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Official 2016 GOP thread: Is it really going to be Donald Trump?? (1 Viewer)

Apparently the real polls are starting to filter in - Rasmussen (yeah, yeah) and Suffolk plus one out of NH - and the Trump is down (in Ras by as much as -9) but still holding the lead due to the scattered field.

Right now it's starting to shake out that the race will consist of frontrunners: Trump, Bush, Kasich, Fiorina, Rubio, maybe Carson, maybe Paul.
that sounds too reasonable.
 
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?

 
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?
I don't think I'd say they're scared of Trump. They're smart enough and have enough pollsters and analysts to know that he has zero chance of winning the nomination. I'd say they're frustrated by him, for a number of reasons.

 
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?
I don't think I'd say they're scared of Trump. They're smart enough and have enough pollsters and analysts to know that he has zero chance of winning the nomination. I'd say they're frustrated by him, for a number of reasons.
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?
I don't think I'd say they're scared of Trump. They're smart enough and have enough pollsters and analysts to know that he has zero chance of winning the nomination. I'd say they're frustrated by him, for a number of reasons.
If this is true, they have no one to blame but themselves then. Ignore him, don't give him run time and he goes away. Treat him like they do everyone else they don't want there. For some reason, they aren't doing that though which leads me to believe it's more than just being frustrated. But it's really just a guess on my part. I have no idea what they're thinking over there.

 
I think the Republicans are scared of Trump not because they think he'll win, but because he appears to be damaging the Republican brand and the eventual nominee.*

*At least that's the perception. It's possible to make the opposite case that he's making the rest of them more reasonable, or that the increased attention to the debates will eventually work to the benefit of whoever wins the nomination.

 
Right now it's starting to shake out that the race will consist of frontrunners: Trump, Bush, Kasich, Fiorina, Rubio, maybe Carson, maybe Paul.
I'm surprised Kasich isn't getting more love...I thought he clearly was one of the night's winners. He has a compelling story too.
Agreed. I'm surprised he made it into the post above though. I figured he was too "normal" or "moderate" to have a chance.

 
I think the Republicans are scared of Trump not because they think he'll win, but because he appears to be damaging the Republican brand and the eventual nominee.*

*At least that's the perception. It's possible to make the opposite case that he's making the rest of them more reasonable, or that the increased attention to the debates will eventually work to the benefit of whoever wins the nomination.
Then the Republicans are more out of touch than I give them credit for. If they believe there is more damage to be done to their "brand" I don't know what to say.

 
Rick Perry's out of money. Can't afford to pay his campaign staff.

This doesn't necessarily mean it's the end. Newt Gingrich had this same thing happen to him in the summer of 2011, and managed to stay in the race nearly another year, due to some good debate appearances. But it's going to be tougher for Perry because so many people are in the race and because his numbers are so poor. Look for him to be one of the first to bow out.

 
Rick Perry's out of money. Can't afford to pay his campaign staff.

This doesn't necessarily mean it's the end. Newt Gingrich had this same thing happen to him in the summer of 2011, and managed to stay in the race nearly another year, due to some good debate appearances. But it's going to be tougher for Perry because so many people are in the race and because his numbers are so poor. Look for him to be one of the first to bow out.
It's also part of the dumb structure of things now - the SuperPAC that supports his candidacy is actually ramping thing up :smh:

-QG

 
Right now it's starting to shake out that the race will consist of frontrunners: Trump, Bush, Kasich, Fiorina, Rubio, maybe Carson, maybe Paul.
I'm surprised Kasich isn't getting more love...I thought he clearly was one of the night's winners. He has a compelling story too.
This might sound ridiculously shallow, but the guy has some real strange facial gestures when he talks.Actually, a new Franklin Pierce University poll came out today and Kasich has jumped to 3rd in New Hampshire.

Post debate, Rubio has surged in Iowa and Kasich has surged in New Hampshire.

 
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I don't know if its been brought up yet, but the primary schedule actually kind of plays out for Trump. If he takes Iowa and NH(where he's leading in both), he'll then have an open primary in SC, a closed one in NV and then Super Tuesday where half are open. I'd imagine at the least he'd draw more support from Democrats in the opens...even if just to prop him up to keep him going. If the R's don't squash him quick (if they even want to) he's going to spiral out of control.

 
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?
I don't think I'd say they're scared of Trump. They're smart enough and have enough pollsters and analysts to know that he has zero chance of winning the nomination. I'd say they're frustrated by him, for a number of reasons.
Was out...completely detached from everything for two weeks...which was really nice, but I missed the first "debate". Watched a bit of FoxNews for the first time since last election cycle and didn't realize how scared of Trump they are over there. Sorta hate I missed the dog and pony show. When's the next one?
I don't think I'd say they're scared of Trump. They're smart enough and have enough pollsters and analysts to know that he has zero chance of winning the nomination. I'd say they're frustrated by him, for a number of reasons.
If this is true, they have no one to blame but themselves then. Ignore him, don't give him run time and he goes away. Treat him like they do everyone else they don't want there. For some reason, they aren't doing that though which leads me to believe it's more than just being frustrated. But it's really just a guess on my part. I have no idea what they're thinking over there.
They don't want him to run as an Indy. They made their position known with the first question of the debate.

 
Apparently the real polls are starting to filter in - Rasmussen (yeah, yeah) and Suffolk plus one out of NH - and the Trump is down (in Ras by as much as -9) but still holding the lead due to the scattered field.

Right now it's starting to shake out that the race will consist of frontrunners: Trump, Bush, Kasich, Fiorina, Rubio, maybe Carson, maybe Paul.
God, why? I know Trump will eventually fall away, but I don't get this. He's anything but special and his name is a huge drag on the voter pool. Kasich, Walker, Rubio, or Fiorina would be significantly better choices.

 
Apparently the real polls are starting to filter in - Rasmussen (yeah, yeah) and Suffolk plus one out of NH - and the Trump is down (in Ras by as much as -9) but still holding the lead due to the scattered field.

Right now it's starting to shake out that the race will consist of frontrunners: Trump, Bush, Kasich, Fiorina, Rubio, maybe Carson, maybe Paul.
God, why? I know Trump will eventually fall away, but I don't get this. He's anything but special and his name is a huge drag on the voter pool. Kasich, Walker, Rubio, or Fiorina would be significantly better choices.
I'm not sure Trump goes away.
 
Wow. I don't think I can recall anything quite like this now. In every other case, gaffes like the ones Trump has made should have sent him plummeting. This #### is for real. What the #### is wrong with the Republican party?
The real answer is that Republicans are tired of the GOP establishment. They are tired of electing politicians who say they are for X, but vote the opposite. They are tired of being lied to. They are tired of feeling like they are a powerless voice.

I can go down the line and tell you that they are tired of open borders, etc.

But at the end of the day, it is sort of how the Democrats take black voters for granted. The GOP basically spits in the faces of Republican voters and assumes that they will follow in lockstep like black voters loyally vote Democrat each year.

It ain't going to happen.

Ultimately, what this all comes down to is the following:

A lot of people are looking for a way to say "Go #### Yourself" to the establishment and to the machinations of D.C.

If you are a Republican you are constantly told, we just need to win the house, then its we just need to win the senate, too. And then it is...if we can get the presidency and both chambers, were golden.

But, it never changes. In fact, the people who do the heavy lifting in the grassroots to actually give the power back to the leaders of the GOP must then stand around like cuckholds and let the party leaders piss on them and tell them that they are right wing nuts, unreasonable, etc.

If ever there was a time to tell a bunch of political whores to go eff themselves...this is it.

I don't know many Republicans who are really worried that a vote for Trump might cost them the opportunity to elect some other windbag GOPer who is going to grow government, allow the borders to remain open, etc.

Just my two cents.

 
I can't imagine the GOP can go in with a better ticket than Rubio/Kasich.
Flip them maybe. Rubio seems like an actor to me though.
That's called being a politician, they're all like that except for Trump who is mostly shtick.

I work with these #######s every day, you can have all of them. However...I have a friend who works for Rubio and he said he's legit. My friend really has nothing to gain if Rubio becomes president either, there isn't a job in it for him. He's also a moderate politically and hates several of these guys including Ted Cruz.

Honestly if anyone likes Ted Cruz, they have some serious issues. So maybe that doesn't count.

 
Wow. I don't think I can recall anything quite like this now. In every other case, gaffes like the ones Trump has made should have sent him plummeting. This #### is for real. What the #### is wrong with the Republican party?
The real answer is that Republicans are tired of the GOP establishment. They are tired of electing politicians who say they are for X, but vote the opposite. They are tired of being lied to. They are tired of feeling like they are a powerless voice.

I can go down the line and tell you that they are tired of open borders, etc.

But at the end of the day, it is sort of how the Democrats take black voters for granted. The GOP basically spits in the faces of Republican voters and assumes that they will follow in lockstep like black voters loyally vote Democrat each year.

It ain't going to happen.

Ultimately, what this all comes down to is the following:

A lot of people are looking for a way to say "Go #### Yourself" to the establishment and to the machinations of D.C.

If you are a Republican you are constantly told, we just need to win the house, then its we just need to win the senate, too. And then it is...if we can get the presidency and both chambers, were golden.

But, it never changes. In fact, the people who do the heavy lifting in the grassroots to actually give the power back to the leaders of the GOP must then stand around like cuckholds and let the party leaders piss on them and tell them that they are right wing nuts, unreasonable, etc.

If ever there was a time to tell a bunch of political whores to go eff themselves...this is it.

I don't know many Republicans who are really worried that a vote for Trump might cost them the opportunity to elect some other windbag GOPer who is going to grow government, allow the borders to remain open, etc.

Just my two cents.
Well, SIDA, you know I disagree with you a lot, but I think here you represent the views of an awful lot of conservatives out there. I think you've stated perfectly why so many conservatives joined the Tea Party and why so many of you are supporting Donald Trump now. It's always struck me that you have a greater anger toward the Republican establishment than you do against the Democrats.

Obviously I'm on the opposite side from you on most of these issues. But there's no question that your anger is genuine, and, in terms of being angry at the political process (if not the results) I think you're mostly justified. They HAVE lied to you, they HAVE manipulated you. You and the other conservatives who have spent so much effort giving time and money to the GOP deserved better.

 
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:

http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.

 
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created

 
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.

You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.

 
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Wow. I don't think I can recall anything quite like this now. In every other case, gaffes like the ones Trump has made should have sent him plummeting. This #### is for real. What the #### is wrong with the Republican party?
Chickens are coming home to roost. Republicans have been playing into people's irrational fears and pointing the finger at govt for decades now. This is the result.

 
pantherclub said:
Rove! said:
pantherclub said:
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.

You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.
The fallout from the invasion of Iraq falls squarely on Bush but the rise of ISIS and bulk of their military advances happened during Obama's watch. The area was relatively stable, enough so that Biden proclaimed it one the "Great Achievements of this Administration" How anyone cannot lay at least partial blame on Obama is ridiculous. Both Administrations are to blame for ISIS.

 
tommyGunZ said:
Wow. I don't think I can recall anything quite like this now. In every other case, gaffes like the ones Trump has made should have sent him plummeting. This #### is for real. What the #### is wrong with the Republican party?
Chickens are coming home to roost. Republicans have been playing into people's irrational fears and pointing the finger at govt for decades now. This is the result.
Maybe that it what you want to believe...but that is not the case, especially in the context of why GOP voters are feeling the way they are about Trump and other candidates.

 
pantherclub said:
Rove! said:
pantherclub said:
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.
The fallout from the invasion of Iraq falls squarely on Bush but the rise of ISIS and bulk of their military advances happened during Obama's watch. The area was relatively stable, enough so that Biden proclaimed it one the "Great Achievements of this Administration" How anyone cannot lay at least partial blame on Obama is ridiculous. Both Administrations are to blame for ISIS.
Not only did it fall on Obamas watch. The administration and Hawks like McCain sent aid and weapons. Our Syria policy turned this outfit that we had evicted from Iraq into a force to be reckoned with. Now, one of the most effective ground forces against ISIS, the Kurds, are getting bombed by our "allies."

 
pantherclub said:
Rove! said:
pantherclub said:
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.
The fallout from the invasion of Iraq falls squarely on Bush but the rise of ISIS and bulk of their military advances happened during Obama's watch. The area was relatively stable, enough so that Biden proclaimed it one the "Great Achievements of this Administration" How anyone cannot lay at least partial blame on Obama is ridiculous. Both Administrations are to blame for ISIS.
Not only did it fall on Obamas watch. The administration and Hawks like McCain sent aid and weapons. Our Syria policy turned this outfit that we had evicted from Iraq into a force to be reckoned with. Now, one of the most effective ground forces against ISIS, the Kurds, are getting bombed by our "allies."
What is going on with the Kurds is scary. There's obviously a lot more to it but I don't get how the US is turning a blind eye to what Turkey is doing.

 
pantherclub said:
Rove! said:
pantherclub said:
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.
The fallout from the invasion of Iraq falls squarely on Bush but the rise of ISIS and bulk of their military advances happened during Obama's watch. The area was relatively stable, enough so that Biden proclaimed it one the "Great Achievements of this Administration" How anyone cannot lay at least partial blame on Obama is ridiculous. Both Administrations are to blame for ISIS.
Not only did it fall on Obamas watch. The administration and Hawks like McCain sent aid and weapons. Our Syria policy turned this outfit that we had evicted from Iraq into a force to be reckoned with. Now, one of the most effective ground forces against ISIS, the Kurds, are getting bombed by our "allies."
What is going on with the Kurds is scary. There's obviously a lot more to it but I don't get how the US is turning a blind eye to what Turkey is doing.
Turkey is bombing PKK, who the US labels terrorists. They aren't bombing the Kurd groups that the US supports.

Syria isn't a binary situation. There are lots of conflicting sides.

 
pantherclub said:
Rove! said:
pantherclub said:
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
Wow, he is truly a moron. This just shows that career politicians just don't have their finger on the pulse of America. Nobody wants what he is suggesting and its pretty much the exact same thing his brother did. You have to wonder what kind of advice he is getting. He is blaming Hillary for the rise of ISIS? Good God he is just appealing to the mouth breathers at this point.
It's unpopular, but it may be necessary to stop this ISIS issue that the U.S. willfully created
Good luck with that. I dont think setting up shop permanently in the middle east is a good strategy at all.You can whittle that down from what the US created to what Bush and Cheney made happen. This falls squarely on them.
The fallout from the invasion of Iraq falls squarely on Bush but the rise of ISIS and bulk of their military advances happened during Obama's watch. The area was relatively stable, enough so that Biden proclaimed it one the "Great Achievements of this Administration" How anyone cannot lay at least partial blame on Obama is ridiculous. Both Administrations are to blame for ISIS.
Not only did it fall on Obamas watch. The administration and Hawks like McCain sent aid and weapons. Our Syria policy turned this outfit that we had evicted from Iraq into a force to be reckoned with. Now, one of the most effective ground forces against ISIS, the Kurds, are getting bombed by our "allies."
What is going on with the Kurds is scary. There's obviously a lot more to it but I don't get how the US is turning a blind eye to what Turkey is doing.
Turkey is bombing PKK, who the US labels terrorists. They aren't bombing the Kurd groups that the US supports.

Syria isn't a binary situation. There are lots of conflicting sides.
There are already reports that Turkey is bombing YPG positions in Syria.

 
We wanted to use their airspace to drop our own bombs. They had preconditions.
Yes, and we stabbed the Kurds in their backs.
Kurds (YPG) - who the US supports and Turkey is not in a fighting with call in US airstrikes. I guess they don't feel stabbed in the back

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/kurds-coordinating-us-led-airstrikes-145600638.html
From your article:

Turkey began carrying out airstrikes against both the PKK and ISIS on July 24. Although the YPG and the PKK are two separate organizations, Turkey's offensive against the Kurds could directly harm the YPG's efforts against ISIS.

“It’s a nonsensical situation where you have PKK fighters who are called ‘terrorists’ if they happen to be on the Iraq or Turkey side of the border,” Cale Salih of the European Council on Foreign Relations told the Times. “Yet if the same fighter crosses into Syria, he is now ‘working with the coalition in the battle against the Islamic State.’”

 
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:

http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
how is this different than what Trump said, other than having more thought behind it?

bush gives a calculated answer which says we may need more boots on the ground

trump says he'll kick their teeth out and take their oil as our own

:shrug:

i am not syaing either is right, but Bush's answer is far better than Trumps, which presumably would also take boots on the ground

 
D_House said:
Jeb Bush on his Iraq/Syria policy:

http://news.yahoo.com/bush-links-clinton-rise-islamic-state-070708554--election.html

This should sink him, right? He basically outlines a lot of people's fears about another Bush presidency.
how is this different than what Trump said, other than having more thought behind it?bush gives a calculated answer which says we may need more boots on the ground

trump says he'll kick their teeth out and take their oil as our own

:shrug:

i am not syaing either is right, but Bush's answer is far better than Trumps, which presumably would also take boots on the ground
Yeah, but Trump can get away with saying it because anyone who might vote for him is just as nuts as he is.

 
I could be way off on this, but ... I think a lot of what Trump is doing right now is just entertaining himself. He may actually want to be President, because that would be fun for a guy like Trump, but I think he started out just with the ambition of splashing his name all over the newspapers rather than actually winning.

If he actually does win -- which won't happen, but if it does -- I think he'd probably take the job seriously and try not to blow up the planet or anything. I actually do think he's smart enough to put together a decent team of advisers and, more often than not, follow their advice rather than doing anything rash.

Reports of his argument with his most recent campaign manager are evidence against my view. Apparently Trump was told to stop saying stupid stuff, and he was like, "But it's working!!" So the campaign manager quit or was fired. (I haven't followed it that closely.) That is admittedly evidence that Trump can be a loose cannon who refuses to take the advice of his hired experts.

But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.

Right now, Trump is a joke and I think he knows it. For the time being, I don't think he much cares whether people are laughing at him or laughing with him. But if the fate of our country's interests were actually riding on his shoulders, I think he'd try not to be a joke anymore, and I think he'd probably succeed at least as well as GWB did. I think GWB's presidency was kind of a disaster in a lot of ways, so that is damning with faint praise, to be sure. But when people imagine a Trump presidency, a lot of them imagine a presidency far worse than Bush's ever was. I'm just saying that I don't think it would be as bad as people think. I think President Trump would be less of a joke than Candidate Trump is.

 
But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.
Yeah, but you have to admit you'd watch the first meeting he had with Merkel because the potential is huge.

This also argues for a Biden presidency, BTW. The entertainment factor would be off the charts.

 
We wanted to use their airspace to drop our own bombs. They had preconditions.
Yes, and we stabbed the Kurds in their backs.
Kurds (YPG) - who the US supports and Turkey is not in a fighting with call in US airstrikes. I guess they don't feel stabbed in the back

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/kurds-coordinating-us-led-airstrikes-145600638.html
From your article:

Turkey began carrying out airstrikes against both the PKK and ISIS on July 24. Although the YPG and the PKK are two separate organizations, Turkey's offensive against the Kurds could directly harm the YPG's efforts against ISIS.

“It’s a nonsensical situation where you have PKK fighters who are called ‘terrorists’ if they happen to be on the Iraq or Turkey side of the border,” Cale Salih of the European Council on Foreign Relations told the Times. “Yet if the same fighter crosses into Syria, he is now ‘working with the coalition in the battle against the Islamic State.’”
maybe PKK isn't a terrorist group and the US should support them but currently NATO, the US, EU, and Israel say they are. The Syrian government is also fighting ISIS, but we don't like support them and in fact support group who attack the government forces.

 
I could be way off on this, but ... I think a lot of what Trump is doing right now is just entertaining himself. He may actually want to be President, because that would be fun for a guy like Trump, but I think he started out just with the ambition of splashing his name all over the newspapers rather than actually winning.

If he actually does win -- which won't happen, but if it does -- I think he'd probably take the job seriously and try not to blow up the planet or anything. I actually do think he's smart enough to put together a decent team of advisers and, more often than not, follow their advice rather than doing anything rash.

Reports of his argument with his most recent campaign manager are evidence against my view. Apparently Trump was told to stop saying stupid stuff, and he was like, "But it's working!!" So the campaign manager quit or was fired. (I haven't followed it that closely.) That is admittedly evidence that Trump can be a loose cannon who refuses to take the advice of his hired experts.

But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.

Right now, Trump is a joke and I think he knows it. For the time being, I don't think he much cares whether people are laughing at him or laughing with him. But if the fate of our country's interests were actually riding on his shoulders, I think he'd try not to be a joke anymore, and I think he'd probably succeed at least as well as GWB did. I think GWB's presidency was kind of a disaster in a lot of ways, so that is damning with faint praise, to be sure. But when people imagine a Trump presidency, a lot of them imagine a presidency far worse than Bush's ever was. I'm just saying that I don't think it would be as bad as people think. I think President Trump would be less of a joke than Candidate Trump is.
Trump will win. His biggest competition is Ben Carson based on current Iowa polling.After that, he steamrolls whatever garbage the Democrats throw out there.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/12/politics/cnn-orc-poll-iowa-republican-caucus-data/index.html

 
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The Iowa GOP's caucus process is different from the Democrats. The Republicans now gather at the caucus location and cast secret ballots. The Democrats still require voters to go stand and be publicly counted in an area with other supporters of their candidate.

This probably helps Trump although it has negligible impact on the shameless.

 
I could be way off on this, but ... I think a lot of what Trump is doing right now is just entertaining himself. He may actually want to be President, because that would be fun for a guy like Trump, but I think he started out just with the ambition of splashing his name all over the newspapers rather than actually winning.

If he actually does win -- which won't happen, but if it does -- I think he'd probably take the job seriously and try not to blow up the planet or anything. I actually do think he's smart enough to put together a decent team of advisers and, more often than not, follow their advice rather than doing anything rash.

Reports of his argument with his most recent campaign manager are evidence against my view. Apparently Trump was told to stop saying stupid stuff, and he was like, "But it's working!!" So the campaign manager quit or was fired. (I haven't followed it that closely.) That is admittedly evidence that Trump can be a loose cannon who refuses to take the advice of his hired experts.

But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.

Right now, Trump is a joke and I think he knows it. For the time being, I don't think he much cares whether people are laughing at him or laughing with him. But if the fate of our country's interests were actually riding on his shoulders, I think he'd try not to be a joke anymore, and I think he'd probably succeed at least as well as GWB did. I think GWB's presidency was kind of a disaster in a lot of ways, so that is damning with faint praise, to be sure. But when people imagine a Trump presidency, a lot of them imagine a presidency far worse than Bush's ever was. I'm just saying that I don't think it would be as bad as people think. I think President Trump would be less of a joke than Candidate Trump is.
Trump will win. His biggest competition is Ben Carson based on current Iowa polling.After that, he steamrolls whatever garbage the Democrats throw out there.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/12/politics/cnn-orc-poll-iowa-republican-caucus-data/index.html
I think you should bet every last cent you have on this. The odds are excellent for you. It could make you rich!
 
I could be way off on this, but ... I think a lot of what Trump is doing right now is just entertaining himself. He may actually want to be President, because that would be fun for a guy like Trump, but I think he started out just with the ambition of splashing his name all over the newspapers rather than actually winning.

If he actually does win -- which won't happen, but if it does -- I think he'd probably take the job seriously and try not to blow up the planet or anything. I actually do think he's smart enough to put together a decent team of advisers and, more often than not, follow their advice rather than doing anything rash.

Reports of his argument with his most recent campaign manager are evidence against my view. Apparently Trump was told to stop saying stupid stuff, and he was like, "But it's working!!" So the campaign manager quit or was fired. (I haven't followed it that closely.) That is admittedly evidence that Trump can be a loose cannon who refuses to take the advice of his hired experts.

But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.

Right now, Trump is a joke and I think he knows it. For the time being, I don't think he much cares whether people are laughing at him or laughing with him. But if the fate of our country's interests were actually riding on his shoulders, I think he'd try not to be a joke anymore, and I think he'd probably succeed at least as well as GWB did. I think GWB's presidency was kind of a disaster in a lot of ways, so that is damning with faint praise, to be sure. But when people imagine a Trump presidency, a lot of them imagine a presidency far worse than Bush's ever was. I'm just saying that I don't think it would be as bad as people think. I think President Trump would be less of a joke than Candidate Trump is.
Trump will win. His biggest competition is Ben Carson based on current Iowa polling.After that, he steamrolls whatever garbage the Democrats throw out there.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/12/politics/cnn-orc-poll-iowa-republican-caucus-data/index.html
Does a topic exist that you actually know something about? Or aren't 100% wrong about?

Just wondering.

 
I could be way off on this, but ... I think a lot of what Trump is doing right now is just entertaining himself. He may actually want to be President, because that would be fun for a guy like Trump, but I think he started out just with the ambition of splashing his name all over the newspapers rather than actually winning.

If he actually does win -- which won't happen, but if it does -- I think he'd probably take the job seriously and try not to blow up the planet or anything. I actually do think he's smart enough to put together a decent team of advisers and, more often than not, follow their advice rather than doing anything rash.

Reports of his argument with his most recent campaign manager are evidence against my view. Apparently Trump was told to stop saying stupid stuff, and he was like, "But it's working!!" So the campaign manager quit or was fired. (I haven't followed it that closely.) That is admittedly evidence that Trump can be a loose cannon who refuses to take the advice of his hired experts.

But I get the feeling -- though maybe I'm just being overoptimistic -- that while Trump will run his campaign his own way (especially if his main goal is to make headlines rather than become President), he would not conduct foreign policy by shooting from the hip, flexing his muscles, and personally insulting female heads of state to make headlines. I think he'd realize the heightened importance of not botching military operations, for example, and take his advisers seriously.

Right now, Trump is a joke and I think he knows it. For the time being, I don't think he much cares whether people are laughing at him or laughing with him. But if the fate of our country's interests were actually riding on his shoulders, I think he'd try not to be a joke anymore, and I think he'd probably succeed at least as well as GWB did. I think GWB's presidency was kind of a disaster in a lot of ways, so that is damning with faint praise, to be sure. But when people imagine a Trump presidency, a lot of them imagine a presidency far worse than Bush's ever was. I'm just saying that I don't think it would be as bad as people think. I think President Trump would be less of a joke than Candidate Trump is.
Trump will win. His biggest competition is Ben Carson based on current Iowa polling.After that, he steamrolls whatever garbage the Democrats throw out there.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/12/politics/cnn-orc-poll-iowa-republican-caucus-data/index.html
Does a topic exist that you actually know something about? Or aren't 100% wrong about?

Just wondering.
Come talk to me after Trump builds a wall on the border.

 

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