Encyclopedia Brown
Footballguy
Him and Luck I would assume will be among the highest %.Benson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster.
Him and Luck I would assume will be among the highest %.Benson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster.
The $13 to $20 WR will be very popular as well. There are a lot of really solid WRs in that range.Him and Luck I would assume will be among the highest %.Benson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster.
Just a hunch. 1.5 PPR plus the flex position can use TE (2 can hit the board in the same week) so I didn't feel as uncomfortable with only 6 WR'sBenson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster. Why did you decide to go with so much $ at TE?
Wow 18! I thought my 22 was lean and bold. You have massive talent in the WR/TE department, good pair of QBs. Your RBs hinge upon Ridley keeping the job.After at least 30 changes I'm done and I still don't like my RB or WR. Started out with 25+ total players and slowly keep leaning towards fewer players, more studs. Last year I had a bunch of low priced players that didn't pan out and I didn't have a backup QB (McNabb)... so that has something to do with my strategy change this year. Hoping to do better than last year's Week 11 bust.QB - Eli Manning - NYG/11 - $21QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19RB - Chris Johnson - TEN/11 - $27RB - Jamaal Charles - KC/7 - $24RB - Stevan Ridley - NE/9 - $16RB - Kendall Hunter - SF/9 - $6RB - Robert Turbin - SEA/11 - $6RB - Taiwan Jones - OAK/5 - $2WR - A.J. Green - CIN/8 - $22WR - Greg Jennings - GB/10 - $21WR - Percy Harvin - MIN/11 - $20WR - Kendall Wright - TEN/11 - $6TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29TE - Brandon Pettigrew - DET/5 - $15PK - Matt Bryant - ATL/7 - $4PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/8 - $5TD - New York Jets - NYJ/9 - $4Total value: 250
I think the TE 1.5 PPR and TE flex option helpsBenson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster. Why did you decide to go with so much $ at TE?
It was for Leroy....so many posts that it got lost in the shuffle.I think the TE 1.5 PPR and TE flex option helpsBenson will for sure be on a high % as will Royster. Why did you decide to go with so much $ at TE?
I have Titus Young too^it's funny you say that, cuz as a longtime lurker at these forums you're one of the people I historically find myself agreeing with oftenblahblahBut anyways, I've gone and changed my entry AGAIN lol. Gave thought to potential RB issues and used the profit from the QB switch on David Wilson rather than Titus Young. After doing that, I had another dollar so I upgraded from NE to the SF defense.
teamTotal value: 250
 I kept putting Wilson on, but then I kept deciding that rather than Wilson and one of my fliers, Hillis was a better choice.  Or Kevin Smith.  Or Ingram.  It changed a lot.
   I kept putting Wilson on, but then I kept deciding that rather than Wilson and one of my fliers, Hillis was a better choice.  Or Kevin Smith.  Or Ingram.  It changed a lot.I keep seeing 4 out 5 of my selections at WR keep popping up.....except they more total options at WR....in the poker world they have me dominated lolQB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19
QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/8 - $11
RB - Arian Foster - HOU/8 - $34
RB - Darren McFadden - OAK/5 - $26
RB - Kendall Hunter - SF/9 - $6
RB - Jonathan Dwyer - PIT/4 - $4
RB - Cedric Benson - GB/10 - $3
RB - Evan Royster - WAS/10 - $3
WR - Calvin Johnson - DET/5 - $29
WR - Julio Jones - ATL/7 - $23
WR - Brandon Marshall - CHI/6 - $22
WR - Justin Blackmon - JAX/6 - $7
WR - Davone Bess - MIA/7 - $6
WR - Danny Amendola - STL/9 - $6
TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29
TE - Scott Chandler - BUF/8 - $6
PK - Rob Bironas - TEN/11 - $3
PK - Matt Prater - DEN/7 - $3
PK - Justin Medlock - CAR/6 - $3
TD - Seattle Seahawks - SEA/11 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/8 - $3
21 players, $250
i think i see the problemHoping to do better than last year's Week 11 bust.
QB - Eli Manning - NYG/11 - $21
QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19
RB - Chris Johnson - TEN/11 - $27
RB - Jamaal Charles - KC/7 - $24
RB - Stevan Ridley - NE/9 - $16
RB - Kendall Hunter - SF/9 - $6
RB - Robert Turbin - SEA/11 - $6
RB - Taiwan Jones - OAK/5 - $2
WR - A.J. Green - CIN/8 - $22
WR - Greg Jennings - GB/10 - $21
WR - Percy Harvin - MIN/11 - $20
WR - Kendall Wright - TEN/11 - $6
TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29
TE - Brandon Pettigrew - DET/5 - $15
PK - Matt Bryant - ATL/7 - $4
PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3
TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/8 - $5
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/9 - $4
Total value: 250
I changed that garbage to even better garbage. QB - Eli Manning - NYG/11 - $21QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19RB - Chris Johnson - TEN/11 - $27RB - DeMarco Murray - DAL/5 - $24RB - Reggie Bush - MIA/7 - $20RB - C.J. Spiller - BUF/8 - $15RB - Robert Turbin - SEA/11 - $6RB - Taiwan Jones - OAK/5 - $2WR - Antonio Brown - PIT/4 - $17WR - Eric Decker - DEN/7 - $17WR - Torrey Smith - BAL/8 - $16WR - Titus Young - DET/5 - $10WR - Kendall Wright - TEN/11 - $6TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29TE - Anthony Fasano - MIA/7 - $6PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3PK - Matt Prater - DEN/7 - $3TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/9 - $6TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/8 - $3Total value: 250After at least 30 changes I'm done and I still don't like my RB or WR. Started out with 25+ total players and slowly keep leaning towards fewer players, more studs. Last year I had a bunch of low priced players that didn't pan out and I didn't have a backup QB (McNabb)... so that has something to do with my strategy change this year. Hoping to do better than last year's Week 11 bust.QB - Eli Manning - NYG/11 - $21QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19RB - Chris Johnson - TEN/11 - $27RB - Jamaal Charles - KC/7 - $24RB - Stevan Ridley - NE/9 - $16RB - Kendall Hunter - SF/9 - $6RB - Robert Turbin - SEA/11 - $6RB - Taiwan Jones - OAK/5 - $2WR - A.J. Green - CIN/8 - $22WR - Greg Jennings - GB/10 - $21WR - Percy Harvin - MIN/11 - $20WR - Kendall Wright - TEN/11 - $6TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29TE - Brandon Pettigrew - DET/5 - $15PK - Matt Bryant - ATL/7 - $4PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/8 - $5TD - New York Jets - NYJ/9 - $4Total value: 250
 ray:
ray:You big test will come week 7....but I'm thinking that will be a lower cut line with so many teams on byes. I have two huge tests....week 6 and 8....borderline stupid and I will probably be bounced one of those two weeks.my strategy was to try and win 1st place. super high on locker, royster and lewis and thomas+benson were great cheap depth. because of those guys, i put my extra cash into k and d rather than excess depth. based on matchups, my team output with ryan and gates was very similar as rodgers and graham, so i went with the former. andre has a very nice schedule down the stretch so i took him over julio. i ignored the first few weeks and tried to raise my floor+maximize my late season output. that led me to take britt and mendy.now i just pray for good healthCode:matt ryanlockerricemccoymendyroysterbensoncalvinandre johnsonmarshallbrittroyalmike thomasgatesmercedes lewisakershenrygouldphillybufsearay:
 
 Dwyer, Benson, Royster look to be on a TON of rosters. Flacco too, and Tannehill.
 is there an app to see how many rosters have these guys?  Why would someone not roster Benson? At $3 he's easily the value pick of this thing (at least before the season starts)
   is there an app to see how many rosters have these guys?  Why would someone not roster Benson? At $3 he's easily the value pick of this thing (at least before the season starts)DougMcCluster is listed in the ownership stats as a WR and in the contest he is listed as a RB.Locked, but a couple of entries will likely change into staff entries between now and the weekend.
Ownership stats
Week 1 sim
Ah yes, thanks. I'll get that fixed.DougMcCluster is listed in the ownership stats as a WR and in the contest he is listed as a RB.Locked, but a couple of entries will likely change into staff entries between now and the weekend.
Ownership stats
Week 1 sim
QuerierLocked, but a couple of entries will likely change into staff entries between now and the weekend.
Ownership stats
Week 1 sim
The prices this year really affected the ownership stats. I think there's a little more variance. Plus, Calvin is the most-owned WR and Graham is the most-owned TE? The top dollar guys usually aren't the most popular.
I hope when people post their rosters, they give reasoning behind their selections. I enjoy reading those more than just looking at who people picked.
 My annual plea: Please, people, don't just throw up a list of your players.  After 30 or 40 of those, the names just run together.  Breaking it down and explaining the thought process behind your picks is a lot more valuable and interesting.  My team
    My annual plea: Please, people, don't just throw up a list of your players.  After 30 or 40 of those, the names just run together.  Breaking it down and explaining the thought process behind your picks is a lot more valuable and interesting.  My team reface: I think the key to the contest is a combination of not just picking the value players, but also making sure the players picked "balance" bye weeks, so when a stud at one position is on bye the other positions can pick up the slack.  If that's done properly, a 24 man roster can provice as much flexibility as a 30 man roster, but with better players.QB:Stafford (5) $26Locker (11)  $9Thought Stafford was the best-priced of the top tier, plus he has the early bye week.  Had Flacco as my backup for most of the time, but swapped for Locker at the last minute to free up $2 (not to mention being able to avoid actually rooting for Flacco againstt the Steelers in Week 13).  Locker should be good enough to get me by unless Stafford is out for an extended period, and if that happens, I'm probably toast anyhow.RB:Foster (8) $34Sproles (6) $23Lynch (11)  $19Benson (10) $3Royster (10) $3Taiwan Jones (5) $2Splurged on Foster with Sproles and Lynch as (hopefully) steady contributors.  Benson and Royster are obvious values and at this point are almost "defensive" picks--everyone else will have them, so if you don't and they do produce as advertised, you're in trouble.   Jones is the cheap lottery ticket. Last year I was foolish enough to take McFadden without his handcuff and it killed me, so I figured I'd try it the other way around this year.  WR:Julio Jones (7) $23A. Brown (4) $16K. Britt (11) $13T. Young (5) $10J. Blackmon (6) $6S. Smith ( St. L 9) $5H. Douglas (7) $3I like this group's potential, as I think any of the top 6 can provide a big score.   Also, with the top 6 guys all having differnet bye weeks, I think my 7 WRs serve as well as teams having 8 or 9 WRs whose byes aren't as balanced.  Douglas can provide some bye week coverage and is a semi-handcuff for Julio.  Thought about Calvin, but with Stafford, Pettigrew and Young I had my quota of Lions, and I didn't like the overall liineup as much trying to work with Ryan/Calvin instead.  As a bonus, all 7 WRs (as are all my top TEs) are active the week of Foster's bye, so I only need 2 RBs to have decent weeks and I can get my flex score here or at TE.  Britt may be the key to my season: he is an obvious risk, but if he's healthy and out of jail, he has top 10 potential for WR3 money.  I went back and forth with using somebody "safer" like Garcon or Wayne, but finally decided that "safe" doesn't win.TE:V. Davis (9) $17Pettigrew (5) $15Allen (4) $2Would have been nice to have Gronk or Graham, but they were cost-prohibitive.  With Davis and Pettigrew costing only $3 more than Graham alone, they seemed like the way to go.  One or the other should put up numbers not too far off of the top guys each week and they give me the chance of flex points too. Again, bye weeks are balanced nicely with my important WRs and RBs so that when Davis or Pettigrew aren't active my big guns elsewhere are (and vice versa). Allen is obviously a flier/emergency fill in whose price was right. K:Nugent, Carpenter, Suisham--3 $3 guys with different bye weeks.  Does it really matter?D:Jets, Saints, Colts.  Had 3 $3 defenses, but had a dollar leftover to upgrade from the Bengals to the Jets.  I think kickers and defenses are somewhat underrated in the contest--getting double digit scores from either a D or a K each week is huge, and I can't see going with less than 3 of each to try and get that.
reface: I think the key to the contest is a combination of not just picking the value players, but also making sure the players picked "balance" bye weeks, so when a stud at one position is on bye the other positions can pick up the slack.  If that's done properly, a 24 man roster can provice as much flexibility as a 30 man roster, but with better players.QB:Stafford (5) $26Locker (11)  $9Thought Stafford was the best-priced of the top tier, plus he has the early bye week.  Had Flacco as my backup for most of the time, but swapped for Locker at the last minute to free up $2 (not to mention being able to avoid actually rooting for Flacco againstt the Steelers in Week 13).  Locker should be good enough to get me by unless Stafford is out for an extended period, and if that happens, I'm probably toast anyhow.RB:Foster (8) $34Sproles (6) $23Lynch (11)  $19Benson (10) $3Royster (10) $3Taiwan Jones (5) $2Splurged on Foster with Sproles and Lynch as (hopefully) steady contributors.  Benson and Royster are obvious values and at this point are almost "defensive" picks--everyone else will have them, so if you don't and they do produce as advertised, you're in trouble.   Jones is the cheap lottery ticket. Last year I was foolish enough to take McFadden without his handcuff and it killed me, so I figured I'd try it the other way around this year.  WR:Julio Jones (7) $23A. Brown (4) $16K. Britt (11) $13T. Young (5) $10J. Blackmon (6) $6S. Smith ( St. L 9) $5H. Douglas (7) $3I like this group's potential, as I think any of the top 6 can provide a big score.   Also, with the top 6 guys all having differnet bye weeks, I think my 7 WRs serve as well as teams having 8 or 9 WRs whose byes aren't as balanced.  Douglas can provide some bye week coverage and is a semi-handcuff for Julio.  Thought about Calvin, but with Stafford, Pettigrew and Young I had my quota of Lions, and I didn't like the overall liineup as much trying to work with Ryan/Calvin instead.  As a bonus, all 7 WRs (as are all my top TEs) are active the week of Foster's bye, so I only need 2 RBs to have decent weeks and I can get my flex score here or at TE.  Britt may be the key to my season: he is an obvious risk, but if he's healthy and out of jail, he has top 10 potential for WR3 money.  I went back and forth with using somebody "safer" like Garcon or Wayne, but finally decided that "safe" doesn't win.TE:V. Davis (9) $17Pettigrew (5) $15Allen (4) $2Would have been nice to have Gronk or Graham, but they were cost-prohibitive.  With Davis and Pettigrew costing only $3 more than Graham alone, they seemed like the way to go.  One or the other should put up numbers not too far off of the top guys each week and they give me the chance of flex points too. Again, bye weeks are balanced nicely with my important WRs and RBs so that when Davis or Pettigrew aren't active my big guns elsewhere are (and vice versa). Allen is obviously a flier/emergency fill in whose price was right. K:Nugent, Carpenter, Suisham--3 $3 guys with different bye weeks.  Does it really matter?D:Jets, Saints, Colts.  Had 3 $3 defenses, but had a dollar leftover to upgrade from the Bengals to the Jets.  I think kickers and defenses are somewhat underrated in the contest--getting double digit scores from either a D or a K each week is huge, and I can't see going with less than 3 of each to try and get that.In response to Blackmon, he's a cheap wr who should get the most targets on a team that most figure to be playing from behind most of the time. Not to mention that Gabbert looks slightly improved and practically force fed Blackmon the ball in the preseason. I definitely can see some 8 catch games this year which even with a 10 ypc makes him well worth the $7.'FUBAR said:Surprised to see 4 teams have my top 4 WRs: JJones, Harvin, Marshall and Dez. 31 teams have my top players at the key positions - Stafford, McFadden, Jones, and Gates. Not sure if this is a good thing or bad thing.QuerierLocked, but a couple of entries will likely change into staff entries between now and the weekend.
Ownership stats
Week 1 sim
Thankfully, when I add my 2nd RB (R Bush) my team becomes unique.
Why is Blackmon the 2nd most popular WR? Rookie WR with a bad QB.
Other than him though, no real surprises among the most popular picks.
QB: Stafford, Flacco RB: McFadden, Bush, Mendenhall, Dwyer, Benson, RoysterWR: JJones, Marshall, Harvin, Dez, Amendola, Baldwin, BroylesTE: Gates, Cook, DreessenPK: Gould, Prater, SuishamTD: Steelers, Texans, Seahawks
Surprised to see 4 teams have my top 4 WRs: JJones, Harvin, Marshall and Dez. 31 teams have my top players at the key positions - Stafford, McFadden, Jones, and Gates. Not sure if this is a good thing or bad thing.QuerierLocked, but a couple of entries will likely change into staff entries between now and the weekend.
Ownership stats
Week 1 sim
Great minds think alike! (except for defense)QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19
QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/8 - $11
RB - Arian Foster - HOU/8 - $34
RB - Darren McFadden - OAK/5 - $26
RB - Kendall Hunter - SF/9 - $6
RB - Jonathan Dwyer - PIT/4 - $4
RB - Cedric Benson - GB/10 - $3
RB - Evan Royster - WAS/10 - $3
WR - Calvin Johnson - DET/5 - $29
WR - Julio Jones - ATL/7 - $23
WR - Brandon Marshall - CHI/6 - $22
WR - Justin Blackmon - JAX/6 - $7
WR - Davone Bess - MIA/7 - $6
WR - Danny Amendola - STL/9 - $6
TE - Jimmy Graham - NO/6 - $29
TE - Scott Chandler - BUF/8 - $6
PK - Rob Bironas - TEN/11 - $3
PK - Matt Prater - DEN/7 - $3
PK - Justin Medlock - CAR/6 - $3
TD - Seattle Seahawks - SEA/11 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/8 - $3
21 players, $250
Go to the main site, look for the "MyFBG" link, then on the next page find the "My Contest Team" link.I see the contest is closed now, but how can I see my team? I submitted it a couple days ago but forgot who the hell is on the roster. Thanks.
and "MyFBG Main" will be found on the upper left side under the "forecast" menu on the FBG home page.Go to the main site, look for the "MyFBG" link, then on the next page find the "My Contest Team" link.I see the contest is closed now, but how can I see my team? I submitted it a couple days ago but forgot who the hell is on the roster. Thanks.
Just click here to see your team.and "MyFBG Main" will be found on the upper left side under the "forecast" menu on the FBG home page.Go to the main site, look for the "MyFBG" link, then on the next page find the "My Contest Team" link.I see the contest is closed now, but how can I see my team? I submitted it a couple days ago but forgot who the hell is on the roster. Thanks.
Yeah, that's a weird sim for sure, probably using very conservative Week 1 projections. Only about a 25 point variance spread out among 10,000 teams.
I was more pointing out that according to the rules, 13,500 entries survive week 1, so everyone should have a 100% chance, no?Yeah, that's a weird sim for sure, probably using very conservative Week 1 projections. Only about a 25 point variance spread out among 10,000 teams.
