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He doesn't actually control whether it is or isn't somebody currently running, does he?
It's hypocritical of the Cruz camp to criticize the possibility of Kasich or Ryan when they want to win a convention fight even though they won't be the leader in popular vote or delegates. Either the leader should win or it should be wide open. To say, "Well it's ok to bypass the guy with the most for the guy in 2nd, but don't you dare go to the guy in 3rd" is disingenuous.
The parties helped create that misconception. Its why there are super delegates with the Democrats and tons of arcane rules on both sides. I mean, if a party really wanted, they could void all the primary results at any point. They're not at all bound by the results of the votes.
Sanders is the least likely to get the nomination. Hillary wrapped this up a long time ago. Meanwhile, Kasich atleast has a shot during a contested convention.
Yeah I agree, Bernie's chances are equal to the chances of Hillary being indicted prior to the nomination.
It's a sharp play actually (and there was a good article explaining why) - the Republicans (rather inexplicably) in many states award some of their delegates by congressional district - and where this happens it is 3 per congressional district - no matter how much Republican support there is in the given Congressional District. So a wealthy Republican district where there's a ton of regsitered Republicans is good for the same number of delegates as an inner-city Congressional District in the Bronx. Cruz knows he is going to get clobbered in most of New York, but he's playing for delegates - and in a number of CDs around NYC there are enough Orthodox Jews that he might swing a few delegates his way by appealing to them. He can court these voters without alienating his right-wing base as many of them support Israel (if only for the reason for beliefs having to do with the rapture coming sooner - really).
If Cruz is the nominee and Trump supporters stay home it could flip the Senate and tip the House closer to Democrats. Good luck getting the Trump voters back after that.
All in all, a huge positive for the country. Hope they feel that way for many elections to come. Overall voter intelligence will increase tenfold.
The RNC's stated position, which Priebus has been very clear on the past several weeks, is that the RNC has complete discretion as to which candidate it nominates, at least in the event there is not a majority on the first ballot.
On the other hand... if Trump is the candidate many GOP voters stay home, thus possibly flipping the Senate and the house.. Good job GOP establishment
There's nothing out of the ordinary about it. Usually, delegates are bound ONLY for the first ballot. After that, they can switch. It would be stupid not to, if you think about it. if they couldn't switch their vote, it would actually be impossible to nominate anyone.
The party is a total joke. One guy can get the majority of votes but some elite hammerheads can deny the people their choice.
It's state by state. There are some states where the delegates are still bound (even through 2 or 3 rounds of voting) if the candidate merely "suspends" his campaign, as Rubio did, rather than end it.
Technically it's the same as a regular (predetermined) convention. It's a vote by the delegates. It's just that traditionally the delegates vote for their nominees choice. In an open/contested convention it could be different.
It likely depends on how things play out.culdeus said:
I thought that was his thing?
That can be interpreted a number of ways. People in both the Trump and Cruz camps are perfectly fine with "Rule 40" staying just like it is (a candidate needs to win at least 8 states to be on the convention ballot) and are saying things like "Don't change the rules during the game".
Not sure - he did a pretty impressive job not being the fall guy for anything that happened in 12. Including the Clint Eastwood fiasco.
Yep. Said it was a good job for an "empty nester."
Yeah, that was really good stuff, prescient call there.Tooting my own horn
-QG
If I had to pick one of the 22 candidates who ran/are running for President to run a campaign for me (politics aside) I would have to pick Cruz.
Is this a comment to Trump or the electorate? If it's the latter, that guy is politically dumber than Trump and I didn't think that was possible.
It was directed at Trump and his team who had just blasted something about the system being 'rigged'.
Then he's right. However, Trump is going to crucify him with it and throw some more kerosene on the fire and it will work very well.
