Obviously, the last couple of years have been fascinating. The aftermath of 2021/22 seems like it's going to be even more wild.
How big of a hit are auto lenders about to take?
Car payment delinquencies are the highest they've been since 2009. Yet, repo's haven't skyrocketed yet. The most likely reason is that these car loans were so unbelievably bad and people are so far upside down, the lender doesn't want it back. Dumb bank loaned an idiot $60,000 for a car now worth $40,000. A repo ain't solving that problem. Best to hope beyond hope the idiot keeps paying. Repo'ing just locks in the loss.
There's a tidal wave of massively upside auto loans coming, and it seems like the lenders are going to eat alot of this one way or another. The old saying goes, if somebody owes $1000, they've got a problem. If they owe, $50,000, the bank has a problem.
Gonna hurt dealers too. Many of the customers that got screwed in 2021/22 are going to be so disasterously underwater that they literally can't purchase another vehicle for a very long time (without destroying their credit or filing bankruptcy, at least).
The dealership model is already a little problematic. It'll be fascinating to see how they behave after the screw job of the last couple years. Or maybe all of this and the aftermath could actually garner enough support for some actual change.
BTW, the average car price in 2022 almost hit $50K. The average price of a Ford pickup truck.......$66,000.
How will the madness of the last couple of years untangle?