Hoart Petterson
Footballguy
I guess I should read the rules next time.
So the collective wisdom of the Shark Pool = coin flip ?'Doug Drinen said:Crowd percentages by position:QB: 57.9%RB: 53.5%WR: 52.1%TE: 51.9%FLEX: 54.0%PK: 47.7%TD: 55.7%Random trivia: the crowd was 36% on questions involving Titans, but 68% on questions involving Lions.'Anonymous Internet User said:7 "losses" vs 1 "win" on my kicker picks before wising up and not answering those. Oof. If I didn't pick any kickers, I would have cracked top 10.'Doug Drinen said:Incidentally, the crowd answered 53.3% of the questions correctly in week one.
Yes and no. While it's true that 53.3% isn't that much higher than 50%, it is enough higher (given the sample size) that it's clearly better.So the collective wisdom of the Shark Pool = coin flip ?
Unless there's a bug, the answer should be no.Is it possible to get the same question again once you "submit"? For example, if I answer Colt vs Hasselbeck today and submit it, is it possible for me to see that question again if I keep refreshing tomorrow?
Doug, FYI, I got an error today when I entered my picks. The last defense question had "Detriot vs. - "I clicked on Detriot and submitted, then it told me I was submitting an illegal entry. I refreshed and filled in the questions again and it worked.Unless there's a bug, the answer should be no.Is it possible to get the same question again once you "submit"? For example, if I answer Colt vs Hasselbeck today and submit it, is it possible for me to see that question again if I keep refreshing tomorrow?
You sure they weren't all just cheating off of Modog's paper? -QGLooks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
I hope not, considering I came in lastYou sure they weren't all just cheating off of Modog's paper? -QGLooks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
Serious question: qualify for what?Looks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
You still haven't read the rules?Serious question: qualify for what?Looks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
$$$$$$$$$$$Serious question: qualify for what?Looks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
I think I have. Based on the results seems like a lot of people were confused. I just saw a bunch of questions and answered them. Aside from that i guess I thought "qualify" meant qualify to move forward. I'm doing like 8 things at once, that's probably why I'm struggling here.You still haven't read the rules?Serious question: qualify for what?Looks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
You need to answer X number of questions per week to qualify. I think now it's 60, last week it was 125 or something like that.I think I have. Based on the results seems like a lot of people were confused. I just saw a bunch of questions and answered them. Aside from that i guess I thought "qualify" meant qualify to move forward. I'm doing like 8 things at once, that's probably why I'm struggling here.You still haven't read the rules?Serious question: qualify for what?Looks like anyone that didn't qualify cannot see their picks. All the non-qualifiers default to Modogs entry.
It is also week 1- the week with the least information. In general I would expect this to have been the worst week.Yes and no. While it's true that 53.3% isn't that much higher than 50%, it is enough higher (given the sample size) that it's clearly better.So the collective wisdom of the Shark Pool = coin flip ?
If you flipped a coin 38267 times, there is no way you'd get 20388 heads or more. If everyone in the world flipped a coin 38267 times, there is now way anyone would get 20388 heads or more*.
* - unless I made a mistake. It's early and I'm in a hurry. I get that 20388 is more than 12 standard deviations away from the mean. Someone please double-check.
But then you have to decide whether to give credit for comments like "McNabb stinks". If you do, you'll get a bunch of worthless comments (just enough to get the extra credit). If you don't, all you do is start disputes about what's a worthless comment and what isn't.You should actually give some kind of bonus pts/credit for those submitting comments, as that takes a lot longer than just clicking through a set of data pts.
So everyone is still in and the season starts now? I didn't read them well either and picked once.I guess I should read the rules next time.
Doesn't seem to be working for me, I don't get a text box next to "or this guy:" so I can only enter one player.
Enter a guy, Iggy. When you start typing a pull-down box appears and you select dude #1. Once you do this, the 2nd box will appear.-QGDoesn't seem to be working for me, I don't get a text box next to "or this guy:" so I can only enter one player.
What do the columns mean? 85 135 0 62.9662% and 0 ties, but what is the 85 and 135? And how do we know how we did each week, by a link on the subscriber home page? Or do we check for your post in this thread?Thanks for the bump. Just finished this moments ago...http://subscribers.footballguys.com/wdis/2011/week-1.phpYou can start answering week 2 questions at midnight central time tonight.
85 = number correct135 = total answered-QGWhat do the columns mean? 85 135 0 62.9662% and 0 ties, but what is the 85 and 135? And how do we know how we did each week, by a link on the subscriber home page? Or do we check for your post in this thread?Thanks for the bump. Just finished this moments ago...http://subscribers.footballguys.com/wdis/2011/week-1.phpYou can start answering week 2 questions at midnight central time tonight.
Right now, the standings and results pages are admittedly very bare-bones, as I've been working on making sure all the other stuff is running smooth. At some point I'll make those results pages more functional, perhaps even with sorting and filtering and such. Feel free to post requests here.What do the columns mean? 85 135 0 62.9662% and 0 ties, but what is the 85 and 135? And how do we know how we did each week, by a link on the subscriber home page? Or do we check for your post in this thread?Thanks for the bump. Just finished this moments ago...http://subscribers.footballguys.com/wdis/2011/week-1.phpYou can start answering week 2 questions at midnight central time tonight.
If people aren't making a choice, it means they don't have the necessary confidence level to do so. Forcing them to flip a coin doesn't help the validity of the WOC rankings. It only gives a false impression of how many people thought kicker A was a better choice than kicker B. I'd rather see an accurate measure of a smaller sample size than a bogus measure of a larger sample size.I don't think you should allow folks to "strategize" by not answering the K or D questions. As set up, I could answer questions all four days and avoid the hardest questions each day.If the goal is a "contest", then contestants should be able to take advantage of the rules, etc. But if the goal is to create a WOC output that is valuable to subscribers and reward those for participation, then make everyone answer every question they get. Otherwise, the K and D rankings will be subpar and we don't get the WOC on the real hard decisions each week. It also reduces the skill involved (the better contestant can figure out Ks as well as QBs).I also liked the 50 questions a week to get more data for the rankings. It didn't take much time. Go with your gut.The rules should also have some factor for rewarding for more questions answered. Again, this inentivizes more data for the WOC rankings.
Umm you know that the 'hours of calculation' are done for you if you just wait.So ten minutes making picks gives me 3rd place and pays me almost double what I got for the hours of calculations and 16 weeks of watching scores in last year's Subscriber contest? I like it.
since the FBG rankers don't get to pass on anyone in a given week, I don't think we should either. They are forced to make the same calls even when they don't like the outcome Like when I had Kerry collins vs luke mcknown :XIf people aren't making a choice, it means they don't have the necessary confidence level to do so. Forcing them to flip a coin doesn't help the validity of the WOC rankings. It only gives a false impression of how many people thought kicker A was a better choice than kicker B. I'd rather see an accurate measure of a smaller sample size than a bogus measure of a larger sample size.I don't think you should allow folks to "strategize" by not answering the K or D questions. As set up, I could answer questions all four days and avoid the hardest questions each day.If the goal is a "contest", then contestants should be able to take advantage of the rules, etc. But if the goal is to create a WOC output that is valuable to subscribers and reward those for participation, then make everyone answer every question they get. Otherwise, the K and D rankings will be subpar and we don't get the WOC on the real hard decisions each week. It also reduces the skill involved (the better contestant can figure out Ks as well as QBs).I also liked the 50 questions a week to get more data for the rankings. It didn't take much time. Go with your gut.The rules should also have some factor for rewarding for more questions answered. Again, this inentivizes more data for the WOC rankings.
are the individual results listed? What kind of % did it take to 'place' last week.If people aren't making a choice, it means they don't have the necessary confidence level to do so. Forcing them to flip a coin doesn't help the validity of the WOC rankings. It only gives a false impression of how many people thought kicker A was a better choice than kicker B. I'd rather see an accurate measure of a smaller sample size than a bogus measure of a larger sample size.I don't think you should allow folks to "strategize" by not answering the K or D questions. As set up, I could answer questions all four days and avoid the hardest questions each day.If the goal is a "contest", then contestants should be able to take advantage of the rules, etc. But if the goal is to create a WOC output that is valuable to subscribers and reward those for participation, then make everyone answer every question they get. Otherwise, the K and D rankings will be subpar and we don't get the WOC on the real hard decisions each week. It also reduces the skill involved (the better contestant can figure out Ks as well as QBs).I also liked the 50 questions a week to get more data for the rankings. It didn't take much time. Go with your gut.The rules should also have some factor for rewarding for more questions answered. Again, this inentivizes more data for the WOC rankings.
FWIW I posted a link to it in the "pinned threads" threadAgree this should be pinned so people can find it
The hours of calculations were before Week 1. I don't think anyone was going to do them for me. Thanks anyway.Umm you know that the 'hours of calculation' are done for you if you just wait.So ten minutes making picks gives me 3rd place and pays me almost double what I got for the hours of calculations and 16 weeks of watching scores in last year's Subscriber contest? I like it.
From DD's earlier post: Linkare the individual results listed? What kind of % did it take to 'place' last week.If people aren't making a choice, it means they don't have the necessary confidence level to do so. Forcing them to flip a coin doesn't help the validity of the WOC rankings. It only gives a false impression of how many people thought kicker A was a better choice than kicker B. I'd rather see an accurate measure of a smaller sample size than a bogus measure of a larger sample size.I don't think you should allow folks to "strategize" by not answering the K or D questions. As set up, I could answer questions all four days and avoid the hardest questions each day.
If the goal is a "contest", then contestants should be able to take advantage of the rules, etc.
But if the goal is to create a WOC output that is valuable to subscribers and reward those for participation, then make everyone answer every question they get. Otherwise, the K and D rankings will be subpar and we don't get the WOC on the real hard decisions each week. It also reduces the skill involved (the better contestant can figure out Ks as well as QBs).
I also liked the 50 questions a week to get more data for the rankings. It didn't take much time. Go with your gut.
The rules should also have some factor for rewarding for more questions answered. Again, this inentivizes more data for the WOC rankings.