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Meaningless stat (1 Viewer)

Since 1992, the top seed from the AFC has reached the Super Bowl just four times, a 70-percent failure rate
30% out of 4 teams isn't too bad. 44% out of 4 teams is terrific.
 
Stats like this mean nothing. If the colts don't make it won't be because of this stat.
If all teams had equal probability, you would say that any given playoff team had a 12.5% chance. 30% is a lot better than 12.5% - better than double. So, you could infer that the team w/ HFA has a MUCH better chance than any other team.
 
Stats like this mean nothing.  If the colts don't make it won't be because of this stat.
If all teams had equal probability, you would say that any given playoff team had a 12.5% chance. 30% is a lot better than 12.5% - better than double. So, you could infer that the team w/ HFA has a MUCH better chance than any other team.
Correlation /= causation.
 
Snaps1. Death and taxes are said to be the only certainties in life, but coming up fast on the outside is the curse of the AFC's homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. As the Colts taught us once again, whatever you do, don't earn the AFC's top seed. It's the denouement of your Super Bowl dreams.Indy's loss at home to Pittsburgh makes it a staggering 10 times in the past 14 years that the AFC's top seed was knocked out before reaching the Super Bowl. The Colts join a list that includes Pittsburgh in 2004, 2001, 1994 and 1992, Tennessee in 2000, Jacksonville in 1999, Kansas City in 1997 and 1995, and Denver in 1996.Six times in those 14 years, the AFC's top seed hasn't even won its playoff opener in the divisional round. The only teams to buck the trend? New England in 2003, Oakland in 2002, Denver in 1998 and Buffalo in 1993. And if you're wondering, the NFC's top seed is 8-5 in terms of getting to the Super Bowl during the same span, with No. 1 Seattle still alive this season.

 

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