JohnnyU
Footballguy
Channels like Destination Devy with RayGque should list % owned for dynasty, but that information probably isn’t available anywhere, like you said.That's just the nature of the beast. Most of the market is redraft and DFS.
Channels like Destination Devy with RayGque should list % owned for dynasty, but that information probably isn’t available anywhere, like you said.That's just the nature of the beast. Most of the market is redraft and DFS.
Sounds like there's a niche for someone to start their own podOne thing that irritates me is a lot of podcasts list % owned based on redraft and yahoo rather than a dynasty % owned.
That data isn’t being kept anywhere. Perhaps league software needs to start tracking data whether a league is dynasty or not and player % owned, then a podcast could pull from that data and report on it.Sounds like there's a niche for someone to start their own pod
Is Laviska worth a pickup after a decent Week 4 plus the news that Chark is on IR with a fractured ankle? Or are we steering clear of Uncle Urban’s Jags?
In one league M. Hardman, T. Patrick, N. Hines.All depends on who you'd be dropping and who else is available. With Chark out the season, I'd be in on Laviska.
That makes sense but Jacksonville appears to be potentially on the brink of a full blown crisis.All depends on who you'd be dropping and who else is available. With Chark out the season, I'd be in on Laviska.
I would definitely drop Hardman and Kirk for Laviska.In one league M. Hardman, T. Patrick, N. Hines.
C. Kirk In another league.
Laviska is available in both. Redraft, PPR.
Wow, I need to start looking for Quick Hits instead of the full length waiver wire episodes. I think there was more content in those 4 minutes than some of the 40+ minute weekly podcasts.
Don't get me wrong, I am a HUGE fan of Cecil and Bloom. Great analysis. I most appreciate their ability to get into deeper league bench guys that the other podcasts won't touch with a 10-foot pole. It's why it's always so shocking when their waiver wire show comes out and they give their disclaimer about why guys like James Robinson might be available in shallower leagues and why Zack Moss and Devin Singletary have both made the "shut 'em down" list. Their waiver show seems targeted to casual owners in an 8-team All-Star league, when most of their other content seems geared to an audience (such as the Shark Pool) that's interested in deeper bench re-draft guys and stressing over dynasty taxi squad stashes.
With that said, Dr. Gene will always keep me coming back. Eventually they do touch on some of the guys that are actually available at their lower tiers, just wish their metrics (ownership %?) would shift lower down the food chain.
Agreed...as someone who let go of Laviska in 2 leagues.I would definitely drop Hardman and Kirk for Laviska.In one league M. Hardman, T. Patrick, N. Hines.
C. Kirk In another league.
Laviska is available in both. Redraft, PPR.
In a PPR, I would definitely drop Claypool for him. Now that Chark is out, I can see 6 to 10 targets every game.Agreed...as someone who let go of Laviska in 2 leagues.
My decision is Claypool and Pittman. Pittman getting too much of that target share to let go. Claypool? As much as they are struggling and Ben is looking to JuJu and Dionte, I am wondering why I have held him this long.
Standard scoring...I think its close...but Shenault with Chark out seems to have the upside.In a PPR, I would definitely drop Claypool for him. Now that Chark is out, I can see 6 to 10 targets every game.
You know Lawrence is going to HAVE to throw it to somebody and it worked out for Laviska last week.All depends on who you'd be dropping and who else is available. With Chark out the season, I'd be in on Laviska.
I think in the long run Id rather have Laviska than Cordarrelle but you obviously cant drop CPat now. I wouldnt drop any of the others for Laviska.Agreed...as someone who let go of Laviska in 2 leagues.
My decision is Claypool and Pittman. Pittman getting too much of that target share to let go. Claypool? As much as they are struggling and Ben is looking to JuJu and Dionte, I am wondering why I have held him this long.
That and seeing AJ Green has actually been putting up decent points and is available now has me really spinning in circles for my WR 4-5 (Tyreek, Cordarrelle, Cooks, Pittman, Claypool)
I'm not understanding your logic here to be honest. You say that you are 1-3 so you need as many assets as you can and you bid low on all your bids. that makes zero sense to me. You went cheap, you now regret it. You would have been better to prioritize your waivers and figure out which one you really wanted and bid more on that one and forget the rest. When you are 1-3 and your team is struggling, I'm sorry but in my honest opinion, it's a huge mistake to go cheap on waivers you really need. Never understood that logic, never will.I am so furious right now...
I made a bunch of FAAB waiver claims ($100 total FAAB cash) in my league because at 1-3 I need as many assets as possible for trades. Waivers processes:
Randall Cobb GB - WR
$15 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $2 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $2 (Lower Offer)
$15 for Cobb? And the winner dropped Lazard for him... oh well, too rich for my blood. I didn't need a WR anyway what with my amazing combo of A.J. Brown (IR), Robert Woods (life hates him), Robby Anderson (Darnold hates him), Corey Davis (Zach Wilson not good QB person)
New England NE - DEF
$11 Winning Offer
Me $5 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 3 $1 (Lower Offer)
owner 4 $0 (Lower Offer)
$11 for a D/ST? Yikes I keep forgetting bids are aggressive in my league and people have no issues running out of cash by midseason. Okay 0 for 2, but time for Alex Collins. I legit believe Carson's neck issue could be a lingering thing if it's a nerve/vertebrae, and due to how late some of the reports came out I knew there wouldn't be a landrush to get him. Time to jump back on the Alex Collins bandwagon-
Alex Collins Sea - RB
$7 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower waiver priority)
Owner 1 $5 (Lower Offer)
Owner 2 $5 (Lower Offer)
... I lost a FAAB tiebreaker to effing waiver priority... the one guy I actually wanted and correctly read the league would sleep on and I still didn't get him. It was 9am in the morning and I legit took a break from work to go and make about 4-5 sandwiches. There is a void inside me and I am trying my best to fill it with grain and processed meats and the anger is not receding.
? There's a certain threshold you have to balance between bidding what you think a guy is worth and what the league thinks a guy is worth. My league has a tendency to massively overbid on players and at some point you say, oh well que sera, sera; if someone wants to pay that much for a guy good luck. Just because I lost out on a particular bid doesn't meant I'm cheap any more than the person that won paid fair value for a player. The only bid I'm not happy about is Collins after I felt I read the league situation well and he went to an owner that already is RB-richI'm not understanding your logic here to be honest. You say that you are 1-3 so you need as many assets as you can and you bid low on all your bids. that makes zero sense to me. You went cheap, you now regret it. You would have been better to prioritize your waivers and figure out which one you really wanted and bid more on that one and forget the rest. When you are 1-3 and your team is struggling, I'm sorry but in my honest opinion, it's a huge mistake to go cheap on waivers you really need. Never understood that logic, never will.
except in my opinion, you are forgetting a big part in your equation here. It's how much you need fresh blood in your line up. If your team is doing well, then maybe bidding low is ok as you don't mind not getting those players. but you literally started your post by saying you are 1-3 and you needed as many assets as you can get. So that's where you lost me. Bids are not only based on the value of what the league would put on a player. it's based on the value it has for YOUR team. that value based on your team needs might be higher or lower than what the rest of the league thinks. It's not about what they think...it's about what you think you really need for your team when it's struggling.? There's a certain threshold you have to balance between bidding what you think a guy is worth and what the league thinks a guy is worth. My league has a tendency to massively overbid on players and at some point you say, oh well que sera, sera; if someone wants to pay that much for a guy good luck. Just because I lost out on a particular bid doesn't meant I'm cheap any more than the person that won paid fair value for a player. The only bid I'm not happy about is Collins after I felt I read the league situation well and he went to an owner that already is RB-rich.
EDIT: For the record, this was the first tie FAAB bid over $3 in our league in over a year. It just doesn't happen much.
Can you (or anyone) unpack the "Value" column a bit? I'm struggling to understand how Hunter Henry has a lower value (1.3) than Pharaoh Brown (1.4), despite projecting double the points (108 vs 54) at the same position. (I have Henry and was surprised to see him rated as my least-valuable position player)The other giant component of this are our Rest Of Season Rankings. We do these each week where our Bob Henry and Justin Freeman do stat projections, not just rankings, for every player for the rest of the season.
Footballguys Subscribers can click on the "Scoring System" and their specific league will come up with their scoring system and it'll sort every player by projected stats using your scoring system AND highlight the players who are available on the waiver wire in your league. It's invaluable.
And it gets right to the heart of all those questions we see each week.
Sure, Sigmund likes Damien Williams this week. Everyone does. But that's not the real question most of you folks are faced with. You're asking, "Latavius Murray or Darnell Mooney?" Our Rest of Season projections tailored to your scoring gives that answer.
Didn't even realize you guys had a YouTube channel. Subbed.Thanks. I'm with you in I love this condensed take. Be looking for it on our YouTube channel each Tuesday and also on our Website under Podcasts. We've had trouble getting the YouTube only shows like that to autopopulate on the website but we should have it soon.
It's a good example of different people like different stuff. Lots of people LOVE the 40 minute show Sig and Cecil do on Waivers. Lots of people LOVE the 5 minute condensed version. We try to serve them all.
That's the fallacy I pointed out though; just because a person loses out in FAAB bidding doesn't mean they are being cheap/bid low. Just checking most of my bids across multiple fantasy sites, they were in line/over what most sites projected for certain players, although your mileage may vary. Balancing bidding aggressively while keeping yourself in the market for future players is always tough with FAAB; but there are other weeks/FA to pick up and get. I think you've overblowing the "looking to acquire assets for future trades" comment I made; I have assets but you can always use more. It's like buying ... anything; there's a certain cost you're willing to spend and anything too far over that you just don't buy it.except in my opinion, you are forgetting a big part in your equation here. It's how much you need fresh blood in your line up. If your team is doing well, then maybe bidding low is ok as you don't mind not getting those players. but you literally started your post by saying you are 1-3 and you needed as many assets as you can get. So that's where you lost me. Bids are not only based on the value of what the league would put on a player. it's based on the value it has for YOUR team. that value based on your team needs might be higher or lower than what the rest of the league thinks. It's not about what they think...it's about what you think you really need for your team when it's struggling.
Can you (or anyone) unpack the "Value" column a bit? I'm struggling to understand how Hunter Henry has a lower value (1.3) than Pharaoh Brown (1.4), despite projecting double the points (108 vs 54) at the same position. (I have Henry and was surprised to see him rated as my least-valuable position player)
I read the "Note #2" several times, and still can't make this particular pair of valuations make sense.
Note #2: Value is not determined entirely by total projected points, nor is it determined entirely by projected points per game. Rather, it's determined by the projected points scored by this player, plus a theoretical replacement player during the games the given player is projected to miss (due to bye, injury, or suspension). Depending on a variety of factors --- the distribution of projections at that position, lineup requirements, number of teams in the league --- this might in some cases cause a player with a higher PPG to be ranked below a player with a lower PPG. In other cases, it might cause a player with a higher total point projection to be ranked below a player with a lower total point projection.
I had picked a specific MFL league (where I have him), so that could explain the different value numbers (points are the same though) - my league is PPR only for TEs. Maybe the MFL import is wonky or something.I'm not sure we're looking at the same numbers.
Looking at this for PPR scoring https://footballguys.com/subscribers/myfbg/mydraftlisti.php?oproj=996&kproj=996&dproj=996&viewpos=all&profile=p&week=5, Brown is showing 54.3 points and 1.0 value. Henry is showing 108.1 and 2.6 value.
If you're having trouble, please shoot our folks a note at help@footballguys.com and they'll do their best to help.
I currently have a 71 bid for the Patriots D. I figured that was more than enough. I still have over 900 left so I don't mind overspending especially given they play Houston this week and the Jets in two weeks. I blew it last week with the Bengals D. You never know in my leagues what the winning bid will be. I wouldn't be shocked to see over a hundred as well.I am so furious right now...
I made a bunch of FAAB waiver claims ($100 total FAAB cash) in my league because at 1-3 I need as many assets as possible for trades. Waivers processes:
Randall Cobb GB - WR
$15 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $2 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $2 (Lower Offer)
$15 for Cobb? And the winner dropped Lazard for him... oh well, too rich for my blood. I didn't need a WR anyway what with my amazing combo of A.J. Brown (IR), Robert Woods (life hates him), Robby Anderson (Darnold hates him), Corey Davis (Zach Wilson not good QB person)
New England NE - DEF
$11 Winning Offer
Me $5 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 3 $1 (Lower Offer)
owner 4 $0 (Lower Offer)
$11 for a D/ST? Yikes I keep forgetting bids are aggressive in my league and people have no issues running out of cash by midseason. Okay 0 for 2, but time for Alex Collins. I legit believe Carson's neck issue could be a lingering thing if it's a nerve/vertebrae, and due to how late some of the reports came out I knew there wouldn't be a landrush to get him. Time to jump back on the Alex Collins bandwagon-
Alex Collins Sea - RB
$7 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower waiver priority)
Owner 1 $5 (Lower Offer)
Owner 2 $5 (Lower Offer)
... I lost a FAAB tiebreaker to effing waiver priority... the one guy I actually wanted and correctly read the league would sleep on and I still didn't get him. It was 9am in the morning and I legit took a break from work to go and make about 4-5 sandwiches. There is a void inside me and I am trying my best to fill it with grain and processed meats and the anger is not receding.
At 1-3 you probably need some serious help depending on the league setup and number of teams to make the playoffs ... sounds like you may want to think about being one of those teams that run out of FAB by mid season before its too late.I am so furious right now...
I made a bunch of FAAB waiver claims ($100 total FAAB cash) in my league because at 1-3 I need as many assets as possible for trades. Waivers processes:
Randall Cobb
GB - WR
$15 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $2 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $2 (Lower Offer)
$15 for
Cobb
? And the winner dropped
Lazard
for him... oh well, too rich for my blood. I didn't need a WR anyway what with my amazing combo of
A.J. Brown
(IR),
Robert Woods
(life hates him),
Robby Anderson
(
Darnold
hates him),
Corey Davis
(
Zach Wilson
not good QB person)
New England NE - DEF
$11 Winning Offer
Me $5 (Lower Offer)
owner 1 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 2 $4 (Lower Offer)
owner 3 $1 (Lower Offer)
owner 4 $0 (Lower Offer)
$11 for a D/ST? Yikes I keep forgetting bids are aggressive in my league and people have no issues running out of cash by midseason. Okay 0 for 2, but time for
Alex Collins
. I legit believe
Carson
's neck issue could be a lingering thing if it's a nerve/vertebrae, and due to how late some of the reports came out I knew there wouldn't be a landrush to get him. Time to jump back on the
Alex Collins
bandwagon-
Alex Collins
Sea - RB
$7 Winning Offer
Me $7 (Lower waiver priority)
Owner 1 $5 (Lower Offer)
Owner 2 $5 (Lower Offer)
... I lost a FAAB tiebreaker to effing waiver priority... the one guy I actually wanted and correctly read the league would sleep on and I still didn't get him. It was 9am in the morning and I legit took a break from work to go and make about 4-5 sandwiches. There is a void inside me and I am trying my best to fill it with grain and processed meats and the anger is not receding.
$1000 FAAB budget? Our league is $100 so your D bid is like $7 in our league, still very fair IMHO.I currently have a 71 bid for the Patriots D. I figured that was more than enough. I still have over 900 left so I don't mind overspending especially given they play Houston this week and the Jets in two weeks. I blew it last week with the Bengals D. You never know in my leagues what the winning bid will be. I wouldn't be shocked to see over a hundred as well.
I mean it's a 14 game season and we are still in the first third of it. 16 teamer, 8 make the playoffs. I have AJ out due to injury and fighting through two MIA WRs but it's not full panic time yet unless I get another injury IMHO. Just need to keep working the wire.At 1-3 you probably need some serious help depending on the league setup and number of teams to make the playoffs ... sounds like you may want to think about being one of those teams that run out of FAB by mid season before its too late.
I think this may may be flying under the radar considering that there is no clarity on Mixon's injurySamaje?
Makes some sense now. I did say depending on league setup. Im in a league where 8 teams make the playoffs too with 10 starters/18 roster. I drafted Michael Thomas full well knowing he may miss half the season or more. It would probably be FF suicide if I had made that same move in my 12 team/15 roster spots with 4 teams making the playoffs league. The other reason I said depending on league setup is because of divisions... if you were in a normal 12 team/4 playoff spots league and your division had a 4-0 team, and a 3-1 team sitting at 1-3 you are in some trouble (even with the extra game this year) if it were 2-2 with 3 1-3 teams being one of the 1-3 teams is not so bad. Keep in mind any player is worth whatever someone is willing to pay for them. I joined my first Auction league this year and was APALLED at what these idiots were willing to spend. I get near the end of the draft with what I think were some steals of the draft only to end up with 15/200 bidding dollars left watching the rest of the league get players at the end for a buck that were equivalent to the players I had spent 3 or 4 bucks for. My roster ended up rated 9 out of 12 teams lol... just food for thought.$1000 FAAB budget? Our league is $100 so your D bid is like $7 in our league, still very fair IMHO.
I mean it's a 14 game season and we are still in the first third of it. 16 teamer, 8 make the playoffs. I have AJ out due to injury and fighting through two MIA WRs but it's not full panic time yet unless I get another injury IMHO.
If last year is any barometer, we may not get clarity until he's out there fully practicing.I think this may may be flying under the radar considering that there is no clarity on Mixon's injury
Don’t think Collins has the value to drop one of thoseHaving Carson as my usual flex (would flex Barkley if I play Carson on Thursday to have more flexibility in case of an injury or something between now and then)...
anyway...do I let go of Damien Williams and grab Collins? Or prepare to play Damien or Pollard or a WR like Higgins or Golladay at flex if Carson can't go?
Its either Damian or just let Eli Mitchell go.
That has been my thought thus far. I like my depth too much at the moment.Don’t think Collins has the value to drop one of those
Lots of drops, lots of mouths to feed. Not sure on this one.Best guy this week was the best guy last week
kadarius toney
if you haven’t, go to youtube and search his highlights for game 4
True but I expect him to keep a starting role with that performance. Jones attempted more 20 yard pass plays on Sunday than he had all year.Lots of drops, lots of mouths to feed. Not sure on this one.
The first down play where he made a bunch of people miss was impressive for sure. I just think with Shepard and slayton coming back it may be a moore type situation. We will see though. I don't see why he can't beat out at least slayton.True but I expect him to keep a starting role with that performance. Jones attempted more 20 yard pass plays on Sunday than he had all year.
This guy's been slow and steady all year. After losing AJB, Jeudy he's helped me stay competitive. One of the more under the radar producers out there.Hunter Renfrow - steady targets and recs.out-targeted Waller week 4.
Depends if you feel you have someone you can drop now. If you feel that you have a guy on your bench right now that you don't value too much and you think you can either part with entirely or get back later, then do the move now. get the TE you want now. If you don't have anyone on your bench you want to drop, I would wait then.Philosophically...what is your typical way to handle this?
Have a bye week coming up on a TE...and you have a player in that position you are not going to drop.
Do you pick up your guy a week early to avoid fighting over a waiver pick or using waiver position at all?
Or play out the week and see what is left in FA for the one week?
Asking while also realizing, you don't really have a bench player you are wanting to drop at the moment.
With that last statement, I am currently waiting I guess...that way if someone gets hurt, I can have that as my drop vs dropping a different player I may actually want. Risking one of the two TEs I am targeting could have a big week now and be gone next week.
For me it depends how good those TEs are. If they’re just dart throws then I’ll wait. But if say you had a shot at schultz or Knox I’d pick them up the week before the bye. Just an example.Philosophically...what is your typical way to handle this?
Have a bye week coming up on a TE...and you have a player in that position you are not going to drop.
Do you pick up your guy a week early to avoid fighting over a waiver pick or using waiver position at all?
Or play out the week and see what is left in FA for the one week?
Asking while also realizing, you don't really have a bench player you are wanting to drop at the moment.
With that last statement, I am currently waiting I guess...that way if someone gets hurt, I can have that as my drop vs dropping a different player I may actually want. Risking one of the two TEs I am targeting could have a big week now and be gone next week.
Right. More like Goedert, Ertz, Maxx, Brate, Cook.For me it depends how good those TEs are. If they’re just dart throws then I’ll wait. But if say you had a shot at schultz or Knox I’d pick them up the week before the bye. Just an example.