Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
23. There are 13 cornerbacks who have been thrown at 30 or more times this season and have allowed a catch rate lower than 54 percent; three of those cornerbacks play for Denver.
Aqib Talib, Chris Harris Jr., and Bradley Roby have all been playing well recently. Talib and Harris are two of the three highest-graded cornerbacks so far this season, and Roby is coming off of a game where he allowed just one of seven passes thrown his way to be caught, and has an interception. That will make it a long day for one of the league’s best young quarterbacks.
24. Raiders QB Derek Carr has an adjusted completion percentage of 59.3 when throwing deep this season, fourth-best among NFL QBs.
While there are plenty of quarterbacks who attempt deep passes (20+ air yards) more often than Carr,
few have been as effective. Carr has completed 14 of 27 deep passes for 469 yards and five touchdowns. This week it will be much more difficult to make deep completions against the Broncos’ secondary which has the highest coverage grade on PFF’s cumulative scale. If the Raiders can complete a few deep passes against Denver, it would be a major factor in Oakland taking control of the division.
59 on deep ball % is a sick number.
I think TJ Ward's comments about the WRs earlier this week was some gamesmanship, trying to goad Carr and the team to going after the corners.
The strength of the offense has been Carr and the WRs, but the teeth of that defense has been passing downs, Miller and Ware coming hard, and the CBs playing lights out. They have three great CBs. Although Talib is banged up, and actually flew out to Cali early to see a doctor for a 2nd opinion.
Musgrave has shown a real ability to go after the bad matchups, and it shows every week. Vs JAX, the better matchup was Crabs vs whoever that stiff was at CB, and Cooper was largely ignored. No reason to give Jalen Ramsey a chance to make a play, easy pickings on the other side.
I am really expecting a bit of small ball from the team this week. Walford, Olawale, Rivera, Washington, I could see guys like this stepping up. Base set, let's keep Roby off the field, this is a bad week to expect much from Seth Roberts. Put Todd Davis and TJ Ward one one one with Walford/Rivera/Washington, and go after that matchup.
I think Crabs and especially Coop can shake loose vs. these guys, but you know what, do we need to test their corners? Do we need to risk turnovers vs. this team? How many drives from their own 20 yard line does the Denver offense have in it? Let's win the field position battle, the turnover battle, the special teams battle, and see if Siemien can move the ball.
The story this week has been Carr vs this defense, but no one is discussing the fact that Siemien has not played well in weeks.