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RB D’Andre Swift, CHI (2 Viewers)

The Lions moved on from Swift and Hock for very similar reasons. They did not listen to coaching, did not do the little things they were asked, and did not put it all out there on the field. Both have elite talent and can produce, but not guys who buy into team concepts. Could both be great fantasy players assuming they don't get nicked up. Mostly likely they both will have shinning moments where they display great potential, but fail to put together a great season.

Hock seems to be doing OK for himself
Yeah, but he’s not a Lion anymore. That’s a huge blow to his ego.
 
This guy went in the first round of my draft last year.

Oh how the mighty have fallen.

I drafted him this year. If he can stay healthy on the Eagles offense it feels like a match made in Heaven.
Swift went in round 1 in your league last season?
He did in mine as well. He was very highly rated last year. Didn't work out.
That’s surprising. He went in Round 3 in my 14 team league last year - didn’t think he was sniffing round 1, but guess my recollection is off and all leagues are different
 
Anyway, back to Swift. Very curious how this Philly backfield shakes out, not least as I do have Swift on my one team this year. Is it Gainwell with Swift more a third down type of back? Who get's used at the goalline? Penny? Bit of a mystery but I like the idea of teams being afraid of Hurts and Swift taking dump offs 40 yards.
 
It is very odd to think of Gainwell taking the primary work and another (Swift) taking the receiving job, since Gainwell was touted as a receiving back coming into the league. Things are probably not nearly as black-and-white as they sound. I hear of a rookie coming out of college being talked up as a "receiving back" and my ears hear Kamara or Sproles. Ability and usage can be very different things.
 
This guy went in the first round of my draft last year.

Oh how the mighty have fallen.

I drafted him this year. If he can stay healthy on the Eagles offense it feels like a match made in Heaven.
Swift went in round 1 in your league last season?
He did in mine as well. He was very highly rated last year. Didn't work out.
That’s surprising. He went in Round 3 in my 14 team league last year - didn’t think he was sniffing round 1, but guess my recollection is off and all leagues are different
People thought he'd be a PPR monster.
 
I think it's a committee while all 3 are healthy with Penny receiving the fewest snaps.

The money will be made when one comes down with an injury. Then there is real opportunity for 15-20 touchers for a single back and in that instance I like Swift because of his big play ability, but really any of these three backs getting a large volume of touches are a fantasy RB2 IMHO and maybe a RB 1 depending on circumstances.
 
I think it's a committee while all 3 are healthy with Penny receiving the fewest snaps.

The money will be made when one comes down with an injury. Then there is real opportunity for 15-20 touchers for a single back and in that instance I like Swift because of his big play ability, but really any of these three backs getting a large volume of touches are a fantasy RB2 IMHO and maybe a RB 1 depending on circumstances.
I went zero RB strategy in my main draft and got both Swift and Gainwell, so I’m on board for this group think.

I still believe swift is an Uber talent if he can be unleashed and stay healthy, and everyone could be sleeping on his ADP if I’m right about that.
 
I think it's a committee while all 3 are healthy with Penny receiving the fewest snaps.

The money will be made when one comes down with an injury. Then there is real opportunity for 15-20 touchers for a single back and in that instance I like Swift because of his big play ability, but really any of these three backs getting a large volume of touches are a fantasy RB2 IMHO and maybe a RB 1 depending on circumstances.
I went zero RB strategy in my main draft and got both Swift and Gainwell, so I’m on board for this group think.

I still believe swift is an Uber talent if he can be unleashed and stay healthy, and everyone could be sleeping on his ADP if I’m right about that.
Your lips to God's beer my friend.

Got him as my RB3 and hope he outperforms.
 
Swift and Penny will make a fantastic combo. Gainwell will be sprinkled in as a clear third IMO. He is a poor man's Swift in term's of skillset. He has nothing on Penny's role IMO. We'll see what's what next few weeks, but ultimately, it'll be hit or miss with even the top two thanks to Jalen Hurtsing the rush TDs.

I have a share of Penny for a penny and will give it a few weeks to sort out. Or maybe one week if you guys are proven correct and Penny is actually behind Gainwell when the real begins.
 
Swift and Penny will make a fantastic combo. Gainwell will be sprinkled in as a clear third IMO. He is a poor man's Swift in term's of skillset. He has nothing on Penny's role IMO. We'll see what's what next few weeks, but ultimately, it'll be hit or miss with even the top two thanks to Jalen Hurtsing the rush TDs.

I have a share of Penny for a penny and will give it a few weeks to sort out. Or maybe one week if you guys are proven correct and Penny is actually behind Gainwell when the real begins.
I tried to sell myself on Gainwell and couldn't do it.
If Swift and Penny do simultaneously land on the injury report, then i think Philly starts looking at bringing in additional bodies at RB but Gainwell cannot handle even a half load on the ground although he is a decent receiver out of the backfield for them.
 
Ended up with Swift as my RB3 with pick 8.12, he was the 35th RB off the board.

Backstopped him with Penny at 14.12 as my RB6

Not terribly optimistic about either but IMO those represented good values at the time.
 
I had Swift in a draft and had the opportunity to draft Penny much later but didn't want to use a bench spot on a 2nd Eagles RB. I think with the uncertainty in this backfield, taking a shot on one RB is enough lol.
 
I had Swift in a draft and had the opportunity to draft Penny much later but didn't want to use a bench spot on a 2nd Eagles RB. I think with the uncertainty in this backfield, taking a shot on one RB is enough lol.
I agree for the most part and it's unlikely that both of them remain on my roster. But at the beginning of the season, while we're still watching things unfold, it's not a bad idea to stake a modest investment in a potentially high scoring backfield .
 
I'm not good at finding the more intricate fantasy-related stats. I feel like, just based on perception, "career PPR points per opportunity (i.e., rush attempts + targets)" is a number that might be tremenous for Swift among RB's. Like top 5 among active RB's with at least a decent sample size, maybe? But like I said, I don't really know where to access a list like that.

I truly believe health and usage are the only things keeping him from being a monster.

The guy has missed 3 games each season. That is not actually all that impactful. It's the games that he starts and gets 4 carries and 2 targets because he's not 100% that hurt more. And I still don't know what to believe about the games that went like that last year. Possible reasons include:
- Coach staff worried that too much work would pose too much injury risk
- Swift would take himself out of the game due to pain or complain about getting too much work (this is the one that was apparently suggested by Staley that I just have trouble believing)
- "Halfway in the doghouse" with the coaching staff, for any number of unknown reasons

My optimistic outlook is that the latter was the primary reason, that a fresh start with a fresh team and a fresh coaching staff will go more smoothly. They will try all the backs early on. Swift's performance will repeated blow people away. They'll say "we're idiots if we don't use this guy 15 times a game minimum".

If this isn't the year, I'm probably finally selling.
 
Drafted JT in the 5th last week, pre trade deadline. As soon as the Colts announced no trade, was offered Swift straight up. Countered with Swift/Kamara for JT/DHarris. So for now, Swift is my 2B (Javonte 2A).
I've asked a few Eagle diehards I know, and they all say Swift is the RB1 on the team. I think we're all hand wringing over the past. We shall see.
 
Swift and Penny will make a fantastic combo. Gainwell will be sprinkled in as a clear third IMO. He is a poor man's Swift in term's of skillset. He has nothing on Penny's role IMO. We'll see what's what next few weeks, but ultimately, it'll be hit or miss with even the top two thanks to Jalen Hurtsing the rush TDs.

I have a share of Penny for a penny and will give it a few weeks to sort out. Or maybe one week if you guys are proven correct and Penny is actually behind Gainwell when the real begins.

Penny was fourth in the preseason snap count pecking order, only edging out Sermon. Gainwell and Swift saw much more action with the first team.

I think Penny is the clear backup to Swift with Gainwell being the change of pace/pass catcher.
 
So, no surprises here, but the target rate to RBs in Philly was low last year.

But is it possible, or has it been reported anywhere, that it's something the team wants to increase? It would make some sense, especially if they want to protect their gazillion dollar signing at QB from getting hammered too much.

No one seems to be speculating in this way, they're just saying "Philly doesn't throw to RBs," devaluing Swift, and moving on.
 
Swift is made of glass … couple insane games … then he gets some sort of injury and you chase points all season … Penny’s breakout games were more impressive to me but he’s made of cardboard also
 
So, no surprises here, but the target rate to RBs in Philly was low last year.

But is it possible, or has it been reported anywhere, that it's something the team wants to increase? It would make some sense, especially if they want to protect their gazillion dollar signing at QB from getting hammered too much.

No one seems to be speculating in this way, they're just saying "Philly doesn't throw to RBs," devaluing Swift, and moving on.
The team definitely wants to increase it. The beat writers mentioned several times in camp that they want to get the screen game going again like the McCoy and Westbrook days. The issue was Sanders wasn't a very good catcher. So they just fed him the ball on the ground.
 
Just can't put my finger on this RB situation. My gut says Gainwell isn't even worth a roster spot. He just seems like one of those guys we read hype pieces and we hold. We hold. We hold all year and it basically results in a wasted roster spot. Eagles had about 380 rushing attempts for the RB position. I was surprised to see Miles had a super majority of them. His 259 dwarfs the next closest RB with 54. Kinda interesting. I like Penny. I like Swift. Swift is going 30ish RB. Penny is going 40ish RB. I guess if I was head coach knowing history of both back I'd keep Penny to 150 total carries max and give Swift as much as he can handle. Say 15 a game. I think I like Swift at his draft capital and I'd pass on Penny at his. Imo
 
Just can't put my finger on this RB situation. My gut says Gainwell isn't even worth a roster spot. He just seems like one of those guys we read hype pieces and we hold. We hold. We hold all year and it basically results in a wasted roster spot. Eagles had about 380 rushing attempts for the RB position. I was surprised to see Miles had a super majority of them. His 259 dwarfs the next closest RB with 54. Kinda interesting. I like Penny. I like Swift. Swift is going 30ish RB. Penny is going 40ish RB. I guess if I was head coach knowing history of both back I'd keep Penny to 150 total carries max and give Swift as much as he can handle. Say 15 a game. I think I like Swift at his draft capital and I'd pass on Penny at his. Imo

Eagles coaches raved about Gainwell in practice all season but he didn't play much. Then in the playoffs he got some garbage time carries and did well with them. Then the next game he got more carries than Sanders. Then in the Superbowl they split carries. So something happened in the playoffs that the coaching staff got comfortable using Gainwell. Then in camp the reports were that he was with the 1s getting most of the specialty group carries. So I'm not projecting Gainwell to get 200 carries, but doubling his carries from last season is probably a safe bet.

The reports are that Swift is being split out as a receiver so I think we may see more screens and formations where Gainwell and Swift are out there at the same time with Swift then being split out. Instead of doing WR screens, they may have Swift getting those out in space.

This is going to be a true RBBC unless one person really shines and just earns the bell cow work or there is an injury.
 
So, no surprises here, but the target rate to RBs in Philly was low last year.

But is it possible, or has it been reported anywhere, that it's something the team wants to increase? It would make some sense, especially if they want to protect their gazillion dollar signing at QB from getting hammered too much.

No one seems to be speculating in this way, they're just saying "Philly doesn't throw to RBs," devaluing Swift, and moving on.
Historically the Eagles absolutely throw to RBs. Westbrook was a monster in pot leagues as was Shady. Those were under Andy but everything I’ve heard out of TC is that they are running screens much more than the last few years. I think this is more due to the fact that Mikes wasn’t really a good receiver. Swift is a phenomenal receiver and they’ve lining him up in routes, not just bubble screens out of the back field. I said earlier I could see him getting 75+ catches. That’s where his value lies.
 
Swift and Penny will make a fantastic combo. Gainwell will be sprinkled in as a clear third IMO. He is a poor man's Swift in term's of skillset. He has nothing on Penny's role IMO. We'll see what's what next few weeks, but ultimately, it'll be hit or miss with even the top two thanks to Jalen Hurtsing the rush TDs.

I have a share of Penny for a penny and will give it a few weeks to sort out. Or maybe one week if you guys are proven correct and Penny is actually behind Gainwell when the real begins.

Penny was fourth in the preseason snap count pecking order, only edging out Sermon. Gainwell and Swift saw much more action with the first team.

I think Penny is the clear backup to Swift with Gainwell being the change of pace/pass catcher.
this is what I believe. I've quietly added Swift to several of my teams this year. Paying RB2 prices for what I think will be a low end RB1 (don't think he's likely to see a high TD total with Hurts vultering an above average QB share of short yardage TDs)
Downside is a lower end RB2
 
anybody want to take a crack at Swift's workload week one?

I think it's a full blown committee while all three are healthy.
 
I think he's the lead back while healthy, so don't blink.

I think that translates to about 15 opportunities/week
 
anybody want to take a crack at Swift's workload week one?

I think it's a full blown committee while all three are healthy.

10-45 rushing
6-66-1 receiving

with that kind of workload we expect Penny to not see many snaps?

Unless the Eagles plan on dressing 4 running backs (doubtful) I'd be surprised if he dresses week 1.

Penny got alot of preseason run. Which makes me think he's not playing much for real.
 
Penny broke his leg about 10 months ago, and he's a volume runner. If he gets 4-6 carries a game he's not going to look great.
 
I've got Swift as one of the biggest values in FF this year. They traded for him in this RB market. I know I know Howie would trade for anything. I don't believe Gainwell does anything more than he has up to this point in his career. Which is to say he'll get a few touches just like any other team's backup utility back. I feel like he should have been going in the 4th/5th round of drafts at worst this year but he is going 7th/8th and so mostly just calling my shot here. Now that I'm mostly done drafting for the year.
 
I've got Swift as one of the biggest values in FF this year. They traded for him in this RB market. I know I know Howie would trade for anything. I don't believe Gainwell does anything more than he has up to this point in his career. Which is to say he'll get a few touches just like any other team's backup utility back. I feel like he should have been going in the 4th/5th round of drafts at worst this year but he is going 7th/8th and so mostly just calling my shot here. Now that I'm mostly done drafting for the year.
Got him at 8.12 in a 12 team SF, PPR as the 34th RB off the board. That feels like value, on paper. But, as is always the case with him, how long will he stay on the field?

It's not the missed games so much as the early exits that concern me.
 

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