Coeur de Lion
Footballguy
It depends on his ADP in August. If you can draft him as a late RB2 he's all upside. If you have to pay for him like people did in summer 2013, then yeah, he's a big risk.This is where I have concern.When folks say he doesn't need a lot of volume, that may be true if he has a year like 2012 or is Jamaal Charles lite. Question is: can you bank on that? I don't think I could - last year could be closer to the norm, and who knows how the touches may be divvied with Brown also in the picture.He doesn't need volume to be a top 5 back in PPR IMO.This is exactly where the Spiller detractors completely miss the boat with their refrain of "he's not a workhorse." Well, duh. He is a guy who will get 250ish touches, and put up a strong RB1 FF season with that number of touches in 2012. Spiller doesn't need a workhorse touch count to be huge value; he just needs to not play a big chunk of the year with a high ankle sprain, which is what happened last year. Buffalo RBs handled the ball 527 (!) times last year -- Spiller can produce RB1 numbers even with less than half of that total.
I will say that it's fairly unlikely that 2013 is his norm, unless he plays all year on a high ankle sprain again. That's a pretty debilitating injury for a RB and he was very noticeably limited by it.
This is exactly where the Spiller detractors completely miss the boat with their refrain of "he's not a workhorse." Well, duh. He is a guy who will get 250ish touches, and put up a strong RB1 FF season with that number of touches in 2012. Spiller doesn't need a workhorse touch count to be huge value; he just needs to not play a big chunk of the year with a high ankle sprain, which is what happened last year. Buffalo RBs handled the ball 527 (!) times last year -- Spiller can produce RB1 numbers even with less than half of that total.