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RB Christian McCaffrey, SF (10 Viewers)

I picked 1.10 in my home league last night.

Team 1.09 picked CMC, and I let out the deepest sigh of relief.

Rooting for all y’all CMC shareholders. Zero sarcasm. We need him to win games and I have Purdy shares. Go Niners. :wub:

I’m just relieved I don’t have to hold my breath every week.
 
Do you think B. Robinson keeps Guerrendo on the bench? Guerrendo looked pretty good last year.
I do, unfortunately. I mean, not totally “on the bench” - Guerendo is a fluid receiver and BRob is not. So I’d expect BRob to be a between the tackles banger and Guerendo to be the COP / 3rd down / receiving back.

The problem is Guerendo has had injury issues of his own.
 
Do you think B. Robinson keeps Guerrendo on the bench? Guerrendo looked pretty good last year.
I do, unfortunately. I mean, not totally “on the bench” - Guerendo is a fluid receiver and BRob is not. So I’d expect BRob to be a between the tackles banger and Guerendo to be the COP / 3rd down / receiving back.

The problem is Guerendo has had injury issues of his own.
Thanks. I don't pay that close attention to the Niners but, doesn't Shanahan have a history of next man up gets the full workload? Or does he do more substitutions at RB if/when his lead guy goes down?
 
Thanks. I don't pay that close attention to the Niners but, doesn't Shanahan have a history of next man up gets the full workload? Or does he do more substitutions at RB if/when his lead guy goes down?
He has a history of that, yes.

But it also depends on personnel. It’s one thing if he has a backup who can do multiple things. But BRob isn’t that guy. He never was in WAS and I don’t expect him to magically become that in SF.

It’s a bit too simplistic framing. Sometimes you need a chisel but you only have a screwdriver in the garage. Do you go into the house to get a chisel, or do you hammer away at the screwdriver with a mallet because you have a history of using the closest tool to your proximity?

Not my best analogy, probably not my worst.

Anyway, they like Guerendo, and if anyone in the SF RB room behind CMC is a multi-tool player it’s probably him. But they went and and traded for BRob, so he’s the presumed RB2.

I’d just temper expectations for him as a receiver. Even in Mason’s magical year he only had 14 targets for 11 receptions. Compare that to CMC’s 83/67 in 2023 and maybe that better illustrates my point.
 
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they went and and traded for BRob, so he’s the presumed RB2

From Kyle Shanahan confirms former Commanders RB Brian Robinson's role with 49ers:

Shanahan confirmed Robinson would serve as McCaffrey's primary backup in 2025.

"We brought him here to be our two back," Shanahan said via Kyle Madson of Niners Wire. "Always been a big fan of Brian. Loved him coming out of college. He's done really well going against him, and we were pumped that he was available and we were pumped that we were able to get him.”
 
Guerendo is a fluid receiver and BRob is not. So I’d expect BRob to be a between the tackles banger and Guerendo to be the COP / 3rd down / receiving back.

From Kyle Shanahan shares how Brian Robinson Jr. fits with Christian McCaffrey, 49ers:

During his time with the Washington Commanders, the 26-year-old showed plenty of versatility as a rusher and receiver, something that Shanahan covets in his running backs. Robinson averaged 776 yards per season, scoring 15 touchdowns on the ground and five receiving scores during his three-year tenure in Washington.

The past 2 seasons in Washington, on 69 targets, he had 60/548/4 receiving (9.1 YPR) with 628 YAC and 17 missed tackles forced on those receptions. That's not elite, maybe, but that's not bad at all., and it's a lot more than Guerendo has shown as a receiver.

If CMC goes down, I assume Guerendo would get snaps, but I think Robinson would be a clear RB1 and dominate snaps.
 
they went and and traded for BRob, so he’s the presumed RB2

From Kyle Shanahan confirms former Commanders RB Brian Robinson's role with 49ers:

Shanahan confirmed Robinson would serve as McCaffrey's primary backup in 2025.

"We brought him here to be our two back," Shanahan said via Kyle Madson of Niners Wire. "Always been a big fan of Brian. Loved him coming out of college. He's done really well going against him, and we were pumped that he was available and we were pumped that we were able to get him.”
Yep. That seems to confirm what i’d said there.

But if CMC goes down, I expect a situational rotation with BRob getting the dirty work.
 
Guerrendo looked pretty good last year.
Don't they all though?

Two constant's we've seen with Kyle is the RB's, especially the backups, go down a lot, and whoever is the next man up produces. Let's remember when training camp opened last year Mason was RB4.

It's honestly a great mystery that requires a study or something about how the RB's get hurt in this system.
 
If CMC goes down, I assume Guerendo would get snaps, but I think Robinson would be a clear RB1 and dominate snaps.
Could happen, sure. Let’s hope we don’t have to find out.

And no, BRob isn’t a complete blank as a receiver. But the playbook probably shrinks a lot with him in the game compared to CMC.
 
My draft is tomorrow and I still don't know if I'll take him at #9 if he's there.

I'm leaning towards pulling the trigger.
he shouldn't be there, but that's smash....draft Robinson late as a handcuff
I had pick 1.09 yesterday and got CMC. I couldn't get B-Rib because some yahoo took him in the 7th round.
This always seems to happen. That’s kinda stupid high for BRob as long as CMC is vertical though.
 
Thanks. I don't pay that close attention to the Niners but, doesn't Shanahan have a history of next man up gets the full workload? Or does he do more substitutions at RB if/when his lead guy goes down?
He has a history of that, yes.

But it also depends on personnel. It’s one thing if he has a backup who can do multiple things. But BRob isn’t that guy. He never was in WAS and I don’t expect him to magically become that in SF.

It’s a bit too simplistic framing. Sometimes you need a chisel but you only have a screwdriver in the garage. Do you go into the house to get a chisel, or do you hammer away at the screwdriver with a mallet because you have a history of using the closest tool to your proximity?

Not my best analogy, probably not my worst.

Anyway, they like Guerendo, and if anyone in the SF RB room behind CMC is a multi-tool player it’s probably him. But they went and and traded for BRob, so he’s the presumed RB2.

I’d just temper expectations for him as a receiver. Even in Mason’s magical year he only had 14 targets for 11 receptions. Compare that to CMC’s 83/67 in 2023 and maybe that better illustrates my point.
Good breakdown, thanks.

I don't know why Robinson gets knocked for his receiveing but, it's consistent so there must be something to it.

Over the last two years he has 56 receptions at 9.4 per with an 82% catch rate. I think it's a bigger part of his game than Mason.

I wonder what the problem is.
 
Guerrendo looked pretty good last year.
Don't they all though?

Two constant's we've seen with Kyle is the RB's, especially the backups, go down a lot, and whoever is the next man up produces. Let's remember when training camp opened last year Mason was RB4.

It's honestly a great mystery that requires a study or something about how the RB's get hurt in this system.
I forget who posted it but someone did a really nice breakdown last season of why they believe Shanahan's system leads to high RB attrition. Something to do with where the RBs typically get the ball and how it allows them to generate much more momentum before contact then most other schemes.
 
So many times I see people say some version of the "you can't win your league in round 1, but you can lose it" and like, there is ZERO evidence to back that up. Hell, I was in a league last year where the person who took CMC at #1 ran away with the league. Lost 2 games all season. Sure, that team would have been even better with CMC, but this idea that losing one player sinks your season is asinine to me.
 
So many times I see people say some version of the "you can't win your league in round 1,
The letter if the phrase is an exaggeration but how I mean it is everyone is getting top tier players that round and if you get a guy that underperformed or gets injured it makes it much more difficult to recover because it's theoretically your best guy. While if they meet expectations you keep pace with the other teams top picks so it's kind of a wash.

Hitting on guys in the 8-10 range is where you can gain the most value so, to me, that is what wins leagues for you.

Now guys like CMC, Priest Holmes, Tomlinson are unicorns and can still crush expectations and be like two players. Not too many guys can do that so it's more rare and where the you "can't win the league" parts come fro.from. it can happen but it's more rare.
 
CMC, Henry for me tonight in my home league picking 8.....I won't be upset with Henry considering Adam Sandler guarenteed him a role in a movie if he hits 2k....be the first player to do it twice....don't think the Ravens know that too.
 
You either believe in him and win… or he dies and your season is tanked.
I mean, you can believe in him and he can still die and tank your season. Both these things can be true.
Took B Rob for virtually free as well.
This is the way.

I like blue chip RBs (all positions actually) on good teams that had a good year the prior year. The less risk in the profile, the better.
This sounds like something out of a dating profile.
 
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Popped up on today's injury report with a calf issue.

No ********.

Cam Inman, Bay Area beat reporter

Whelp...

I take it, Inman is a beat writer or some such?
Dude, without being too difficult, what do you think you do with those grayed out internet addresses? LOL.

Dude, I literally avoid Twitter like it's toxic waste. Because, it kinda is. I doubt I am the only one.

I mean, can't you just pay for the blue star, or diamond or horseshoe or clover or whatever it is?
 
Popped up on today's injury report with a calf issue.

No ********.

Cam Inman, Bay Area beat reporter

Whelp...

I take it, Inman is a beat writer or some such?
Dude, without being too difficult, what do you think you do with those grayed out internet addresses? LOL.

Dude, I literally avoid Twitter like it's toxic waste. Because, it kinda is. I doubt I am the only one.

I mean, can't you just pay for the blue star, or diamond or horseshoe or clover or whatever it is?

You can indeed pay for a blue check. I guess this guy's whole profile could be a lie. Wouldn't be too far gone. But he's got 55,900 followers and lots of football people I follow are already following the guy, so . . . yeah.

Limited participant with a calf designation.
 
Popped up on today's injury report with a calf issue.

No ********.

Cam Inman, Bay Area beat reporter

Whelp...

I take it, Inman is a beat writer or some such?
Dude, without being too difficult, what do you think you do with those grayed out internet addresses? LOL.

Dude, I literally avoid Twitter like it's toxic waste. Because, it kinda is. I doubt I am the only one.

I mean, can't you just pay for the blue star, or diamond or horseshoe or clover or whatever it is?

You can indeed. I guess this guy's whole profile could be a lie. Wouldn't be too far gone. But he's got 55,900 followers and lots of football people I follow are already following the guy, so . . . yeah.

Limited participant with a calf designation.
It isn't a fact until @Faust posts it.

Until then, I'll be in my sandbox, smashing my Tonka toys.
 

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