I can see Fields having more value than I am giving him credit for, but I'm not sold on him as a long term QB. When Chicago landed that first overall pick there was still some talk of taking a QB and trading Fields. This class didn't have a Burrow or Lawrence, so I think it was an easier call for Chicago to stick with Fields and get him weapons. An honest analysis of Fields as a QB was showing he struggles with his progressions and resorted to running too soon and often. I think he has the skills to develop, but as a Bears homer as well, its constant pessimism when it comes to QBs.If the 2023 version of Fields was in this draft, he'd be my 1.3, and 1.2 would be arguable. I haven't seen a single fantasy rank of Fields lower than QB6 (I have him QB4 personally) and you've gotten a gem getting him for 2.7 2 years ago. I think your league mates would be insane not to trade for him if you are willing to accept just a top-10 pick. I would also firmly disagree Fields is on a short leash. They just doubled down on him. If he's on a short leash so are 20+ other starting QBs.I don't hate Richardson. I do hate him in the first half of round 1 in a 1qb league. I wouldn't consider him until after maybe 1.09. His value is in his potential, but I'm not seeing it at the same level others are. The kid needs a lot of work in the passing game and I think owners are chasing the fantasy points rushing yards bring a QB.If you hate Richardson just say it lmao. Anyway, I'm all aboard the hype train and will gladly take him at my pick if there in 1qb dynasty.
An argument can be made that he is worth a swing over a second or third tier RB/WR, but I'll be on the other side of that argument. Anyone can bust, but with ARich its going to take several years to see what he is and I don't know what that fantasy output is going to look like.
If we want to use Justin Fields as a comparison... in my 2021 1QB rookie draft I ended up with Fields in the middle of round 2. 2.07 actually. The guy was unstartable for a year and a half and I didn't have a ton of faith in the times I did start him. This year he is being projected a low end QB1. Rushing numbers are expected to go down and passing up.
But what is Fields actual value right now? If 2023 version of Justin Fields was in this rookie draft, where does he get picked? Is that production going in the top 6 picks? I don't know. As a Fields owner I'd trade him for a top10 pick in this draft,
The craziest part about all this is that Justin Fields is still on a short leash in Chicago. If he doesn't show an improvement in his passing game, the Bears very well could move on from him in 2024. Then he moves forward with cast off value, which may not be much if we're looking long term investment.
point being, I can deal with this when I'm using a mid second on this scenario. I think its crazy to see owners taking Richardson at 1.04 knowing what they are getting into.
Of course, I'd argue Richardson is 1.5 right now, but I certainly have an affinity for high-end running QBs, and this isn't the strongest draft class in my eyes, as so many guys landed in muddled spots. I have a real hard time seeing Richardson having less than 750 yards rushing with his profile and the current staff. I'm not saying he'll be Fields/Lamar, but he should be the next best thing yards wise, and its certainly possible (probable) that he'll also be getting the same bunny TDs Hurts got.
Side note: I think if Nagy hadn't been the HC in 2021, Fields would have been a fantasy asset as a rookie, but Nagy was fighting for his job, and didn't want to develop a rookie, and we saw where that got him, though Nagy is probably happier being the OC in KC.
One of the rumored reasons the Bears were ok with staying with Fields another year is that they acquired a lot of draft capital in future drafts should he not take a step forward this year. Bears stumble and Panthers don't improve, they are looking at two top 10-15 picks,
Good post though, I may have to explore that trade market a bit more.