Week 11 2023 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

[packer_junkie]

Need 1 flex in a must win
Jayden Reed vs LAC
Quinten Johnson vs GB
Jaylin Guttin vs GB

 

[kajaet]

Drinking in the last chance saloon this week at 4-6. Standard, need 3 of the following to start with Kupp:

J.Williams vs Vikings
K.Walker @ Rams
D.Swift @ Chiefs
D.Singletary vs Cards
K.Mitchell @ Bengals
N.Collins vs Cards

Regardless of the outcome, truly appreciate you and your work this and every season.

I am no Chaka but I think you have great choices. I think off the top I eliminate Mitchell since you have great choices and there isn't much clarity on his role and workload. I probably also drop Swift (as much as it hurts me to say) because hasn't been getting the ball quite as much as before - Philly always seems to want to be a pass first team - despite their early season power running phase.

I like Williams and Walker for the volume they get and then choose between Collins and Singletary (Pierce didn't practice again yesterday). I would go Collins - he's been pretty consistent even while the other targets in houston trade off on big days - and it looks like he's playing

 

[kajaet]

CJ Stroud vs Cards or Justin Fields @ Detroit?

Seems like Stroud is the obvious choice but Fields has more touchdowns in his last two full games than Stroud has in his last 2 eye-opening games. Fields runs more too. But Fields coming off a multiple week injury. Who would you start? (4 pt TD Pass, 6 pt TD Run)


Also DEF
Cle vs Pit (Watson done for season)
Bal vs. Cinn

Have Cle in now but starting a backup who floundered before as me thinking Cleveland won't be holding the ball much. Who would you start?

 

[Godsbrother]

Need to choose 3 out of these 4:

J. Gibbs DET vs CHI
J. Conner ARI @HOU
J. Ford CLE vs PIT
D. Singletary HOU vs ARI

I currently have Gibbs, Conner and Ford starting. Am I screwing up by not starting Singletary after his breakout game?

 

[The Dude]

My evolving WR stable as I try to find gold (have AJB and D Douglas who is close to a lock in my lineup when off bye)

Need 2 half ppr
Assume K Allen & Lockett play

Rice v Phi
Q Johnston @ LAR
JSN @ GB
B Cooks @ Car

Gabe - but I think I am benching to see how new OC works out

Also should I drop any of the above to add E Mitchel SF (no depth at RB, not a CMC owner)

 

[Demian]

PPR
Pick 2 of the following. I so want to bench Pollard this week. Currently leaning Swift and Achane.

Swift at KC
Pollard at CAR
Achane vs LV
Mostert vs LV

 

[Chaka]

Super flex, scoring such that a decent QB is on par with a good WR.

Pick 3 for flex / sf
Watson / PIT (if he plays he starts)
DeVito / Was (benched if Watson plays)
Walker, DK, or Lockett / LAR
Diontae / CLE

PPR? I'd be tempted to roll out all your Seahawks and try to capture all of something instead of going piecemeal. Obviously it's a big risk but last week that would have translated to 317 total yards and 2 TDs along with 16 receptions (of course the week before it would have netted 97 total yards, 0 TDs and 5 receptions. The week before 218 yards, 1 TD and 14 receptions). The Rams defense is better than the Commanders defense but not by much at all. It's a tough call but I think the Seahawks will pull out the W.

I play SF so I definitely see the value of that second QB and DeVito is playing a bad Commanders defense at home, so he is a reasonable starter for you and probably a safe play. He is in no way an NFL caliber starting QB but he will see volume simply based on his position as a starting QB.

I love Diontae but I think I leave him out of this conversation, I think he will see #1 WR targets but, we all know that when it comes to the Steelers the game plan can be entirely random.

I think the balance of smart & upside is probably to go with
Devito>Walker>Lockett>DK>Diontae

 

[Chaka]

Add drop question. PPR league.

* Question: Drop one of D. Pierce, D. Foreman, T. Spears, Z. Charbonnet for T. Chandler or R. Dowdle?

My RB Depth:

* RB Starters: R. Mostert, J. Gibbs, D. Montgomery, Kyren Williams (when healthy)
* RB Bench: D. Pierce, D. Foreman, T. Spears, Z. Charbonnet

Looking for playoff potential. Pretty much have a spot locked. Homerun.

Previous threads have me thinking hold Charbonnet now. T. Spears has similar upside if TN decides to put Henry on ice or he gets banged up.

I don't think it's a done deal that Foreman is going to expire. He's run well.

Pierce is the tough one. It could be over now with injury plus Singletary. Hard to drop a 4th round pick (although I know that doesn't matter).

Sit tight?

Or drop one of these guys for Chandler or Dowdle?

Thanks

Pierce seems entirely unrosterable at this point. He's not a league winner and isn't a better bye week fill in than any of the other guys on your roster.

I personally don't have much interest in Chandler or Dowdle but I would have no issue dropping Pierce for either.

 

[Chaka]

Didn't think I'd be asking this when I drafted Lamar but here we are.
Purdy v TB
or
Lamar v Cinn
4 pt for passing TD 6 pts for rushing TD
TIA

I think at this point you start Lamar if you need a home run. If you're looking for stability, still with solid upside it's Purdy all the way. That needs to drive your decision, without considering that at this point I generally see it

Purdy>Lamar

 

[Chaka]

@Chaka

I'm looking to acquire Jameson Williams. He won't ever crack my lineup (Chase, Waddle, Olave), I'm just looking for....IDK, the FF equivalent to an emotional support animal.

Here's the bottom of my roster. Please rank in order from smell's like dog poo to smells like teen spirit

• Samaje Perine
• Jayden Reed
• Antonio Gibson
• David Njoku
• Keaton Mitchell

EDIT FOR CLARITY - I would send over a piece that was about to fall off the bottom of my roster anyways and pickup Jamo in a trade bc the guy probably was putting him back on the wire tonight

I'm only carrying one K now thanks to our last session. Also, I've cut down to two DSTs (BAL & CLE.)

THANKS FOR ALL YOUR HELP IN THE PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE

I have no problem with an emotional support Williams.

I wouldn't consider dropping Reed or Mitchell. I wouldn't drop Njoku until we see what DTR does this weekend. Between Perine and Gibson I probably keep Gibson. He seems to have found his role in the Commanders offense and is on the field far more consistently and seeing more action. Plus, I've never really been a fan of Perine.

Drop Samaje.

 

[BobbyLayne]

Joe Cool @ M&T Bank Stadium v Ravens

or

Ryan Gosling at Ford Field v Bears?

 

[Dr_Zaius]

Two tough choices this week for me.

At QB, Stroud v. Ari, Murray v. Hou, or Purdy v. TB
Leaning Stroud > Murray > Purdy, but Murray is intriguing

Two WRs are locked in with JJ and ARSB, but between the two RB slots and flex I have:
Javonte Williams v. Min, B. Robinson Jr. v. NYG, McLaurin v. NYG, Achane v. LV, Gabe Davis v. NYJ. Full PPR
Thinking J. Williams, Achane, and McLaurin, but Robinson's had some good weeks and I'm a little worried about Achane coming off of IR

 

[Chaka]

this is my serious Q for the Week; thanks in advance @Chaka - I do value your input

debating the Flex this week; per usual I am a heavy favorite

last 4 weeks:

1. Gibbs 28.23 | CHI
2. Hall 14.93 | at BUF
   RB1/RB2
   
   
3. Mitchell 13.63 | v CIN
4. Gibson 13.42 | v NYG
   Flex - one of these two
   
   
5. Warren 13.05| at CLE
6. Pacheco 9.77 | v PHI
   Bench

So it's between Mitchell, Gibson, Warren & Pacheco?

Mitchell is by far the most fun to watch and root for. Harbaugh is talking about trying to work him into the offense more. I do have to wonder what happens in a close game, as I expect this to be tonight? My concern is he gets scripted out in crunch time situations where Harbaugh may prefer more reliable veterans. I would really want to start him but I still have too many questions about him.

Conventional wisdom is the Commanders roll the Giants and they end up going run heavy at some point in the game. Maybe they have a commanding lead and Brian Robinson gets some early rest? That kind of thing. Sure, it's definitely possible, but the Commanders haven't blown out anyone this season yet. Their defense is bad enough to keep the Giants in the game long enough to keep Gibson around the 10 touches he has seen the past two games. Mind you, he averaged 5 opportunities in the three prior games as well as his last 8 games.

Warren is your safe/smart play here. Tough, tough matchup and the Cleveland defense could be extra motivated to not give up on the season just because Deshaun is out. An upset in Pittsburgh is not out of the equation. Pittsburgh is due for a letdown game before they rally again and barely squeak into the playoffs and get blown out in the first round. Warren is, week-over-week what you hope Gibson is becoming. I can definitely see playing the matchup here and I might end up recommending that, but Warren's snap share and utilization seem virtually locked in, Gibson's aren't.

It's tough not to simply plug Pacheco in and walk away. Good, bad or ugly you can make an argument that it's the right decision. He's the closest thing you have to a locked in legitimate #1 RB who should see around 17 touches. Benching him, on many levels feels like overthinking. Sometimes you have to say darn it all and go full speed. He should get you 60 yards with a couple receptions as his downside (his season average is 69 and his low is 37 total yards) even against a tough defense.

Pacheco>Gibson>Warren>Mitchell

 

[Chaka]

To answer Chaka’s Q, I think it’s Rice, but have to admit I’d chicken out at the last minute and start Ridley. Then I’d hate myself watching Rice open the game with a TD. So I say Rice - final answer.

My Q shows the sad state of affairs of my lineup, but it’s Jerome Ford vs Hollywood Brown in flex.
1 pt per 5 carries, 1 pt per 10 yd rushing, 1 pt per 10 yd rec, 2 pt per rec, 6 pt per TD (rec or rush)
Ford has PIT at home, Brown is at HOU - both middle of the road matchups

Nothing sad about Ford. His only downside is he is losing GL looks to Hunt. But he's a locked in, three down back who has a great offensive line and is performing well. Pittsburgh's run defense is poor and Minkah Fitzpatrick was DNP yesterday. Ford seems like a strong start.

Brown also seems like a potentially strong start. Houston doesn't have a particularly strong defense and their offense looks very strong ATM. I doubt Brown's 5 target game last week signals some kind of new normal in Arizona. He could easily be a 10 target guy going forward just like he was in the 10 games Murray and Brown started together last season.

Personally I view this as a good choice, and also a coin toss. I could see flip-flopping several times before kickoff. ATM I think I barely land
Brown>Ford

 

[EWV1]

Joe Cool @ M&T Bank Stadium v Ravens

or

Ryan Gosling at Ford Field v Bears?

Ryan Gosling? You mean Drey Fogue (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KVit4vSAMsk&ab_channel=RedBull)

I would go with Goff...as someone who is strongly considering benching Burrow for Murray (or maybe Howell).

 

[Chaka]

Half PPR, need 2WR and flex:

Mitchell vs Bungles (TNF)
Flowers vs Bungles (TNF)
Diontae @ Browns
Brown @ Texans
Dell vs Cards
Singletary vs Cards

Thinking Brown must be one of the WR's, and temptation to start Mitchell on a short week against a defence that was shredded by Singletary is huge, which leaves a choice of Flowers/Diontae/Dell?

Agree on Brown 100%. Also think Mitchell is extremely tempting and sometimes just the fun and anticipation of rolling a guy like him out is worth the cost of admission. If that's how you roll, I won't dissuade you. It should be noted that the Cardinals also have a terrible rush defense.

Between Dell, Flowers & Diontae I don't think we can entirely trust any of them but Flowers has consistently trailed the other two. He has some nice games and, if you are watching the Ravens at all you will see there are always 1-3 missed opportunities that, if they connected, would make Flowers's numbers to this point so much more interesting. But the fact is Flowers and Lamar are missing these opportunities consistently and even if I believe they will eventually connect and Flowers will have a monster game or two, I simply can't recommend relying on it at this point. The good news is he has a reasonably safe floor of 4 receptions for 50-65 yards.

I think you need to monitor the practice reports in Houston. It looks like Nico is on track to play but Noah Brown was DNP yesterday. Probably a rest day but, you never know. If all the Texans pass catchers are on the field it does complicate Dell's status a little bit. He has been playing very well and putting up great numbers over the last two games. His downside is pretty significant as Stroud is so good at distributing the ball but, particularly with both Collins and Brown at less than 100% I wouldn't have issues with starting him over Flowers or Diontae.

I love Diontae Johnson. He is the #1 WR in Pittsburgh, without question IMO. He should see 8-10 targets and put up 70 or so yards. It's a tough matchup and you never know what to expect with these AFC Central matchups but he should have the highest and most stable floor of your options, even if last week was a disaster.

Diontae>Dell>Flowers

 

[Chaka]

Super flex, scoring such that a decent QB is on par with a good WR.

Pick 3 for flex / sf
Watson / PIT (if he plays he starts)
DeVito / Was (benched if Watson plays)
Walker, DK, or Lockett / LAR
Diontae / CLE

Now that Watson is out, pick 3
DeVito / Was
Walker, DK, or Lockett / LAR
Diontae / CLE

Answered this AM, just upthread.

 

[Chaka]

When is Lamar going to show up as a legit QB1?

Last 5 finishes vs the Bengals: QB 18, 8, 8, 15, 10

Sam Howell vs the Giants....likely won't need to throw 40 times, or will NYG show up?

ARG, can't believe it's come to this!

I have no problem benching Lamar for a solid option like Howell. Yes, the Commanders should win and they could roll. But they haven't rolled anyone this season because their defense is simply not good. The Commanders throw the ball more than anyone and run the ball less than anyone so, even if they take a commanding lead (ugh) they likely will have done a lot of it through the air.

Lamar can always put up the kind of performance that makes him such a valued commodity in fantasy circles but, after 10 games we need to shift our thinking to this new normal where he is an average fantasy player with massive upside.

Howell>Lamar

 

[Chaka]

My evolving WR stable as I try to find gold (have AJB and D Douglas who is close to a lock in my lineup when off bye)

Need 2 half ppr
Assume K Allen & Lockett play

Rice v Phi
Q Johnston @ LAR
JSN @ GB
B Cooks @ Car

Gabe - but I think I am benching to see how new OC works out

Also should I drop any of the above to add E Mitchel SF (no depth at RB, not a CMC owner)

For me it's Gabe and Rice and I don't really think about it.

I don't see Johnston or Cooks as serious options. Yes, Cooks finally showed up in a huge blowout and the Cowboys very well could blowout the Panthers but where was Cooks when they blew out the Rams, or the Patriots or the Giants the first time or when they were blown out by the 49ers? Sure, something may have "clicked" but I'm not chasing those points until he does it at least one more time.

I am not sure what Johnston has done to warrant consideration here.

I like JSN but he's clearly capped by Walker, DK, Lockett and Geno's sub par performances.

Rice has been steadily ascending all season and is, at the very least the #1 WR target as the Chiefs get closer to the GL. He's also facing a pass funnel Eagles defense. He's clearly ahead of those other guys.

I understand the hesitation with Davis, particularly as the Jets are a strong pass D and weak rush D. I would also have hesitation starting Gabe but I don't really see any of your other options having more upside than Davis and I think they all have similar downside.

Rice is an automatic for me and the others I rank based on upside.

Rice>Davis>Johnston>Cooks>JSN

 

[Chaka]

PPR
Pick 2 of the following. I so want to bench Pollard this week. Currently leaning Swift and Achane.

Swift at KC
Pollard at CAR
Achane vs LV
Mostert vs LV

Honestly I think I would probably go with Swift & Achane too.

I can see the argument for any of them, including rolling with both Achane and Mostert.

I do have concern that Swift isn't holding up under the increased usage. Since his hot start he's averaging 3.4 ypc and 6 ypr, he's getting volume and that's translating to 75 yards per game along with 4 receptions per game and 5 TDs in 6 games. But his efficiency has been really poor.

But, I would also put Pollard at the bottom of this list. He will probably have 200 yards and 3 TDs or something like that but, at this point he has hurt you too much to rely on.

Swift>Achane>Mostert>Pollard

 

[Chaka]

Joe Cool @ M&T Bank Stadium v Ravens

or

Ryan Gosling at Ford Field v Bears?

Please don't do that.

Joe Cool @ M&T Bank Stadium v Ravens

or

Ryan Gosling at Ford Field v Bears?

So, it's Burrow v Goff?

Great choices but this is the kind of game that Burrow lives for IMO. No Higgins sucks but Marlon Humphrey may miss tonight's game too.

If Dan Campbell has the opportunity to run the ball 50 times, I think he will. Love Goff and he is a safe/smart option for sure. 250 & 2 almost feel like a lock but I love watching Burrow under the lights wub.

Burrow>Goff

 

[gucci little piggy]

PPR
I need 1 TE + 1 Flex(WR/RB/TE) of these guys:
Sam Laporta vs CHI
Dalton Kincaid vs NYJ
Zay Flowers vs CIN
Kenneth Walker @ LAR

I think Walker seems like the obvious answer for flex, but I just don't trust him. Matchup isn't great, plus the split with Charbs, and if not for the long TD last week he'd be on a 3-game disappointment streak. Maybe I'm overthinking this

 

[LionOfGosforth]

PPR
I need 1 TE + 1 Flex(WR/RB/TE) of these guys:
Sam Laporta vs CHI
Dalton Kincaid vs NYJ
Zay Flowers vs CIN
Kenneth Walker @ LAR

I think Walker seems like the obvious answer for flex, but I just don't trust him. Matchup isn't great, plus the split with Charbs, and if not for the long TD last week he'd be on a 3-game disappointment streak. Maybe I'm overthinking this

For one more week I trust Walker, matchup seems good to me. Going forward with Niners twice plus Eagles and Cowboys, not so much. For the other, I go Laporta.

 

[Genester]

Standard scoring, with 1 point per first down for RB & WR. I need to start three of the following five players:

Will Levis at Jaguars
Jerome Ford vs. Pittsburgh
Devin Singletary vs. Arizona
James Cook vs. NY Jets
Tank Dell vs. Arizona

 

[EWV1]

Standard scoring, with 1 point per first down for RB & WR. I need to start three of the following five players:

Will Levis at Jaguars
Jerome Ford vs. Pittsburgh
Devin Singletary vs. Arizona
James Cook vs. NY Jets
Tank Dell vs. Arizona

Levis, Ford, Dell for me...but I can see Singletary subbing for Ford or Dell.

 

[zeke2222]

PPR

Which Defense:
DET vs Chi
or
Balt vs Cin?

 

[EWV1]

Standard scoring, with 1 point per first down for RB & WR. I need to start three of the following five players:

Will Levis at Jaguars
Jerome Ford vs. Pittsburgh
Devin Singletary vs. Arizona
James Cook vs. NY Jets
Tank Dell vs. Arizona

Levis, Ford, Dell for me...but I can see Singletary subbing for Ford or Dell.

Seeing the over/under on the Browns - Steelers, I change my answer to Singletary over Ford.

 

[nirad3]

I'm currently the lowest per-week scoring team in my Guillotine league. I am faced with starting a fledgling Trevor Lawrence (granted he does have a plus matchup), Jordan Love (also a good matchup) or recently-acquired Joshua Dobbs. Leaning Dobbs but FBG has these guys within 2ish points.

 

[gump]

PPR...Pick 2 with at least 1 WR/TE:

Achane
AJones
Aiyuk
Hockenson

 

[Chaka]

Two tough choices this week for me.

At QB, Stroud v. Ari, Murray v. Hou, or Purdy v. TB
Leaning Stroud > Murray > Purdy, but Murray is intriguing

Two WRs are locked in with JJ and ARSB, but between the two RB slots and flex I have:
Javonte Williams v. Min, B. Robinson Jr. v. NYG, McLaurin v. NYG, Achane v. LV, Gabe Davis v. NYJ. Full PPR
Thinking J. Williams, Achane, and McLaurin, but Robinson's had some good weeks and I'm a little worried about Achane coming off of IR

I'm going to assume this is PPR. It's really helpful to provide that information.

I think you have three great choices so don't stress about it. Not a great way to really distinguish between them. Generally in this situation I lean to the player on the team I believe is most likely to win. In this case that is easily Purdy. He really doesn't have the ceiling of Murray or Stroud though, six games with 0-1 TD passes. I like him for 220-250 and 2 TDs but I am less confident than I like.

Murray can be a monster and I think I will be again, possibly this week, it is a good matchup. But I might wait a week before I roll him out over a guy like Stroud.

So, I think Stroud is probably the right choice. He's been too good. The matchup isn't great because teams generally run against the Cardinals but with Murray that may/should change.

Stroud>Murray>Purdy

For your other choice my impulse is Brian Robinson. He doesn't get the volume or snap share I would like to see but, man he has a thing for the end zone. Assuming the Commanders win, and I do, he should have some opportunities this week.

I also would be inclined to go with Achane. It's another great matchup the Dolphins should handily win. Achane may be on a snap count but I don't think the Dolphins would roll him out if he wasn't ready. And he was simply too darn good to ignore.

I like McLaurin great volume, middling production. However I do love the matchup and Washington will pass plenty, even with a lead, it's just in their DNA. I am honestly tempted to recommending stacking him with Robinson and trying to capture as much of the Commanders you can this week. He also has a pretty safe floor in PPR leagues.

Gabe is a solid player with a tough matchup. I think the Bills come out strong this week but I thought the same last week. I'm comfortable rolling him out but you probably have better options.

Javonte is a very good volume play. His efficiency isn't great and the matchup is tough but he's probably going to get the ball. To me it comes down to him vs McLaurin. It's really a coin toss.

Javonte>McLaurin

 

[Chaka]

PPR
I need 1 TE + 1 Flex(WR/RB/TE) of these guys:
Sam Laporta vs CHI
Dalton Kincaid vs NYJ
Zay Flowers vs CIN
Kenneth Walker @ LAR

I think Walker seems like the obvious answer for flex, but I just don't trust him. Matchup isn't great, plus the split with Charbs, and if not for the long TD last week he'd be on a 3-game disappointment streak. Maybe I'm overthinking this

Good TE choices for sure. Both are great options but I'm going with Kincaid. He's just the hot hand and I'd ride with it.

Kincaid>LaPorta

Walker, IMO is the no-brainer choice. Too much volume when healthy, which he is, and a good matchup.

Walker>LaPorta>Flowers

 

[Chaka]

Standard scoring, with 1 point per first down for RB & WR. I need to start three of the following five players:

Will Levis at Jaguars
Jerome Ford vs. Pittsburgh
Devin Singletary vs. Arizona
James Cook vs. NY Jets
Tank Dell vs. Arizona

I'm starting Cook this week. Run funnel defense and he made a statement last week. I can't imagine Brady isn't go try to get him going early.

I am facing a dilemma between Levis & Ford myself (SF, PPR) and, ATM I'm going with Rashee Rice. I can't trust Levis after the last two games. Weak o-line, weak receiving corps and he has been shaky as heck.

I love Ford, he's a three down guy with a great o-line and it's a good matchup, particularly if Minkah Fitzpatrick misses the game. Unfortunately he's cedes most opportunities inside the 5 to Hunt so he needs to break one off to find the end zone. He's certainly capable of it but it does cap his ceiling.

I don't love chasing points with Singletary. Is he suddenly a 5 ypc guy? IDK.

With Noah Brown DNP the past two days and Nico limited twice Dell looks like a pretty solid option. He's been solid and he clearly has the upside.

I probably roll with
Cook>Dell>Ford>Levis>Singletary

 

[Chaka]

PPR

Which Defense:
DET vs Chi
or
Balt vs Cin?

Hmmmmm...

Not a big fan of predicting defenses but I play the matchup here and Detroit has the better one. I just like Burrow in a big game too much.

Det>Bal

 

[Chaka]

Just a point to make here to everyone.

Thank you to everyone who comes in and takes some time to answer the questions of others. I really appreciate the effort and I think the community does as well.

I love doing this thread every week but I simply can't keep committing this much time to this.

If you're in here asking questions and not answering any, this thread will eventually die. If you're seeking help please consider offering help to others.

 

[Chaka]

I'm currently the lowest per-week scoring team in my Guillotine league. I am faced with starting a fledgling Trevor Lawrence (granted he does have a plus matchup), Jordan Love (also a good matchup) or recently-acquired Joshua Dobbs. Leaning Dobbs but FBG has these guys within 2ish points.

Denver and Minnesota have both captured a bit of lightning in a jar. Which one will break first?

I'm very inclined to roll with the hot hand in Dobbs. He's been great, O'Connell is a great coordinator and JJ is going to play this week.

He was already playing well before getting to Minnesota and he's gotten a lot better.

Lawrence and Love haven't really put anything on tape lately that makes you have much confidence. Love is stable enough and has two TD upside and I expect Lawrence to rebound but I think Dobbs has a similar floor and a higher ceiling.

Dobbs>flip a coin

 

[Chaka]

PPR...Pick 2 with at least 1 WR/TE:

Achane
AJones
Aiyuk
Hockenson

Achane and Hockenson and I don't really think twice about. Even with JJ's return Hock has simply been getting too much volume. Dobbs loves the guy, they practice together in the off-season apparently,

Jones hasn't done enough to pique my interest.

I like Aiyuk, he's a good play and maybe safer than Achane. But Achane has simply been too good too consistently. He also has a great matchup at home. I don't think the Dolphins roll him out of he's not ready and even on a snap count I'm risking it with him.

Hock>Achane>Aiyuk>Jones

 

[icehouse]

Do I risk waiting on Jefferson (vs DEN) in half PPR, or go with one of Ridley (vs TEN) or Diontae Johnson (vs CLE)? Which WR would you go with if Jefferson is ruled out early?

Thanks!

 

[zeke2222]

Two tough choices this week for me.

At QB, Stroud v. Ari, Murray v. Hou, or Purdy v. TB
Leaning Stroud > Murray > Purdy, but Murray is intriguing

Two WRs are locked in with JJ and ARSB, but between the two RB slots and flex I have:
Javonte Williams v. Min, B. Robinson Jr. v. NYG, McLaurin v. NYG, Achane v. LV, Gabe Davis v. NYJ. Full PPR
Thinking J. Williams, Achane, and McLaurin, but Robinson's had some good weeks and I'm a little worried about Achane coming off of IR

I agree with your assessment Stroud>Murry>Purdy

 

[Chaka]

Drinking in the last chance saloon this week at 4-6. Standard, need 3 of the following to start with Kupp:

J.Williams vs Vikings
K.Walker @ Rams
D.Swift @ Chiefs
D.Singletary vs Cards
K.Mitchell @ Bengals
N.Collins vs Cards

Regardless of the outcome, truly appreciate you and your work this and every season.

Think I missed this one. I'm probably going with the top three mostly because of volume. Particularly if it's a PPR. The Vikings and Chiefs aren't great matchups but Swift & Williams are seeing the ball a ton. Swift has a great team behind him and the Broncos are looking pretty strong ATM.

Singletary seems like chasing points. Nico is limited two days in a row and I love Mitchell and see Harbaugh was talking him up but I wonder if Mitchell still ceded too much to more reliable veterans in high value situations and this Cin/Bal game feels like one big high value situation.

I just can't speculate on those other three when you have three guys who are in line for somewhere around 20 opportunities.

 

[Chaka]

Need 1 flex in a must win
Jayden Reed vs LAC
Quinten Johnson vs GB
Jaylin Guttin vs GB

Reed. His snap share is all over the map but he runs tons of routes and has been producing well with his opportunities. He seems to be gaining the confidence of Love and may be emerging as the best WR in GB.

Keenan Allen is trending towards playing and, if he does, I think Johnston and Guyton are too speculative to rely on. If I had to choose one it would be Johnston but that isn't a great argument in favor.

Reed>Johnston>Guyton

 

[Chaka]

CJ Stroud vs Cards or Justin Fields @ Detroit?

Seems like Stroud is the obvious choice but Fields has more touchdowns in his last two full games than Stroud has in his last 2 eye-opening games. Fields runs more too. But Fields coming off a multiple week injury. Who would you start? (4 pt TD Pass, 6 pt TD Run)


Also DEF
Cle vs Pit (Watson done for season)
Bal vs. Cinn

Have Cle in now but starting a backup who floundered before as me thinking Cleveland won't be holding the ball much. Who would you start?

Stroud and I don't think twice. Fields can definitely put up monsters but his thumb isn't 100% and he was a spotty passer to begin with. He has a reasonable floor because of his mobility and he turned in two great (fantasy) performances before the injury but I wouldn't try to count on him his first week back, even in a plus matchup.

Stroud>Fields

I'm going with Cleveland. Great defense and I think they rally this week behind DTR. You never can tell with these AFC Central games but I am leaning towards Cleveland winning outright. I have no idea who is going to win in Baltimore (I have Cinci by a narrow margin in my pick 'em pool).

Cle>Bal

 

[Chaka]

Need to choose 3 out of these 4:

J. Gibbs DET vs CHI
J. Conner ARI @HOU
J. Ford CLE vs PIT
D. Singletary HOU vs ARI

I currently have Gibbs, Conner and Ford starting. Am I screwing up by not starting Singletary after his breakout game?

I bench Singletary. One man's breakout is another man's aberration. I'm the other man. I need to see it twice, even in a plus matchup, before I consider rolling him out. You have three better options IMO.

 

[travdogg]

Super flex, PPR league

Who to flex:
Will Levis @ Jacksonville
Rashee Rice v Philadelphia
Calvin Ridley v Tennessee

I have Herbert & Foreman @ Detroit but we don't have info on their status, yet.

I'm thinking it has to be Rashee Rice, unless Foreman goes back to the game day inactive list, which I doubt.

I'd go with Levis. I think the Titans will have more success on offense this week (it'd be hard to have less) and I think whenever its close-ish like this, I favor the QB.

12-team PPR. Pick one WR:

Addison @Den
Lockett @LAR
R. Rice vs. PHI

I like Lockett in what feels like it could be a shootout.

Crazy to think I am asking about which QB to start but here it goes (.5 ppr)

QB: Stroud vs AZ or Hurts @ KC
Need two flex from the following: Mostert vs LV, McLaurin vs NYG, J Cook vs NYJ, K Mitchell vs Cincy or T Boyd @ Balt.

Great problem to have, but I'm not sitting Hurts. Last time he played KC, he tore them up.

I'd go Mostert for sure. I LOVE Achane, but I think its unrealistic to think he's just gonna blow by Mostert...this week anyway. The 2nd spot is between Cook and McLaurin to me. Is Dorsey's firing going to lead to an increased role for Cook? I'm gonna say it can't hurt, so I'll give Cook the extremely small edge.

Rbs this week - .5ppr

Pacheco vs Philly
Or
Pollard vs Carolina

If the matchups were reversed it's Pacheco all day. But Philly allows the least amount of pts to RBs, and Pollard has been abysmal recently but facing the 31st vs RB defense..

I want to go Pacheco despite the matchup, but I'm torn. Thoughts?

Pollard would be my call. The matchup is great, and I'm facing him in 2 leagues, so he's due to a 2 TD game.

.3 PPR with long TD bonuses (and bonuses for receiving TD if RB or rushing TD if WR) - please pick 2
McLaurin vs NYG
Brian Robinson vs NYG
Keaton Mitchell vs CIN

McLaurin is the safe play but Mitchell has outscored him the past 2 weeks on limited touches. I expect Mitchell to get back to 10+ touches/targets like we saw in week 9 rather than the 5 we saw in week 10.

I'd roll with the guys playing the team that has pretty much packed it in for this year.

Here's one:
FFPC scoring:
Need TWO of the following:

K.Mitchell vs Cinn
D.K. Metcalf @ LAR
N.Brown vs AZ
A.Thielen vs Dall

Metcalf and Thielen would be my calls. Sea/LA feels like a shootout to me.

Rank these 5 (I have to start 3):

JJ assuming he plays
Nacua vs SEA
McLaurin vs NYG
Dell vs Ari
Diontae vs CLE

Jefferson>Nacua>Dell>McLaurin>Diontae

Stroud vs Cardinals
Howell vs Giants

I'd roll with Stroud here. Feel like he has a higher floor and ceiling.

Super flex, scoring such that a decent QB is on par with a good WR.

Pick 3 for flex / sf
Watson / PIT (if he plays he starts)
DeVito / Was (benched if Watson plays)
Walker, DK, or Lockett / LAR
Diontae / CLE

Walker and DK would be locks for me, the question is do you just embrace being Seattle, or mix it up a bit. I guess I'd roll Devito just to spread it out a little.

Didn't think I'd be asking this when I drafted Lamar but here we are.
Purdy v TB
or
Lamar v Cinn
4 pt for passing TD 6 pts for rushing TD
TIA

I wouldn't advise sitting Lamar.

PPR

Which Defense:
DET vs Chi
or
Balt vs Cin?

I'd roll with the Lions in Fields 1st game back.

debating the Flex this week; per usual I am a heavy favorite

last 4 weeks:

1. Gibbs 28.23 | CHI
2. Hall 14.93 | at BUF
   RB1/RB2
   
   
3. Mitchell 13.63 | v CIN
4. Gibson 13.42 | v NYG
   Flex - one of these two
   
   
5. Warren 13.05| at CLE
6. Pacheco 9.77 | v PHI
   Bench

Gibbs>Hall>Pacheco>Warren>Mitchell>Gibson

My Q shows the sad state of affairs of my lineup, but it’s Jerome Ford vs Hollywood Brown in flex.
1 pt per 5 carries, 1 pt per 10 yd rushing, 1 pt per 10 yd rec, 2 pt per rec, 6 pt per TD (rec or rush)
Ford has PIT at home, Brown is at HOU - both middle of the road matchups

I'd roll with Ford in a game I think will be VERY run heavy.

Half PPR, need 2WR and flex:

Mitchell vs Bungles (TNF)
Flowers vs Bungles (TNF)
Diontae @ Browns
Brown @ Texans
Dell vs Cards
Singletary vs Cards

Thinking Brown must be one of the WR's, and temptation to start Mitchell on a short week against a defence that was shredded by Singletary is huge, which leaves a choice of Flowers/Diontae/Dell?

I'd go all-in on that Texans/Cards game. Dell, Singletary, and Hollywood.

When is Lamar going to show up as a legit QB1?

Last 5 finishes vs the Bengals: QB 18, 8, 8, 15, 10

Sam Howell vs the Giants....likely won't need to throw 40 times, or will NYG show up?

ARG, can't believe it's come to this!

I wouldn't sit Lamar.

PPR

Start one:
Purdy v TB
Murray @Hou
Dobbs @Den

I'm gonna say Kyler here. I think he's the one who is gonna be doing the most throwing.

Need a Flex with Olave on bye:

1ppr, 6/TD

Watson (vs. LAC)
-or-
Pickens (@CLE)

I'd go with Pickens and hope for a TD.

League with long TD bonuses as well as rushing TD bonuses for QB's -- which one would you start?

Burrow vs Ravens - BAL D is tough on QB's and a hobbled Burrow only put up 13 pts in week 2 in this league. I have Chase and normally start the stack but concerned this week.
Howell vs Giants - has been great but will they throw enough in this game?
Murray vs Texans - assuming they try to win, he could be the play

Thank you

I think I'd go with Kyler here.

PPR
start 2 of these 4
K Herbert vs Det
K Mitchell vs Cin
R Rice vs Phi
C Sutton vs Min

standard scoring
Cooper vs Pitt or Pickens vs Cle

standard scoring
pick 2 of
Robinson vs NYG
Mostert vs LV
Pacheco vs Phi
Warren vs Cle

I'd go Sutton and Mitchell, really like Sutton's matchup.

Even with DTR, I'm, going Cooper over Pickens, he's just a MUCH better player.

Robinson>Mostert>Pacheco>Warren

6 PT TD Pass league:

Herbert @ GB or
Dobbs @ Denver

Thanks all !

Especially in that scoring system I'd go Herbert.

PPR need 1 RB, 1 WR and 1 flex at RB/WR/TE
Choices are RB- Mixon (at BAL), R White (at SF) WR - Lockett (at LAR) , Hollywood Brown (at HOU), TE - McBride (at HOU)

Thanks

Mixon, Lockett, and McBride would be my picks.

With Kamara on a bye, I need to pick 2 running backs out of the following:
GB Aaron Jones vs LA Chargers
DAL Tony Pollard at Carolina
DAL Rico Dowdle at Carolina
Common sense says start Jones and Pollard but.....
Last week Jones had 17 touches for 54 yards while A.J. Dillon had 10 touches for 81 yards against Pittsburgh who's 23rd against the run. The Chargers are 24th. Meanwhile against the 27th run defense of the Giants, Pollard had 15 touches for 55 yards and Dowdle has 12 touches for 79 yards and a touchdown. This week's opponent, Carolina, is 31st against the run.
Am I crazy for considering starting Pollard and Dowdle?

I'd go Pollard and Jones. I think Dowdle maybe gets some late work like last week, but Carolina probably puts up more of a fight than NY did.

Standard scoring w/ full PPR

TE x1
Kincaid or Mcbride?

Flex x1
Amari Cooper or TE not selected above?
(reasonable worry w/ CLE QB situation?)

Thank You

I'd roll with the 2 TEs.

 

[Galileo]

Do I risk waiting on Jefferson (vs DEN) in half PPR, or go with one of Ridley (vs TEN) or Diontae Johnson (vs CLE)? Which WR would you go with if Jefferson is ruled out early?

Thanks!

Is this PPR? If so, I think I go with Johnson. Cleveland is stingy, but Johnson will generally get greater volume than Ridley, IMO and thus has a higher floor. Ridley seems to be a roll of the dice each week.

 

[travdogg]

Drinking in the last chance saloon this week at 4-6. Standard, need 3 of the following to start with Kupp:

J.Williams vs Vikings
K.Walker @ Rams
D.Swift @ Chiefs
D.Singletary vs Cards
K.Mitchell @ Bengals
N.Collins vs Cards

Regardless of the outcome, truly appreciate you and your work this and every season.

Swift, Walker, and Williams

Need 1 flex in a must win
Jayden Reed vs LAC
Quinten Johnson vs GB
Jaylin Guttin vs GB

Don't love it, but I guess Reed. He's been the one most consistently part of the offense.

CJ Stroud vs Cards or Justin Fields @ Detroit?

Seems like Stroud is the obvious choice but Fields has more touchdowns in his last two full games than Stroud has in his last 2 eye-opening games. Fields runs more too. But Fields coming off a multiple week injury. Who would you start? (4 pt TD Pass, 6 pt TD Run)


Also DEF
Cle vs Pit (Watson done for season)
Bal vs. Cinn

Have Cle in now but starting a backup who floundered before as me thinking Cleveland won't be holding the ball much. Who would you start?

Stroud and Browns would be my call.

Need to choose 3 out of these 4:

J. Gibbs DET vs CHI
J. Conner ARI @HOU
J. Ford CLE vs PIT
D. Singletary HOU vs ARI

I currently have Gibbs, Conner and Ford starting. Am I screwing up by not starting Singletary after his breakout game?

I think I'd sit Singletary too.

My evolving WR stable as I try to find gold (have AJB and D Douglas who is close to a lock in my lineup when off bye)

Need 2 half ppr
Assume K Allen & Lockett play

Rice v Phi
Q Johnston @ LAR
JSN @ GB
B Cooks @ Car

Gabe - but I think I am benching to see how new OC works out

Also should I drop any of the above to add E Mitchel SF (no depth at RB, not a CMC owner)

I think Rice is your best bet, as someone who has been involved for weeks.

I don't see Mitchell as a priority pickup other than as a handcuff.

PPR
Pick 2 of the following. I so want to bench Pollard this week. Currently leaning Swift and Achane.

Swift at KC
Pollard at CAR
Achane vs LV
Mostert vs LV

Its not what you'll want to hear, but in my opinion Pollard>Swift>Achane>Mostert.

Joe Cool @ M&T Bank Stadium v Ravens

or

Ryan Gosling at Ford Field v Bears?

I'd roll with the guy I think should be the NFL MVP frontrunner (Goff)

Two tough choices this week for me.

At QB, Stroud v. Ari, Murray v. Hou, or Purdy v. TB
Leaning Stroud > Murray > Purdy, but Murray is intriguing

Two WRs are locked in with JJ and ARSB, but between the two RB slots and flex I have:
Javonte Williams v. Min, B. Robinson Jr. v. NYG, McLaurin v. NYG, Achane v. LV, Gabe Davis v. NYJ. Full PPR
Thinking J. Williams, Achane, and McLaurin, but Robinson's had some good weeks and I'm a little worried about Achane coming off of IR

I would stick with Stroud.

Agree with Achane and Javonte, but I'd go Robinson over McLaurin.

PPR
I need 1 TE + 1 Flex(WR/RB/TE) of these guys:
Sam Laporta vs CHI
Dalton Kincaid vs NYJ
Zay Flowers vs CIN
Kenneth Walker @ LAR

I think Walker seems like the obvious answer for flex, but I just don't trust him. Matchup isn't great, plus the split with Charbs, and if not for the long TD last week he'd be on a 3-game disappointment streak. Maybe I'm overthinking this

Sea/LA feels like a high scoring game to me, so I'd go with Walker for sure. I think LaPorta would be my TE pick, as I think there is some uncertainty to what Buffalo does this week.

Standard scoring, with 1 point per first down for RB & WR. I need to start three of the following five players:

Will Levis at Jaguars
Jerome Ford vs. Pittsburgh
Devin Singletary vs. Arizona
James Cook vs. NY Jets
Tank Dell vs. Arizona

I'd go Levis, Dell, and Ford.

I'm currently the lowest per-week scoring team in my Guillotine league. I am faced with starting a fledgling Trevor Lawrence (granted he does have a plus matchup), Jordan Love (also a good matchup) or recently-acquired Joshua Dobbs. Leaning Dobbs but FBG has these guys within 2ish points.

Despite the Broncos newfound defense, I think Dobbs has earned the start.

PPR...Pick 2 with at least 1 WR/TE:

Achane
AJones
Aiyuk
Hockenson

I'm gonna go a little bold here and say Achane and Aiyuk. I think Hockenson loses some luster with Jefferson very likely back.

Do I risk waiting on Jefferson (vs DEN) in half PPR, or go with one of Ridley (vs TEN) or Diontae Johnson (vs CLE)? Which WR would you go with if Jefferson is ruled out early?

Thanks!

I'd wait on Jefferson, I think his status will be clear before noon. If he is out, I guess I'd go Johnson, really can't trust Ridley right now.

 

[Rubi]

Just putting this out for an opinion/discussion:
FFPC scoring:

P.Mahomes vs Phi( 40% chance rain,winds 11-20 m.p.h.)

or...J.Goff vs Chi (Goff at home,perfect conditions)

 

[Chaka]

Do I risk waiting on Jefferson (vs DEN) in half PPR, or go with one of Ridley (vs TEN) or Diontae Johnson (vs CLE)? Which WR would you go with if Jefferson is ruled out early?

Thanks!

I absolutely go with Johnson over Ridley. Ridley has done nothing to inspire confidence in starting him. Johnson had a down game last week but I think he is the clear #1 target in that offense.

 

[Chaka]

Just putting this out for an opinion/discussion:
FFPC scoring:

P.Mahomes vs Phi( 40% chance rain,winds 11-20 m.p.h.)

or...J.Goff vs Chi (Goff at home,perfect conditions)

If you want to move the ball on the Eagles you generally have to do it through the air, so... It's also a big game and you gotta love Mahomes in a big game.

But Goff has been just as good as Mahomes in fantasy this year (I have them both at 120 points with Goff better over the last four games and Mahomes better over the last three so it's very close) and there is nothing wrong with starting Goff over Mahomes this week. The Lions will definitely try to run a lot but they won't ignore the pass and they should score well and win so Goff will absolutely have opportunities.

Mahomes>Goff

 

[kyoun1e]

Trade question. I'm starting to look to playoff schedules in one league. I'm pretty locked into a spot unless multiple catastrophic events take place.

Still trying to sell high on R. Mostert and I think the T. Pollard owner will bite. Reasons I'm interested:

1) Strength of Schedule
2) Achane back in the mix
3) Mostert seems to have slowed down after a hot start

Schedules for each weeks 15-17:

* Pollard: @BUF, @MIA, DET
* Mostert: NYJ, DAL, @bal

Feel like Pollard's is a bit more than slightly better. Weeks leading up to the playoffs also give Pollard an advantage.

Also feel that Pollard has some serious positive regression coming. He's been unlucky on the goaline in a big way.

Have read the stats fully and it's clear Pollard isn't running outside much and hasn't been involved in the pass/screen game as much as usual. Yup. Maybe that changes.

Also thinking maybe I'd rather have a more consistent player vs. volatile come the playofffs. Mostert is more boom/bust. My starters:

* L. Jackson
* RB: J. Gibbs, D. Montgomery, Kyren Williams
* WR: ASTB, B. Aiyuk, T. Dell
* TE: T. Kelce, T. McBride
* D: CLE, MIA

So, basically, who would you rather have understanding the above for the stretch run? Mostert or Pollard?

Thanks

 

[Bad_Mo2]

Full PPR, Bonuses for 100 yards rec/rushing and for long TDs, 6 pts TDs; TE scoring is more favorable (i.e., 7 pts for TDs, bonuses at 75 yards rec/rushing, etc.)

Need 3 from this group (bolded those currently in lineup):

Achane v. LV (limited snaps?)
Mostert v. LV (split with Achane)
Pollard @ CAR (if he doesn't produce v. CAR, bench fodder rest of the season)
Ford v. PIT (no Watson...defense focuses on run game?)
Singletary v. ARI (last week a fluke?)
LaPorta v. CHI (has been solid with 16 points/week)
Kincaid v. NYJ (averaging 19.75 points over last 4 weeks)

Thanks.