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Here is the #1 team. The power rankings seem to overemphasis having 3 solid QB's. 3 very good QB's, but his depth elsewhere is lacking. D Williams had a decent week, but no TD's. His lack of depth at RB could bite him this week.

Matt Schaub $20

David Garrard $18

Matt Hasselbeck $17

DeAngelo Williams $37

Brandon Jacobs $32

Thomas Jones $23

Ladell Betts $2

Edgerrin James $1

Marques Colston $28

Steve Smith $12

Nate Burleson $5

Percy Harvin $5

Jeremy Maclin $4

Sidney Rice $4

Greg Olsen $15

John Carlson $11

Neil Rackers $3

Ryan Longwell $3

Robbie Gould $2

Arizona Cardinals $3

Seattle Seahawks $2

 
One thing for sure DeAngelo Williams didn't hurt the teams that doesnt have him. With over D. Williams rostered on over 400 teams , a bigtime game could have put those teams at a serious advantage going into the weekend. Because his score was very average, me being a non owner, I like my chances alittle bit better now, going into Sundays games.

 
One thing for sure DeAngelo Williams didn't hurt the teams that doesnt have him. With over D. Williams rostered on over 400 teams , a bigtime game could have put those teams at a serious advantage going into the weekend. Because his score was very average, me being a non owner, I like my chances alittle bit better now, going into Sundays games.
Agreed - as a DW owner in the contest, a TD sure would have been nice. He's probably the stud RB for most of those 400 teams too.Carpenter also had a avg. game kicking-wise - he's frequently been a high scorer.So good news, bad news... avg. scores so far are good in terms of not being behind the 8 ball going into the weekend, but they could be the difference in a bad way if it's a high scoring weekend across the contest.
 
One thing for sure DeAngelo Williams didn't hurt the teams that doesnt have him. With over D. Williams rostered on over 400 teams , a bigtime game could have put those teams at a serious advantage going into the weekend. Because his score was very average, me being a non owner, I like my chances alittle bit better now, going into Sundays games.
Agreed - as a DW owner in the contest, a TD sure would have been nice. He's probably the stud RB for most of those 400 teams too.Carpenter also had a avg. game kicking-wise - he's frequently been a high scorer.So good news, bad news... avg. scores so far are good in terms of not being behind the 8 ball going into the weekend, but they could be the difference in a bad way if it's a high scoring weekend across the contest.
D WilliamsTotal teams with this players 2533 Still Alive 472 18.63% overall 12.13%
 
Here is the #1 team. The power rankings seem to overemphasis having 3 solid QB's. 3 very good QB's, but his depth elsewhere is lacking. D Williams had a decent week, but no TD's. His lack of depth at RB could bite him this week. Matt Schaub $20 David Garrard $18 Matt Hasselbeck $17DeAngelo Williams $37 Brandon Jacobs $32 Thomas Jones $23 Ladell Betts $2 Edgerrin James $1 Marques Colston $28 Steve Smith $12 Nate Burleson $5 Percy Harvin $5 Jeremy Maclin $4 Sidney Rice $4 Greg Olsen $15 John Carlson $11Neil Rackers $3 Ryan Longwell $3 Robbie Gould $2 Arizona Cardinals $3 Seattle Seahawks $2
I'm not sure I'd call that a lack of RB depth. With Betts the starter for the foreseeable future, he's got 4 starting RB's on very good rushing teams.
 
New sim that reflects Thursday results

Obviously, all the Ricky owners moved up, but none more than this guy. His other RBs are Westbrook, Benson, Leon Washington, Buckhalter, and James Davis. To say he needed a big day from Ricky is an understatement. He got it and moved up from 37% to 71%.

Here is the (belated) roster size report:

Code:
+-------------+--------+-------+-----------+| roster_size | number | alive | pct_alive |+-------------+--------+-------+-----------+|		  20 |   5181 |   406 |	0.0784 ||		  21 |   2032 |   198 |	0.0974 ||		  22 |   1445 |   205 |	0.1419 ||		  23 |   1291 |   168 |	0.1301 ||		  24 |   3328 |   633 |	0.1902 ||	   TOTAL |  13277 |  1610 |	0.1213 |+-------------+--------+-------+-----------+
And the simulation accuracy report for week 10:
Code:
95--99	18	17	94.490--94   119   105	88.285--89   257   211	82.180--84   309   246	79.675--79   317   240	75.770--74   305   224	73.465--69   228   157	68.960--64   200   131	65.555--59   130	83	63.850--54   123	68	55.345--49	77	43	55.840--44	68	27	39.735--39	57	27	47.430--34	36	12	33.325--29	19	 7	36.820--24	22	 7	31.815--19	12	 3	25.010--14	 9	 1	11.1 5-- 9	 5	 1	20.0 0-- 4	 4	 0	 0.0
 
Its funny, I dont have D. Williams on my roster, but after thursday nights games, I thought I had a better chance of moving on because he had an average points day. I then look at the new simulator percentages and see my chances to move on have declined from 77% to 70.7%. My chances are still good, but anyway good luck everyone, these next few weeks are the best part of this contest. The pot of gold is now within sight.

 
Gonna need days from Palmer and McCoy...nice job finley, Meachem and Mason!!
You might make 150....but will that be good enough?...I feel real good at 152 with Rivers still having most a game to go, and Moss (-12). Should be over 160 easy and safe for another week.
 
Current Cutoff: 130,15

Projected Cutoff: 158,50 :goodposting:

Thanks to the combo Rodgers/Jennings for saving my a##. (152,70 at the moment)

 
This would be a right smashing time for Leinart to toss a couple TDs to boost the QB score of the poor Romo and/or Sanchez owners.

 
Gonna need days from Palmer and McCoy...nice job finley, Meachem and Mason!!
You might make 150....but will that be good enough?...I feel real good at 152 with Rivers still having most a game to go, and Moss (-12). Should be over 160 easy and safe for another week.
Spoke too soon...Rivers threw one pass for three yards in the second half and Moss hasn't caught anything....stuck at 155....
 
Going to be very close for me sitting at 150.3 and not expecting to get a whole lot more with Olsen and Macklin each -12...

Definitely making tonight's game much more interesting for me. A 20-point outting from either or both of those guys would be really nice :thumbup:

 
So I've got:

Palmer

Deangelo

McCoy/chester(10)

Mason

R. Moss

Meachem

V. Jax/Desean

Finley

Brown

Saints

I think I'm okay

 
Sitting right around 157, with Olsen, Walter (he'd have to get more than 15), and Kris Brown. Need more than 5 points from Graham to count, and anything Olsen gets me.

 
Wow... never realized how much info was out there for the contest. First year to be in it and doing well. I've just been rough adding my own scores up and then waiting for the best when scores come out on Tuesday. The projections, etc are pretty killer. This is fun stuff. 91 uniqueness, 550 or so power ranking and about a 71% survival rating for the week. My score looks to be about 135 before tonight's game. I get all of gould's points on top and have d jackson, mccoy and chris johnson that can boost my scores. I origninally expected to be sitting pretty but whatever projections you are putting up are making me a little nervous.

 
Going to be a close one for me... at 151.9 right now, plus whatever Olsen/Gould score the 2nd half. Only other points would be if DJax can get 11.5+. No one really had a bad week for me, just no big weeks either. I would say Clark's 1 catch is the closest to a bust but he got a TD on the catch at least.

I am going to guess the 158 projected cut is probably a little low isn't it?

 
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