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Not my thread obviously and it doesn't apply to online, but live PLO8 the mistake is only playing the nuts. Not because only playing the nuts is a bad strategy but because there tends to be a limited pool of PLO8 players and if you only play A-A-wheel-wheel you won't get any action. We have guys who quit playing because the second they make a raise or a bet everyone folds, even the action players, and they get pissed.
I'd refer to one of my betters in the FFAWT re: specific NFL questions, but I don't think anything's necessarily suicide if the odds are right.
A.
No clue. Couple points: Multi-way betting is always tougher sledding than just picking one side or the other, due to the crazy vig that's attached. Two, as with almost anything, ignore recent results and just try to isolate a given horse/whatever's skill.
Boxing and boxing. Biggest downside is only about 20 markets per week, and digging into them takes a lot of time if you really want to cap well. And a lot of the odds are pretty lop-sided. But there is nothing like sweating boxeo. Short and sweet.
538 "closed" with Trump having a 30% chance, which is significant and that was increasing right up until Election Day. They caught some flak, but I think they were much more dialed in to whatever that was at the end than a lot of people, Trump campaign included. Glad I laid off.
The only scenario where I like blackjack is where it involves crews counting cards and hurting cardrooms. It's a miserable game to play imo, so I'll punt this one to the room.
Shoot, missed this one. But yeah, he was very clearly trapping/slow-playing.
Not a sports bet, but in the vein of what you're looking for:
Yes.If I pm you a picture of my privates, would you be willing to gamble what's on them?
Look at mr fancy pants who gets to play live plo8.
$2 video blackjack at most hotel island bars. Planet Hollywood sportsbook bar is my go-to. Stick a $20 in, play a hand every couple minutes, pound your drinks and go for a walk. PH sportsbook also gives out 2 drink tickets per $100 bet.
Making money on sports gambling has very little to do with picking winners. There are no certainties.
I'll be the dude in the infield not wearing a stupid hat or bow tie and sweating PGA shot tracker while hopefully chugging Captain and Cokes out of a camel pack.
Hand obviously plays itself, but to pat myself on the back: I was in no way a #### about it.
That makes no sense. Why would you tail some random guy that doesn't keep historical records?
No, but you gotta lose with a way bigger hand than three aces to win those things.
He posts at cappingthegame. I'll dig around for it, but he averages around 50-150 units a year. Which comes out to 2-6 per week over the season, which isn't much. But the dude's free, and that ####'s a grind.
I think conscientious bettors (there are a few) don't want the pressure of losing people's money. They'd do what they're doing anyway, and they share as a courtesy.
I've attempted to type nine different responses to this, but they would all make me come off as smug. From my experience winning cappers aren't the "look at me type", those are marketers posing as cappers.
The ability to beat sides and totals of a major market is incredibly difficult. The services and reputation of a credible long term winner is worth millions of dollars. Why would any successful capper who can consistently beat a major market not open up that possibility?
Because the market self corrects. Tout with 20,000 followers gives out a +300 prop play and in 10 minutes the books drop it to +175. If someone is that good, why wouldn't they bet more instead of waste time appeasing to the masses.
Assuming that yr jumping off a normal 10-12 foot roof, I think it's -1200 that you live. You're gonna get hurt and I think the whiskey might actually help, but unlikely you die.
Not to mention the tout's already hit it himself, and if he's what he says he is, he's already marked so the juice moves automatically before you even get word.
This is almost never the case. The Touts or Scamdicapper's as we like to call them almost never invest their own money on a game, it's just not practical. There's no reason for them to lay out their own money.
This is so key. You're boiling a team/player down to a number: 63%, 4%, 20%, etc. If Josh Gordon has a 5% chance of leading the league in rec. yards, that's a good bet if you're getting 100-1. Five times out of 100 your $1 bet wins $100, 95 times you lose $1. So if you make that bet 100 times, you're going to net $405.
I know what you're talking about, and they're an unsavory lot. But I think there a lot of guys on Twitter who are free or sell their picks cheap who play their own stuff.
