butcher boy
Footballguy
I'm not going to get very far through the bye weeks unless some starting RBs get hurt. I'm not the one to root for an injury though. Still surprised Best hasn't been hurt yet. And now Tate seems to be fading as well.
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
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***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter Ignoratio Elenchi
- Start date
Robbie Cooper
Footballguy
Welcome back to the lineup, Chris Wells. With THT fading, you're contributions will be much relied upon (with McFadden and Felix Jones as my 1-2).
With 203.6 this week (and done), I'm averaging 196 pts/week. Getting nice contributions from my large and cheap WR stable (D. Moore, A. Brown, and Jordy Nelson are great values).
Only Brady and Graham have counted all 4 weeks for me now.
Not contributing at all are: Stafford (see: Brady), Mario Manningham (biggest regret thus far), Andre Roberts, Jordan Shipley, Lance Kendricks, Jay Feely, and Cardinals.
With 203.6 this week (and done), I'm averaging 196 pts/week. Getting nice contributions from my large and cheap WR stable (D. Moore, A. Brown, and Jordy Nelson are great values).
Only Brady and Graham have counted all 4 weeks for me now.
Not contributing at all are: Stafford (see: Brady), Mario Manningham (biggest regret thus far), Andre Roberts, Jordan Shipley, Lance Kendricks, Jay Feely, and Cardinals.
pocketducks
Footballguy
The 7,250 team last week was 151.80. Hopefully the cut will not be that high. Bring on the bye week games 
Organized Chaos
Footballguy
Anyone that may be looking at your team via the ffltools site will notice it's off for the next hour or so. I've identified some scoring errors and I am re-running the previous weeks to adjust for the stat correction. I've also adjusted for the three teams that have McCluster as a RB so the scores are accurate.(these teams are listed here http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=601473&st=999)
At this point I think that I have all the scoring errors figured out and it should be smooth sailing from here.
At this point I think that I have all the scoring errors figured out and it should be smooth sailing from here.
firstseason1988
Footballguy
I doubt I make it by next week. Some last minute changes killed me.
Phil Elliott
Footballguy
Not feeling the love this week. 125 with TB Def (-5) and Mike Williams (-9.8). First three weeks were 177, 187, 163. Probably an early exit observer this year.
Organized Chaos
Footballguy
ffltools live scoring for this has been updated. A couple new features.
- Stats are working better now, I seem to be inline with what FBG is scoring. Before, I was seeing stat differences and I've adjusted that.
- Changed it to update every 5 minutes, based on previous weeks, the server should be able to handle that no problem.
- Updated the owned percentage to reflect only live teams
- Added some text to show the current cutoff and when that script was run. This is on the "team" page and runs at 8 and midnight on Sunday's and 2 on Monday.
Updated the cutline also, it looks like the current cutoff is 140.9 with the game tonight to go still. This is accurate and does not include any staff members.
That being said, my 128 wont cut it this week... Couldn't get over some key injuries this week. Good luck everyone.
Finally, if you like the software and are using it weekly, please consider donating. I'm a one man shop and it takes a lot of hours to build something like this to be easily used by others, since I am not going to be winning it this year, figured I'd throw it out there
. Thanks to those that have donated and I'm glad you all like the site.
- Stats are working better now, I seem to be inline with what FBG is scoring. Before, I was seeing stat differences and I've adjusted that.
- Changed it to update every 5 minutes, based on previous weeks, the server should be able to handle that no problem.
- Updated the owned percentage to reflect only live teams
- Added some text to show the current cutoff and when that script was run. This is on the "team" page and runs at 8 and midnight on Sunday's and 2 on Monday.
Updated the cutline also, it looks like the current cutoff is 140.9 with the game tonight to go still. This is accurate and does not include any staff members.
That being said, my 128 wont cut it this week... Couldn't get over some key injuries this week. Good luck everyone.
Finally, if you like the software and are using it weekly, please consider donating. I'm a one man shop and it takes a lot of hours to build something like this to be easily used by others, since I am not going to be winning it this year, figured I'd throw it out there
. Thanks to those that have donated and I'm glad you all like the site.Eliminated last week with 137.45. I am at 206.15 with Mike Williams left to go tonight. I thought I had a decent team, so I'm going to continue to track to see how far I'd have gotten had I not had one terrible, terrible week (although, if everyone got a mulligan . . .).
This is a great thread, so I'm going to continue to follow it and the strategy discussion.
This is a great thread, so I'm going to continue to follow it and the strategy discussion.
Saint
Footballguy
Great job as always OC!ffltools live scoring for this has been updated. A couple new features.- Stats are working better now, I seem to be inline with what FBG is scoring. Before, I was seeing stat differences and I've adjusted that.- Changed it to update every 5 minutes, based on previous weeks, the server should be able to handle that no problem.- Updated the owned percentage to reflect only live teams- Added some text to show the current cutoff and when that script was run. This is on the "team" page and runs at 8 and midnight on Sunday's and 2 on Monday.Updated the cutline also, it looks like the current cutoff is 140.9 with the game tonight to go still. This is accurate and does not include any staff members.That being said, my 128 wont cut it this week... Couldn't get over some key injuries this week. Good luck everyone.Finally, if you like the software and are using it weekly, please consider donating. I'm a one man shop and it takes a lot of hours to build something like this to be easily used by others, since I am not going to be winning it this year, figured I'd throw it out there
That is going to hurt pretty much any team that has him.
JoeSteeler
Footballguy
how do we donate?ffltools live scoring for this has been updated. A couple new features.- Stats are working better now, I seem to be inline with what FBG is scoring. Before, I was seeing stat differences and I've adjusted that.- Changed it to update every 5 minutes, based on previous weeks, the server should be able to handle that no problem.- Updated the owned percentage to reflect only live teams- Added some text to show the current cutoff and when that script was run. This is on the "team" page and runs at 8 and midnight on Sunday's and 2 on Monday.Updated the cutline also, it looks like the current cutoff is 140.9 with the game tonight to go still. This is accurate and does not include any staff members.That being said, my 128 wont cut it this week... Couldn't get over some key injuries this week. Good luck everyone.Finally, if you like the software and are using it weekly, please consider donating. I'm a one man shop and it takes a lot of hours to build something like this to be easily used by others, since I am not going to be winning it this year, figured I'd throw it out there
rustycolts
Footballguy
There is a donate button at the bottom of the page.how do we donate?ffltools live scoring for this has been updated. A couple new features.- Stats are working better now, I seem to be inline with what FBG is scoring. Before, I was seeing stat differences and I've adjusted that.- Changed it to update every 5 minutes, based on previous weeks, the server should be able to handle that no problem.- Updated the owned percentage to reflect only live teams- Added some text to show the current cutoff and when that script was run. This is on the "team" page and runs at 8 and midnight on Sunday's and 2 on Monday.Updated the cutline also, it looks like the current cutoff is 140.9 with the game tonight to go still. This is accurate and does not include any staff members.That being said, my 128 wont cut it this week... Couldn't get over some key injuries this week. Good luck everyone.Finally, if you like the software and are using it weekly, please consider donating. I'm a one man shop and it takes a lot of hours to build something like this to be easily used by others, since I am not going to be winning it this year, figured I'd throw it out there
pocketducks
Footballguy
pocketducks
Footballguy
Noticed it was fixed earlier then it switched back during MNF game.
Organized Chaos
Footballguy
Thanks guys. Looking into it. Sorry about that
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
Turk says 142.10
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Got through 
Usage so far (all but 5 of my 27 have been used at least once):
QB - Brady 3, Hasselbeck 1, McCoy 0
RB - ADP 2, Benson 2, Hightower 2, P Thomas 1, I Redman 1, M Barber 0
WR - S Moss 4 (only guy used every week), D Moore 3, V Jax 2, Plax 2, N Burleson 1, Ant Brown 1, J Cribbs 1, L Evans 0
TE - O Daniels 2, A Hernandez 2, F Davis 2, E Moore 0
PK - M Nugent 3, S Suisham 1, J Feely 0
D - Buffalo 2, Dallas 1, Arizona 1
On to week 5!
-QG
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Size Total Alive Surv%18 3568 2276 63.8%19 1393 952 68.3%20 1059 729 68.8%21 836 577 69.0%22 766 553 72.2%23 641 444 69.3%24 547 399 72.9%25 396 283 71.5%26 415 283 68.2%27 296 194 65.5%28 269 188 69.9%29 214 153 71.5%30 375 239 63.7%
If the playoffs had been held in weeks 2-4, these would be the top five finishers:
If the playoffs had been held in weeks 2-4, these would be the top five finishers:
Code:
Entry # Size Total100511 19 675.10103802 24 660.65109757 18 658.80108488 20 657.85102682 18 653.50Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Staffer Andy Hicks has the most consistent entry through four weeks:
Code:
Entry # Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4103399 185.9 186.4 186.75 186.15
Jayrod
Footballguy
##### ####### ##################!!!!!Cut by .8 points with a 141.3. My earliest exit from the contest in 4 years. Scored 201, 192, 192 and then this disaster. No big games from anyone and a freaking 6 is the best I could get from my 3 defenses. All I needed was 1 more PAT or one more catch by anyone. My RB's did me in and my WR's or Brady didn't bail me out. My TE's did their best with Daniels and Olsen both counting (20.4, 18.5 respectively). Cundiff gave me a 12, but I knew I could be in trouble when both Reggie Bush & Hightower had bad games and then McCoy outscored Brady.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Still alive. Everyone on my team has now contributed and only Jennings has counted all 4 weeks. Worried about my RB situation though. Had to rely on Felix as my #2 since every RB on my team not named Chris Wells stunk to high heavens.
Matthew Stafford $18 32.25 37.80 30.80 22.90 bye
Kevin Kolb $15 27.35 23.55 18.20 10.95 bye
Ryan Fitzpatrick $13 34.70 32.50 27.85 10.45 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
James Starks $16 11.70 13.00 2.90 12.60 bye
Mike Tolbert $15 31.80 12.30 5.80 15.30 bye
Willis McGahee $11 6.00 17.10 12.90 12.30 bye
Kendall Hunter $6 0.40 0.00 10.80 11.00 bye
Deji Karim $3 8.70 3.00 3.30 0.60 bye
Ben Tate $3 17.60 15.50 9.50 2.00 bye
Derrick Ward $3 9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye
Taiwan Jones $2 0.00 0.40 0.80 0.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vincent Jackson $25 5.10 39.20 11.40 19.80 bye
Dez Bryant $21 16.10 0.00 10.30 19.20 bye
Mario Manningham $19 8.90 8.60 0.00 2.00 bye
Lance Moore $10 0.00 1.60 23.80 10.00 bye
Jordy Nelson $7 19.70 15.40 7.00 20.10 bye
Jordan Shipley $4 0.90 4.50 0.00 0.00 out? out? bye out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out?
David Nelson $4 10.60 24.30 14.40 3.80 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jimmy Graham $15 17.60 16.90 22.00 34.20 bye
Lance Kendricks $6 3.30 4.10 4.70 9.30 bye
Fred Davis $5 18.00 23.60 3.80 9.40 bye
Evan Moore $2 14.00 9.10 4.90 3.00 bye
Delanie Walker $2 1.40 12.80 2.40 6.50 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mason Crosby $6 6.00 14.00 10.00 7.00 bye
Billy Cundiff $4 10.00 9.00 15.00 12.00 bye
Jason Hanson $4 9.00 15.00 20.00 14.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dallas Cowboys $4 8.00 8.00 7.00 2.00 bye
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $4 8.00 4.00 10.00 6.00 bye
Houston Texans $3 13.00 6.00 6.00 7.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 189.10 212.80 166.40 177.40
While I hate spending the money I did on Kolb, I live on.
Wish I allocated more to my rbs.
Kevin Kolb $15 27.35 23.55 18.20 10.95 bye
Ryan Fitzpatrick $13 34.70 32.50 27.85 10.45 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
James Starks $16 11.70 13.00 2.90 12.60 bye
Mike Tolbert $15 31.80 12.30 5.80 15.30 bye
Willis McGahee $11 6.00 17.10 12.90 12.30 bye
Kendall Hunter $6 0.40 0.00 10.80 11.00 bye
Deji Karim $3 8.70 3.00 3.30 0.60 bye
Ben Tate $3 17.60 15.50 9.50 2.00 bye
Derrick Ward $3 9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye
Taiwan Jones $2 0.00 0.40 0.80 0.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vincent Jackson $25 5.10 39.20 11.40 19.80 bye
Dez Bryant $21 16.10 0.00 10.30 19.20 bye
Mario Manningham $19 8.90 8.60 0.00 2.00 bye
Lance Moore $10 0.00 1.60 23.80 10.00 bye
Jordy Nelson $7 19.70 15.40 7.00 20.10 bye
Jordan Shipley $4 0.90 4.50 0.00 0.00 out? out? bye out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out?
David Nelson $4 10.60 24.30 14.40 3.80 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jimmy Graham $15 17.60 16.90 22.00 34.20 bye
Lance Kendricks $6 3.30 4.10 4.70 9.30 bye
Fred Davis $5 18.00 23.60 3.80 9.40 bye
Evan Moore $2 14.00 9.10 4.90 3.00 bye
Delanie Walker $2 1.40 12.80 2.40 6.50 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mason Crosby $6 6.00 14.00 10.00 7.00 bye
Billy Cundiff $4 10.00 9.00 15.00 12.00 bye
Jason Hanson $4 9.00 15.00 20.00 14.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dallas Cowboys $4 8.00 8.00 7.00 2.00 bye
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $4 8.00 4.00 10.00 6.00 bye
Houston Texans $3 13.00 6.00 6.00 7.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 189.10 212.80 166.40 177.40
While I hate spending the money I did on Kolb, I live on.
Wish I allocated more to my rbs.
Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
This Entry Is Still Alive
Have used L. McCoy and Massaquoi every week.
Haven't used Hardesty, Ringer, Amendola, Royal, Berrian, Prater, Brown, Seahawks and Broncos.
ETA: Also the first week my flex wasn't a TE.
Have used L. McCoy and Massaquoi every week.
Haven't used Hardesty, Ringer, Amendola, Royal, Berrian, Prater, Brown, Seahawks and Broncos.
ETA: Also the first week my flex wasn't a TE.
Last edited by a moderator:
Very surprised that the small rosters are holding their own. The 30 man rosters are taking an absolute beating.
pocketducks
Footballguy
I imagine that the next few bye weeks will take their toll on smaller rosters especially ones with injuries like those including Andre Johnson. The bye weeks is where 24+ larger rosters will do better with survival rate.
BaBastage
Footballguy
I agree completely.
Weekly Avg & St.Dev Data by Roster Size
Roll1 is 3 week average for weeks 1 to 3
Roll2 is 3 week average for weeks 2 to 4
Keep in mind that this is only for teams that are still alive each week
Roll1 is 3 week average for weeks 1 to 3
Roll2 is 3 week average for weeks 2 to 4
Keep in mind that this is only for teams that are still alive each week
Code:
Team SizeData Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk4 Roll1 Roll2 >600 (roll1) (>600 roll2)18 Avg 165.77 180.32 174.31 173.48 524.93 530.60 3.78% 3.27% St.Dev 21.72 22.24 20.17 19.13 42.23 37.66 19 Avg 166.52 180.89 173.20 172.59 523.81 528.45 3.52% 3.28% St.Dev 21.00 22.52 20.53 19.28 42.12 38.87 20 Avg 167.74 182.87 172.24 170.95 525.96 528.60 3.71% 2.62% St.Dev 20.95 21.83 19.54 17.59 41.48 36.80 21 Avg 168.44 184.45 172.77 170.14 528.78 530.06 4.66% 3.17% St.Dev 20.28 22.70 19.16 18.24 42.43 37.68 22 Avg 168.31 183.86 171.14 169.89 526.09 528.70 3.54% 2.94% St.Dev 19.36 22.80 18.36 17.35 40.91 37.72 23 Avg 168.20 184.03 170.05 169.58 525.55 526.34 2.83% 1.83% St.Dev 19.59 22.12 17.90 16.89 39.04 35.23 24 Avg 169.81 184.20 172.11 171.07 529.10 530.15 3.34% 2.70% St.Dev 20.16 22.14 18.88 18.65 38.67 36.26 25 Avg 169.99 183.74 171.31 168.88 528.20 526.25 3.15% 2.52% St.Dev 19.17 21.98 18.56 17.65 38.61 37.69 26 Avg 170.50 183.13 170.45 167.88 526.45 523.09 2.03% 0.92% St.Dev 17.83 20.78 17.07 15.78 35.91 32.64 27 Avg 170.22 186.02 168.01 166.07 528.25 523.97 1.90% 0.96% St.Dev 18.93 21.39 16.79 15.16 34.57 32.48 28 Avg 169.86 180.49 171.18 167.05 525.79 521.39 2.00% 1.33% St.Dev 17.56 21.42 17.19 15.50 36.12 35.46 29 Avg 171.67 182.55 166.35 165.70 523.11 517.50 1.40% 0.52% St.Dev 17.51 21.16 16.44 14.25 35.00 32.23 30 Avg 171.52 181.65 168.41 165.90 525.19 520.31 1.94% 0.96% St.Dev 17.68 20.18 16.13 15.61 36.20 34.06 Total Average 167.67 182.14 172.34 171.04 525.80 528.16 3.40% 2.62%Total StdDev 20.54 22.16 19.30 18.21 40.64 37.04pocketducks
Footballguy
I agree I wonder if any of the database guys have any information on which players are the highest fantasy points/$ per position? Though this might be skewed to the super cheap $2 guys.
Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
Roeth and Sanchez pooing the bed did me in this week.
Also got zero usage from my #2-3-4 WRs (Manningham-Ford-Evans). Thanks fellas!
Also got zero usage from my #2-3-4 WRs (Manningham-Ford-Evans). Thanks fellas!
butcher boy
Footballguy
Pardon my language but Holeeeeeeeeeeeeee ####!
Code:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Philip Rivers $24 26.45 30.10 11.10 23.15 bye Colt McCoy $10 22.25 17.55 21.30 24.10 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Jamaal Charles $34 15.00 2.70 0.00 0.00 out? bye out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out? out? Felix Jones $23 14.10 3.50 17.00 10.10 bye Reggie Bush $15 19.90 2.60 3.00 7.50 bye Jerome Harrison $5 2.70 0.60 1.60 0.00 bye Montario Hardesty $4 1.80 0.10 10.10 9.60 bye Deji Karim $3 8.70 3.00 3.30 0.60 bye Ben Tate $3 17.60 15.50 9.50 2.00 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Mike Wallace $23 18.70 26.60 25.40 11.70 bye Steve Johnson $19 16.60 23.60 23.40 9.80 bye Santana Moss $16 13.60 17.10 12.00 14.90 bye Lance Moore $10 0.00 1.60 23.80 10.00 bye Steve Smith $5 0.00 4.90 4.70 0.00 bye Harry Douglas $4 3.00 3.90 8.50 0.00 bye Mohamed Massaquoi $4 10.70 7.50 10.60 10.60 bye Denarius Moore $3 0.00 28.10 15.70 10.90 bye Josh Cribbs $2 2.00 7.10 13.90 10.00 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Owen Daniels $12 2.70 13.00 21.10 20.40 bye Greg Olsen $9 13.80 4.90 22.20 18.50 bye Lance Kendricks $6 3.30 4.10 4.70 9.30 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Shaun Suisham $3 1.00 6.00 16.00 4.00 bye Rian Lindell $2 12.00 8.00 12.00 10.00 bye Jay Feely $2 4.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Tampa Bay Buccaneers $4 8.00 4.00 10.00 6.00 bye St. Louis Rams $3 5.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 bye Buffalo Bills $2 8.00 4.00 14.00 12.00 bye ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 161.65 170.50 194.30 142.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 CUTOFF 0.00 138.90 142.00 142.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
FUBAR
Footballguy
Did you use a "points over baseline" idea, or just straight points? A $2 player who scores 4 points each game is going to be less valuable than a $10 player who scores 15 as you can actually use the 15 points.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Yeah, straight points per dollar isn't a good metric. (Mike Nugent is the current leader, fwiw.) I've played around with different utility models in the past but never really settled on anything simple that I liked. To really determine how "valuable" a player has been in this contest you have to weigh the additional points vs the additional cost and what else you could acquire for that cost, cutting across positions, etc. Tom Brady has averaged 38 points a week, for $27. Matt Stafford has averaged 31 points a week, but only cost $18. Is it worth $9 to sacrifice 7 points at the QB position? Cam Newton has averaged more points than Stafford for $4 less, so clearly Stafford hasn't the best buy at QB. Hasselbeck has averaged 25 points per game for $11; guys like Grossman and Henne have only averaged 20 points per week but only cost $8. Is it worth it to take fewer points at QB if it means you free up that much more money for other positions? Etc. etc.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
My RBs are even worse than I thought they'd be. I've been scoring plenty of points. But I'll need my WRs to continue to carry my team.
Philip Rivers $24 26.45 30.10 11.10 23.15 bye
Colt McCoy $10 22.25 17.55 21.30 24.10 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Felix Jones $23 14.10 3.50 17.00 10.10 bye
Tim Hightower $14 17.20 11.10 16.50 3.30 bye
Pierre Thomas $7 8.80 6.50 4.80 9.90 bye
Thomas Jones $7 0.30 4.00 3.80 3.70 bye
Roy Helu $7 0.20 12.70 4.20 3.50 bye
Cadillac Williams $3 16.50 5.50 8.40 0.00 bye
Marion Barber $3 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70 bye
Taiwan Jones $2 0.00 0.40 0.80 0.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hakeem Nicks $29 19.20 10.50 5.50 32.20 bye
Vincent Jackson $25 5.10 39.20 11.40 19.80 bye
Santana Moss $16 13.60 17.10 12.00 14.90 bye
Lee Evans $10 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 bye
Nate Burleson $8 13.00 16.30 3.20 3.60 bye
Danny Amendola $8 9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye
Steve Breaston $7 4.60 1.70 8.50 13.10 bye
Harry Douglas $4 3.00 3.90 8.50 0.00 bye
Denarius Moore $3 0.00 28.10 15.70 10.90 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Owen Daniels $12 2.70 13.00 21.10 20.40 bye
Aaron Hernandez $10 26.80 22.70 0.00 0.00 out? bye
Fred Davis $5 18.00 23.60 3.80 9.40 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rob Bironas $3 2.00 18.00 7.00 8.00 bye
David Akers $3 16.00 9.00 10.00 7.00 bye
Olindo Mare $2 3.00 12.00 8.00 13.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston Texans $3 13.00 6.00 6.00 7.00 bye
Buffalo Bills $2 8.00 4.00 14.00 12.00 bye
Philip Rivers $24 26.45 30.10 11.10 23.15 bye
Colt McCoy $10 22.25 17.55 21.30 24.10 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Felix Jones $23 14.10 3.50 17.00 10.10 bye
Tim Hightower $14 17.20 11.10 16.50 3.30 bye
Pierre Thomas $7 8.80 6.50 4.80 9.90 bye
Thomas Jones $7 0.30 4.00 3.80 3.70 bye
Roy Helu $7 0.20 12.70 4.20 3.50 bye
Cadillac Williams $3 16.50 5.50 8.40 0.00 bye
Marion Barber $3 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70 bye
Taiwan Jones $2 0.00 0.40 0.80 0.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hakeem Nicks $29 19.20 10.50 5.50 32.20 bye
Vincent Jackson $25 5.10 39.20 11.40 19.80 bye
Santana Moss $16 13.60 17.10 12.00 14.90 bye
Lee Evans $10 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 bye
Nate Burleson $8 13.00 16.30 3.20 3.60 bye
Danny Amendola $8 9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye
Steve Breaston $7 4.60 1.70 8.50 13.10 bye
Harry Douglas $4 3.00 3.90 8.50 0.00 bye
Denarius Moore $3 0.00 28.10 15.70 10.90 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Owen Daniels $12 2.70 13.00 21.10 20.40 bye
Aaron Hernandez $10 26.80 22.70 0.00 0.00 out? bye
Fred Davis $5 18.00 23.60 3.80 9.40 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rob Bironas $3 2.00 18.00 7.00 8.00 bye
David Akers $3 16.00 9.00 10.00 7.00 bye
Olindo Mare $2 3.00 12.00 8.00 13.00 bye
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston Texans $3 13.00 6.00 6.00 7.00 bye
Buffalo Bills $2 8.00 4.00 14.00 12.00 bye
And even averages are a bad metric because a $2 player scoring 15, 0, 0, is better than a $2 player scoring 5, 5, 5. I don't think it'd be possible to come up with "simple" metric that was also effective.
FUBAR
Footballguy
All true, and that doesn't even lead to winning this thing as it cant account for luck. 300 points this week and 100 next week averages nicely but you'd be done in the contest.
pocketducks
Footballguy
Good points. Would something like (the number of top 25% in fantasy points at the position finishes per week)/$ be a better metric? For example for Tom Brady. The top 25% of available QBs (0.25*39) is 9.75 round up to 10. I think he has finished in the top 10 of QB each of the first 4 weeks. So 4/$27 = 0.148.There must be away to look at this mathematically... where did I put that old Probability & Statistics book from my college days?
The Real Hipster Doofus
Footballguy
Yea I am rolling with the stellar RB crew of Ingram, Wells, Harrison, Karim, and Powell this week. Hopefully a lot of the smaller roster teams are in bad shape for week 5. Have to hope Ingram gets a TD this week.While I've made the cut quite easily the first 4 weeks, this week will be tough.With BYEs, I'm counting on RBs like Woodhead, Michael Bush, Ben Tate and Deji Karim to do just a little something. Too bad they are all banged up and probably won't play.
The first problem that jumps out to me with this is that the "25%" is an arbitrary number. The 2nd is that indiviual scores are capped at different amounts. Brady's best possible score would be .5926. Let's say Brady finishes top 10 in all 16 games. And McCoy finished top ten in 6 games. His score is .6 which is better than Bradys. Was McCoy really the better selection?Good points. Would something like (the number of top 25% in fantasy points at the position finishes per week)/$ be a better metric? For example for Tom Brady. The top 25% of available QBs (0.25*39) is 9.75 round up to 10. I think he has finished in the top 10 of QB each of the first 4 weeks. So 4/$27 = 0.148.There must be away to look at this mathematically... where did I put that old Probability & Statistics book from my college days?
Next week is going to hurt me with my WR's. I will have Fitzgerald, V. Jackson and McCluster all on byes. I drafted 8 WR's thinking I would be fine but with those players on byes plus Amendola and Parrish injuries I am left with just Dez Bryant, A. Brown, and D. Moore as my 3 WR's for next week.
Anyways should worry more about this week I have Hillis/Hardesty/Bryant/Amendola/Kendricks/Moore/Pitta/Dawson all on byes. Rolling with McFadden, Harrison, Karim, Tate, Redman, T. Jones as my RB's - McFadden will be alright but will need one of the others to put up a decent game.
Anyways should worry more about this week I have Hillis/Hardesty/Bryant/Amendola/Kendricks/Moore/Pitta/Dawson all on byes. Rolling with McFadden, Harrison, Karim, Tate, Redman, T. Jones as my RB's - McFadden will be alright but will need one of the others to put up a decent game.
butcher boy
Footballguy
I purposefully picked RBs with a week 5 bye because a) early byes are better, and b) I figured I'd have Jamaal Charles to pick up the slack.
So this week I'm rolling with Jerome Harrison, Deji Karim, and Ben Tate.
Someone beat that!
So this week I'm rolling with Jerome Harrison, Deji Karim, and Ben Tate.
Someone beat that!
