If you select Bush, which I expect 99% to do, explain what you expect the Texans to do with Morency, Wells, and Davis.... not to mention with their struggling O-line and quarterback.
they need to find out what Morrency, Wells, and Davis would fetch in trade. IMO Davis might be worth alot. Is Wells a FA?His late season play probably earned him some hgiher trade value.
I think they should research this in addition to researching the "trade down" offers.
If Davis can fetch a 1 and ?, I say take Bush
I doubt they could get more than a third for Davis. Travis Henry was a comparable player at this time last year and he only fetched a third. RBs don't have as much NFL value as FF value. Keep that in mind. Remember this offseason when there were rumors that James and Alexander were both available for any first round pick? Those were probably just rumors, but my point is that even the better RBs don't command that much in trades. Davis has a 4.1 YPC average and has had durability issues throughout his career. If the Texans could get more than a third round pick for him, I'd be surprised.
Edge and Alexander were expensive and teams would have had to cut players if they traded for them. Essentially they were trading even more for them(picks, players plus cut players)It
seems the salary cap is going to give teams some more room than usual this offseason. I think the wise teams will use the extra money to land a player that will be good for a long time and NOT a bunch of fill-ins that might not be there 2 years from now. IF teams have extra $, Davis may have more value this year than last. Teams competing offers would raise his value
The question still remains, who's going to give up a first round pick for a RB with mediocre per/touch numbers and history of nagging injuries? It doesn't make any sense for a team to do that when they can acquire a similar player at a greatly reduced cost. Serviceable RBs are a dime-a-dozen. Look at last year's draft. Guys like Moats, Morency, Gore, Houston, and Barber were available in the mid-rounds. I wouldn't call any of them stars, but they're all performing adequately.
This year won't be any different. Bush, White, Williams, and Maroney have a good chance of going in the first round. After that, guys like Jerome Harrison, Leon Washington, Joseph Addai, Michael Bush, and others will provide solid value in the mid rounds.
When you add it all up, there's almost no reason why a team would trade a first or second round pick for Domanick Davis. He just hasn't shown that he's that valuable.
Thanks packersfan. Hopefully this puts an end to the "Ya can't pass on the next Walter Payton" argument. Every team drafts the guy who they believe is the best player with their slot (either the best player available or the best match available) or trades down to meet their needs.... using the best info that they have at the time (they don't have the luxury of that players future stats or injury reports).
om Davis is a very mediocre FEATURE back. I've given up trying to convince some people of this, but it's true. He's not significantly better than Wells for example. His FANTASY stats are good because of the way he is used, it's not because of an abundance of talent.Dom Davis's "big contract" is NOT a "big contract". If they want to, they can very easily walk away from that deal or just pay him and use him as a backup. $22M over 5 years sounds like a lot, but it's NOT a high starter's salary. It's high for a backup, but not a starter.Speaking of his contract, all of the news blurbs I've read about his contract indicated GUARANTEES of $8M. That does NOT necessarily translate to an $8M signing bonus. I don't think every form of guarantee will cap-accelerate if they trade him. If he has a guaranteed salary of $4M in his 3rd year for example, that COULD hit his NEW team's cap instead of his old team's. Without knowing the exact contract language, it's hard to say for sure.For the folks saying "what would an upgrade at RB do for a bad team with a bad line" - ask San Diego. San Diego's line was generally regarded as one of the worst in the league and the team was regarded as one of the worst in the league before they drafted Tomlinson. Doesn't seem to be holding them back now does it? Tomlinson is a difference maker. If the the Texans believe Bush is a difference-maker, there is no doubt at all that they should draft him and be done with it.
Seriously, I watch the Texans and I see RBs do well; maybe not always great or at an elite level, but certainly well -- especially considering the fact this team often has no passing game to take the pressure off the running game and a putrid defense and suspect offensive line. When you put all that together, what Davis in particular has done is pretty damn impressive in my opinion.
If they take Bush it just shows how stupid they are. Everyone is so in love with Bush, even if he is as good as Barry Sanders, if he plays for a crap team, he will be just like Barry Sanders, the best running back on a team that sucks. That won't help anything. They need some major help across the board and if they do keep Carr, they will have to pay him big bucks. They just resigned Dom Davis too. Adding Bush would put too many eggs in one basket in my opinion.
