Driver being another year older and Jones leaving doesnt help? How many targets to you expect Jennings to get this season?'Zdravko said:I watched pretty much every Packers snap up until the bye in week 10. So, just to get this out of the way, don't go telling me: "Do you watch actual football?" and that kind of juvenile stuff that is so pervasive around here.
Now, remember how frustrated Jennings was up until Week 5-6? Remember why? Google it, the news reports should still be there.
He was pissed because he wasn't seeing enough targets for his taste. This is a guy who expects 10 a game. If gets six, he is cranky - and he has the personality to let you know about it. He was also especially pissed because defenses often left him with single coverage to go after Finley, yet Rodgers rarely made use of that. That last part I can personally attest to: I saw it time after time again, Jennings is wide open downfield, Rodgers throws to Finley anyway.
You can argue whether it was due to play design.
You can debate whether Finley will be as dominant or healthy again.
You can argue whether Rodgers won't find a good balance again.
Regardless, just judging by what my own eyes saw and what my common sense dictates, there is no way Jennings comes close to his numbers from last season unless injuries hit again. The Packers are apt to throw the ball as much as Peyton or Brees, but there are just not enough targets to go around. No way Jordy goes away after that SuperBowl. No way 2nd rounder Cobb doesn't get a few. No way Finley is used for blocking. Add to that an improved running game.
FWIW, I trust my own memory and logic, so I am staying away from Jennings unless I can get him in WR2 range.
Last year he had 123, the year before 119 and the year before that he had 140. An average of 127 targets per season. i would bet he ends up in that same range again this year. At almost a 60% catch rate and over 16 ypc in each of his seasons, and averaging over 9 TD's per season, i would think he is a safe bet for 75 rec, 1200 yards, and 8 TD's no matter what else the Packers have at WR/TE. Unless you think Nelson or Cobb will take the #1 WR job.
I will prefer him as my WR2 as wel, but you could do worse for your WR1. Which 12 WR's would you rather as your #!?