SeniorVBDStudent said:
Do we have a link to the top 10 teams from last year?
Results from last year
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2013/week-16.php
There was an ongoing debate at the start of the season about optimal roster size, with a prevailing thought that something in the 23 - 25 range represents the sweet spot. I mention this having looked at last year's top 10 and observing roster sizes in the top 10 as such:
1. 18
2. 18
3. 21
4. 19
5. 19
6. 22
7. 21
8. 23
9. 25
10. 20
Question the statistical significance if you like, but this will color my thinking this year....
IIRC this happens pretty much every year. The top "winners" generally have closer to 20 players. However, most teams that select fewer players don't make it to the top 250 (relatively speaking compared to teams that have closer to 28). The 23-25 ranges seemed to be a happy medium where you get the best of both worlds (enough depth to survive to the top 250, and enough stud fire power to put up huge scores).
Going with a smaller lineup is basically saying I want to maximize my chances at winning it all, even if it ends up meaning I mostly likely will get nothing.
Going with a larger lineup is saying I want to maximize my chances of getting into the top 250 and we'll see what happens.
Going with a 23-26 roster can give you an advantage over the other two (better chance to make top 250 than 18 man roster, more "firepower" than 30 man roster), but it's also a disadvantage (less firepower than the 18 man rosters that make the top 250, less chance to make the top 250 than the 30 man rosters).