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I'm 2.15 below the line at this moment. The list is down to:

QuizGuy66 said:
Those with ownership above 300:

Mariota 1205

Ten Def 876

Succop 817

Henry 716

Mack 653

Doyle 645

Vinatieri 477

Walker 378

Rishard Matthews 357

Gonna be tight :scared:

-QG
Click to expand...
I have 3 of them, 2 (Walker and Rishard) with very low numbers to overcome to start counting. I don't like my position but I feel like I have a reasonable chance. 

 
I'm ranked 61st this week, my TE trio of Ertz/Henry/Engram killed it along with Saints DST.

 
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Tennessee_ATO said:
I'm 2.15 below the line at this moment. The list is down to:

I have 3 of them, 2 (Walker and Rishard) with very low numbers to overcome to start counting. I don't like my position but I feel like I have a reasonable chance. 
Click to expand...
You should be in.

I'm guessing Vinatieri and Succopp will help a lot of people tonight.

 
7.85 points above projected cut.

4349/5,000th place.

Hoping to not get jumped by 651 entries :(

 
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QB 0 (no QB week Bradford)

RB 42.10 (2play 1bye 1out)

WR 16! (lol eveyone scored below 6pts except 1)

TE 42.5 (3 outa 3 crazy this year) 

K 11.6 ( Z leg)

D 33 (lol combined 35pts not counted) 

if (big if) I make it this week I actually think I'm good till week 9 baring stupidity or more injurys. 

 
QB - 3.05 (Winston)  1 on bye

RB - 35.7 (3 play)

WR - 10.8 (2 play)  Parker, Diggs hurt.  3 more on bye

TE - 46.1 (2 play) 1 on bye

K -  11.6 (Z leg)

D - 33

Likely going to get the snip.

 
I made it through another week.  I think this is the furthest I've ever made it.  Too bad I can't actually win any money.

 
Someone who tracks such things can confirm (or debunk) this, but I think some folks are thinking the line moves WAY more than it ever does on MNF. 

 
Tennessee_ATO said:
Someone who tracks such things can confirm (or debunk) this, but I think some folks are thinking the line moves WAY more than it ever does on MNF. 
Click to expand...
It all depends, previous years we had the stats available of ownership of below cut line.

the largest Monday movement I remember was 35+ points and that was a Rothesberger + Bell + Brown hay day  game. 

Smallest I remember was 4 pts.

if I'm guessing I think low end this game moves >5 points but it it moved 15 I would say yep it could happen. I think 9.5 shift happens 17-23 final score lol.

 
Foxer2373 said:
It all depends, previous years we had the stats available of ownership of below cut line.

the largest Monday movement I remember was 35+ points and that was a Rothesberger + Bell + Brown hay day  game. 

Smallest I remember was 4 pts.

if I'm guessing I think low end this game moves >5 points but it it moved 15 I would say yep it could happen. I think 9.5 shift happens 17-23 final score lol.
Click to expand...
I don't have any memory of shifts that large, especially 35 points. This year the shifts have all been well less than 10 points unless I've missed one. This is my first week of being affected so I haven't been the best record-keeper this year. 

 
Tennessee_ATO said:
I don't have any memory of shifts that large, especially 35 points. This year the shifts have all been well less than 10 points unless I've missed one. This is my first week of being affected so I haven't been the best record-keeper this year. 
Click to expand...
Here's hoping!  What seems to be different is that many could be counting Mariota's scores tonight with Rodgers, Winston going down and the bye's.  Also with some kickers being cut/hurt a good performance from Ten special teams could help a bunch.

 
I am most concerned about Mariota's considerable ownership and the chance that he is paired with a low/zero scoring QB.  Also worried about the kickers and defenses for the same reason.

Need a low scoring game.

-QG

 
Gottabesweet said:
Here's hoping!  What seems to be different is that many could be counting Mariota's scores tonight with Rodgers, Winston going down and the bye's.  Also with some kickers being cut/hurt a good performance from Ten special teams could help a bunch.
Click to expand...
But there is only a pretty small band of rosters that really matter. How many teams w/ a 0 @ QB are within 25 points of the cutline? I mean, there are 183 teams at 105 or below. Those guys aren't advancing under any set of circumstances unless they are just loaded w/ Titans and/or Colts -- and if they are they should have been eliminated weeks ago. 

If you limit things to teams w/in 15 of the cutline either way you're just talking about 2152 teams fighting for 1382 spots. 

 
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Tennessee_ATO said:
But there is only a pretty small band of rosters that really matter. How many teams w/ a 0 @ QB are within 25 points of the cutline? I mean, there are 183 teams at 105 or below. Those guys aren't advancing under any set of circumstances unless they are just loaded w/ Titans and/or Colts -- and if they are they should have been eliminated weeks ago. 

If you limit things to teams w/in 15 of the cutline either way you're just talking about 2152 teams fighting for 1382 spots. 
Click to expand...
Science right here. Love it.

 
QuizGuy66 said:
I am most concerned about Mariota's considerable ownership and the chance that he is paired with a low/zero scoring QB.  Also worried about the kickers and defenses for the same reason.

Need a low scoring game.

-QG
Click to expand...
But those guys in that boat have to be close enough to the cutline to matter. That's why I don't think Mariota matters much. PK probably matter far more at this point. 

 
2.25 points over cutline with Taywan Taylor and Moncrief going and low man on my team scoring pole is Martavis and his 4.7. I'm figuring I need 8+ from one of my two players to have a shot. In other words I need a Moncrief TD.

 
133.25 after 1/4 looks like field goals are murder. From past examples the rate goes up as more guys have people counting. I'm still calling 143-148(I'm 147.5) by the final garbage time nut kick. 

 
Foxer2373 said:
133.25 after 1/4 looks like field goals are murder. From past examples the rate goes up as more guys have people counting. I'm still calling 143-148(I'm 147.5) by the final garbage time nut kick. 
Click to expand...
It moved 0.85 in the 1st. It ain't moving 10-14 more in the next 3 quarters. 140 will be safe. 

 
Tennessee_ATO said:
Well that sucked for you. 
Click to expand...
heh at least I did the proper setup all thread.

What can ya do.  The injuries did seem to be piling up for me.  Probably will hurt more to see how the other entry for ConstruxBoy was doing - bet it has smashed the cut every week since it was knocked out.

Brutal week as I lost in all 4 fantasy leagues as well.  The Bengals were lucky to have a bye.

Good luck folks!

-QG

 
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