I disagree, though I have to concede that the polls are probably not on my side. Someone said earlier that my "gut feeling" was about as good as one of Tim's gut feelings, and truth be told that comment really bothered me, in part because it is right. I am all about facts and polls, always have been. But there are some times where one's gut feel takes precedence. In 2016 when everyone thought Trump had no chance of winning, I was one of the few people who thought the opposite. I was pretty much convinced that Trump would win the election, and I told anyone who would listen. Instincts? Maybe. Sometimes instincts are extremely informative. I really do think that a lot of Republicans view Trump as not fit for office. 1/6 changed things for me, and I have to believe that it also changed things for most people like me - educated voters who really are concerned about the future of the country.
I 100% acknowledge I could be wrong, because as I've said already the polls would indicate that Trump will win the nom. But I don't believe the polls. Just like I didn't believe the polls in 2016. That and $2.50 will get you a cup of soup. Here's what I am holding onto... Throughout history whenever America has been in crisis there has been a leader to emerge that has saved the Republic. I believe that leader is Nikki Haley. Maybe it's because I want to believe it. Who knows. But Nikki Haley has always struck me as someone who has potential to be a transformational leader. I've been following her pretty closely for the last 10 years, and if she plays he cards right she has a legitimate chance to be the type of person that changes the course of history.