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***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (3 Viewers)

Using the dopey method of multiplying their ownership percentages gives an estimate that about 28 people would have Brady-ADP-VJax. I hope it's that low or lower :) -QG
I get 32. You may want to eyeball these to check that my querier worked:
Code:
Entry #100025100490100983101365102093102333102586103263103407103688103835104033104687104725105336105541105750105877105903106078106212106599106975107332108290108580109000109236109356109463109788110469
 
Using the dopey method of multiplying their ownership percentages gives an estimate that about 28 people would have Brady-ADP-VJax. I hope it's that low or lower :) -QG
I get 32. You may want to eyeball these to check that my querier worked:
Code:
Entry #100025100490100983101365 <---- That's me.  Nickname = Belichick Is God102093102333102586103263103407103688103835104033104687104725105336105541105750105877105903106078106212106599106975107332108290108580109000109236109356109463109788110469
Hi Iggy.- veebles
 
Using the dopey method of multiplying their ownership percentages gives an estimate that about 28 people would have Brady-ADP-VJax. I hope it's that low or lower :) -QG
I get 32. You may want to eyeball these to check that my querier worked:
Code:
Entry #100025100490100983101365102093102333102586103263103407103688103835104033104687104725105336105541105750105877105903106078106212106599106975107332108290108580109000109236109356109463109788110469
All 32 of the had Brady/ADP/V Jax. (I am the lowest numbered of those entries of course :) )I looked at them to see 4 other players that are important to my team to see if they were the key to being unique. Namely Benson, Hightower, Santana Moss, and Daniels.11 of the other 31 have Daniels.7 of the other 31 have Hightower.Only 1 of the other 31 have Santana Moss.None of the other 31 have Benson.So I have a unique core 4 of Brady/ADP/VJax/Benson. I feel pretty good about that.-QG
 
Here's a different twist for the querying Iggy (I'm jealous as a database hound I'd love to get my paws on the same and see what goofiness there is).

What is the most common QB/RB/WR combo out there?

By my dopey math method, there should be about 493 Stafford/Tate/A Brown owners out there :)

-QG

 
Here's a different twist for the querying Iggy (I'm jealous as a database hound I'd love to get my paws on the same and see what goofiness there is).What is the most common QB/RB/WR combo out there?By my dopey math method, there should be about 493 Stafford/Tate/A Brown owners out there :) -QG
I got 892 Stafford/Tate/Brown combos. I have to think about how to query for the most common combo.ETA: not going to get to it tonight.
 
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Here are the number of players off each week, by position-rank. QB-1 means the team's most expensive QB; WR-4 means a team's 4th most expensive WR, etc. So QB1, RB1 RB2, WR1, WR2, WR3, etc. are like a team's "starters".

Code:
Week:	5	6	7	8	9	11QB-1	925	2807	1629	1834	2156	1425QB-2	3307	1763	654	1633	2814	382QB-3	1960	618	499	289	651	12QB-4	299	73	86	18	94	4QB-5	42	20	14	7	25	1QB-6	13	5	6	5	2	1QB-7	8	3	2	3	3	1QB-8	3	3	1	1	6	QB-9	4	1	4		2	QB-10	3		1	1		QB-11		1			1	QB-12		1				QB-13					1	QB-14			1			QB-15	1					QB-16			1			QB-17	1					QB-18	1					QB-19					1	RB-1	3693	1199	930	2025	1378	1551RB-2	3732	2037	1199	2166	747	895RB-3	4001	3329	1416	912	359	669RB-4	3361	1753	1296	902	761	1957RB-5	1371	973	592	930	1096	2667RB-6	475	607	125	662	580	1892RB-7	171	300	22	430	189	1026RB-8	49	163	1	216	46	478RB-9	18	85	1	94	11	142RB-10	1	32	1	32	4	34RB-11	1	5		6	3	8RB-12		1		1		5RB-13		1				2RB-14		1				1WR-1	1005	3962	1359	1681	1099	1670WR-2	2200	2146	2761	1605	514	1550WR-3	2337	752	3036	2201	899	1538WR-4	2176	972	1769	2247	1804	1595WR-5	1739	1491	1127	2241	1624	1540WR-6	896	1229	676	2042	879	1391WR-7	454	711	325	1312	335	843WR-8	224	398	179	691	121	381WR-9	116	189	94	311	73	144WR-10	48	88	40	128	20	39WR-11	26	43	19	32	14	8WR-12	5	16	4	9	3	3WR-13	3	3	3	4	1	WR-14	3	2	2		1	WR-15	1		1		1	1WR-16		1		1		WR-17					1	WR-18		1				WR-19	1					WR-20			1			WR-21						WR-22	1					TE-1	748	758	2242	1692	1477	3859TE-2	3519	812	2155	537	2335	835TE-3	2525	254	429	84	618	321TE-4	547	43	49	3	98	83TE-5	60	10	12		13	19TE-6	12		2		2	2TE-7	3				2	PK-1	1976	1515	1963	3063	892	1367PK-2	2363	2037	1303	1448	1168	1631PK-3	777	1043	467	311	409	389PK-4	215	211	81	49	64	69PK-5	62	46	18	17	20	11PK-6	21	15	12	4	9	13PK-7	6	8	6	11	1	3PK-8	8	4	1	7	4	2PK-9	5	3	4	6		1PK-10	4	6	2	3	2	PK-11	3		1	2	5	3PK-12	1	3	2	1	2	3PK-13	2	3	2	2	1	PK-14	3	1	1		2	PK-15	1	3	1	1		PK-16		1	1		1	PK-17	1				1	1PK-18	1	1	1			PK-19		1				PK-20	1					DST-1	1549	973	2017	2154	1526	2557DST-2	2497	2647	1274	967	903	1639DST-3	706	1253	512	157	418	281DST-4	94	228	111	20	145	25DST-5	14	42	19	3	35	7DST-6	7	9	3		11	1DST-7	4	1	2	1	3	2DST-8	1	3		1	1	DST-9			2		1	TOTALS	52411	39719	32572	37216	28488	36980
What about average money spent as a fraction of total per bye week? Could you figure that out?
 
Here's a different twist for the querying Iggy (I'm jealous as a database hound I'd love to get my paws on the same and see what goofiness there is).What is the most common QB/RB/WR combo out there?By my dopey math method, there should be about 493 Stafford/Tate/A Brown owners out there :) -QG
I got 892 Stafford/Tate/Brown combos. I have to think about how to query for the most common combo.ETA: not going to get to it tonight.
Slacker :lol: -QG
 
Philip Rivers

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Blaine Gabbert

Rivers a popular pick, and for good reason. He was cheaper than the "elite" level QBs, but I feel like he's just as valuable as them. Fitz seemed stable and the Bills should be throwing a bunch this year. Gabbert, I figure is going to start at least half of the year in Jacksonville.

Chris Johnson

Tim Hightower

Delone Carter

Kendall Hunter

Montario Hardesty

Deji Karim

Ben Tate

Derrick Ward

I went with Chris Johnson thinking he'd be a lot less popular than guys like Ray Rice. Looks like I was right. I'm hoping Carter and Hightower end up with the majority of their carries, and I hit a homerun with one of my low dollar backs.

Dez Bryant

Chad Ochocinco

Greg Little

Lance Moore

Danny Amendola

Steve Smith

Cecil Shorts

Antonio Brown

Randall Cobb

Denarius Moore

Dexter McCluster

I'm already having buyer's remorse on Chad Ochocinco - but I think he's the ultimate boom or bust type of player for this contest. If he blows up, then I'm very happy with my WRs. If he continues to be second-string, I could be out of luck. I look a little smarter having Cobb, but we also don't get return TDs. :thumbdown:

Jimmy Graham

Lance Kendricks

Evan Moore

Love Graham this year, Kendricks and Moore are very popular picks I'm sure.

Josh Brown

Rian Lindell

Jay Feely

St. Louis

Denver

Love the upside on St. Louis' defense this year, with Long, Quinn, Hall & Robbins. Denver has some upside from a big-play standpoint with Dumervil and Von Miller. Anything has to be better than their last defense, right?

 
QB- 2 $51 20.4%

RB - 8 $87 34.8%

WR - 11 $77 30.8%

TE - 3 $23 9.2%

K - 3 $6 2.4%

D - 3 $6 2.4%

Tot - 30 $250 100.0%

WK5 $37 14.8%

WK6 $63 25.2%

WK7 $44 17.6%

WK8 $33 13.2%

WK9 $6 2.4%

WK11 $67 26.8%

Tom Brady

Philip Rivers

----------------------

Rashard Mendenhall

Chris Wells

Reggie Bush

Tim Hightower

Ben Tate

Derrick Ward

Marion Barber

Isaac Redman

----------------------

Julio Jones

Deion Branch

Plaxico Burress

Lance Moore

Andre Roberts

Malcom Floyd

Antonio Brown

Denarius Moore

Dexter McCluster

Roscoe Parrish

Michael Jenkins

----------------------

Jimmy Graham

Lance Kendricks

Evan Moore

----------------------

Olindo Mare

Mike Nugent

Jay Feely

----------------------

Buffalo Bills

Denver Broncos

Jacksonville Jaguars

QB - 2 studs - I think that Brady/Rivers will score with the best of them each week.

RB - 4 starting RB's, both backups for Fosters hammy, a TD vulture, and a handcuff in Pitt.

WR - 11 of them, volume over quality - looking for high variance/high potential

TE - 3 is the number - Graham and Kendricks should be solid - Moore is the flyer.

K/DEF - 3 $2 kickers with different byes - same with defense.

 
Went with an extra K and DEF this year versus last year. Hoping to get to the top 150 but my RBs are a bit weak, IMO. Definitely hoping that my TEs step up each week.

Philip Rivers

Ryan Fitzpatrick 150

Chad Henne

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Steven Jackson

Danny Woodhead

Michael Bush

Deji Karim

Ben Tate

Cadillac Williams

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vincent Jackson

Wes Welker

Nate Burleson

Jordy Nelson

Antonio Brown

Dexter McCluster

Roscoe Parrish

Greg Camarillo

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vernon Davis

Aaron Hernandez

Lance Kendricks

Evan Moore

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stephen Gostkowski

Josh Brown

Ryan Longwell

Jay Feely

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Green Bay Packers

New England Patriots

Detroit Lions

Houston Texans

 
I just realized that I probably have a very unique combo with my top 4 RBs all having the same bye week (week 5).

Rookie mistake, see ya guys next year...

 
I just realized that I probably have a very unique combo with my top 4 RBs all having the same bye week (week 5). Rookie mistake, see ya guys next year...
With ~60% of the field still alive after Week 5 cuts and a ton of Week 5 byes you might still survive. Definitely too early to throw in the towel. Especially if you're other positions are solid.
 
I just realized that I probably have a very unique combo with my top 4 RBs all having the same bye week (week 5). Rookie mistake, see ya guys next year...
64 teams did this (have their top 4 RBs all on bye week 5).ETA:1 team has their top 4 RBs off week 6.1 team has their top 4 RBs off week 7.4 teams have their top 4 RBs off week 8.Nobody did this for weeks 9 or 11.ETA 2: 7 teams have their top FIVE RBs off week 5. :lmao:
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Philip Rivers 24

Josh Freeman 18

----------------------------------

Rashard Mendenhall 31

Felix Jones 23

Reggie Bush 15

Willis McGahee 11

Danny Woodhead 10

Joe McKnight 3

Isaac Redman 2

----------------------------------

Lee Evans 10

Lance Moore 10

Nate Burleson 8

Danny Amendola 8

Malcom Floyd 8

Brian Robiskie 6

Nate Washington 5

Antonio Brown 3

Denarius Moore 3

----------------------------------

Rob Gronkowski 14

Aaron Hernandez 10

Lance Kendricks 6

Evan Moore 2

----------------------------------

Rian Lindell 2

Olindo Mare 2

Jay Feely 2

Phil Dawson 2

----------------------------------

Seattle Seahawks 3

St. Louis Rams 3

Carolina Panthers 3

Arizona Cardinals 3

Pretty standard stuff. Used all 30 spots, spent real money at QB1, RB1, RB2, hope to get my flex out of the TE spot quite a few weeks, and loaded up on cheap WRs who will be on the field and score points - just not every week.

 
I just realized that I probably have a very unique combo with my top 4 RBs all having the same bye week (week 5). Rookie mistake, see ya guys next year...
With ~60% of the field still alive after Week 5 cuts and a ton of Week 5 byes you might still survive. Definitely too early to throw in the towel. Especially if you're other positions are solid.
My WR1 (Brandon Marshall) is also on bye week 5...Rolling with Isaac Redman and Taiwan Jones as my only RBs that week. Live and learn. I don't pay much attention to byes in real drafts so it just slipped my mind when putting this team together. It'll be fun to follow this a bit this year though and see what kind of team setups last til the end.
 
So, anyone that used thefantasystar.com in the past for the FBG35K Gameday Scoring app I wrote, I am going to bring this back this year on a different domain.

Last year I bailed on it because of a number of reasons, but I am bringing it back this year. Here are the details.

The new site will be located at http://ffltools.com/fbg35k and it will be similar as in past years where you sign up for an account on the forum there and you'll be able to "link" your 35k teams with that forum account.

I am not going to turn it on for the general public until sometime next week because I have a few things I am working through still.

Last time I set this up, I was on a shared hosting account so there were some limitations with the processing power, now I've got it on a VPS and I'll be able to do a little more with the data, namely I will be adding (current) owned percentages on your team pages and also plan on being able to have a pretty close to exact cut line after each group of games have played on Sunday, then again on Monday.

Looking forward to this contest as always, thanks for putting it on FBG!!

 
So, anyone that used thefantasystar.com in the past for the FBG35K Gameday Scoring app I wrote, I am going to bring this back this year on a different domain.

Last year I bailed on it because of a number of reasons, but I am bringing it back this year. Here are the details.

The new site will be located at http://ffltools.com/fbg35k and it will be similar as in past years where you sign up for an account on the forum there and you'll be able to "link" your 35k teams with that forum account.

I am not going to turn it on for the general public until sometime next week because I have a few things I am working through still.

Last time I set this up, I was on a shared hosting account so there were some limitations with the processing power, now I've got it on a VPS and I'll be able to do a little more with the data, namely I will be adding (current) owned percentages on your team pages and also plan on being able to have a pretty close to exact cut line after each group of games have played on Sunday, then again on Monday.

Looking forward to this contest as always, thanks for putting it on FBG!!
:thumbup: Do you have the rosters pre-loaded? If not, perhaps I could send you all the rosters so people won't each have to enter their own team, like I think it was in previous years.

 
So, anyone that used thefantasystar.com in the past for the FBG35K Gameday Scoring app I wrote, I am going to bring this back this year on a different domain.

Last year I bailed on it because of a number of reasons, but I am bringing it back this year. Here are the details.

The new site will be located at http://ffltools.com/fbg35k and it will be similar as in past years where you sign up for an account on the forum there and you'll be able to "link" your 35k teams with that forum account.

I am not going to turn it on for the general public until sometime next week because I have a few things I am working through still.

Last time I set this up, I was on a shared hosting account so there were some limitations with the processing power, now I've got it on a VPS and I'll be able to do a little more with the data, namely I will be adding (current) owned percentages on your team pages and also plan on being able to have a pretty close to exact cut line after each group of games have played on Sunday, then again on Monday.

Looking forward to this contest as always, thanks for putting it on FBG!!
:thumbup: Do you have the rosters pre-loaded? If not, perhaps I could send you all the rosters so people won't each have to enter their own team, like I think it was in previous years.
Yeah, I have all the rosters loaded up, thank you for the offer though :thumbup:
 
Heya OC... have tried to register, but can't seem to get a confirmation e-mail that will let me log in. Any known delays with that?

 
Good Luck to everyone

Kolb - 15

Fitzpatrick - 13

Henne - 8

------------------

Rice - 35

Forte - 29

Hightower - 14

Woodhead - 10

Karim - 3

Tate - 3

Taiwan Jones - 2

------------------

M Williams TB - 21

S Johnson - 19

Manningham - 19

Moore - 10

Amendola - 8

Douglas - 4

McCluster - 2

-----------------

Daniels - 12

Kendricks - 6

Rudolph - 4

-----------------

Mare - 2

Feeley - 2

Dawson - 2

-----------------

Rams - 3

Bills - 2

Jags - 2

 
Heya OC... have tried to register, but can't seem to get a confirmation e-mail that will let me log in. Any known delays with that?
+1
Same issue
Hey guys, looks like with this being a new server, I forgot to turn on the email component, I just did and activated anyone's accounts that signed up today.We should be good to go, PM me here or there if you have any issues.
AWESOME JOB OC.....Thanks for taking the time..... :thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup:
 
Heya OC... have tried to register, but can't seem to get a confirmation e-mail that will let me log in. Any known delays with that?
+1
Same issue
Hey guys, looks like with this being a new server, I forgot to turn on the email component, I just did and activated anyone's accounts that signed up today.We should be good to go, PM me here or there if you have any issues.
Great! Thanks for doing this!
 
Here is my roster. Not sure about uniqueness, and have an issue around week 6 byes. We'll see.

Matthew Stafford $18 0.00

Kevin Kolb $15 0.00

Andy Dalton $8 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Knowshon Moreno $18 0.00

Chris Wells $16 0.00

Reggie Bush $15 0.00

Tim Hightower $14 0.00

Jerome Harrison $5 0.00

Deji Karim $3 0.00

Ben Tate $3 0.00

Taiwan Jones $2 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Larry Fitzgerald $28 0.00

Vincent Jackson $25 0.00

Lee Evans $10 0.00

Nate Burleson $8 0.00

Danny Amendola $8 0.00

Earl Bennett $8 0.00

Bernard Berrian $5 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Aaron Hernandez $10 0.00

Greg Olsen $9 0.00

Lance Kendricks $6 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sebastian Janikowski $4 0.00

Rob Bironas $3 0.00

Josh Brown $3 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo Bills $2 0.00

Denver Broncos $2 0.00

Jacksonville Jaguars $2 0.00

 
What about average money spent as a fraction of total per bye week? Could you figure that out?
Not sure exactly what you mean by this, can you explain?
I think he's looking for how much money was spent on players with the same bye weeks. For example, if someone had 3 players with week 5 bye costing $5, $15, and $20, then it'd be $40/$250 or 16%. So I'd guess you'd do this for each team and then find the average by the bye week.
 
What about average money spent as a fraction of total per bye week? Could you figure that out?
Not sure exactly what you mean by this, can you explain?
I think he's looking for how much money was spent on players with the same bye weeks. For example, if someone had 3 players with week 5 bye costing $5, $15, and $20, then it'd be $40/$250 or 16%. So I'd guess you'd do this for each team and then find the average by the bye week.
This can just be derived from the ownership stats. Here are the results:Week 5: 23.4%Week 6: 18.5%Week 7: 15.0%Week 8: 16.9%Week 9: 11.9%Week 11: 14.2%So we might conclude that the cut line week 5 will be relatively low, while the cut line week 9 will be relatively high.
 
What about average money spent as a fraction of total per bye week? Could you figure that out?
Not sure exactly what you mean by this, can you explain?
For instance my $ spent in each bye week is:Week 5 - $66 or 26%Week 6 - $73 or 29%Week 7 - $65 or 26%Week 8 - $3 or 1%Week 9 - $22 or 9%Week 11 - $21 or 8%What would be the averages for all of the teams?
 
So, anyone that used thefantasystar.com in the past for the FBG35K Gameday Scoring app I wrote, I am going to bring this back this year on a different domain.

Last year I bailed on it because of a number of reasons, but I am bringing it back this year. Here are the details.

The new site will be located at http://ffltools.com/fbg35k and it will be similar as in past years where you sign up for an account on the forum there and you'll be able to "link" your 35k teams with that forum account.

I am not going to turn it on for the general public until sometime next week because I have a few things I am working through still.

Last time I set this up, I was on a shared hosting account so there were some limitations with the processing power, now I've got it on a VPS and I'll be able to do a little more with the data, namely I will be adding (current) owned percentages on your team pages and also plan on being able to have a pretty close to exact cut line after each group of games have played on Sunday, then again on Monday.

Looking forward to this contest as always, thanks for putting it on FBG!!
:thumbup:
 
pretty stoked to have most all my starters byes before week 8!! They only one late in the year is Johnson week 11, plus I have not seen to many teams with line up. Below are the main guess I will be relying on this year, not a bad corp of guess to rely on!!!

Rivers

Rice

McCoy

C. Wells

A. Johnson

H. Nicks

V. Jackson

O. Daniels

 
29 player roster (had 30 last year)

Tom Brady $27 9.8

Ben Roethlisberger $23 7.3

Decided to go with quality over quantity here. Brady/Rivers was my first thought. After serious consideration, changed Rivers to Big Ben. Ben is truly under rated (ie more likely to be owned by less people), schedule, tremendous depth/speed/talent combo at WR and an opportunistic defense for improved scoring opportunities. Really liked Stafford too, but am very happy with this duo barring injury.

Chris Wells $16 29.1

James Starks $16 6.3

Mike Tolbert $15 9.0

Tim Hightower $14 37.4

Willis McGahee $11 12.2

Derrick Ward $ 3 7.1

Isaac Redman $ 2 10.7

Very happy with the depth here and ownership percentages for Starks and Tolbert. Having the Packers' top RB is money. Surprised so many had Redman. I have no clue why he wasn't used more last season especially in the red zone. He will be special when his time comes. Wells and Hightower were predictably highly owned considering the bang/buck ratio. McGahee should carve out a nice role for himself & produce well at times in this format. Ward was more of a Zag to the main stream Zig of Tate. Very tempted by Reggie Bush, but he is almost destined to break down if featured. New Orleans knew what they were doing with him. Not thrilled with a heavy week 6 BYE concentration, but should be able to survive.

Mike Sims-Walker $11 14.2

Lance Moore $10 19.9

Emmanuel Sanders $ 8 2.9

Nate Burleson $ 8 30.3

Danny Amendola $ 8 23.9

Jordy Nelson $ 7 8.5

Bernard Berrian $ 5 11.3

Antonio Brown $ 3 30.8

Randall Cobb $ 3 4.1

Denarius Moore $ 3 26.5

WR by committee baby! Cheap and effective was the theme. Bye week conflicts at times, but the party atmosphere should compensate if enough picks pan out. Gut instinct was to grab VJax and Dez Bryant; glad I didn't considering the ownership stats after the fact. Conscious decision to keep Emmanuel in the lineup despite Brown's amazing performance. Figured Emmanuel would still be "cheap" and have just as good a chance as Brown any given week. Needed a low ownership % for this play to work and was rewarded with a 2.9

Rob Gronkowski $14 6.0

Owen Daniels $12 25.0

Brandon Pettigrew $11 9.4

Sometimes it's better to take the goods than what appear to be value plays. Had Daniels/Hernandez/Olsen/Kendricks combo set in stone for most of the preseason. Then went the contest thought process...must zag without hurting your team. Gronk should be owned less and have a good opportunity to out produce Hernandez. Pettigrew is a classic non-sexy high quality pick while Olsen and Kendricks are attractive, but over-hyped around these parts. 4 is generally better than 3, but not in this case.

Jay Feely $ 2 23.9

Josh Brown $ 3 21.9

Shaun Suisham $ 3 20.3

Matt Prater $ 3 5.5

Wanted 4 solid kickers. Looks like everyone else has mine too other than Prater. :(

Houston Texans $ 3 18.7

St. Louis Rams $ 3 13.0

Cleveland Browns $ 3 5.8

Like the 3 or 4 team defense strategy. Could have cut some from another position, but decided to roll with this lot. Two week 5 byes. Other positions are strong that week and this combo felt right for some reason. Arizona would have been my 4th, but I preferred to keep Brown/Cobb/Moore & Ward where they are. 4 kickers >>> 4 defenses

Good luck to everyone this season! This is by far, my favorite contest to follow each year.

 
29 player roster (had 30 last year)

Tom Brady $27 9.8

Ben Roethlisberger $23 7.3

Decided to go with quality over quantity here. Brady/Rivers was my first thought. After serious consideration, changed Rivers to Big Ben. Ben is truly under rated (ie more likely to be owned by less people), schedule, tremendous depth/speed/talent combo at WR and an opportunistic defense for improved scoring opportunities. Really liked Stafford too, but am very happy with this duo barring injury.

Chris Wells $16 29.1

James Starks $16 6.3

Mike Tolbert $15 9.0

Tim Hightower $14 37.4

Willis McGahee $11 12.2

Derrick Ward $ 3 7.1

Isaac Redman $ 2 10.7

Very happy with the depth here and ownership percentages for Starks and Tolbert. Having the Packers' top RB is money. Surprised so many had Redman. I have no clue why he wasn't used more last season especially in the red zone. He will be special when his time comes. Wells and Hightower were predictably highly owned considering the bang/buck ratio. McGahee should carve out a nice role for himself & produce well at times in this format. Ward was more of a Zag to the main stream Zig of Tate. Very tempted by Reggie Bush, but he is almost destined to break down if featured. New Orleans knew what they were doing with him. Not thrilled with a heavy week 6 BYE concentration, but should be able to survive.

Mike Sims-Walker $11 14.2

Lance Moore $10 19.9

Emmanuel Sanders $ 8 2.9

Nate Burleson $ 8 30.3

Danny Amendola $ 8 23.9

Jordy Nelson $ 7 8.5

Bernard Berrian $ 5 11.3

Antonio Brown $ 3 30.8

Randall Cobb $ 3 4.1

Denarius Moore $ 3 26.5

WR by committee baby! Cheap and effective was the theme. Bye week conflicts at times, but the party atmosphere should compensate if enough picks pan out. Gut instinct was to grab VJax and Dez Bryant; glad I didn't considering the ownership stats after the fact. Conscious decision to keep Emmanuel in the lineup despite Brown's amazing performance. Figured Emmanuel would still be "cheap" and have just as good a chance as Brown any given week. Needed a low ownership % for this play to work and was rewarded with a 2.9

Rob Gronkowski $14 6.0

Owen Daniels $12 25.0

Brandon Pettigrew $11 9.4

Sometimes it's better to take the goods than what appear to be value plays. Had Daniels/Hernandez/Olsen/Kendricks combo set in stone for most of the preseason. Then went the contest thought process...must zag without hurting your team. Gronk should be owned less and have a good opportunity to out produce Hernandez. Pettigrew is a classic non-sexy high quality pick while Olsen and Kendricks are attractive, but over-hyped around these parts. 4 is generally better than 3, but not in this case.

Jay Feely $ 2 23.9

Josh Brown $ 3 21.9

Shaun Suisham $ 3 20.3

Matt Prater $ 3 5.5

Wanted 4 solid kickers. Looks like everyone else has mine too other than Prater. :(

Houston Texans $ 3 18.7

St. Louis Rams $ 3 13.0

Cleveland Browns $ 3 5.8

Like the 3 or 4 team defense strategy. Could have cut some from another position, but decided to roll with this lot. Two week 5 byes. Other positions are strong that week and this combo felt right for some reason. Arizona would have been my 4th, but I preferred to keep Brown/Cobb/Moore & Ward where they are. 4 kickers >>> 4 defenses

Good luck to everyone this season! This is by far, my favorite contest to follow each year.
See, I don't understand the bolded. You continually reference ownership stats, as if there's some intrinsic value in selecting lesser-owned players. There isn't. All that matters is scoring the most points. This isn't a serpentine draft where there might be some "value" to zigging while others are zagging and vice versa.IF you think Rivers will outproduce Roethlisberger, you're not giving yourself an advantage by selecting the lesser owned Roethlisberger. If you think Tate will outproduce Ward, there's no "value" to taking the Ward just because you think fewer people will do so. If your gut instinct is that VJax and Dez are going to have good seasons, then there's no reason to avoid them because you think they'll be too highly owned.

If everyone else has Antonion Brown, and you have Emmanual Sanders, two things can happen: either Sanders does better than Brown, or Brown does better than Sanders. It's not true at all that you "needed a low ownership % for this play to work." In order for that play to work, you need the $8 Sanders to outproduce the $3 Brown. That's all that matters. Sure, if Sanders turns out to be a better value, then you have a small advantage over the field at that position. If he doesn't, then the rest of the field has that advantage over you.

In fact, if you subscribe to the Wisdom of CrowdsTM theory, then the best values are probably the players with the highest ownership percentages, not the lowest. Obviously there are some biases present that don't make this a truly "wise crowd" but, you know, if the majority of 10,000+ entries picked Tate instead of Ward, or Brown instead of Sanders, there's probably a good reason.

I don't mean to be picking on your entry specifically, you just happened to reference the uniqueness aspect multiple times in your post. Uniqueness is so vastly overrated in this contest. You want the roster that will score the most points. If that involves taking a bunch of highly-owned players, so be it. IIRC last year, Doug posed some hypothetical where he offered the chance, after the ownership stats had been posted, to trade in Arian Foster for Joseph Addai. The idea was that, since Foster was so much more highly owned than Addai (and everyone else) that there was some intrinsic value to taking the lesser-owned player. But there wasn't. Tons of people owned Foster, and not many owned Addai. And you know what happened? The Foster owners did better than the Addai owners, because Foster did better than Addai. :shrug:

 
pretty stoked to have most all my starters byes before week 8!! They only one late in the year is Johnson week 11, plus I have not seen to many teams with line up. Below are the main guess I will be relying on this year, not a bad corp of guess to rely on!!!

Rivers

Rice

McCoy

C. Wells

A. Johnson

H. Nicks

V. Jackson

O. Daniels
Those aren't just the main guys you're relying on, they seem to be pretty much the only guys you're relying on. I don't think this team has a very good chance of surviving past week 6 or 7:
Code:
Player	                ByePhilip Rivers	        6Colt McCoy	        5Ray Rice	        5LeSean McCoy	        7Chris Wells	        6Andre Johnson	        11Hakeem Nicks	        7Vincent Jackson	        6Nate Burleson	        9Dexter McCluster	6Owen Daniels	        11Lance Kendricks	        5Nick Folk	        8Shaun Suisham	        11Jay Feely	        6Houston Texans	        11Arizona Cardinals	6Jacksonville Jaguars	9
 
Quick official note here, and major apologies to you guys trying to maintain databases :bag:

Dexter McCluster had his position switched in the master FBG database a couple of times during the contest entry period. I thought I had this accounted for, but I didn't. The upshot is that three teams (Marquis, #109608, and #109619) snagged McCluster as an RB. All the other teams who have McCluster did so while he was a WR.

For official scoring purposes, the three teams listed above will have McCluster as an RB, and all others will have him as a WR. In other words, on your team, he will be treated appropriately for the column in which he was listed when you clicked the submit button.

 
'Doug Drinen said:
Quick official note here, and major apologies to you guys trying to maintain databases :bag:

Dexter McCluster had his position switched in the master FBG database a couple of times during the contest entry period. I thought I had this accounted for, but I didn't. The upshot is that three teams (Marquis, #109608, and #109619) snagged McCluster as an RB. All the other teams who have McCluster did so while he was a WR.

For official scoring purposes, the three teams listed above will have McCluster as an RB, and all others will have him as a WR. In other words, on your team, he will be treated appropriately for the column in which he was listed when you clicked the submit button.
I'm sure you guys put a lot of thought into this decision. Might I humbly point out two things:1) These teams didn't necessarily want McCluster as an RB. They might have selected McCluster as a WR in an earlier iteration, then made some other change to their roster (not noticing that McCluster had moved from WR to RB) and submitted. So while I get that you want to honor the entrants intentions, you may want to confirm with them if possible and if you haven't already.

2) Since the only difference between WR scoring and RB scoring is that wRs get 0.5 more for receptions than RB, it does seem like these three teams are being penalized - unless, due to roster makeup considerations, they'd prefer to treat McCluster as an RB. But again, that seems like something you should confirm with them - otherwise you're potentially shortchanging them by some points.

Just my $0.02.

 
'Doug Drinen said:
Quick official note here, and major apologies to you guys trying to maintain databases :bag:

Dexter McCluster had his position switched in the master FBG database a couple of times during the contest entry period. I thought I had this accounted for, but I didn't. The upshot is that three teams (Marquis, #109608, and #109619) snagged McCluster as an RB. All the other teams who have McCluster did so while he was a WR.

For official scoring purposes, the three teams listed above will have McCluster as an RB, and all others will have him as a WR. In other words, on your team, he will be treated appropriately for the column in which he was listed when you clicked the submit button.
Wow, curveball :) Thanks for the head-up (says the non-McCluster owner).And thanks for getting the querier back up and going :)

-QG

 

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