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Your outlook on A Jones vs AJ Dillon (1 Viewer)

Deamon

Footballguy
Because as you guys often do, you are looking at total points but it's deeper than this. His RB7 finish was due to a 41pts monster week (at the beginning of the season btw before dillon cut gis time) and a couple of big other weeks. He also had 6 weeks under 12 pts in PPR of which 3 of them under 5pts. As my previous posts tried to convey, he was very hot and cold and i don't like the 50/50 time share with dillon. That's all i am saying. He's a good RB but dillon's presence makes them both a gamble on any given week. I stick to that statement.
You do look at total numbers. Those weeks he has weeks, he wins you those weeks. Just surprised someone says the RB7 was "killing him all year" haha. but fair enough, we'll see how they both do this year. Personally if I draft a late 1st round RB (last year), I'm thrilled if he ends up RB7
 

jurrassic

Footballguy
That said, I think Jones will have the better season. One thing I considered, drafting him in a keeper league, is the likelihood Jones will be released next year. It’s something that has been a consistent belief, by a few local beat writers. Jones cap hit goes from $5.9 million this year to $20 million next year. He also turns 29 in December of next year.
Why does his likelihood of him being released cause you to believe he will have a better season? Or do you mean that is why you drafted in a keeper-league?
Yep, that was poorly worded. I just meant it gave me a little extra incentive to draft him, as he has keeper potential next year.
 

Men-in-Cleats

Footballguy
Because as you guys often do, you are looking at total points but it's deeper than this. His RB7 finish was due to a 41pts monster week (at the beginning of the season btw before dillon cut gis time) and a couple of big other weeks. He also had 6 weeks under 12 pts in PPR of which 3 of them under 5pts. As my previous posts tried to convey, he was very hot and cold and i don't like the 50/50 time share with dillon. That's all i am saying. He's a good RB but dillon's presence makes them both a gamble on any given week. I stick to that statement.
You do look at total numbers. Those weeks he has weeks, he wins you those weeks. Just surprised someone says the RB7 was "killing him all year" haha. but fair enough, we'll see how they both do this year. Personally if I draft a late 1st round RB (last year), I'm thrilled if he ends up RB7
Jones certainly wouldn't have hurt your team and would have gotten fairly steady but unspectacular points most of the season. What he didn't do for anyone was win them a title as Dillon took up way larger amount of carries in the second half and had a 3-1 advantage in TD's during the playoffs. He had 33 receptions in the first half of the season, 19 in the second half. 104 carries in the first half, 67 in the second half of the season. 7 of his 10 TD's came in the first 8 games, 4 of them in a single game. He averaged out to the #7 RB but you weren't getting that in the second half of the season when Dillon emerged. Dillon didn't go anywhere and isn't likely to take up less of a share of the workload than he did the second half of last season. Add in the loss of Adams and the effect of that on the entire offense and last year's numbers start to look an awful lot like a ceiling for Jones. For Dillon I'd say his ceiling could be slightly higher if the second half trend from last year carries over but that may be offset by the downturn in the overall offense. All in all, either one could be huge if the other gets hurt but if they both stay healthy they will end up being "safe" picks that get you some points but aren't going to be league winners. He may not have hurt anybody all season long last year but he certainly was hurting some teams in the second half if they were relying on production befitting a top ten back.
 

Deamon

Footballguy
Because as you guys often do, you are looking at total points but it's deeper than this. His RB7 finish was due to a 41pts monster week (at the beginning of the season btw before dillon cut gis time) and a couple of big other weeks. He also had 6 weeks under 12 pts in PPR of which 3 of them under 5pts. As my previous posts tried to convey, he was very hot and cold and i don't like the 50/50 time share with dillon. That's all i am saying. He's a good RB but dillon's presence makes them both a gamble on any given week. I stick to that statement.
You do look at total numbers. Those weeks he has weeks, he wins you those weeks. Just surprised someone says the RB7 was "killing him all year" haha. but fair enough, we'll see how they both do this year. Personally if I draft a late 1st round RB (last year), I'm thrilled if he ends up RB7
Jones certainly wouldn't have hurt your team and would have gotten fairly steady but unspectacular points most of the season. What he didn't do for anyone was win them a title as Dillon took up way larger amount of carries in the second half and had a 3-1 advantage in TD's during the playoffs. He had 33 receptions in the first half of the season, 19 in the second half. 104 carries in the first half, 67 in the second half of the season. 7 of his 10 TD's came in the first 8 games, 4 of them in a single game. He averaged out to the #7 RB but you weren't getting that in the second half of the season when Dillon emerged. Dillon didn't go anywhere and isn't likely to take up less of a share of the workload than he did the second half of last season. Add in the loss of Adams and the effect of that on the entire offense and last year's numbers start to look an awful lot like a ceiling for Jones. For Dillon I'd say his ceiling could be slightly higher if the second half trend from last year carries over but that may be offset by the downturn in the overall offense. All in all, either one could be huge if the other gets hurt but if they both stay healthy they will end up being "safe" picks that get you some points but aren't going to be league winners. He may not have hurt anybody all season long last year but he certainly was hurting some teams in the second half if they were relying on production befitting a top ten back.
Aaron Jones was the RB5 after his bye. (weeks 14, 15, 16, 17). These are the most used playoff weeks, I wouldn't say he was hurting people that bad during those weeks.
 

Deamon

Footballguy
One game, and probably the worst the Packers offense will be all year.

Jones didn't do much.
Dillon was great.
 

sho nuff

Footballguy
One game, and probably the worst the Packers offense will be all year.

Jones didn't do much.
Dillon was great.
Jones didn’t get it much but did well with his 5 carries (out rushing what Dillon did on 10). Seemed they waited a while to really get the run game going at all.
Dillon targeted more in the pass game too though which was a surprise to me.
 

Pipes

Footballguy
One game, and probably the worst the Packers offense will be all year.

Jones didn't do much.
Dillon was great.
He had 76 total yards that’s pretty good on only 8 touches. He looked explosive too no idea what their gameplan was but it wasn’t good
 

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