Official Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

[Marauder]

And here are some power rankings

Why do some teams have a zero for TD?

 

[cjack]

And here are some power rankings

How is it so many teams, including my own, are getting a zero score for Team Defense? I don't know about all of the others, but I have Green Bay and the NY Jets, I would think that has to be worth more than zero.Also, fair amount of teams at the bottom getting zero value for TEs.

 

[apalmer]

And the "Most Unique Award" goes to:

Entry 112202

This entry is still alive.

1

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Peyton Manning $32 19.65

Kerry Collins $10 17.30

LaDainian Tomlinson $40 12.10

Clinton Portis $37 7.70

Steve Smith $38 5.50

Terrell Owens $30 6.60

Hines Ward $24 18.30

Matt Jones $5 0.00

Chris Cooley $15 23.30

Derek Schouman $1 8.60

Delanie Walker $1 3.20

Ben Utecht $1 0.00

Steve Heiden $1 4.40

David Akers $4 10.00

Jason Hanson $1 11.00

Dan Carpenter $1 1.00

Steve Hauschka $1 10.00

Shaun Suisham $1 5.00

Minnesota Vikings $6 9.00

New Orleans Saints $1 7.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 121.75

CUTOFF 120.88

 

[OU#1]

948 in the simulation but 7410 in the power rankings. The #1 team in the power rankings doesn't look that special IMHO.

I'm thinking both of those are a

 

[jon_mx]

And the "Most Unique Award" goes to:

All entries are unique. The odds of two teams being the same are astronomical, if picks were made randomly. But it could happen since conventional wisdom of the board gears people to gravitate to certain players. You probably could calculate it by looking at the most owned players and figuring out the odds of someone picking those based on those tendencies and multiplying that by the number of entries.

 

[Frank Costanza's Lawyer]

Sweet...No one else alive has the combination of Slaton, Westbrook, Jennings, Ocho, and Vjax.

There's only 2 of us that have Jacobs, Braylon, & Owen Daniels. See you in the finals brother! Of course I have McNabb, so I probably won't sniff week 3. But still.

Does still stuff matter more later? I'm throwing in some combos and it's returning very low numbers also.

In my opinion, no. When that tool was posted last year, everyone's top priced 4 or 5 players were unique to their team.

 

[cjack]

Sweet...No one else alive has the combination of Slaton, Westbrook, Jennings, Ocho, and Vjax.

There's only 2 of us that have Jacobs, Braylon, & Owen Daniels. See you in the finals brother! Of course I have McNabb, so I probably won't sniff week 3. But still.

Does still stuff matter more later? I'm throwing in some combos and it's returning very low numbers also.

In my opinion, no. When that tool was posted last year, everyone's top priced 4 or 5 players were unique to their team.

Unfortunately, there are 11 teams, like mine, with Rodgers, Peterson, DeAngelo Williams and Greg Jennings. I'll have to hope a few of my more unique low dollar players can set me apart.

 

[gerome]

After week 1, the #1 team has 7 tight ends rostered. Interesting strategy.

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2009/week-1.php

Now that will humble a lot of us. Posting it so we can follow it later.Entry 111776

This entry is still alive.

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Drew Brees $35 52.90

Adrian Peterson $50 38.30

Brian Westbrook $34 14.70

Tim Hightower $13 19.60

Willis McGahee $7 21.50

LaMont Jordan $3 0.50

Edgerrin James $1 3.00

Steve Smith $38 5.50

Mark Clayton $7 19.60

Antwaan Randle El $4 16.80

Robert Meachem $3 13.10

Tony Gonzalez $22 20.80

John Carlson $11 30.50

Donald Lee $3 5.30

Ben Watson $3 28.70

Alge Crumpler $2 3.50

Dante Rosario $2 0.00

Ben Utecht $1 0.00

Neil Rackers $3 14.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00

New York Giants $6 13.00

Kansas City Chiefs $1 9.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 248.40

CUTOFF 120.88

I can't believe there isn't more discussion on this. This 7 TE's is CRAZY, and they are the #1 scoring team week 1?

 

[BassNBrew]

After week 1, the #1 team has 7 tight ends rostered. Interesting strategy.

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2009/week-1.php

Now that will humble a lot of us. Posting it so we can follow it later.Entry 111776

This entry is still alive.

1

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Drew Brees $35 52.90

Adrian Peterson $50 38.30

Brian Westbrook $34 14.70

Tim Hightower $13 19.60

Willis McGahee $7 21.50

LaMont Jordan $3 0.50

Edgerrin James $1 3.00

Steve Smith $38 5.50

Mark Clayton $7 19.60

Antwaan Randle El $4 16.80

Robert Meachem $3 13.10

Tony Gonzalez $22 20.80

John Carlson $11 30.50

Donald Lee $3 5.30

Ben Watson $3 28.70

Alge Crumpler $2 3.50

Dante Rosario $2 0.00

Ben Utecht $1 0.00

Neil Rackers $3 14.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00

New York Giants $6 13.00

Kansas City Chiefs $1 9.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 248.40

CUTOFF 120.88

I can't believe there isn't more discussion on this. This 7 TE's is CRAZY, and they are the #1 scoring team week 1?

What's to discuss, FF is mostly about skill.

 

[Wadsworth]

If the duo of Antonio Bryant and Matt Jones gets hot, I'm going to be tough to beat.

 

[cjack]

After week 1, the #1 team has 7 tight ends rostered. Interesting strategy.

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2009/week-1.php

Now that will humble a lot of us. Posting it so we can follow it later.Entry 111776

This entry is still alive.

1

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Drew Brees $35 52.90

Adrian Peterson $50 38.30

Brian Westbrook $34 14.70

Tim Hightower $13 19.60

Willis McGahee $7 21.50

LaMont Jordan $3 0.50

Edgerrin James $1 3.00

Steve Smith $38 5.50

Mark Clayton $7 19.60

Antwaan Randle El $4 16.80

Robert Meachem $3 13.10

Tony Gonzalez $22 20.80

John Carlson $11 30.50

Donald Lee $3 5.30

Ben Watson $3 28.70

Alge Crumpler $2 3.50

Dante Rosario $2 0.00

Ben Utecht $1 0.00

Neil Rackers $3 14.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00

New York Giants $6 13.00

Kansas City Chiefs $1 9.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 248.40

CUTOFF 120.88

I can't believe there isn't more discussion on this. This 7 TE's is CRAZY, and they are the #1 scoring team week 1?

What's to discuss? The guy also happened to have the two biggest scorers of the week in Brees and Peterson, and two of his TEs happened to get two TDs a piece. There are three things that happened that have a low probability of happening very often, and a much lower probability of happening all at once, to the same group of players:QBs rarely throw for 6 TDs in one week.

RBs rarely run for 3 TDs in one week.

TEs rarely have two TDs in one week, much less two of them.

Week one was the perfect storm for this guy, not likely to happen again quite like that.

 

[apalmer]

And the "Most Unique Award" goes to:

All entries are unique. The odds of two teams being the same are astronomical, if picks were made randomly. But it could happen since conventional wisdom of the board gears people to gravitate to certain players. You probably could calculate it by looking at the most owned players and figuring out the odds of someone picking those based on those tendencies and multiplying that by the number of entries.

Or you can calculate "uniqueness" as Doug did in the Power Rankings:

It is a weighted average (weighted by how important the player is on your roster (e.g. your top RB is weighted more heavily than your 2nd defense)) of the percentage of all live contest entries that contain the players on your roster. It measures how different your team is from the rest of the field. In parentheses after the UQ is the UQ rank, with '1' signifying the most unique team.

 

[ctriopelle]

And here are some power rankings

Why do some teams have a zero for TD?

that's a pretty good question that seems to indicate some sort of glitch. strange that is only happens on some teams though, maybe the data pull is generating 0's for a couple of d'sNice forecast for my team this week (35), but that could be my kiss of death!

No way around this in a "flexible roster" scenario, but my team is getting penalized again in power ranking for not filling out every position in the formula. Not having 3 qb's is shorting me about 60-70 possible rank points, although I hope my 2 guys I did pick are good enough to suffice. Sitting nicely in the top 625, but penalized about 500 spots due to this. Personally, I'd rather have an inconsistent WR that makes my lineup once or twice than a QB who scores a small amount of points every week but never cracks my lineup.

Is there any way to highlight bye week snafus in a team's ranking? A high power rank is almost meaningless if they have created an almost unworkable situation in a given week. I could have probably made a theoretically stronger team over the long haul, but pulled some points back because I didn't like how my bye's matched. short of searching the top teams, its tough to see if they have any real problems along these lines...

 

[apalmer]

And here are some power rankings

Why do some teams have a zero for TD?

that's a pretty good question that seems to indicate some sort of glitch. strange that is only happens on some teams though, maybe the data pull is generating 0's for a couple of d'sNice forecast for my team this week (35), but that could be my kiss of death!

No way around this in a "flexible roster" scenario, but my team is getting penalized again in power ranking for not filling out every position in the formula. Not having 3 qb's is shorting me about 60-70 possible rank points, although I hope my 2 guys I did pick are good enough to suffice. Sitting nicely in the top 625, but penalized about 500 spots due to this. Personally, I'd rather have an inconsistent WR that makes my lineup once or twice than a QB who scores a small amount of points every week but never cracks my lineup.

Is there any way to highlight bye week snafus in a team's ranking? A high power rank is almost meaningless if they have created an almost unworkable situation in a given week. I could have probably made a theoretically stronger team over the long haul, but pulled some points back because I didn't like how my bye's matched. short of searching the top teams, its tough to see if they have any real problems along these lines...

I'm feeling very good about being ranked in the top 450 considering I have only 2 QBs, TEs, Ks and Ds (losing power points at each position) plus my #2 RB (Lynch) isn't helping much with a "0" for this week's game being double-weighted. I'm thinking those factors alone are the 165 pt. difference between where I am and being #1.

 

[loompa17]

Is there a page that has links to all the awesome analyzer tools? I didn't find these tools until I looked in this thread, but I'd like to see a page that links to them all.

Tools like these:

Percent Own

Contest Querier

Power Ranks

Power Ranks One Week Only (Week 2)

Ownership Stats

thefantasystar

 

[ctriopelle]

Is there a page that has links to all the awesome analyzer tools? I didn't find these tools until I looked in this thread, but I'd like to see a page that links to them all.

Tools like these:

Percent Own

Contest Querier

Power Ranks

Power Ranks One Week Only (Week 2)

thanks for linking those. I'll be bookmarking this page now!

 

[nashua55]

6613 in the power rankings, what a disappointment. I made it to the final cut the last 2 years and I was thinking this might be my year to make it to the money bowl. I actually thought my team had a shot. Hopefully the power rankings dont mean too much. Here is my team, not the strongest at RB, but who knows, I might get lucky.

Entry 100616

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Tony Romo $23 35.85

Mark Sanchez $9 19.20

Matt Leinart $4 0.00

Kevin Smith $30 16.70

Leon Washington $12 10.40

Ahmad Bradshaw $8 8.60

Jamaal Charles $7 5.70

Ladell Betts $2 2.70

James Davis $2 2.40

Edgerrin James $1 3.00

Chris Brown $1 2.10

Larry Fitzgerald $44 19.10

Randy Moss $42 26.10

Nate Burleson $5 20.40

Joey Galloway $5 0.00

Percy Harvin $5 14.80

Patrick Crayton $4 24.00

Sam Hurd $1 0.00

Dallas Clark $18 9.90

Zach Miller $12 18.60

Jay Feely $1 6.00

Steve Hauschka $1 10.00

Pittsburgh Steelers $7 5.00

Minnesota Vikings $6 9.00

------------------------------------

TOTAL 190.15

CUTOFF 120.88

 

[jdoggydogg]

948 in the simulation but 7410 in the power rankings. The #1 team in the power rankings doesn't look that special IMHO. I'm thinking both of those are a

Yeah, looking at the #1 ranked team, I wouldn't trade teams with him.

 

[CrossEyed]

Yeah, definitely a glitch in the power ranking system. I have PIT and GB as my Ds and have a 0 in the category.

 

[firstseason1988]

And here are some power rankings

that's cool and all but is there an easy way to find your team besides scanning through all 12000. Maybe I am missing a search function on there?

 

[Random]

And here are some power rankings

that's cool and all but is there an easy way to find your team besides scanning through all 12000. Maybe I am missing a search function on there?

ctrl F

 

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

wow im shocked to see my team so high in the power rankings.

1620. Entry 100022

 

[PatsChowder]

245 in the power rankings... I like it! Combo of Brady/Roddy/Cooley also seems pretty unique.

 

[george]

Bookmark for later...

 

[PatrickT]

~7200 power ranking, ~8200 and 80% for week 2. Fairly dismal outlook for ole 105761. I'm a bit more confident in my team than the ranker.

 

[datonn]

Power ranking of #305 this week. I'll believe it when I see it though...or at least maybe when Rodgers, Palmer, Boldin, Turner and Parker all don't lay eggs on the same week.

 

[Ahmad Rashad]

And here are some power rankings

How is it so many teams, including my own, are getting a zero score for Team Defense? I don't know about all of the others, but I have Green Bay and the NY Jets, I would think that has to be worth more than zero.Also, fair amount of teams at the bottom getting zero value for TEs.

The power rankings are bogus with so many teams getting 0 for Defense. My team is ranked near 4000 without a Defense, but with the points Minnesota and Green Bay should have, it would probably be top 50 (assuming there aren't a lot of other top 50 teams without a Defense score). It also throws off everyone else's ranking as a result.Can this glitch be fixed and the rankings redone?

Edit: I found another team with the Minn/GB D combo, which gave them 244 points. Adding that to my team's total would put it at #16 in current rankings instead of 3911. There are a number of teams with a 0 for D ahead of me, so the top 50 would probably be completely different if fixed. It clearly isn't the D combo that messes it up, since I found that other team...

 

[ebcpastor2004]

Ocho Cinco after week one

"The most interesting suscriber contest team in the world"

Rank Name Power QB RB WR TE PK TD UQ

85. Entry 100161 2905 574 686 856 328 231 228 14.41 (7347)

I'll take it & look forward to the rest of the season

(Unless I'm reading this wrong, #85 out of 12,028 is good right? I mean it's not like golf is it- the higher your score the worse you are? )

 

[ClownDogs]

Sweet, 946 in scoring and 5th in power rankings!!!

 

[Norman Paperman]

And here are some power rankings

How is it so many teams, including my own, are getting a zero score for Team Defense? I don't know about all of the others, but I have Green Bay and the NY Jets, I would think that has to be worth more than zero.Also, fair amount of teams at the bottom getting zero value for TEs.

The power rankings are bogus with so many teams getting 0 for Defense. My team is ranked near 4000 without a Defense, but with the points Minnesota and Green Bay should have, it would probably be top 50 (assuming there aren't a lot of other top 50 teams without a Defense score). It also throws off everyone else's ranking as a result.

Can this glitch be fixed and the rankings redone?

Edit: I found another team with the Minn/GB D combo, which gave them 244 points. Adding that to my team's total would put it at #16 in current rankings instead of 3911. There are a number of teams with a 0 for D ahead of me, so the top 50 would probably be completely different if fixed. It clearly isn't the D combo that messes it up, since I found that other team...

Because my team's survival depends on where it is ranked in the power rankings

 

[Doug Drinen]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

 

[Bristol]

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Other than you? JK

 

[jon_mx]

Ocho Cinco after week one

"The most interesting suscriber contest team in the world"

Rank Name Power QB RB WR TE PK TD UQ

85. Entry 100161 2905 574 686 856 328 231 228 14.41 (7347)

I'll take it & look forward to the rest of the season

(Unless I'm reading this wrong, #85 out of 12,028 is good right? I mean it's not like golf is it- the higher your score the worse you are? )

The is a Pass/No Pass phase. No extra credit for getting an A at this point.

 

[Ahmad Rashad]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Looks much better. At #89 this time, instead of 3911...

 

[ClownDogs]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

This is even BETTER!!! Now ranked #1

 

[da_budman]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

This is even BETTER!!! Now ranked #1

Pretty long odds that the team PROJECTED as the strongest actually ends up there. You wont win. Sucks to be you.

 

[Doug Drinen]

FWIW, last year between weeks 12 and 13, I went back and compared the week 2 power ratings to the week 13 survival chances. Here were the results:

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...t&p=9601740

 

[apalmer]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

This is even BETTER!!! Now ranked #1

Pretty long odds that the team PROJECTED as the strongest actually ends up there. You wont win. Sucks to be you.

Last year I started out as #1 in the power rankings. Within 2 weeks, LT and FWP were both injured and my ranking plummeted until I was eliminated in Week 11. Enjoy it while you can.

 

[ClownDogs]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

This is even BETTER!!! Now ranked #1

Pretty long odds that the team PROJECTED as the strongest actually ends up there. You wont win. Sucks to be you.

Last year I started out as #1 in the power rankings. Within 2 weeks, LT and FWP were both injured and my ranking plummeted until I was eliminated in Week 12. Enjoy it while you can.

Yea, i know it is early, but still gets you a tad excited! Last year i was ranked mid to low every week and finished top 75 i believe, got the $30 payout one. Either way, very enjoyable contest!

 

[Verbal Kint]

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Other than you? JK

You sir, are a horrible human being. Damn you. Damn you to HELL!

 

[Doug Drinen]

And here is the report on how the week 1 simulator did in week 1:

estsurv	# of   #	  pctprob   teams  surv   surv==========================90--99  8643  8093	93.680--89  3781  3292	87.170--79   645   503	78.060--69   160   110	68.850--59	32	23	71.940--49	 9	 4	44.430--39	 3	 2	66.720--29	 3	 1	33.310--19	 4	 0	 0.0

 

[massraider]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Is there an easy way to find my team number?

 

[ClownDogs]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Is there an easy way to find my team number?

Hit Ctrl F and type in your team number.

 

[drm1125]

Glitch fixed (I think). It had to do with the transition from 22-man rosters to up-to-24-man rosters. So the last two were getting cut off.

Same link

Let me know if anything else looks funny.

Up to #1610 for this week! Not bad!

 

[gregjcross]

And here is the report on how the week 1 simulator did in week 1:

estsurv	# of   #	  pctprob   teams  surv   surv==========================90--99  8643  8093	93.680--89  3781  3292	87.170--79   645   503	78.060--69   160   110	68.850--59	32	23	71.940--49	 9	 4	44.430--39	 3	 2	66.720--29	 3	 1	33.310--19	 4	 0	 0.0

If you have a chance, run a simulator for the KILLER week 5 bye. but im scared to look.team today is ranked in the 600s; by week five, it could be curtainsposition price week 1 Aaron Rodgers $27 15.90 Joe Flacco $14 34.15 DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 Willie Parker $16 2.90 LenDale White $12 3.80 Leon Washington $12 10.40 Michael Bush $6 12.40 Marques Colston $28 12.00 Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 Derrick Mason $9 8.70 Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 Kenny Britt $2 12.50 Andre Davis $2 4.40 Mario Manningham $2 14.80 Greg Olsen $15 2.30 Todd Heap $5 20.90 Ryan Longwell $3 11.00 Joe Nedney $2 12.00 Jay Feely $1 6.00 Houston Texans $2 8.00 New Orleans Saints $1 7.00 St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 ------------------------------------TOTAL 161.95 CUTOFF 120.88

 

[Das Boot]

And here is the report on how the week 1 simulator did in week 1:

estsurv	# of   #	  pctprob   teams  surv   surv==========================90--99  8643  8093	93.680--89  3781  3292	87.170--79   645   503	78.060--69   160   110	68.850--59	32	23	71.940--49	 9	 4	44.430--39	 3	 2	66.720--29	 3	 1	33.310--19	 4	 0	 0.0

If you have a chance, run a simulator for the KILLER week 5 bye. but im scared to look.team today is ranked in the 600s; by week five, it could be curtainsposition price week 1 Aaron Rodgers $27 15.90 Joe Flacco $14 34.15 DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 Willie Parker $16 2.90 LenDale White $12 3.80 Leon Washington $12 10.40 Michael Bush $6 12.40 Marques Colston $28 12.00 Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 Derrick Mason $9 8.70 Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 Kenny Britt $2 12.50 Andre Davis $2 4.40 Mario Manningham $2 14.80 Greg Olsen $15 2.30 Todd Heap $5 20.90 Ryan Longwell $3 11.00 Joe Nedney $2 12.00 Jay Feely $1 6.00 Houston Texans $2 8.00 New Orleans Saints $1 7.00 St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 ------------------------------------TOTAL 161.95 CUTOFF 120.88

Week 5 will be bad for a lot of contest teams... so it should even out somewhat in that regard.It was an interesting decision on how aggressive to get with rostering week 5 players, many of whom I really wanted on my team.

 

[bostonfred]

And here is the report on how the week 1 simulator did in week 1:

estsurv	# of   #	  pctprob   teams  surv   surv==========================90--99  8643  8093	93.680--89  3781  3292	87.170--79   645   503	78.060--69   160   110	68.850--59	32	23	71.940--49	 9	 4	44.430--39	 3	 2	66.720--29	 3	 1	33.310--19	 4	 0	 0.0

That's impressive.

 

[gregjcross]

Week 5 will be bad for a lot of contest teams... so it should even out somewhat in that regard.It was an interesting decision on how aggressive to get with rostering week 5 players, many of whom I really wanted on my team.

Fully hope to benefit from all boats riding the same low tide in week 5. I had to make a lot of changes to the final submission over that set of byes; and considering Aaron Rogers a "must have". Led to spending $5 more on back up QB among other adjustments.

 

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

I also tried to dip around that week 5 bye. Although i know Rodgers and VJax will be out i avoided all rb's/and te's with that same bye.

 

[drm1125]

I also tried to get around week 5. I changed quite a few players because of it. I had to many Packers and Saints on my team to begin with. I don't know if it was the way to go or to just ignore it and hope it hits alot of other teams also?