Yes projected to win by 1.4%. The 85% is their probability of Trump winning the state.NYT needle has Trump by 1.4, so not sure where that comes from.
I believe that’s the prediction of the final margin.NYT needle has Trump by 1.4, so not sure where that comes from.
Yeah when I started watching at around 70% reporting the lead was 200K, it's 125K now at 78%.It's going to Trump. Lead continually shrinking.
Now if she was struggling on the way into the building ...As I was waiting in a very long line to vote an elderly, overweight couple, was walking back to their car. She was struggling and had to hold onto the rail. He went to get the car. They both had Trump shirts on. I talked with her and made sure she was okay. I held her arm to walk her to the car. Am I awesome for doing this? Sure, of course. My point is we all need to come together one way or another after this election.
Is that what's essentially happening everywhere? Biden has huge early lead with urban centers nearly fully in and then Trump slowly chips away all night long?It's going to Trump. Lead continually shrinking.
Reading is fundamental. My bad.Yes projected to win by 1.4%. The 85% is their probability of Trump winning the state.
The early voting is so significantly tilted towards Democrats that virtually all votes that come in are heavily slanted to Trump and all the big cities are 80% reported, so it's likely done and dusted.Yeah when I started watching at around 70% reporting the lead was 200K, it's 125K now at 78%.
Every state is different. Virginia as an example hasn't reported anything yet in their big city areas. But yeah, that seems to be the case in OH and NC. I'd say in about an hour we will all be looking at Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Arizona. IMO the election rests on those four states.Is that what's essentially happening everywhere? Biden has huge early lead with urban centers nearly fully in and then Trump slowly chips away all night long?
Seems like only the NYT gets this phenomenon with the skewed results.Every state is different. Virginia as an example hasn't reported anything yet in their big city areas. But yeah, that seems to be the case in OH and NC. I'd say in about an hour we will all be looking at Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Arizona. IMO the election rests on those four states.
I have Biden +185 and Trump +155.On Betfair, Trump is now trading as the favorite to win the election (going back and forth constantly over the past couple minutes) after opening the day as a 2-1 dog.
very region specificIs that what's essentially happening everywhere? Biden has huge early lead with urban centers nearly fully in and then Trump slowly chips away all night long?
Do they have to be postmarked by election day?One thing to note, if margins somehow are razor thin in NC, they accept mail in ballots until November 12th.
Love it. Got Trump at +270 in September.On Betfair, Trump is now trading as the favorite to win the election (going back and forth constantly over the past couple minutes) after opening the day as a 2-1 dog.
Yes, mail in ballots in NC have to be postmarked by today.Do they have to be postmarked by election day?
Biden will win for sure. Good call.Here’s what this election comes down to imho not in any particular order.
1) joe is more likable then Hillary
2). Covid uptick hurt trump
3) trumps messaging on covid beyond poor..
4). Trumps messaging on twitter, interviews etc lost suburbs
Your ballot must be postmarked by Tuesday, November 3, 2020 and received no later than Thursday, November 12, 2020 by 5:00 p.m.Do they have to be postmarked by election day?
Unless somehow Biden pulls Ohio or Trump pulls Minnesota.Arizona/Wisconsin/Michigan/Pennsylvania.
Trump needs 3/4. Biden needs 2/4
Yeah don’t bet against VegasBovada now has Trump as slight favorite.
Certainly bodes well for PA. Very similar demographics.Still looks very promising for Biden. The fact that he’s so close in Ohio, even if he doesn’t win it, means that he’s likely to win the big 3: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Unfortunately it means we probably won’t know tonight.
and now light blue again. someone give me a hit of what they smokin.Rueters now showing TX light red.
I'm glad you got your smile back. In this landslide that won't be close. Keep giving us your insider takes.Still looks very promising for Biden. The fact that he’s so close in Ohio, even if he doesn’t win it, means that he’s likely to win the big 3: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Unfortunately it means we probably won’t know tonight.
We don't know if it's close in Ohio. The early voting advantages throw everything off. Florida a great example of that. It looked like a close race, but Trump is likely going to do better in Florida this year than last.Still looks very promising for Biden. The fact that he’s so close in Ohio, even if he doesn’t win it, means that he’s likely to win the big 3: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. Unfortunately it means we probably won’t know tonight.
huh?Biden needs a flip.