JohnnyU
Footballguy
You don't think Dillon is worth a late 1st in 2023, yet you think Jones is worth an early 2nd in 2022? I know the difference between the two drafts comes into play, but Dillon has looked very good and is young.No not to me.
You don't think Dillon is worth a late 1st in 2023, yet you think Jones is worth an early 2nd in 2022? I know the difference between the two drafts comes into play, but Dillon has looked very good and is young.No not to me.
Well those are not the same draft picks or really even close and Aaron Jones>CEH.You don't think Dillon is worth a late 1st in 2023, yet you think Jones is worth an early 2nd in 2022? I know the difference between the two drafts comes into play, but Dillon has looked very good and is young.
I'd give a late 2023 1st for Dillon if I needed RB help. You're not getting one of the highly touted RB prospects with a late 1st and I'm not so sure I'm sold on the 2023 WRs except for about three (Smith-Njigba, Boutte, and possibly Quinton Johnson or Addison). I'm speaking from a non-SF perspective however.Well those are not the same draft picks or really even close and Aaron Jones>CEH.
They also have the same YPC and close in age.
I've seen league favorites end up with high picks. I just think I can do a lot better with that asset then the second part of a RBBC.I'd give a late 2023 1st for Dillon if I needed RB help. You're not getting one of the highly touted RB prospects with a late 1st and I'm not so sure I'm sold on the 2023 WRs except for about three. I'm speaking from a non-SF perspective however.
This is probably Arron Jones last year with Green Bay. They can save a lot of money by parting ways with him after this season. Aaron Jones’ contract shows a $4.5M salary cap hit for 2021 & an easy out after 2022I've seen league favorites end up with high picks. I just think I can do a lot better with that asset then the second part of a RBBC.
Then Dillon's enters last year on his contract. Again I think I can do a lot better with that asset then hoping Aaron Jones leaves so that if I survive FA and the draft I got something in 2023. Other then that you need Aaron Jones to go down for have something of tangible value.This is probably Arron Jones last year with Green Bay. They can save a lot of money by parting ways with him after this season. Aaron Jones’ contract shows a $4.5M salary cap hit for 2021 & an easy out after 2022
That is not true. Dillon had plenty of value last year with Aaron Jones playing. He had 800 yards and 5 TDs rushing and 34 receptions for 313 yards and 2 TDs receiving. That is 1100 yards and 7 TDs of production.Then Dillon's enters last year on his contract. Again I think I can do a lot better with that asset then hoping Aaron Jones leaves so that if I survive FA and the draft I got something in 2023. Other then that you need Aaron Jones to go down for have something of tangible value.
It is true.That is not true. Dillon had plenty of value last year with Aaron Jones playing. He had 800 yards and 5 TDs rushing and 34 receptions for 313 yards and 2 TDs receiving. That is 1100 yards and 7 TDs of production.
1.02 and 2.07 is probably not going to get it done with most people, but adding on a 23’ 1st seems like too much to me. A 2023 2nd sounds about right.AJBrown, I am trying to trade for AJBrown, I own 1.02 and 2.07 but the owner said "not close, add 1st in 2013 and I may consider", I don't want to include 1st next year. Wondering what other people think about Brown value compared to picks.
Ideally, if you're the Brown GM, you're going to want a little more than that, but a 2023 1st in addition to that offer is indeed too much. But a 2023 2nd probably won't light a fire, either. So you're sort of in no-man's land here.1.02 and 2.07 is probably not going to get it done with most people, but adding on a 23’ 1st seems like too much to me. A 2023 2nd sounds about right.
Format, league size, etc all matter as well.
Yep. One of those situations where you’re probably just going to have to overpay to get your guy. Which, I don’t think the additional 23’ 1st is overly egregious. I just don’t think I could pull the trigger. But Brown is a beast for sure.Ideally, if you're the Brown GM, you're going to want a little more than that, but a 2023 1st in addition to that offer is indeed too much. But a 2023 2nd probably won't light a fire, either. So you're sort of in no-man's land here.
I sort of agree with all of this, except I moved Brown because I was bit down on him. Don't know why. I think it's that his opportunities never seem commensurate with his talent, and therefore, he's only had a top-ten finish once or something like that. I just don't see the price, really.Which, I don’t think the additional 23’ 1st is overly egregious. I just don’t think I could pull the trigger. But Brown is a beast for sure.
The trade block can be useful but much of the time players rot on the vine there. My experience is people use it in the off season and/or start of the season and then they stay there for months. That is my biggest issue with it. It ends up being meaningless.zaner75 said:I'm wondering if anyone finds the trade block (if your platform has one) a useful tool.
I have all my leagues on Sleeper and there is no option for inputting what you are looking for in return, so I typically don't use the trade block feature. Today, I must have inadvertently clicked on the trade block button for Zach Wilson while scrolling through the trade page in one of my leagues (12 team 0.5 PPR SF with 1 TEP). Within minutes, I receive a low ball offer of Sony Michel and 2.08 for Wilson.
In my experience, this is a fairly typical type of offer when I've put players on the trade block. Does putting a player on the trade block signal some sort of desperation to move off of said player? Or do I just happen to be in leagues with other managers who are always looking to only get something for nothing and don't understand that a trade should have a benefit to both sides? I suspect it's the latter. I also suspect that a majority of random leagues (where you have no pre-existing relationship with most of the other members) are like this.
zaner75 said:I'm wondering if anyone finds the trade block (if your platform has one) a useful tool.
I have all my leagues on Sleeper and there is no option for inputting what you are looking for in return, so I typically don't use the trade block feature. Today, I must have inadvertently clicked on the trade block button for Zach Wilson while scrolling through the trade page in one of my leagues (12 team 0.5 PPR SF with 1 TEP). Within minutes, I receive a low ball offer of Sony Michel and 2.08 for Wilson.
In my experience, this is a fairly typical type of offer when I've put players on the trade block. Does putting a player on the trade block signal some sort of desperation to move off of said player? Or do I just happen to be in leagues with other managers who are always looking to only get something for nothing and don't understand that a trade should have a benefit to both sides? I suspect it's the latter. I also suspect that a majority of random leagues (where you have no pre-existing relationship with most of the other members) are like this.
I’m personally not looking to acquire him in leagues where I’m contending. (Or any league for that matter). If I owned him, he’s a Sell or Hold Forever.Is Christian McCaffrey still commanding 2 first round picks? Do you think McCaffrey is worth more or less than 1.01 in this year's draft?
I have not seen any trades involving McCaffrey, so this is merely my opinion: IMO McCaffrey is worth an early to mid-round 2022 first if you are a contender. In Dynasty, I would rank Breece Hall ahead of McCaffrey. Beyond that, I suppose it would depend on my team. If I am not in win-now mode, I would rank Walker and the top 3-4 WRs ahead of McCaffrey, based on projected longevity. Christian McCaffrey will only be 26 this season. When he is on the field, he is still one of the premiere backs in the NFL. However, his injury history is cause for concern. IMO, he projects as a RB1 for the foreseeable future (next 3 seasons), so I would not be in a hurry to trade McCaffrey away, and I doubt you can fetch multiple first round picks in a typical dynasty league given his recent rash of injuries.Is Christian McCaffrey still commanding 2 first round picks? Do you think McCaffrey is worth more or less than 1.01 in this year's draft?
In the In-season dynasty topic he just recently commanded 3 (2022 1.12, 2023 late, 2024 late) plus a couple scraps.Is Christian McCaffrey still commanding 2 first round picks? Do you think McCaffrey is worth more or less than 1.01 in this year's draft?
I prefer to buy players with less mileage myself but depending where those picks it's in range of his value for sure and yes there are a good amount of people who would probably prefer him over the 1.1.Is Christian McCaffrey still commanding 2 first round picks? Do you think McCaffrey is worth more or less than 1.01 in this year's draft?
Drezden said:AJBrown, I am trying to trade for AJBrown, I own 1.02 and 2.07 but the owner said "not close, add 1st in 2013 and I may consider", I don't want to include 1st next year. Wondering what other people think about Brown value compared to picks.
PPR 16 teams, start 1QB
I'm a contender, but I am always looking to get younger. That mentality is a slippery slope, because I am not sure the right time to sell. As a Julio Jones owner, I know the wrong time to sell thoughIf I owned him, he’s a Sell or Hold Forever.
The injury issues are the only thing hampering him and I truly believe McCaffrey is one of those players that would benefit from a timeshare, which might mean less touches at the goal line but the guy is breaking down before my eyes. 3 years ago, McCaffrey was untradeable because of his production. The asking price would be so egregious you wouldn't even tell owners he was for sale, because there weren't enough picks/players you could add to the deal and now - I am contemplating getting out from underneath him with the chance of a healthy CMC ruining me for the next couple years.In Dynasty, I would rank Breece Hall ahead of McCaffrey. Beyond that, I suppose it would depend on my team. If I am not in win-now mode, I would rank Walker and the top 3-4 WRs ahead of McCaffrey, based on projected longevity. Christian McCaffrey will only be 26 this season. When he is on the field, he is still one of the premiere backs in the NFL.
zaner75 said:I'm wondering if anyone finds the trade block (if your platform has one) a useful tool.
Current scenario I have in one of my leagues is interesting in how to deal with the draft. I have a really solid championship level team but I am weak at QB. A GM dropped Brady at the end of last season.
Where would you look to pick up Brady in the rookie/FA draft? I have the 1.11 and am seriously considering taking him there. Am I crazy?
what other draft picks do you have? Is the 2.11 next or anything before that? If 2.11 and you’re truly that close to a Chip, then I’d do it, but I’m very Win Now but admittedly play FFPC format of only 16 Keepers. Not sure if your league is a deep keeper or not.Current scenario I have in one of my leagues is interesting in how to deal with the draft. I have a really solid championship level team but I am weak at QB. A GM dropped Brady at the end of last season.
Where would you look to pick up Brady in the rookie/FA draft? I have the 1.11 and am seriously considering taking him there. Am I crazy?
This is something you can only learn from playing. Usually you hear that rookie picks only increase in value until your league's draft day. But I'm now looking at concrete players and not liking my second-round picks that much anymore. Selling at the height of draft buzz might have been the best idea. Now we're starting to see all the disinformation coming out of the NFL camps to tamp down how high a player will go in the draft. It seems like there's a draft buzz --------- lull --------- post-draft buzz period. Maybe my picks will be more useful because of their fungible nature once the post-draft buzz period starts.Did you shop the 1.11 around at the height of draft buzz
As one of the other posters mentioned I would shop that 1.11 to see what other QB's you could get with that pick in trade. If you don't get any better options I would have no problem taking Brady with that pick since it is a spot of weakness for you.Current scenario I have in one of my leagues is interesting in how to deal with the draft. I have a really solid championship level team but I am weak at QB. A GM dropped Brady at the end of last season.
Where would you look to pick up Brady in the rookie/FA draft? I have the 1.11 and am seriously considering taking him there. Am I crazy?
Missed that suggestion previously. Good idea for sure, although this is one of those leagues that is very difficult to deal in - 1/3 don’t respond to offers, 1/3 just reject without comment and 1/3 like to deal and the back and forth that comes with trading. Options become limited when you only have 3-4 GMs to work trades with.As one of the other posters mentioned I would shop that 1.11 to see what other QB's you could get with that pick in trade. If you don't get any better options I would have no problem taking Brady with that pick since it is a spot of weakness for you.
With this in mind, and from what you've said about the "one qb from a chip" you probably have to draft Brady. There's no other qb out there with similar upside for this year.Missed that suggestion previously. Good idea for sure, although this is one of those leagues that is very difficult to deal in - 1/3 don’t respond to offers, 1/3 just reject without comment and 1/3 like to deal and the back and forth that comes with trading. Options become limited when you only have 3-4 GMs to work trades with.
Any projections need to include targets distributed to a fairly high end rookie as well. Seems almost impossible they won't take someone.Anyone have a different take?
I like the thought of having a #2 WR on a team has prolific as the Chiefs, but when I look at the Chiefs past WR's - nothing impresses me about anyone other than Kelce or Tyreek Hill (gone). I would rather take JuJu, but his stock has raised incredibly. If MVS hadn't been non-existent in GB, it might give me some hope but - he could never gain Rodgers' targets over Adams and I don't see any reason to think he will do differently in KC.Anyone have a different take?
Good point on a likely rookie, but is it a given that Juju will be ahead of MVS in the pecking order?Any projections need to include targets distributed to a fairly high end rookie as well. Seems almost impossible they won't take someone.
260 targets between Juju, MVS and said rookie. Probably looks more like 100 to Juju, and 80 a piece for MVS and whoever that guy is.
I just think, given the nature of the roles they play, Juju will get more targets. He's been in the league 1 year longer, missed a lot of time and still has nearly 3 times more receptions than MVS.Just Win Baby said:Good point on a likely rookie, but is it a given that Juju will be ahead of MVS in the pecking order?
Juju signed an unusual contract with a lot of incentives.
- $2.49M guaranteed
- Incentives with max values shown (lesser incentives at lower thresholds are available for many of these):
$400K in roster/workout bonus in 2022
- Play in all 17 games ($30K per game = $510K)
- Play 65% of the offensive snaps ($1.5M)
- Have 65+ receptions ($1.5M)
- Have 900+ receiving yards ($1.5M)
- Make the Pro Bowl ($1M)
- Play at least 50% of the offensive snaps for KC in both the AFFCG ($500K) and the Super Bowl ($500K)
That is a max value of $9.9M. He will probably earn some of those incentives, but not all. It seems likely that he will earn less in 2022 than MVS will.
I moved him for 1.01 and what looks like it will be a mid to early 2023 2nd about a month agoIs Christian McCaffrey still commanding 2 first round picks? Do you think McCaffrey is worth more or less than 1.01 in this year's draft?
I like the players in both, especially the 1st one.A couple recent trades
16 teams, superflex, start two TE, PPR (TE premium)
#1
Gave: 1.07, Brandon Aiyuk
Got: Dobbins, Davis Mills
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#2 (same league setup)
Gave: 1.10, 2.10, Aiyuk
Got: CEH, JuJu, Logan Thomas, D. Smythe, 2.16
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I'm clearly not as high on Aiyuk as consensus and want out. I like deal #1 slightly more than #2 although the latter has more upside. Thoughts?
I think the first one is even, while the second is a free Aiyuk.A couple recent trades
16 teams, superflex, start two TE, PPR (TE premium)
#1
Gave: 1.07, Brandon Aiyuk
Got: Dobbins, Davis Mills
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#2 (same league setup)
Gave: 1.10, 2.10, Aiyuk
Got: CEH, JuJu, Logan Thomas, D. Smythe, 3.16
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I'm clearly not as high on Aiyuk as consensus and want out. I like deal #1 slightly more than #2 although the latter has more upside. Thoughts?
You think 1.10, 2.10 (#26) are worth more than all those players? Interesting.I think the first one is even, while the second is a free Aiyuk.
I prefer Dillon in bestball leagues. He's better than the Mattison types but ain't going to win you weeks unless Jones is hurt. Mattison is the same a la Cook. I prefer Mattison > Dillon at each's price point.That is not true. Dillon had plenty of value last year with Aaron Jones playing. He had 800 yards and 5 TDs rushing and 34 receptions for 313 yards and 2 TDs receiving. That is 1100 yards and 7 TDs of production.
The common consensus is that the no1 from this year is as good as a mid-1st next year, so I feel like it would be equal on that measure, but I don't know if I would ever trade the 1.01 for a single pick next year no matter the disparity in talent between the drafts.I’m interested to see people's thoughts on this…
In one of my FFPC leagues, the guy with the 1.1 (and run away favorite to win it all again this year) put his 1.1 pick on the block. I have 3 2023 picks and I know most of this board believe the 2023 draft will be great, but I’m wonder what folks think of a likely mid-2023 1st vs the known quantity of the 1.1 this year.
Yeah. Fair enough. I just don’t know if this other owner (who loves to hoard draft picks) is really preferring 2023 picks. I might try to throw in a mid 3rd or something and see. Thanks for the reply.The common consensus is that the no1 from this year is as good as a mid-1st next year, so I feel like it would be equal on that measure, but I don't know if I would ever trade the 1.01 for a single pick next year no matter the disparity in talent between the drafts.