Joey Bosa, DE/OLB, Ohio State
Kangaroo Score:
0.763 Agility Score:
1.064 Avg TFL:
18.5
Based on our normal methods for doing this, Bosa is someone we should probably be excited about. When examining his athletic traits and college production, this is someone that the computer would allow us to select in the 1st round. Still, there are some odd details and concerns about Bosa that make us scratch our heads a bit. His Kangaroo Score suggests that he should have the lower body power to bull rush, as well as stand up against the opponent's running game. The score above actually might underestimate his power a bit, as the results from his broad jump would produce a result of
1.601, which is a significant improvement on his overall result. Then we have his agility results, which are also really quite good, especially for someone of his size. The one odd thing about his results was what happened when we removed mass as a factor. Suddenly, his lower body explosiveness was appearing to be just "okay", with a result that came in between
0.208 and
0.823. That result is a tad lower than what we normally see in most of the NFL's top level pass rushers, but not necessarily a significant problem. These results would suggest that he is probably more of a bull-rushing torque machine, and less of a blow past the tackle at the snap kind of player. That also probably fits with what we have seen of Bosa in the few games we have watched. The most similar athletic comparison we can make, is probably
Kyle Vanden Bosch. Yes, we feel a bit awkward about making a white-guy-to-white-guy comparison. Then we come to Bosa's statistical production in college, which is a whole other can of worms. Because of the recent successes of the Ohio State football program, it is a bit more difficult to tell who is benefiting from being in an potentially advantageous situation. In 2014, we would say that Bosa's production was quite good, though still perhaps a hair short of what we typically find with top level pass rushers. In 2015, we run into much bigger problems. Bosa took a rather severe tumble in production, and we don't have an adequate explanation for why that is. Some people will say that it was caused by Bosa being double-teamed more often, but we're not so sure about that. Considering that his team was actually improving the rate that they were getting to the opposing quarterback (going from an
8.3% sack rate in 2015, to an
8.4% in 2015), and that Bosa was frequently benefiting from being able to go after the opponent's right tackle, his slump bothers us a bit. We'd also say that while Bosa appears to be active against the run, he was probably making about 10% fewer plays in this area than we would really like to see. Admittedly, part of the reason we are being so critical of Bosa is because of some of the similarities he possesses to another former Ohio State player,
Vernon Gholston. Like Bosa, Gholston was an extremely gifted athlete whose market share of his team's pass rushing success was less impressive than his stat sheet might make you suspect. You could say, that for as gifted as Bosa/Gholston appeared to be physically, we actually think they both should have been even more productive in college, especially considering the beneficial environment they found themselves in. Maybe that seems like nitpicking. Despite all of this criticism, we still think Bosa is probably one of the better pass rushing prospects in this draft, and worth a 1st round pick. We just aren't certain that he should go in the top 5.