2025 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

[TheWinz]

111.70 cut line at the start of the 3rd quarter

 

[QuizGuy66]

109.85 + (Goff - 18.05)

Another 2.5 or so til he starts counting for you. Don't give up just yet with this high scoring game

-QG

 

[TheWinz]

116.80, but unsure if the stats are complete yet.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Looks like I made the cut. Whew.

 

[rustycolts]

116.80, but unsure if the stats are complete yet.

Cutting it close my man.

 

[JaBoo]

Looks like I'm through. In 3 weeks I scored 154, 164, 159. It's not flashy, but I'll take 150 every week all year.

 

[TheWinz]

Looks like I'm through. In 3 weeks I scored 154, 164, 159. It's not flashy, but I'll take 150 every week all year.

You better wish for more in the later weeks. Every year there seems to be weeks with cuts around 170

 

[QuizGuy66]

135.00 scuffled my way 3.

The 3 surviving gimmick psuedo-entries also all survived.

MAXMIN had 140.40

30TEAM had another great week with 181.10

And the one where I picked redundant names had 191.60 lol

-QG

 

[TheWinz]

116.80, but unsure if the stats are complete yet.

Cutting it close my man.

I just check and your main entry is like 45 over the line, dude!

 

[TheWinz]

And the one where I picked redundant names had 191.60 lol

 

[Jayrod]

My RB's absolutely suck. I should have dropped some $$ on a legit stud. My strategy has worked great at WR & QB, OK with TE/K/DEF but RB is a huge hole right now.

Brown, Henderson, Chubb & Crosky-Merritt are my top 4 and they are averaging 21.3pts/week with zero flex contributions and have decreased every week. I'm not sure if any of them have scored a TD yet this season.

My 7 RB's scored between 2.5-9.6 pts this week. It is just a big pile of meh.

 

[TheWinz]

After 3 weeks, I have $64 unused. And it's not because my other players are doing great. I am averaging under 150. But that's what is fun about this contest. You can squeak by multiple weeks and it's fine, as long as you ain't cut.

 

[ZWK]

164.65 this week, 178 ppg through week 3.

I've started 19/30 players and $194/$250 salary. Trey McBride ($30) and Keenan Allen ($5) are my only every-week starters. Matthew Golden ($12) the only $10+ player who hasn't cracked my lineup yet, though Josh Palmer ($7) is looking like my worst selection.

Own Pos $ Player TM Starts Pts
7.2% QB $26 J Allen BUF 2 77.85
7.9% QB $15 J Herbert LAC 1 27.2
4.0% RB $36 S Barkley PHI 2 32.8
22.8% RB $11 J Mason MIN 1 23.6
6.8% RB $8 B Tuten JAX 1 14.4
52.4% RB $6 J Croskey-Merritt WAS 2 23.8
3.7% RB $4 K Miller NO 0 0
4.6% TE $30 T McBride ARI 3 49.7
12.5% TE $7 M Taylor NYJ 0 0
7.5% TE $4 H Fannin CLE 1 17.1
23.3% WR $12 M Golden GB 0 0
41.7% WR $11 R Pearsall SF 1 19.7
50.1% WR $10 E Egbuka TB 2 38.1
7.5% WR $8 R Shaheed NO 1 15.2
3.8% WR $7 J Higgins HOU 0 0
5.4% WR $7 J Palmer BUF 0 0
4.1% WR $6 M Brown KC 1 19.9
7.3% WR $6 B Aiyuk SF 0 0
22.0% WR $5 K Allen LAC 3 56.4
6.5% WR $3 J Coker CAR 0 0
8.6% WR $3 T Franklin DEN 1 24
6.0% WR $2 P Bryant DEN 0 0
10.8% WR $2 E Ayomanor TEN 2 29.4
7.0% WR $2 K Williams NE 0 0
17.1% PK $4 C Boswell PIT 2 29.7
14.0% PK $3 C Santos CHI 1 7
6.5% PK $3 B Grupe NO 0 0
4.0% TD $3 Jaguars JAX 2 15
7.6% TD $3 Falcons ATL 1 14
3.1% TD $3 Saints NO 0 0

 

[Puppies]

After 3 weeks, I have $64 unused. And it's not because my other players are doing great. I am averaging under 150. But that's what is fun about this contest. You can squeak by multiple weeks and it's fine, as long as you ain't cut.

I have $79 unused so far, but I'm averaging 175.77 through 3 weeks.

I only have 3 players that counted all 3 weeks (James Cook, Keenan Allen, and JAGUARS D); 6 players that counted 2 weeks, and 9 players that counted 1 week.

There are 29 total players on my roster.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Thanks David Montgomery for making it boring. on to cincinnati....

(the following losers have failed to make a contribution and are officially on double secret probation...diggs needs to lay off the cardigans)

Jordan Love qb1...but its a committee so ok (Darnold, Jones)
Kendra Miller rb5
Stefon Diggs (ouch!) wr2
Christian Kirk wr5
Pat Freiermuth te3
Blake Grupe pk3

ETA: $54 unused

 

[Dacomish]

**Of course - my week 1 ghost team is killing it now – would have been 256th place this week….Uggh.**

Now through the 10% cuts and head into 20% cuts from week 4. A few ties shifted UNOFFICIAL future Cut lines, (not counting ties that may affect the final cut numbers):

Start 11139
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10026
10% Week 2 cut to Number –9026
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8122 Now 8127
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6500 Now 6502
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5200 Now 5202
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 4160 Now 4162
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3328 Now 3330
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2330 Now 2331
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1631 Now 1632
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1142 Now 1443
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 800 Now 801
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 560 Now 561
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 336 Now 337
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 202 Now 203 (means the top 22 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)

Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.

- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.

- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.

 

[TheWinz]

We started the week with 47 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant badge offer. The great news is we still have 45 ; the bad news is we lost @(HULK) @heckmanm

Moving on to week 4 are:
@Irelad - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105109/week/1
@ZWK - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104585/week/1
@Galileo - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102193/week/1
@rzrback77 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/110111/week/1
@TheWinz - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102376/week/1
@scottybo - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100693/week/1
@Tha Guru - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/109783/week/1
@Maggot Brain - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105999/week/1
@-OZ- - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/108784/week/1
@ClownDogs - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102155/week/1
@JoeSteeler - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101707/week/1
@MikesVikes - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107455/week/1 and https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102212/week/1
@WoodedHills - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100720/week/1
@rustycolts - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104536/week/1 and https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104930/week/1
@H8fulHuck - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/109705/week/1
@IHEARTFF - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104094/week/1
@ConstruxBoy - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107958/week/1
@apalmer - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100733/week/1
@SeniorVBDStudent - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/111053/week/1
@Church of Iggy Pop - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/110444/week/1
@dbc925 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/110116/week/1
@J Rod - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100110/week/1
@formerfourdigit - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/108618/week/1
@dzambo - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/109048/week/1
@BlackCrowes - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105260/week/1
@davidwb - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104854/week/1
@cstruk - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100211/week/1
@fightingillini - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107904/week/1
@Golden Gopher - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104995/week/1
@Scoresman - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105305/week/1
@Mojo56 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101594/week/1
@Hot Sauce Guy - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/109871/week/1
@Birdie048 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107712/week/1
@kajaet - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102872/week/1
@Charles in Houston - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101260/week/1
@reflint - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104204/week/1
@da_budman - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102339/week/1
@JaBoo - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107978/week/1
@Gatorade - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102094/week/1
@Shaunz33 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105827/week/1
@The Jerminator - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/107831/week/1
@brun - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100191/week/1
@a_troll00 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/105628/week/1
@Deamon - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/100194/week/1
@jm192 - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/106187/week/1

Of note
- a_troll00 was this week's top dog with 198.50 (68th place)
- Tha Guru was this week's lowest advancing team, with a score of 121.30 (7688th place)

Good luck in week 4!

 

[(HULK)]

Best of luck to those who remain.

 

[heckmanm]

Too many "starters" in single digits for me - including ALL of my RBs.

RB Josh Jacobs - $29 9.90
RB Chase Brown - $26 4.00
RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. - $16 4.60
RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt - $6 9.60

WR Calvin Ridley - $16 3.70

TE Tucker Kraft - $15 7.40
TE Tyler Warren - $14 8.30

PK Ka'imi Fairbairn - $6 4.00
(My other kicker is currently driving for Uber or something)

 

[apalmer]

With Caleb, Mason and Montgomery leading the way, it's on to Week 4. I'm now down to the following list of non-contributors:

T. Henderson (maybe he'll see an upswing with Stevenson's fumble issues?)
Monangai (not surprising, he's a later season hopeful)

Golden (may be a waste of money)
Ayomanor (putting up great numbers for a $2 pick, just not quite good enough to make the cut)

Grupe (Boswell and Loop are tough to top)

That means I've gotten contributions from both of my QBs, 4 of 6 RBs, 6 of 8 WRs, all 3 TEs, 2 of 3 Ks, and both Ds. The only guys to count all 3 weeks are Odunze and Keenan Allen.

 

[Golden Gopher]

Looks like my comments above "reverse jinxed" Bateman into a productive game. Unfortunately, it seems to also have caused him to switch roles with Flowers, who was largely invisible last night. My apologies to the Flowers owners who needed a good game from him last night.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

the bad news is we lost @(HULK) @heckmanm

Gone but not forgotten. :(

 

[brewer]

Alive into week 4 but more than a bit worried about my WR depth with Mike Evans injury, McLaurin also tweaking something and Jamo going missing:

WR Terry McLaurin - $21	10.40
WR Jameson Williams - $20	6.30
WR Mike Evans - $18	13.30
WR Emeka Egbuka - $10	14.50
WR Pat Bryant - $2	0.00
WR Kyle Williams - $2	1.80

 

[Ted Lange as your Bartender]

422 remaining Jaxson Dart teams, rejoice!

 

[a_troll00]

This fantasy season is scaring the he'll out of me. I honestly thought my rooster was dead in the water. Then, it showed signs of life in a big way. Nonetheless, it was a few really good key scores in a sea of suck.

My rooster could go far. It may be eliminated on any week. Week 4 may very well be my last week in this contest. Then again, that is the very nature of this contest, and why I love it so much.

 

[Puppies]

If you have been lucky enough to escape the injury bug so far this season, your ongoing survival may be enhanced by teams that have fallen victim.

Below is a compilation of some of the recent injuries, along with estimated downtime and the ownership numbers of those players on rosters that are still alive through week 3.

Good luck to everyone in week 4 !

PLAYER​	OWNERSHIP​	CAP $​	ESTIMATED RETURN​
M. Evans	1,117	$18	week 6
T. Tracy	852	$16	week 8-9
C. Lamb	774	$35	week 7-8
G. Kittle	711	$25	week 6
T. Mc Laurin	611	$21	? week 5
C. Loveland	542	$14	week 5
J. Conner	491	$21	Season Ending
B. Purdy	471	$17	? week 4
J. Burrow	432	$26	week 15
J. Sanders	249	$7	week 6-7
N. Harris	206	$13	Season Ending
J. Jennings	160	$12	? week 5
A. Jones	150	$21	week 7
J. Reed	139	$12	week 14
JJ. McCarthy	127	$19	week 7
A. Pierce	47	$8	week 5
M. Mayer	37	$6	week 5

 

[TheWinz]

This fantasy season is scaring the he'll out of me. I honestly thought my rooster was dead in the water. Then, it showed signs of life in a big way. Nonetheless, it was a few really good key scores in a sea of suck.

My rooster could go far. It may be eliminated on any week. Week 4 may very well be my last week in this contest. Then again, that is the very nature of this contest, and why I love it so much.

That's the spirit! It's hilarious to think you've built a great team, only to get booted early when a few games go different than expected. I rostered only Dak and Geno, and they have been quite the crazy duo. I am averaging 29.3 with them, but if I had to use their low scores, that drops to 11.4. They are taking turns having usable games. Just as I planned, hahaha

 

[TheWinz]

690 Gano owners should be preparing to be without him
1402 Koo owners may be getting a fast second chance

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

690 Gano owners should be preparing to be without him
1402 Koo owners may be getting a fast second chance

have you seen any explanations re: why Koo's production took a nosedive last year?

 

[TheWinz]

690 Gano owners should be preparing to be without him
1402 Koo owners may be getting a fast second chance

have you seen any explanations re: why Koo's production took a nosedive last year?

Great question.
The long snapper (Liam McCullough) and punter/holder (Bradley Pinion) haven't changed since 2021, so I doubt they are the cause.
Next we look to see if his accuracy has plummeted because he's attempting so many long FG's. Nope, he led the league in 2024 in missed FG's under 50 yards.
My guess - either he has a lingering hammy and isn't saying anything, or he has the yips. The yips are real!

 

[TwinTurbo]

After 3 weeks, I have $64 unused. And it's not because my other players are doing great. I am averaging under 150. But that's what is fun about this contest. You can squeak by multiple weeks and it's fine, as long as you ain't cut.

I would have been out this week if my significant other didn't convince me to switch to Drake Maye as QB2. Her roster is still alive too.

 

[TheWinz]

After 3 weeks, I have $64 unused. And it's not because my other players are doing great. I am averaging under 150. But that's what is fun about this contest. You can squeak by multiple weeks and it's fine, as long as you ain't cut.

I would have been out this week if my significant other didn't convince me to switch to Drake Maye as QB2. Her roster is still alive too.

Is she Ready Player Two?

 

[TwinTurbo]

After 3 weeks, I have $64 unused. And it's not because my other players are doing great. I am averaging under 150. But that's what is fun about this contest. You can squeak by multiple weeks and it's fine, as long as you ain't cut.

I would have been out this week if my significant other didn't convince me to switch to Drake Maye as QB2. Her roster is still alive too.

Is she Ready Player Two?

Her team has no name but it could be Maye Chase Lions. Only 1 left.

 

[Gatorade]

Geno and Monty made for a good week. Only injury so far is Evans. Getting better every week.

 

[stubby]

Survived another no-Kittle week (or Jennings for that matter.) Jordan Mason and Lamar carried me through….Turpin hasn’t counted for me yet, but I chose him over Tolbert, and we will see what happens with the Dak/Pickens/Turpin stack.

 

[Puppies]

Statistical Trivia....

Of the 902 teams eliminated in week three, 760 or 84.26% had 21 or fewer players on their roster.

Of all the teams that rostered 26 or more players, only 21 were eliminated in week 3.

741 total points were scored by all NFL teams in week 3, yet the cut line was the lowest so far at only 116.80.

Highest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

29 = 92.11%
26 = 88.83%
28 = 87.80%
30 = 87.61%

Lowest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

18 = 65.44%
19 = 72.02%
20 = 74.90%
21 = 75.90%

 

[Saint]

Well looking at my rooster through 3 weeks. With many of you, not sure what I was thinking. However in my defense, I got swamped at work and couldn't spend enough time. So I need to find a new gig obviously.

• QB: Love/Lawrence - Used both of them so far.... but definitely not feeling good.
• RB: Brown/Swift/Mason/Croskey/Marks - Only one not used is Marks. Averaging around 25 pts per week... not loving it, but hoping Brown can resume form and I will feel better.
• WR: Metcalf/Ridley/Diggs/Golden/Pearsall/Egbuka/Coker/Bryant/Ayomanor... some good low value hits, but missed on the big guys. Looking at you Ridley and Diggs. Have yet to use both of them, Golden, Coker, and Bryant. So a lot of dead money in this area. My scrubs are saving my bacon as I really need Ridley or someone else to step it up. Right now Egbuka and Pearsall have been keeping me alive.
• TE: Kittle/Warren/Taylor. I planned for flex coming from here, but the Kittle injury has hurt big time. Taylor has not been used yet.
• PK/DEF: Boswell/Little/Gano and Miami/Atlanta/Jacksonville. Haven't used Boswell or the dolphins yet.

So total dead money: $65 from 9 players out of 25. Or 36% of my rooster... really makes me nervous.

 

[TheWinz]

This team would still be alive...

QB - Daniel Jones - IND/11 - $9
RB - Javonte Williams - DAL/10 - $13
WR - Keenan Allen - LAC/12 - $5
WR - Tre Tucker - LV/8 - $5
WR - Troy Franklin - DEN/12 - $3
WR - Kayshon Boutte - NE/14 - $2
PK - Joey Slye - TEN/10 - $3
TD - Jacksonville Jaguars - JAC/8 - $3

Total value: 43

Only 1 RB, and no TE

 

[rzrback77]

Looking at surviving percentages:

1. My lowest player rate is RJ Harvey at 65.6%
2. Second lowest rate is Diggs at 69.35%
3. I have 11 of my 29 players that are advancing above 80%
4. My highest three player rates are all WRs, K. Allen at 89.1%, Ayomanor at 87.8% and JSN at 86.2%

 

[H8fulHuck]

Survival rate roostering JK Dobbins + Keenan Allen is 95%
98 of 103 teams

My boy Travis Hunter has been a lode stone with a 63% survival rate. 305 of 484

 

[TheWinz]

Spent $199 and still alive - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/102369/week/3
Spent $200 and still alive - https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101368/week/1

 

[Titans_fan]

Through 3 weeks, but don't think I'm long for this contest this year.
Used all 3 QBs (Prescott, Love, Cam Ward). Not flashy, but averaging 23+, so let's keep it rolling!

My RB room is by far my weak point. CMC has been an every-weeker, but Pacheco and Kendre Miller have been MIA. Charbs, Chubb and JCM have been mediocre at best so far. Gulp.

WRs have been above average, with Keenan counting every week combined with Pickens, Ebuka, Davante and DHop contributing good weeks. Golden and Westbrook-Ikhine haven't contributed yet, but have high hopes for Golden. Ikhine probably a lost cause.

Goedert has been a decent TE, but Theo Johnson and Freiermuth have been mostly invisible. That needs to change to help carry the RB room.

Loop and Little have alternated weeks and the Rams and Chiefs have just been OK.

Survive and advance at this point!

 

[TheWinz]

155 Russell Wilson owners
422 Jaxson Dart owners

 

[Ted Lange as your Bartender]

155 Russell Wilson owners
422 Jaxson Dart owners

And to the 12 remaining teams with both Russ and Dart…

 

[TheWinz]

155 Russell Wilson owners
422 Jaxson Dart owners

And to the 12 remaining teams with both Russ and Dart…

Unless Russ gets traded, then it's cheers to both

 

[JaBoo]

Highest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

29 = 92.11%
26 = 88.83%
28 = 87.80%
30 = 87.61%

Lowest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

18 = 65.44%
19 = 72.02%
20 = 74.90%
21 = 75.90%

There are two ways I can interpret this data.
1) Quantity over quality. Our accuracy or insight is significantly less meaningful than the number of darts we throw at the board. No one really knows anything before the season starts, so just take as many players as you can and some of them are bound to be good. If this is the case then choosing your roster size is the most important selection you make.

or..

2) Roosters with solid insight into the NFL are comfortable with lesser known (cheaper) options and can identify value in those names. While others prefer to invest in those with a more established pedigree (more expensive). If this is the case then choosing which players to take is paramount.

I would like to think it is option 2. I truly believe it is probably a mix of both. But I am afraid it is the first one. What other interpretations am I missing?

 

[H8fulHuck]

Highest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

29 = 92.11%
26 = 88.83%
28 = 87.80%
30 = 87.61%

Lowest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

18 = 65.44%
19 = 72.02%
20 = 74.90%
21 = 75.90%

There are two ways I can interpret this data.
1) Quantity over quality. Our accuracy or insight is significantly less meaningful than the number of darts we throw at the board. No one really knows anything before the season starts, so just take as many players as you can and some of them are bound to be good. If this is the case then choosing your roster size is the most important selection you make.

or..

2) Roosters with solid insight into the NFL are comfortable with lesser known (cheaper) options and can identify value in those names. While others prefer to invest in those with a more established pedigree (more expensive). If this is the case then choosing which players to take is paramount.

I would like to think it is option 2. I truly believe it is probably a mix of both. But I am afraid it is the first one. What other interpretations am I missing?

Fortunately, there is an expert support group available 24x7 who will debate your hypothesis with you

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Highest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

29 = 92.11%
26 = 88.83%
28 = 87.80%
30 = 87.61%

Lowest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

18 = 65.44%
19 = 72.02%
20 = 74.90%
21 = 75.90%

There are two ways I can interpret this data.
1) Quantity over quality. Our accuracy or insight is significantly less meaningful than the number of darts we throw at the board. No one really knows anything before the season starts, so just take as many players as you can and some of them are bound to be good. If this is the case then choosing your roster size is the most important selection you make.

or..

2) Roosters with solid insight into the NFL are comfortable with lesser known (cheaper) options and can identify value in those names. While others prefer to invest in those with a more established pedigree (more expensive). If this is the case then choosing which players to take is paramount.

I would like to think it is option 2. I truly believe it is probably a mix of both. But I am afraid it is the first one. What other interpretations am I missing?

Fortunately, there is an expert support group available 24x7 who will debate your hypothesis with you

Thank you for reaching expert league support. Your call is important to us, and will be answered in the order in which it was received. Unless it is not. Juniper berry.

 

[smbkrypt24]

Highest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

29 = 92.11%
26 = 88.83%
28 = 87.80%
30 = 87.61%

Lowest survival rates by roster size through 3 weeks:

18 = 65.44%
19 = 72.02%
20 = 74.90%
21 = 75.90%

There are two ways I can interpret this data.
1) Quantity over quality. Our accuracy or insight is significantly less meaningful than the number of darts we throw at the board. No one really knows anything before the season starts, so just take as many players as you can and some of them are bound to be good. If this is the case then choosing your roster size is the most important selection you make.

or..

2) Roosters with solid insight into the NFL are comfortable with lesser known (cheaper) options and can identify value in those names. While others prefer to invest in those with a more established pedigree (more expensive). If this is the case then choosing which players to take is paramount.

I would like to think it is option 2. I truly believe it is probably a mix of both. But I am afraid it is the first one. What other interpretations am I missing?

It would make sense that 18 is lowest survival rate due to then having to hit on the picks (Injuries, busts) and not having the depth to survive that. Now the likelihood, I believe, would increase with taking less players at higher cost. But when you spread to more players much more likely that you are scoring above that cut line. I think at some point though that it would limit the ceiling potential.

 

[TheWinz]

I think at some point though that it would limit the ceiling potential.

Agreed. A well-constructed 18-player roster that stays healthy is hard to beat. Last year's top 10 scoring RB's all ranged from $21 - $33, with an average of $26. Sure, Bucky Irving for $5 is awesome and a steal, but even with his monster year, he was still outscored by Saquon, Gibbs, and Henry by over 100 points. I chose RB to make my point, because I believe it's the hardest for the cheaper options to keep up with the expensive studs.