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Mike Williams missing the game could move the cutline downward a bit...he's heavily owned
Doesnt look like they're going to punish him for now. Unless the urine sample comes back not clean, I don't think he see's any punishment from the team or the league.
There seems to be some uncertainty in this regard, per Adam Schefter on Twitter:Adam_Schefter Hold on -- now another Bucs official is saying Mike Williams will NOT play. One says he will, one says he won't. Someone will be right.
 
Bad start to week 11 for me. Marshall hurt, Bess a dud, and now M.Williams might not play. There goes 3 WR's hurting me already. And if Marshall is done for the year that would really hurt. Good thing I have 11 WR's rostered on my entry.

 
eaglezzz said:
Bad start to week 11 for me. Marshall hurt, Bess a dud, and now M.Williams might not play. There goes 3 WR's hurting me already. And if Marshall is done for the year that would really hurt. Good thing I have 11 WR's rostered on my entry.
Correction: A bad start to week 11 would be getting knocked out in weeks 1-10. :no:
 
eaglezzz said:
Bad start to week 11 for me. Marshall hurt, Bess a dud, and now M.Williams might not play. There goes 3 WR's hurting me already. And if Marshall is done for the year that would really hurt. Good thing I have 11 WR's rostered on my entry.
Correction: A bad start to week 11 would be getting knocked out in weeks 1-10. :X
It would be a bad start to get knocked out in every week! :X
 
Entry 101876

This entry is still alive.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

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Tom Brady $24

Matthew Stafford $16

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Matt Forte $20

Ahmad Bradshaw $18

Darren McFadden $14

Arian Foster $13

LaDainian Tomlinson $12

Mike Tolbert $1

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Calvin Johnson $27

Brandon Marshall $26

Dez Bryant $13

Jacoby Jones $10

Steve Johnson $4

Dwayne Jarrett $3

Johnnie Lee Higgins $1

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Jason Witten $19

Tony Scheffler $7

Aaron Hernandez $5

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Rob Bironas $3

Sebastian Janikowski $2

Matt Bryant $2

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San Francisco 49ers $5

Kansas City Chiefs $3

Detroit Lions $2

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TOTAL 205.50 162.50 192.30 187.95 153.60 170.70 207.25 226.20 206.90 161.60

CUTOFF 125.90 141.75 145.00 129.75 127.10 139.90 123.50 132.55 151.70 144.35

:banned:

 
Wow, with Carpenter, Bess, Knox, and Miami D going, I went from 292 (73.8%) in the Week 11 Sim to 1054 (57.7%) in the Post-Thursday sim.

Knox did ok, the rest did not do so well, but... none of these are really core guys for me. That's a big drop.

 
Have to admit... Lovin the drama with the initial sim/pwr release to the post-Thurs release... just makes this contest more exciting for the hail mary plays!

 
Appreciate the after Thursday night game sim rerun as well as the after Sunday Night rerun. It is fun to see how the actual games affect the rankings. Thanks for running them!

 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.

 
My nemesis is entry 100714 whomever you are. :shock: You keep ticking me off when typing a search for my roster. You always seem to be listed ahead of me in the weekly scores. Don't make me call on Tonya Harding and Joey Buttafucco to hamstring your players.

With admiration and respect,

Jaded entry 100715.

 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.
Odd. Carpenter is one of the more highly-owned kickers. Maybe his goose-egg actually helped you, since you have three other kickers. But I don't see how it would have helped you that much. The other possibility is changes in the projections between Wednesday and Saturday. Do you have any players who looked like they might not play, but are now likely to play?By the way, the Turk drives a very sensible 2001 Toyota Echo that gets 43 highway MPG on a good day and can often park inside the white stripe.

 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.
Odd. Carpenter is one of the more highly-owned kickers. Maybe his goose-egg actually helped you, since you have three other kickers. But I don't see how it would have helped you that much. The other possibility is changes in the projections between Wednesday and Saturday. Do you have any players who looked like they might not play, but are now likely to play?By the way, the Turk drives a very sensible 2001 Toyota Echo that gets 43 highway MPG on a good day and can often park inside the white stripe.
You know those white stripes are just suggestions for important people, right?
 
I need some folks to step up... Was at 78.8%.. then went to 74.1%.... definitely moving the wrong direction!

Need some of my receivers to step it up.. as Bess did nuttin. Let's get it on!!!

 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.
Odd. Carpenter is one of the more highly-owned kickers. Maybe his goose-egg actually helped you, since you have three other kickers. But I don't see how it would have helped you that much. The other possibility is changes in the projections between Wednesday and Saturday. Do you have any players who looked like they might not play, but are now likely to play?By the way, the Turk drives a very sensible 2001 Toyota Echo that gets 43 highway MPG on a good day and can often park inside the white stripe.
I bumped up 2% with Carpenter and the Bears D. Looks like the "floor" score for my D raised all my percentile scores except for my max and carpenter's 0 didn't hurt much with 3 other kickers available.
 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.
Odd. Carpenter is one of the more highly-owned kickers. Maybe his goose-egg actually helped you, since you have three other kickers. But I don't see how it would have helped you that much. The other possibility is changes in the projections between Wednesday and Saturday. Do you have any players who looked like they might not play, but are now likely to play?By the way, the Turk drives a very sensible 2001 Toyota Echo that gets 43 highway MPG on a good day and can often park inside the white stripe.
Frack! Never listen to a parking attendant wearing a purple suit with a wide brimmed hat and gold chains. Come to think of it, my car still hasn't turned up in the lot.Possibly, I don't know what players went from being "out" in the sim to "in"

Prime candidates include

Mike Williams

Fred Taylor

Zach Miller

Schuab

Bironas

 
I'd swear my entry 100715 went from 66% to 78% survival from the boot leg week 11 to post Thursday sim. Waxing the turk's SUV must have give me a boost. Thanks!!!

Carpenter was my only player going in that game.
Odd. Carpenter is one of the more highly-owned kickers. Maybe his goose-egg actually helped you, since you have three other kickers. But I don't see how it would have helped you that much. The other possibility is changes in the projections between Wednesday and Saturday. Do you have any players who looked like they might not play, but are now likely to play?By the way, the Turk drives a very sensible 2001 Toyota Echo that gets 43 highway MPG on a good day and can often park inside the white stripe.
I went from 77.1% to 85.2% with only Carpenter playing on Thursday as well.
 
Well... we will definitely see the Foster effect another week. He will definitely shift the line with 1551 of us holding him... Sometimes it's good to be a Foster owner...

Sitting at 159.45 after 1 PM games.. hopefully the Turk is looking lower than that!!!

 
192.3 through the early games. Sailing through this contest will really make it hurt more if I get booted in the next 2 weeks. :Crossing fingers and toes:

 
:shrug:

127.85 through the 4 o'clock games.

I have left:

Rivers - 20.75

Leon Washingon - 9.3

Gaffney, H Douglas, Mike Williams, Laurent Robinson, and Branch left at WR (16.6, 5.5, 0.0 and 9.3 flex so far)

Winslow - 6.3

Bryant - 13

Tampa Bay -8

Very very worried :(

-QG

 
Last edited by a moderator:
A 180 cut would not surprise me at all.
Very, very unlikely. Less than 20% of the turkomatic sims were above 171. While the cut could be bumped a bit by Foster's big day, I wouldn't expect it to be terribly far off from the expected high 150's projection. Obviously tomorrow morning's sim will paint a better picture, but if you're over 170 you should feel pretty confident that you're in the clear this week.178ish here, so I'm hoping for a down day for Bradshaw tonight to thin him out a bit. As a Foster owner with capable fill in's, I'm actually hoping he goes absolutely crazy until the finals, then disappears. Could help carry some weaker teams into the finals, and let those that have other options capitalize when it counts.
 
holding penalty on Palmer to TO Td will cost me. good luck everyone, atleast I made it to week 11... too many injuries piled up to survive... 101595

 
:bag:

All this talk of a high cut line :(

Anyway, my receivers picked up some points so I've at least crawled into contention I hope.

After the 4pm games I'm at 160.05

I have Rivers - 20.75 and Gaffney - 10.5 left.

Here's hoping the Turk stays away for another week :thumbup:

-QG

 
Well... we will definitely see the Foster effect another week. He will definitely shift the line with 1551 of us holding him... Sometimes it's good to be a Foster owner...Sitting at 159.45 after 1 PM games.. hopefully the Turk is looking lower than that!!!
Slight upgrade to 166.6 after 4 PM games.... Have Crayton (-12.1) and Eagles D (-6) to go. Hoping the cut line is lower!
 
Anybody know of a contest live scoring link anywhere? A few years back, someone created one. Some of the posts this afternoon have me wondering if there is one in use. Hate manually calculate if not necessary. Thanks.

 
My unofficial (through hand calc/fantasystar) tally of all players with 10%+ ownership amongst those remaining. No warranty implied or stated.

Player, Ownership %, Scoring

Orton, 19.6, TBD

Rivers 20.0, TBD

Roethlisberger 23.1, 43.25

D Anderson, 38.4, 20.75

Ryan, 11.4, 25.45

Rodgers, 25.7, 41.15

Flacco, 18.8, 21.05

Stafford, 15.6, 0.0

Palmer, 10.4, 22.70

Schaub, 10.5, 19.0

Bradshaw, 42.9, TBD

Foster, 96.2, 29.3

L Washington, 21.6, 1.4

B Scott, 11.2, -0.4

LT2, 21.8, 14.2

T Jones, 22.7, 19.1

Gore, 18.2, 8.5

ADP, 12.3, 9.3

F Taylor, 11.2, 0.0

M Turner, 13.5, 19.6

Spiller, 25.0, 0.0

Benson, 10.5, 22.1

Choice, 13.3, 3.1

Best, 11.0, 3.7

Chris Johnson, 10.2, 14.6

Mike Williams, 58.4, 14.4

D Branch, 19.1, 14.0

L Murphy, 46.9, 5.5

R White, 15.3, 17.3

T Owens, 18.6, 15.3

Calvin Johnson, 24.8, 16.6

Gaffney, 16.9, TBD

L Robinson, 25.6, 10.5

Dez Bryant, 14.6, 9.8

McCluster, 14.0, 0.0

D Henderson, 16.5, 2.8

Crayton, 16.9, TBD

Garcon, 35.1, 11.2

Camarillo, 26.2, 5.7

Berrian, 26.8, 0.0

M Wallace, 10.4, 22.5

L Moore, 10.7, 7.3

Jacoby Jones, 14.8, 1.0

S Moss, 10.2, 22.6

Andre Johnson, 23.6, 7.2

Knox, 13.0, 10.5

M Floyd, 16.5, TBD

Welker, 14.6, 16.8

Gronkowski, 27.5, 4.0

A Hernandez, 27.7, 8.3

Gresham 30.2, 6.3

Witten, 10.6, 10.8

Z Miller (Oak), 15.7, 3.9

Heap, 11.4, 14.4

Cooley, 10.0, 19.6

Finley, 26.3, 0.0

Shiancoe, 10.0, 3.6

Janikowski, 38.3, 5.0

M Bryant, 31.0, 16.0

Carpenter, 10.1, 0.0

Bironas, 29.0, 13.0

Hanson, 17.9, 0.0

Rackers, 13.4, 10.0

Detroit 14.3, 6.0

San Francisco 32.8, 2.0

New Orleans, 17.6, 4.0

So there you go.

Btw. 802 entries have at least 1 of Rodgers, Brees, P Manning, Roethlisberger. That figure includes staff entries. There are 9 guys who have none of those 4, but who have Sanchez. So that's 811 entries that have at least 34.95 at QB, 802 that have at least 40.80.

Go Rivers!!!!

-QG

 
72 TDs this week!!! High cut line for sure! Highest TD total this year.
YES/NOWoodhead, law frim, Gettis, Dressan, S Johnson???, Kitna, Redman, Obomuna, Ivory, Penn, Holaman, Peele, Finnerman???, White, RobinsonThat's a large chunk of guys who weren't available for selection or likely weren't selected. I think the cut moves mainly with the largest held guys. Foster is probably 10-15 over his projection, Williams 5 over.
 

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