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I agree with all that. @zamboni mentioned above that the Houston offense might outperform expectations this year, and I'm inclined to belive that they will. I'm very tempted to target Kelce and top-tier WRs in the first three rounds (or sub in Allen at QB), and then fall into the zero-RBs like Pierce. I like Davis too at QB, and will be targeting Nico Collins as well.
At this juncture, Pierce > Hall
For me it's a byproduct of zero-RB fever. My redraft is on Monday and I'm attracted to all the shiny non-RB players in the early rounds. Have not gotten too familiar with ADP yet, so my tune might change once I dive deeper.
yeah, no.
Jonathan Taylor was behind Marlon Mack to start his rookie year.
Yeah I've seen that.
I also keep trying to remind myself that the winner of this contest is the lead back for the Houston Texans. Sometimes we get so caught up in winning we forget what the prize is.
As stated above, it’s possible that the Texans could have a much better offense than what many expect. And if he’s a 3-down back, that can have big time value. It just comes down to how much you’re willing to gamble on all these cards falling into place and who you’re willing to pass over to take a chance on Pearce.
On a longer term basis you prefer Pearce to Hall? Ok. There’s a great chance Pearce gets replaced by a rookie next draft.
Their line was awful, but they actually had a winning record and (miraculously) made the playoffs. I also think Houston will be improved this year, but probably still looking at 5-6 wins tops. It would be very surprising if Pierce came anywhere close to the workload Najee had last year.
Is Michael Carter going anywhere? The threat you‘re projecting for Pierce 17 games from now in Houston is already under contract for 3 more seasons in NY.
What’s preventing a James Robinson (2020) type season though?
Yeah and I drafted Taylor in the third that year. It killed in my big redraft league because I could never recover from his poor start to the season.
I'm sure there have been others. Darwin Thompson comes to mind as another.
My deep keeper league is very RB driven, especially for young/rookie backs. Fortunately where I'm picking, someone will grab him before I do so that I don't have to feel like I'm reaching.
I think it's the preseason game he didn't play in that has him rising the list the most. For me, at least. If he had another game similar to his first last week, I'd still be like, meh, top 12 or 18 dynasty rookie pick. But with the fact that they've "seen all they need to see" or whatever, I'd probably be taking him at #5 if I had a pick up there.
It was mostly a reminder that as bad as it seemed, Pitt still had a winning record so they were able to feed their RB more often. While it's not impossible he has a season like JRob, I don't think it's likely as Houston has more talent than that Jax team had so more mouths to feed for their smallish pie. That Jax team was all Robinson, he got almost all of their RB touches and their leading WR had like 700 yards.
Excellent and commend you for holding the line on Carter, you're right.
Everyone keeps bringing up Darwin but I never was high on him for his talent, it was a situation were we had a great offense and no one believed in the top two RB's in the depth chart, the Williams. Other then that I see nothing similar. I never got hyped on the player with respect to Darwin, just the situation. That is not at all how I feel about Pierce were the hype I have is based solely on the player himself.
The FBG dynasty guys - Bloom Waldman - were high on him I believe.
I bet on Houston so I hope he has a big game.
I had no idea, no offense to them intended in the least, I don't consume their content.
No that wasn’t calling them (or you) out, I was just making a suggestion that that was why people on the board got caught up in it. I fully admit that maybe my memory is off but will stick with it for now.
Ameer Abdullah?? I remember his one long preseason run and man his value sky rocketed.
