Overall Impressions, and Where do We Go from Here?
First off, I would certainly qualify this as a bad game, and outside of his pre-snap reads and drop-back mechanics, he has many, many things to work on.
Right now, Orton's strengths appear to be his conceptual grasp of the offense, but not his instinctual grasp of it (as is to be expected). He tends to know where and why, but in the heat of battle he loses track of the little things, like stepping into his throws, or moving up in the pocket for an extra second.
He also looks very good standing tall in the pocket. If he was rattled or shellshocked, or just plain scared, it didn't show. His mistakes were rooted in fundamental errors, common for someone thinking too hard and not doing the small things instinctually. There were even times when I would have liked to see him scramble a bit, just to see what he could generate in that area, but he appeared to be either under orders, or very cognizant of sticking with his pocket and making the most of it. This is probably the best strategy, since it is unlikely he will be let down very often by this pocket. Throwing on the move doesn't seem to be a problem, but with such a small sample size, we'll hold out on judgment there.
In general his release looks good, it is quick, without unnecessary action, and he delivers a nice, catchable ball. When he isn't betrayed by footwork and positioning in the pocket, he makes all of his throws.
Where we really need to see improvement is in moving around in the pocket. He isn't moving instinctually AT ALL in there, and his play-action 'fakes' are real groaners. There were only two run, back to back (technically, there was plenty of time in between them), and neither seemed to be sold all that well. In fact, the first one brought up one defensive player IN A GOAL LINE situation. They guessed we were going to pass, and the play action didn't throw them off at all.
It would also be nice to see him setting up more consistently. Early on, even on good overall throws, his forward foot wasn't ideally placed, and it took something off of his throws. A player who has spent enough time backing up in the pocket will develop those kinds of tendencies, and it remains to be seen how quickly he un-learns that, because it is affecting his velocity and accuracy on a regular basis.
On the topic of accuracy, I like what I see (when I see it), especially his ability to put just the right amount of touch on his throws; but this was a relatively small sampling for that.
This game really featured heavily for routes run on and to the right side. Out of 17 throws, only 4 ever wandered to the left (Dre' Bly covers the right side...maybe he is some kind of strange magnet?), and only five ever went more than 5 yards through the air. There was only a single deep throw, so that isn't a sampling one can hang their hat on, for good or bad, but given that everything went wrong mechanically on that throw, I feel safe saying the jury is still out on this Bronco's deep ball. Despite throwing to the right so often, he found five different receivers there, and the only disappointment I really had in the receiver department was that he never was able to establish a connection with Stokley. Factor in the lack of strong impressions left by Stokley in camp, and you have to wonder how much more time they will need in order to get on the same page, and just what the problem is here....
I hope this establishes a good baseline to work from, in order to gauge and measure Orton's progress as we work through not only the preseason, but into the regular season as well. For an offense that requires a Master's in footballosophy to run well, Orton's first test seems to show that he at least deserves to keep coming to class. I've seen enough 'borderline' talents to know that Orton is certainly not in that group. All the tools are there, and with experience and consistency, I look forward to watching this QB's growth.