*** Official 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** Post Helene and Milton (4 Viewers)

[Ministry of Pain]

FEMA has set up operations in Perry, Jacksonville, Ft Lauderdale and Miami, at first you might think the storm isn't going to hit those areas as hard, that's exactly why they go there
It's about as close as they can get without being caught in harms way themselves and they can roll out immediately towards areas of need

Not trying to toot the horn of FEMA but I'm happy they are close by and on stand by and hopefully help will get to people of need fairly quickly
I expect to see some roof top rescues

 

[3C's]

Seeing 8 tornado warnings currently in FL.

 

[Wingnut]

Tornado damage in Ft Myers

x.com

twitter.com

 

[Wingnut]

WOW! Here is the full clip of the Observed #Tornado Warned Storm from a Matlacha, #Florida Live Cam moments ago including #PowerFlashes! #flwx #Milton @NWSTampaBay

x.com

twitter.com

 

[Hawks64]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

 

[gump]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

 

[culdeus]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

NHC: “Milton is currently moving north-northeastward or 030/15 kt. A turn towards the northeast is anticipated with a slower forward speed later this evening. Tropical-storm-force winds are just offshore and now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.”

 

[gump]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

NHC: “Milton is currently moving north-northeastward or 030/15 kt. A turn towards the northeast is anticipated with a slower forward speed later this evening. Tropical-storm-force winds are just offshore and now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.”

Thx! Is that saying there’s a wobble to the north that was not being forecasted over the last few hours? Seems like it’s what they been saying.

 

[culdeus]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

NHC: “Milton is currently moving north-northeastward or 030/15 kt. A turn towards the northeast is anticipated with a slower forward speed later this evening. Tropical-storm-force winds are just offshore and now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.”

Thx! Is that saying there’s a wobble to the north that was not being forecasted over the last few hours? Seems like it’s what they been saying.

As mentioned, the north movement was forecast yesterday. The fact that it wobbled south of the track and has now returned to the expected track whether it was or was not due to a wobble to or from isn't a big shock. Wobble watching is discouranged by both the NHC and others.

The situation here is similar to what the HMON thought might happen, in that shear would hit without dry air and disturb the storm such that it would feel the cold front more. The other global models were looking for a EWRC and Dry Air intrustion at the same time as shear sending it East since a weaker storm would not feel the cold front quite to that extent.

Currently 937 by recon which is a bit stronger. The thought that it would dip strongly south now is getting less and less likely.

 

[Wingnut]

Thanks @culdeus for all the updates and info, you are appreciated here!

 

[culdeus]

Timmer and JeffP are tornado chasing

 

[eoMMan]

Looking at the 48 radar, it seems Bonita Springs and south (Naples) is going to dodge a lot of the wind and rain. Just have to worry about a possible tornado and the storm surge in the coming hours.

 

[Wingnut]

One local station (WFLA channel 8) is saying landfall could be between 7 and 9pm

 

[culdeus]

Feeling the shear more now and is tilting.

A erc right about now would be great.

 

[culdeus]

“1/3 CLOSED INNER EYEWALL BAND 14NM DIAM, 1/3 CLOSED OUTER EYE BAND 26NM DIAM”

944

More shear please.

 

[got_nugs]

Looking at the 48 radar, it seems Bonita Springs and south (Naples) is going to dodge a lot of the wind and rain. Just have to worry about a possible tornado and the storm surge in the coming hours.

The tornado alerts on my phone right now make me feel like I'm in Twister 3.

 

[eoMMan]

One local station (WFLA channel 8) is saying landfall could be between 7 and 9pm

When they say landfall, are they specifically talking about when the eye hits land or when a main band hits land?

Seems silly if they are waiting for the eye.

 

[Wingnut]

One local station (WFLA channel 8) is saying landfall could be between 7 and 9pm

When they say landfall, are they specifically talking about when the eye hits land or when a main band hits land?

Seems silly if they are waiting for the eye.

The eye, that's when it's considered landfall. The outer bands and effects are already all over S Florida and have been for hours.

 

[Osaurus]

Made it to a rest stop south of Lake City on I-75 south. I’m here for a while

 

[eoMMan]

Looking at the 48 radar, it seems Bonita Springs and south (Naples) is going to dodge a lot of the wind and rain. Just have to worry about a possible tornado and the storm surge in the coming hours.

The tornado alerts on my phone right now make me feel like I'm in Twister 3.

Yup, waiting to see Glen Powell and his truck with the drills at the bottom.

 

[got_nugs]

Looking at the 48 radar, it seems Bonita Springs and south (Naples) is going to dodge a lot of the wind and rain. Just have to worry about a possible tornado and the storm surge in the coming hours.

The tornado alerts on my phone right now make me feel like I'm in Twister 3.

Yup, waiting to see Glen Powell and his truck with the drills at the bottom.

My buddy lives in that neighborhood between McGregor and 41, kinda by the mall...he evac'd but his neighbor sent him video of the aftermath of a tornado that went down his street.

 

[Wingnut]

All Tampa Bay bridges closed.

 

[culdeus]

https://imgur.com/a/wxJv74x

Dry air update. Not getting mixed in yet.

 

[Hawks64]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

Wink news out of Ft Meyer, was watching live.

 

[Wingnut]

Huge wobble and it's now trending much further north :(

Source? No other reports of this that I can find yet.

Wink news out of Ft Meyer, was watching live.

Yeah it's gonna be well before midnight for sure. 7-9 pm maybe.

 

[UncleZen]

The one thing that people who have never been in a hurricane understands is just how long you are in one. We are already getting heavy rains and tornadoes and the storm is still 150 miles off the west coast and I am right on the east coast.

 

[Dr_Zaius]

Wait, doesn't further north imply later landfall? How can reports be saying it's not turning east as much but also is going to make landfall sooner?

 

[SWC]

hope you are all staying safe down there please be careful and check in with others so they know you are

 

[Payne]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

Why is anyone on the bridge right now?
It's rhetorical

 

[Yo Mama]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

Wow that was crazy. Can’t believe cars were going across that bridge right as it hit.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Alerts on the TV just won't stop, lots and lots of tornados and I'm pretty far from where the storm is making landfall, it's unbelievable
2 counties got Hurricane warnings very late, Indian River and Okeechobee counties pretty late on any evacuation efforts
Feel bad for these folks, they're running around as we speak trying to gather what supplies they can and fill up with gas/generators etc
Very dangerous with so many tornados spotted in this area and warnings going off every few minutes

 

[Wingnut]

This is how fast things can go from not bad to Holy ####

x.com

twitter.com

 

[gump]

3 PM update…likely Cat 3 landfall in a few hours at coastline of Sarasota/Manatee Co.

 

[3C's]

The tornado outbreak from this one could be one for the history books.

 

[Redwes25]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

Holy ****

 

[3C's]

Hard to keep up...

x.com

twitter.com

 

[gump]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

I know that tiny town well…Matlacha (pronounced like Nick Lachey’s brother Matt). It’s just a bunch of homes and 2 restaurants on a bridge going from the mainland to an Island. I can’t imagine those homes faired well. Huge $$ Boca Grande just north west.

 

[Senor Schmutzig]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

I know that tiny town well…Matlacha (pronounced like Nick Lachey’s brother Matt). It’s just a bunch of homes and 2 restaurants on a bridge going from the mainland to an Island. I can’t imagine those homes faired well. Huge $$ Boca Grande just north west.

Matt Lachey is exactly how I was picturing it in my mind, so I subsequently typed that into Google Maps to see where it was located.

Google corrected my spelling and got me to the correct spot....

 

[Wingnut]

Saw this on FB

For those who evacuated Tampa Bay and want to keep eyes on what’s going on around town including in Sarasota and Fort Myers that may get hit the hardest, check out this awesome list of live feed public cameras.

LIVE FEED CAMS FOR HURRICANE MILTON:

Sarasota: https://mericacams.com/webcam.php?view=City-of-Sarasota

Fort Myers: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=oHCZleC_KCw

5 Cameras in Gulfport:

Gulfport Webcam

Be sure to also check out our live Gulfport Marina East Cam and the Gulfport Marina West Cam! The Gulfport Casino Cam and Gulfport Beach Cam are currently without power. Note from the owners: In anticipation of Hurricane Milton, the business that sponsors the Casino and Beach cams made the...

thegabber.com

Clearwater Beach:

https://www.myclearwater.com/Visit-the-Beach/Watch-Live-Video-of-Clearwater-Beach

Siesta Key Beach:

- YouTube

Auf YouTube findest du die angesagtesten Videos und Tracks. Außerdem kannst du eigene Inhalte hochladen und mit Freunden oder gleich der ganzen Welt teilen.

www.youtube.com

St Pete Beach behind publix looking at Boca Ciega Bay:

- YouTube

Auf YouTube findest du die angesagtesten Videos und Tracks. Außerdem kannst du eigene Inhalte hochladen und mit Freunden oder gleich der ganzen Welt teilen.

m.youtube.com

St. Pete Downtown: Greystar East Webcam
St. Petersburg, Florida:

Greystar East Weather Camera & Webcam | WeatherBug

See latest weather images from camera at Greystar East, St. Petersburg, Florida

www.weatherbug.com

Downtown Tampa University of Tampa Hillsborough River Cam:

- YouTube

Auf YouTube findest du die angesagtesten Videos und Tracks. Außerdem kannst du eigene Inhalte hochladen und mit Freunden oder gleich der ganzen Welt teilen.

www.youtube.com

Clearwater Beach Hilton:

Clearwater Beach Hilton

Our live webcam on Clearwater Beach, Florida is hosted by Clearwater Hilton. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Sirata Beach Resort St. Pete Beach:

Sirata Beach Resort St. Pete Beach

Our waterfront webcam in St. Pete Beach, Florida is located at the Sirata Beach Resort. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Downtown Tampa:

Downtown Tampa

Our live webcam in downtown Tampa is located on the Bank of America building and faces southwest, looking over Tampa Bay toward South St. Pete. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Bayshore Dr South Tampa (Brookdale):

Brookdale Bayshore

Our Bayshore Boulevard webcam in Tampa, Florida sits atop the Brookdale Bayshore building, looking north towards downtown Tampa. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

USF College of Marine Science:

USF College of Marine Science

Our live waterfront webcam in St. Petersburg, Florida is located at the University of South Florida College of Marine Science. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Mahaffey Theater (Marina):

Mahaffey Theater Weather Camera & Webcam | WeatherBug

See latest weather images from camera at Mahaffey Theater, St. Petersburg, Florida

www.weatherbug.com

Armature Works:

Armature Works Weather Camera & Webcam | WeatherBug

See latest weather images from camera at Armature Works, Tampa, Florida

www.weatherbug.com

Anna Maria City Pier:

Anna Maria City Pier

Our live webcam on Anna Maria Island, Florida. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Downtown Tampa: SkyTower East:

Tampa SkyTower East

Our SkyTower webcam looks east toward downtown Tampa, along Kennedy Boulevard. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Downtown Tampa: SkyTower West:

Tampa SkyTower West

Our Dunkin' SkyTower webcam looks west toward Tampa's Westshore district, along Kennedy Boulevard. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Hudson Beach:

Hudson Beach

Our live beach webcam in Hudson, Florida is located at Inn on the Gulf. This image should refresh every 60 seconds.

www.fox13news.com

Lido Key:

Plymouth Harbor Lido Key

Our live webcam on Plymouth Harbor Lido Key, Florida.

www.fox13news.com

Riverhouse Palmetto:

The Riverhouse Palmetto

www.fox13news.com

One Tampa City Center:

Weather not found | WeatherBug

Oops, page not working| WeatherBug

www.weatherbug.com

(shared from the Shore Acres community group)

 

[Zeppelin]

Holy........

Tornado over bridge

Holy **** that's insane.

 

[wlwiles]

Serious prayers up to all you Floridians in the FFA, and any family/friends/acquaintances you have there. This looks so bad already and it's just the beginning.

Life-long Mississippian, I remember the damage from Katrina well, it doesn't seem like 19 years ago...seeing these camera feeds and tornado footage has me seeing flashbacks a bit

 

[gump]

New update from Denis Phillips has it going pretty East into south Sarasota. Best Case Scenario at this point.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

@culdeus has done a good job of pointing out any time the storm weakens....
125 mph winds, and the pressure has fallen off to about 950 now

Still gonna cause a lot of damage but might limit the loss of life on this storm

 

[culdeus]

Forward motion is speeding up, which reduces the chance to weaken the winds. At this point the intensity is basically locked in.

Of perhaps concern is it is north of the center line now and has been both on recon and sat fixes:

Current Weather Conditions: Florida Radar Loop

www.sfwmd.gov

 

[Wingnut]

Made it to a rest stop south of Lake City on I-75 south. I’m here for a while

Get a selfie with Ron D!

 

[culdeus]

https://fxtwitter.com/splillo/status/1844109593200476265

 

[gump]

New update from Denis Phillips has it going pretty East into south Sarasota. Best Case Scenario at this point.

Yea he’s saying that was the official 4 PM position but it’s already not tracking enough east.

 

[B Maverick]

So a friend of mine is flying out of Southern CA and heading to the hurricane areas for her work. Not the best time to go obviously.... but the fact that her boyfriend is actually named "Milton" just ... well as Alanis would say "isn't it ironic"?

 

[Wingnut]

So far just outside Tampa we have seen some heavy squalls and gusts, but nothing worse than summer storms. No thunder or lightning at all. I'm feeling better by the hour.