...sure if there aren't too many of them...but it can also distort the results unfairly too.

I feel bad for the guys that maybe put in an hour of constructing his team for a good shot to try and win by picking, for example 10 guys from 2 teams and filling in others as they felt are needed to try and make the early rounds...then he gets bumped out by someone who took 20 minutes, didn't read the rules properly and only picked 2-3 guys from 6 teams and has no chance of winning. Maybe I'll be one of them, maybe I won't...but none of us should really have to be in that position because someone is too dumb to understand the rules.

Kind of like in your fantasy league when a guys gets an automatic win because the other guy forgot to set his team or quit the league when they were out of contention...then it ends up impacting who makes the playoffs. That's why most leagues allow commissioner control to set teams rosters for these occassions.
:rolleyes: They're playing by the same rules you are. It's not their fault you're not smart enough to anticipate that they'll put together a bunch of crappy teams.

 
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:rolleyes:They're playing by the same rules you are. It's not their fault you're not smart enough to anticipate that they'll put together a bunch of crappy teams.
:goodposting: It is a dynamic equilibrium game with several years of history. One would think if you invest a ton of time into it, you might look at prior year results.
 
Has anybody else noticed t6hat ties are described as being handled in 2 different ways in the rules? There is a set of tie breakers and it also says ties just split prizes.

 
Ignaratio - if you have some free time on a Friday, would you be able to assess this team in your database to see its chances if there's a GB/NE Super Bowl? I'm guessing there's a lot of GB/NE combos but I'm wondering if this one might have a decent shot ($194 on Super Bowl roster). Looks promising to get out of week 2 at least. Thanks! I wish I knew how to do things like this with databases... it would chew up a lot of my free time tinkering around with numbers...Tom Brady $26 0.00 Stevan Ridley $14 0.00 Danny Woodhead $8 0.00 Wes Welker $17 0.00 Deion Branch $3 0.00 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 Ryan Grant $5 2.80 Alex Green $2 0.00 Greg Jennings $13 10.10 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Mason Crosby $10 6.00 -----------------------------------------TOTAL 74.10 CUTOFF 64.85

 
Ignaratio - one more if you're bored: how many rosters have 12+ guys on Atlanta/Houston? Week 2 could be tough to make it out with this team losing RGII/Garcon, although I suspect not many will have the studs on Atlanta/Houston unless they actually went with those teams as they were quite expensive - so there's a chance if the top 4 on those teams combine for 110+. Thanks again!

Matt Schaub $20 12.20

Arian Foster $19 27.40

Andre Johnson $22 10.20

Owen Daniels $14 22.60

Shayne Graham $12 15.00

Houston Texans $12 4.00

Matt Ryan $23 0.00

Michael Turner $11 0.00

Julio Jones $19 0.00

Roddy White $17 0.00

Tony Gonzalez $19 0.00

Matt Bryant $12 0.00

Greg Jennings $13 10.10

Robert Griffin III $22 17.30

Pierre Garcon $15 9.00

-----------------------------------------

TOTAL 86.40

CUTOFF 64.85

 
Ignaratio - if you have some free time on a Friday, would you be able to assess this team in your database to see its chances if there's a GB/NE Super Bowl? I'm guessing there's a lot of GB/NE combos but I'm wondering if this one might have a decent shot ($194 on Super Bowl roster). Looks promising to get out of week 2 at least. Thanks! I wish I knew how to do things like this with databases... it would chew up a lot of my free time tinkering around with numbers...Tom Brady $26 0.00 Stevan Ridley $14 0.00 Danny Woodhead $8 0.00 Wes Welker $17 0.00 Deion Branch $3 0.00 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 Ryan Grant $5 2.80 Alex Green $2 0.00 Greg Jennings $13 10.10 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Mason Crosby $10 6.00 -----------------------------------------TOTAL 74.10 CUTOFF 64.85
No one else has all 14 of those NE/GB players, although there are 22 teams with 14+ players from those two teams. The closest match to you in a NE-GB Super Bowl would likely be 101849. He doesn't have Branch or Crosby but he does have DJ Williams, John Kuhn and Shane Vereen. :shrug:
 
Anyone like the chances of this team? I barely made the cut this week (I guess that's the point).Peyton Manning $29 Knowshon Moreno $17 Demaryius Thomas $24 Eric Decker $20 Matt Prater $13 Denver Broncos $16 Matt Schaub $20 Arian Foster $19 Aaron Rodgers $30 Randall Cobb $16 Greg Jennings $13 Jordy Nelson $13 James Jones $10 Green Bay Packers $10

 
Where will I be eliminated? Team 100562, or BarrellRodells.
You're completely covered in the Super Bowl by team 101290, who incidentally is currently displayed as the last team to advance past week 1 (he scored exactly the cutoff). However, as I posted yesterday, they ####ed up the cutoff so this team actually shouldn't still be alive. You may want to email Dodds to get this rectified. :coffee:
 
Ignaratio - if you have some free time on a Friday, would you be able to assess this team in your database to see its chances if there's a GB/NE Super Bowl? I'm guessing there's a lot of GB/NE combos but I'm wondering if this one might have a decent shot ($194 on Super Bowl roster). Looks promising to get out of week 2 at least. Thanks! I wish I knew how to do things like this with databases... it would chew up a lot of my free time tinkering around with numbers...Tom Brady $26 0.00 Stevan Ridley $14 0.00 Danny Woodhead $8 0.00 Wes Welker $17 0.00 Deion Branch $3 0.00 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 Aaron Hernandez $19 0.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Torrey Smith $14 5.10 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 Ryan Grant $5 2.80 Alex Green $2 0.00 Greg Jennings $13 10.10 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Mason Crosby $10 6.00 -----------------------------------------TOTAL 74.10 CUTOFF 64.85
Wow...our teams are very close. I've got a little more wiggle room in rounds 2 and possibly 3, you've basically got me covered for the SB.Tom Brady $26 0.00 Danny Woodhead $8 0.00 Shane Vereen $4 0.00 Wes Welker $17 0.00 Rob Gronkowski $23 0.00 Stephen Gostkowski $13 0.00 Matt Schaub $20 12.20 Joe Flacco $22 25.80 Matt Ryan $23 0.00 Aaron Rodgers $30 20.90 John Kuhn $2 14.90 Randall Cobb $16 2.30 Greg Jennings $13 10.10 Jordy Nelson $13 8.10 James Jones $10 9.10 Mason Crosby $10 6.00
 
Where will I be eliminated? Team 100562, or BarrellRodells.
You're completely covered in the Super Bowl by team 101290, who incidentally is currently displayed as the last team to advance past week 1 (he scored exactly the cutoff). However, as I posted yesterday, they ####ed up the cutoff so this team actually shouldn't still be alive. You may want to email Dodds to get this rectified. :coffee:
:typing email:Thanks.
 
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Where will I be eliminated? Team 100562, or BarrellRodells.
You're completely covered in the Super Bowl by team 101290, who incidentally is currently displayed as the last team to advance past week 1 (he scored exactly the cutoff). However, as I posted yesterday, they ####ed up the cutoff so this team actually shouldn't still be alive. You may want to email Dodds to get this rectified. :coffee:
:typing email:Thanks.
it looks like it has been corrected. cutoff lines at 4007 teams, 65.85 pts.
 
Where will I be eliminated? Team 100562, or BarrellRodells.
You're completely covered in the Super Bowl by team 101290, who incidentally is currently displayed as the last team to advance past week 1 (he scored exactly the cutoff). However, as I posted yesterday, they ####ed up the cutoff so this team actually shouldn't still be alive. You may want to email Dodds to get this rectified. :coffee:
:typing email:Thanks.
it looks like it has been corrected. cutoff lines at 4007 teams, 65.85 pts.
The line is in the right place on the page, but if you click on all the teams below that line down to 64.85, they show "alive" still. I didn't know the line on the page was wrong yesterday...
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Where will I be eliminated? Team 100562, or BarrellRodells.
You're completely covered in the Super Bowl by team 101290, who incidentally is currently displayed as the last team to advance past week 1 (he scored exactly the cutoff). However, as I posted yesterday, they ####ed up the cutoff so this team actually shouldn't still be alive. You may want to email Dodds to get this rectified. :coffee:
:typing email:Thanks.
it looks like it has been corrected. cutoff lines at 4007 teams, 65.85 pts.
The line is in the right place on the page, but if you click on all the teams below that line down to 64.85, they show "alive" still. I didn't know the line on the page was wrong yesterday...
oic
 

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