FBG Subscriber Playoff Contest (1 Viewer)

[Pantherz]

I had assumed when I lost one of my SB teams I was a dead entry, now I'm not so sure I couldn't compete with a NE/NYG final. Think there's any chance?

That will beat mine.I have Welker instead of Hernandez plus I have Ocho Stinko,But I have the dynamic duo of Bradshaw and Ballard to your Eli and Nicks.Really need Giants to make it next week and then to stink it up in Super Bowl.Can't believe I am pulling for the Pats didn't think that day would ever come.

Unfortunately, after looking at some of the line-ups QG posted we are both done. Can't compete with multiple 11-12 player rosters. Still a great contest though. As was the regular season contest.

 

[QuizGuy66]

sorry to be the bearer of bad news Pantherz - it's the one tough part about the format that even good line-ups can get blocked out.

Side note - football withdrawal is gonna be tough :(

-QG

 

[Kenny Powers]

Okay here's some of the highlighted entries. (Quick aside - most of the other Balt/SF entries sit a little better for making the cut than mine does)

Caveats -

1) I looked at everything by brute force, so there's a possibility I missed a viable entry here or there (though there's less chance of that with the Bal/SF scenario as I care about that one a little more )

2) It's certainly possible - more like probable - that some of these entries with great Super Bowl set-ups will miss the cut. Readers should bear that in mind.

3) In conjunction with 1) and 2) - I have looked at the "extra" (i.e. Non-Super Bowl) guys that the key Balt/SF entries have going this week. I didn't do that for any other scenario.

4) Particularly with the 2 NE scenarios after I found a couple huge-player entries I skipped a couple 10-player entries that I looked at afterwards.

Balt/SF

100585 - my entry - 7 SF 4 Baltimore - Tynes Ridley Branch this week

105323- - 0 SF but 6 Baltimore the only one with this - has Jacobs and Gronk this week

103282 - 5 SF 3 Baltimore - Eli Nicks BJGE Gronk this week

102604 - 4 SF 4 Baltimore - Jacobs Ballard Tynes BJGE Welker Gronk this week - this entry may have a shot with a Balt/Giants Super Bowl as well

101194 - 4 SF 4 Baltimore - Eli Nicks Ballard Giants D this week - this is another entry that may have a shot with a Balt/Giants SB

102115 - 4 SF 4 Baltimore - Nicks this week

102046 - 3 SF 5 Baltimore - Branch Eli Jacobs this week - another Balt/Giants possibility

105591 - 6 SF 2 Baltimore - Brady Welker Gronk this week

102116 - 5 SF 4 Baltimore - BJGE Eli Cruz Tynes this week

105162 - 4 SF 4 Baltimore - Brady Welker this week

103269 - 4 SF 4 Baltimore - BJGE Bradshaw Giants this week

102800 - 5 SF 3 Baltimore - Eli Cruz this week

102512 - Thank goodness this is a staff entry 7 SF 5 Baltimore - Eli and Nicks this week

That does it for Balt/SF - the rest of the highlights next post.

-QG

Man, this doesnt feel any better a day later. Ugh, even though I have always hated the "QG" at the end of your posts, Im rooting for you to win this thang for us SF/BAL guys.That said, after seeing this weekend's games, I feel like its going to be a NE/NYG rematch, so - for now - Im not too broken up by missing the cut by 20pts.

 

[rustycolts]

I had assumed when I lost one of my SB teams I was a dead entry, now I'm not so sure I couldn't compete with a NE/NYG final. Think there's any chance?

That will beat mine.I have Welker instead of Hernandez plus I have Ocho Stinko,But I have the dynamic duo of Bradshaw and Ballard to your Eli and Nicks.Really need Giants to make it next week and then to stink it up in Super Bowl.Can't believe I am pulling for the Pats didn't think that day would ever come.

Unfortunately, after looking at some of the line-ups QG posted we are both done. Can't compete with multiple 11-12 player rosters. Still a great contest though. As was the regular season contest.

Yep saw that tof course I could hope Eli throws 7 or 8 ints and the only passes he completes are to Ballard but for no TDs,and while I'm wishing for miracles might as well include winning Powerball too.

 

[QuizGuy66]

Man, this doesnt feel any better a day later. Ugh, even though I have always hated the "QG" at the end of your posts, Im rooting for you to win this thang for us SF/BAL guys.That said, after seeing this weekend's games, I feel like its going to be a NE/NYG rematch, so - for now - Im not too broken up by missing the cut by 20pts.

LOL Thanks I appreciate it I put my odds at about 15% or so. I'm thinking more NE/SF - which would have a team with a ridiculous 15 players probably winning it.-

 

[jonnyincali]

I still have this left, need a NE/NYG, with a big NYG Super Bowl.

Entry 102026

This entry is still alive.

18 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tom Brady $36 0.00 53.95

Wes Welker $23 0.00 17.50

Rob Gronkowski $22 0.00 47.50

Frank Gore $8 0.00 16.20

David Akers $9 0.00 15.00

San Francisco 49ers $6 0.00 13.00

Darren Sproles $28 22.50 25.70

New Orleans Saints $11 4.00 6.00

Eli Manning $27 33.15 34.50

Ahmad Bradshaw $14 11.00 9.90

Brandon Jacobs $6 11.00 8.20

Victor Cruz $20 4.80 12.40

Hakeem Nicks $18 29.50 35.50

Jake Ballard $6 4.60 3.20

Lawrence Tynes $8 6.00 15.00

New York Giants $8 2.00 12.00

 

[Kuz]

Thought I was looking good with 9 left from NE/Giants but looks like I may not have enough fire power even if those 2 teams advance.

Would still make for an interesting Super Bowl for me though.

 

[brownies19]

The following is a grab-bag of other scenario entries. Apologies for less breakdown by there's only so much I can do

They are in no particular order

NE/SF

101368 - 10 ne/sf

105861 - 13 ne/sf

103129 - 11 ne/sf

100697 - 11 ne/sf

102775 - 11 ne/sf - has 3 Giants

101116 - 10 ne/sf

103758 - 13 ne/sf

105583 - 13 ne/sf

100781 - 11 ne/sf

102785 - 12 ne/sf

101451 - 10 ne/sf ALSO 10 ne/giants

101443 - 15 ne/sf unreal

103349 - 14 ne/sf

102273 - 10 ne/sf

105478 - 11 ne/sf

100124 - 11 ne/sf

100413 - 12 ne/sf

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As these are the two favorites, and I am personally invested in one of them, I decided to look deeper at these entries, assigning approximate projections to provide some type of comparison, and came up with the following teams as favorites:

1 (tie) - 101443 (15)

1 (tie) - 103349 (14)

3 - 102785 (12) (3 points back)

4 - 105583 (13) (9 points back)

5 - 103758 (13) (11 points back)

6 - 103129 (11) (18 points back)

What's interesting is the two favorites have done it quite differently, with the following unique players (when compared versus one another):

101443: Aaron Hernandez, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Deion Branch, Kyle Williams, Delanie Walker, Anthony Dixon

103349: Wes Welker, David Akers, Stephen Gostkowski, San Francisco Defense, New England Defense

A few other quick notes:

* All teams on this list had Rob Gronkowski. Don't get excited about anything he does.

* All but one team had Tom Brady (100413) - sorry buddy, going to make it tough if he's healthy...

* All but one had Frank Gore (100697) and Vernon Davis (102775). Didn't count these teams out though, as both were in Top 9 on basic projections.

* There were two teams without Alex Smith (101368 and 101451). Tough sledding there again if he's healthy...

* One of the entries posted here (100124) wasn't actually a NE/SF entry. It was a NE/NYG entry...

* Only two entries (102785 and 103758) had what I would call the "Big 8" likely to put up the most points: Brady, Welker, Gronkowski, A.Hernandez,

A.Smith, Gore, Crabtree and V.Davis.

* Deion Branch is only owned by two (101443 and 105583) of what I classified as the top 10 entries

* Amongst the top 5 entries, each of the following guys are owned by exactly 3 of those top entries: A.Hernandez, Welker, Green-Ellis, Akers, SF

Defense and Ginn (this is where the differentiation will likely come from!) Stephen Ridley and Kendall Hunter are on 4 of those teams...* The top 8 entries all have Brady, Gronkowski, A.Smith, F.Gore, Crabtree and V.Davis. These aren't the guys likely to win or lose the contest...

Good luck to all should these teams get through. With the way my team (103758) is set up, I'll be rooting especially for Wes Welker and Aaron Hernandez, and any "extra" performances from Ridley, Ginn, Hunter, Faulk and D.Walker. Rooting for a clean game and touchdowns (as I don't have any kickers or defenses), and want to see Green-Ellis and Branch stay low, with no "extra" performances from Kyle Williams or Anythony Dixon...

 

[QuizGuy66]

I wouldn't call Gronk completely irrelevant - if he's the high scorer, he basically knocks the number of "relevant" Patriots for those entries down to 1. Depending on what those team have on the other roster (Balt/Giants) that could make a difference.

-QG

 

[brownies19]

I wouldn't call Gronk completely irrelevant - if he's the high scorer, he basically knocks the number of "relevant" Patriots for those entries down to 1. Depending on what those team have on the other roster (Balt/Giants) that could make a difference.-QG

Gronk is certainly relevant this week. The analysis was based upon 1 of the 4 possible Super Bowl scenarios. In the Super Bowl scoring, he does become irrelevant amongst the top entries, as all (posted) have him.

 

[QuizGuy66]

I wouldn't call Gronk completely irrelevant - if he's the high scorer, he basically knocks the number of "relevant" Patriots for those entries down to 1. Depending on what those team have on the other roster (Balt/Giants) that could make a difference.-QG

Gronk is certainly relevant this week. The analysis was based upon 1 of the 4 possible Super Bowl scenarios. In the Super Bowl scoring, he does become irrelevant amongst the top entries, as all (posted) have him.

Ah - in the Super Bowl. Missed that bit. Hopefully that's irrelevant Go Ravens! Go 49ers! Go Branch! Go Tynes!-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

was a fun ride. Screw you Billy Cundiff :(

Good luck to those who still have a shot.

-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

Unofficial Quiz-o-matic stats for the first game:

Flacco 29.0

Rice 8.3

R Williams 2.2

Boldin 16.1

T Smith 17.2

Pitta 17.6

Evans 6.9

Dickson 5.3

Leach 1.9

Cundiff 9.0

Balt D 7.0

Brady 16.15

BJGE 12.8

Woodhead 3.0

Hernandez 18.0

Edelman 1.7

Gronkowski 16.2

Welker 11.3

Branch 3.8

Gostkowski 12.0

NE D 5.0

Will be interesting to see how many dead-money entries make it since Baltimore-heavy lineups likely outscored Patriot-heavy lineups (though there are more of the latter).

FWIW 80.8 is the maximum possible score after the early game. My now-dead entry has 48.9 + (2 of many 49ers) + Tynes to give an idea of the type of teams those alive might have to contend with for the cut line.

Good luck!

-QG

 

[smarchit]

The Cundiff Choke (and lest we forget, Lee Evans not being able to hold onto a TD) have softened the blow of getting knocked out last week. I no longer have to torture myself with the what if game. I'm still fully in the 49ers corner for both today and hopefully next week though. As a curler myself, I have to support the Unofficial NFL Team of the Curling World. http://fb.me/1vMQI6C0F . It doesn't hurt that they'd be matched up against the despicable patriots either.

 

[QuizGuy66]

The Cundiff Choke (and lest we forget, Lee Evans not being able to hold onto a TD) have softened the blow of getting knocked out last week. I no longer have to torture myself with the what if game. I'm still fully in the 49ers corner for both today and hopefully next week though. As a curler myself, I have to support the Unofficial NFL Team of the Curling World. http://fb.me/1vMQI6C0F . It doesn't hurt that they'd be matched up against the despicable patriots either.

We have a curling sheet here in NJ, but unfortunately the season Oct-March is has too poor timing with the busy season of my work :( -QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

Anyway, here's the unofficial Quiz-o-matic stats for the 49ers-Giants. Ridiculous that Alex Smith only completed one pass to a WR and only for 3 yards.

Manning 27.6

Bradshaw 15.6

Jacobs 3.1

Cruz 24.2

Nicks 10.5

Hynoski 3.5

Manningham 8.7

Beckum 7.6

Pascoe 8.1

Tynes 10.0

Giants D 7.0

A Smith 26.0

Gore 14.9

Hunter 3.1

Dixon 0.3

V Davis 27.7

Crabtree 1.3

Akers 5.0

SF D 6.0

My carcass of an entry will move forward with 112.6 and a trail of and with the 2 near misses that cost me the for sure.

For the record, the highest possible score this week would be 186.3 with a cost of $144 (Flacco/Pitta/Hernandez/Gronk/Manning/Cruz/Smith/V Davis)

-QG

 

[radiohead417]

Unofficially I have 89.7 with a ton of giants and patriots left. Glad I spent that cash on Dennis pitta.... Though not feeling great.

 

[QuizGuy66]

Unofficially I have 89.7 with a ton of giants and patriots left. Glad I spent that cash on Dennis pitta.... Though not feeling great.

I think you got a reasonable shot of getting through with that number. I needed 6 guys to get my score. There will be a certain chunk of dead-money entries. I can't think there will that many with Flacco or Pitta (actually Ravens by and large weren't on very many rosters). I do think Smith and Davis will spoil some parties but it wouldn't shock me if the cut isn't like 84 or so.What's your entry number?Good luck.-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

The following is a grab-bag of other scenario entries. Apologies for less breakdown by there's only so much I can do

They are in no particular order

NE/Giants:

101451 - 10 ne/sf ALSO 10 ne/giants as noted above

100704 - 10 ne/giants

105885 - 12 ne/giants <-- fixed

101175 - 12 ne/giants

101103 - 12 ne/giants

100864 - 11 ne/giants

100124 - 11 ne/giants

105762 - 12 ne/giants

102376 - 11 ne/giants (credit to angular_one on this one

So there you go

-QG

Here's the best NE/Giants entries I found. May not be 100% complete but these are entries to watch (assuming they make it by the cut)-QG

 

[rzrback77]

Unofficial Remaining Staff Scores (using the QG Points provided)

Stephen Holloway 136.9 but only has Eli Manning and Hakeem Nicks in the Super Bowl

FBG Henry 79.8 with only Welker and Cruz remaining

Greg Russell 61.15 with Brady and NYG DST remaining

Team 100826 59.95 with Brady, BJGE, Welker, Gronkowski, and Eli - SOLID to win if advancing

 

[QuizGuy66]

The following is a grab-bag of other scenario entries. Apologies for less breakdown by there's only so much I can do

They are in no particular order

NE/Giants:

128.65 101451 - 10 ne/sf ALSO 10 ne/giants as noted above

114.75 100704 - 10 ne/giants

90.45 105885 - 12 ne/giants <-- fixed

108.25 101175 - 12 ne/giants

74.00 101103 - 12 ne/giants

64.35 100864 - 11 ne/giants

84.15 100124 - 11 ne/giants

92.90 105762 - 12 ne/giants

102.10 102376 - 11 ne/giants (credit to angular_one on this one

Here's the best NE/Giants entries I found. May not be 100% complete but these are entries to watch (assuming they make it by the cut)

Added in the scores these teams got this week. 101451 is a pretty strong entry. So is 101175.-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

Unofficial Remaining Staff Scores (using the QG Points provided)Stephen Holloway 136.9 but only has Eli Manning and Hakeem Nicks in the Super BowlFBG Henry 79.8 with only Welker and Cruz remainingGreg Russell 61.15 with Brady and NYG DST remainingTeam 100826 59.95 with Brady, BJGE, Welker, Gronkowski, and Eli - SOLID to win if advancing

I think you've got a very good chance to take the crown there sir.-QG

 

[I was in the pool]

I was correct in my super bowl picks...loaded up on NE and NYG players, but was eliminated by 3 points last week. I hope I don't have the most SB points in two Weeks or I am going to feel physically ill.

 

[radiohead417]

Unofficially I have 89.7 with a ton of giants and patriots left. Glad I spent that cash on Dennis pitta.... Though not feeling great.

I think you got a reasonable shot of getting through with that number. I needed 6 guys to get my score. There will be a certain chunk of dead-money entries. I can't think there will that many with Flacco or Pitta (actually Ravens by and large weren't on very many rosters). I do think Smith and Davis will spoil some parties but it wouldn't shock me if the cut isn't like 84 or so.What's your entry number?Good luck.-QG

104970. Looks like I'm drawing dead to some of the other entries, but I feel like I can potentially cash. A fun ride though. Thought I had more giants than I actually do, but 4/4 isn't bad at this point.

 

[BassNBrew]

The cut is 66.5

 

[QuizGuy66]

NE/Giants:

128.65 101451 - 10 ne/sf ALSO 10 ne/giants as noted above

114.75 100704 - 10 ne/giants

90.45 105885 - 12 ne/giants <-- fixed

108.25 101175 - 12 ne/giants

74.00 101103 - 12 ne/giants

64.35 100864 - 11 ne/giants

84.15 100124 - 11 ne/giants

92.90 105762 - 12 ne/giants

102.10 102376 - 11 ne/giants (credit to angular_one on this one

Let me know if any other big guns are out there that I missed.

-QG

 

[kylechoffman]

Made it through to the finals with a 69 score. No way im in the hunt unless Manningham goes off.

Brady, Gronk

Eli, Jacobs, Manningham, Tynes

Is there any way to run ownership statistics on players?

 

[BassNBrew]

For future reference, are we pretty comfortable in saying that if you have the two super bowl teams correct and the qbs from each team on your roster that you'll make the cut in round 3 regardless of the players you have on the two losing teams?

 

[chitlins3]

NE/Giants:

128.65 101451 - 10 ne/sf ALSO 10 ne/giants as noted above

114.75 100704 - 10 ne/giants

90.45 105885 - 12 ne/giants <-- fixed

108.25 101175 - 12 ne/giants

74.00 101103 - 12 ne/giants

64.35 100864 - 11 ne/giants

84.15 100124 - 11 ne/giants

92.90 105762 - 12 ne/giants

102.10 102376 - 11 ne/giants (credit to angular_one on this one

Let me know if any other big guns are out there that I missed.

-QG

Here is my entry: 102890 10 ne/giants. Not completely covered by any of the entries above, but will need big games from Hernandez, Jacobs and Ballard to have a shot to finish in front of these.-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tom Brady $36 0.00 53.95 16.15

Stevan Ridley $7 0.00 3.00 0.00

Rob Gronkowski $22 0.00 47.50 16.20

Aaron Hernandez $20 0.00 23.60 18.00

Dennis Pitta $8 0.00 5.90 17.60

Matt Prater $5 12.00 6.00 0.00

Denver Broncos $5 7.00 4.00 0.00

Jerome Simpson $9 6.30 0.00 0.00

Frank Gore $8 0.00 16.20 14.90

Michael Crabtree $9 0.00 12.50 1.30

Eli Manning $27 33.15 34.50 27.60

Ahmad Bradshaw $14 11.00 9.90 15.60

Brandon Jacobs $6 11.00 8.20 3.10

Victor Cruz $20 4.80 12.40 24.20

Hakeem Nicks $18 29.50 35.50 10.50

Jake Ballard $6 4.60 3.20 0.00

Matthew Stafford $20 41.10 0.00 0.00

Kevin Smith $10 5.10 0.00 0.00

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOTAL 134.15 216.05 119.80

CUTOFF 88.60 180.75 66.50

 

[QuizGuy66]

For future reference, are we pretty comfortable in saying that if you have the two super bowl teams correct and the qbs from each team on your roster that you'll make the cut in round 3 regardless of the players you have on the two losing teams?

Perhaps, but that's an expensive proposition usually. Alex Smith was a bit of an anomaly I think given that he was only $13. That alignment still makes it tough to get through the early rounds as well. (Side note - suddenly you have to pick the final 4, not the just final 2, for your scenario to play out).-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

Killing me that I finished well inside the line with the rosters I had. I had it. Oh well, at least I know I'm on the right track for future contests.

-QG

 

[BassNBrew]

For future reference, are we pretty comfortable in saying that if you have the two super bowl teams correct and the qbs from each team on your roster that you'll make the cut in round 3 regardless of the players you have on the two losing teams?

Perhaps, but that's an expensive proposition usually. Alex Smith was a bit of an anomaly I think given that he was only $13. That alignment still makes it tough to get through the early rounds as well. (Side note - suddenly you have to pick the final 4, not the just final 2, for your scenario to play out).-QG

I didn't pharse that well or you misunderstood.Did anyone with Eli/Brady who had at least 3 players on both the giants and pats miss the final cut?

 

[Fiddles]

somehow made it to the superbowl while blowing so much money on rogers

only have eli/cruz/tynes/giants dst left though

no chance

 

[QuizGuy66]

For future reference, are we pretty comfortable in saying that if you have the two super bowl teams correct and the qbs from each team on your roster that you'll make the cut in round 3 regardless of the players you have on the two losing teams?

Perhaps, but that's an expensive proposition usually. Alex Smith was a bit of an anomaly I think given that he was only $13. That alignment still makes it tough to get through the early rounds as well. (Side note - suddenly you have to pick the final 4, not the just final 2, for your scenario to play out).-QG

I didn't pharse that well or you misunderstood.Did anyone with Eli/Brady who had at least 3 players on both the giants and pats miss the final cut?

Likely not. Let's see that's what 43 points. They need two guys worth about 24 points to get there and you have to figure that they'd have that if they loaded up on Pats and Giants.That said, the one other factor is that you had 1 very unpopular team in this contest (Baltimore) and one less popular team in this contest (49ers) as the opponents. If New Orleans and Pittsburgh had gotten there instead (and lost in the conference final) I'm sure the cut-line would've been much higher.-QG

 

[fanofthegame]

somehow made it to the superbowl while blowing so much money on rogersonly have eli/cruz/tynes/giants dst left thoughno chance

I have Brady, Welker, Gronk, Hernandez, Eli, Nicks and Cruz. I'm guessing I have a shot at top ten but no chance to take the trophy :(

 

[BassNBrew]

somehow made it to the superbowl while blowing so much money on rogersonly have eli/cruz/tynes/giants dst left thoughno chance

I have Brady, Welker, Gronk, Hernandez, Eli, Nicks and Cruz. I'm guessing I have a shot at top ten but no chance to take the trophy :(

Unfortunately this guy has you covered.http://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2011/105762.php

 

[kylechoffman]

somehow made it to the superbowl while blowing so much money on rogersonly have eli/cruz/tynes/giants dst left thoughno chance

I have Brady, Welker, Gronk, Hernandez, Eli, Nicks and Cruz. I'm guessing I have a shot at top ten but no chance to take the trophy :(

Unfortunately this guy has you covered.http://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2011/105762.php

How did you figure that out? I would love to know if anyone has everyone from my small squad plus more (brady, gronk, eli, jacobs, manningham, tynes) and had asked about ownership stats. The link below didnt work for mehttp://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2011/percentown.htm

 

[QuizGuy66]

somehow made it to the superbowl while blowing so much money on rogersonly have eli/cruz/tynes/giants dst left thoughno chance

I have Brady, Welker, Gronk, Hernandez, Eli, Nicks and Cruz. I'm guessing I have a shot at top ten but no chance to take the trophy :(

Unfortunately this guy has you covered.http://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2011/105762.php

How did you figure that out? I would love to know if anyone has everyone from my small squad plus more (brady, gronk, eli, jacobs, manningham, tynes) and had asked about ownership stats. The link below didnt work for mehttp://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2011/percentown.htm

A certain masochist who shall remain nameless looked up every one of the 2000 entries to check out if his Balt/SF was the favorite to win. -QG

 

[Pnishthm]

Wow I thought for sure I was out and wasn't even going to check, but somehow I made it! 68 points all from Gronk, Manning and Cruz! Have Gronk, Manning, Cruz, Nicks, Jacobs and Tynes to go. Sure I have no shot but it will be fun watching.

 

[Pnishthm]

Wow I thought for sure I was out and wasn't even going to check, but somehow I made it! 68 points all from Gronk, Manning and Cruz! Have Gronk, Manning, Cruz, Nicks, Jacobs and Tynes to go. Sure I have no shot but it will be fun watching.

I never saw this until now... In the first three rounds, ONLY YOUR TWO HIGHEST-SCORING PLAYERS FROM EACH NFL TEAM WILL COUNT TOWARD YOUR SCORE. In the Super Bowl, ALL your players count toward your score.Maybe i should read the rules better next time

 

[QuizGuy66]

I still have this left, need a NE/NYG, with a big NYG Super Bowl.

Entry 102026

This entry is still alive.

18 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tom Brady $36 0.00 53.95

Wes Welker $23 0.00 17.50

Rob Gronkowski $22 0.00 47.50

Frank Gore $8 0.00 16.20

David Akers $9 0.00 15.00

San Francisco 49ers $6 0.00 13.00

Darren Sproles $28 22.50 25.70

New Orleans Saints $11 4.00 6.00

Eli Manning $27 33.15 34.50

Ahmad Bradshaw $14 11.00 9.90

Brandon Jacobs $6 11.00 8.20

Victor Cruz $20 4.80 12.40

Hakeem Nicks $18 29.50 35.50

Jake Ballard $6 4.60 3.20

Lawrence Tynes $8 6.00 15.00

New York Giants $8 2.00 12.00

Hey jonny, on the face of it, it looks like you have a shot, but I'll be honest in that I didn't game out all the NE/Giants scenarios. I don't recall seeing a lot of 3 Patriots/8 Giants alignments - and you seem to have all of the biggest key players but I'm not 100% sure if someone else has you covered. (Again my focus was on Balt/SF so your entry amongst others I'm sure escaped my view). Good luck though -QG

 

[BassNBrew]

Wow I thought for sure I was out and wasn't even going to check, but somehow I made it! 68 points all from Gronk, Manning and Cruz! Have Gronk, Manning, Cruz, Nicks, Jacobs and Tynes to go. Sure I have no shot but it will be fun watching.

I never saw this until now... In the first three rounds, ONLY YOUR TWO HIGHEST-SCORING PLAYERS FROM EACH NFL TEAM WILL COUNT TOWARD YOUR SCORE. In the Super Bowl, ALL your players count toward your score.Maybe i should read the rules better next time

Naw...don't bother. We have a pretty nice thing going here. Pick the two Super Bowl winners and you're almost guaranteed a cash out.

 

[Fiddles]

Bass how does your theory cover you if one or both of your teams have 1st rd byes

 

[rzrback77]

Bass how does your theory cover you if one or both of your teams have 1st rd byes

It is much tougher if your two SB teams are neither on bye teams. I advanced to the finals (without a hope) based on a healthy roster of Ravens and Niners. I selected those two teams because of my assessment of their chances at making the Super Bowl AND the value that there players presented. I selected two players each from three bye teams that I expected to produce well WHEN they played to carry me on the bye week and hopefully weeks two and three. At first glance, you would say I did not choose well as those players were Stafford and Calvin, Dalton and AJ Green, and Eli and Nicks. Actually the two Bengals wound up being excess with how crazy Stafford and Calvin played, but without both Eli and Nicks scoring big AND two each of my Niners (SMith and Davis) and Ravens getting huge scores, I might not have survived that second weekend. Last weekend was a breeze as I had six scorers, but lost any chance with SF and Baltimore losing.I think that you have to take huge risks in the early rounds, choose valuable players, AND get lucky when your teams win to have a chance to win at the end. It is not even easy to survive choosing the spread them out theory with two or at three most on an abundance of teams, but you must focus on two teams in the Super Bowl to have any chance at winning it all.The theory of loading up on QBs is only good if their cost allows it and you pick the right ones. Rodgers and Brees were the most obvious scoring threats this year, but neither were good choices.

 

[BassNBrew]

Bass how does your theory cover you if one or both of your teams have 1st rd byes

I'm not sure. I'm trying to work on a winning theory backwards to forwards.We know for a fact that in order to win you probably need 8+ players in the Super Bowl If you don't do that you're wasting your entry. I suspect 90%+ of the entires are wasted entries.step 1 - Pick both super bowl teamsstep 2 - Have 8+ scorers from those teams including both QBs. In theory in the QBs are priced high like Brees, you could skip the QB and attempt to cover his score at TE/WR/RB if there was a pricing discount there.Manning and Brady accounted for 43 points this week. The cut was 66. It would have taken very bad luck or poor selections not to get 23 points out of two scoring positions throwing 6+ darts.step 3 - Not sure if this is totally true but feel pretty good about saying...don't worry about have players on team 3 and 4 in round 3.Now I would step back to round 1. The number of entires seems to be fairly predictable and the past cuts relatively consistant. I'd have to check, but I think 90-100 was good enough to advance.step 4 - Using Dodds projections for week 1, selected enough players to get you to 90 prejected points. It's probably better to spread out these players and max at two per team. If you do have a super bowl team playing in round one, it's probably better to avoid players going up aganst that team.step 5 - ??? Not sure how to address round 2 yet.

 

[mikel2014]

Bass how does your theory cover you if one or both of your teams have 1st rd byes

I'm not sure. I'm trying to work on a winning theory backwards to forwards.We know for a fact that in order to win you probably need 8+ players in the Super Bowl If you don't do that you're wasting your entry. I suspect 90%+ of the entires are wasted entries.step 1 - Pick both super bowl teamsstep 2 - Have 8+ scorers from those teams including both QBs. In theory in the QBs are priced high like Brees, you could skip the QB and attempt to cover his score at TE/WR/RB if there was a pricing discount there.Manning and Brady accounted for 43 points this week. The cut was 66. It would have taken very bad luck or poor selections not to get 23 points out of two scoring positions throwing 6+ darts.step 3 - Not sure if this is totally true but feel pretty good about saying...don't worry about have players on team 3 and 4 in round 3.Now I would step back to round 1. The number of entires seems to be fairly predictable and the past cuts relatively consistant. I'd have to check, but I think 90-100 was good enough to advance.step 4 - Using Dodds projections for week 1, selected enough players to get you to 90 prejected points. It's probably better to spread out these players and max at two per team. If you do have a super bowl team playing in round one, it's probably better to avoid players going up aganst that team.step 5 - ??? Not sure how to address round 2 yet.

I think assuming most years will be like this in round 3 is a mistake. This year saw the Packers and Saints gone before the championship round. Most likely those were the two most popular teams to load up on. If either or both of those teams played in the NFC championship the cut line would have been much higher. You'd need the favorites to both lose prior to the 3rd round in order for your theory in step 3 to hold.

 

[BassNBrew]

Bass how does your theory cover you if one or both of your teams have 1st rd byes

I'm not sure. I'm trying to work on a winning theory backwards to forwards.We know for a fact that in order to win you probably need 8+ players in the Super Bowl If you don't do that you're wasting your entry. I suspect 90%+ of the entires are wasted entries.step 1 - Pick both super bowl teamsstep 2 - Have 8+ scorers from those teams including both QBs. In theory in the QBs are priced high like Brees, you could skip the QB and attempt to cover his score at TE/WR/RB if there was a pricing discount there.Manning and Brady accounted for 43 points this week. The cut was 66. It would have taken very bad luck or poor selections not to get 23 points out of two scoring positions throwing 6+ darts.step 3 - Not sure if this is totally true but feel pretty good about saying...don't worry about have players on team 3 and 4 in round 3.Now I would step back to round 1. The number of entires seems to be fairly predictable and the past cuts relatively consistant. I'd have to check, but I think 90-100 was good enough to advance.step 4 - Using Dodds projections for week 1, selected enough players to get you to 90 prejected points. It's probably better to spread out these players and max at two per team. If you do have a super bowl team playing in round one, it's probably better to avoid players going up aganst that team.step 5 - ??? Not sure how to address round 2 yet.

I think assuming most years will be like this in round 3 is a mistake. This year saw the Packers and Saints gone before the championship round. Most likely those were the two most popular teams to load up on. If either or both of those teams played in the NFC championship the cut line would have been much higher. You'd need the favorites to both lose prior to the 3rd round in order for your theory in step 3 to hold.

Actually this season was the outlier.2009 the wk 3 cut was 77.45. Brees and Manning posted 64.7.2010 the wk 3 cut was 52.4. Big Ben and Rodgers posted 32.65. Either Mendenhal or Jennings would have made up the difference on their own.This year acutally held pretty close to form. In the AFC you only had one upset and seeds 1 and 2 were in the championship game. In the NFC 2 played 4. Only one of the final four wasn't seeded that way.

 

[Qmaster]

bump well, who won?

 

[ConstruxBoy]

Man, had the SB Winner too! A 9-7 team. Just should have chosen the Pats over the Steelers. Damn. Congrats to whomever one.

 

[mikel2014]

My entry got 13th Awesome contest though!