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QB Sam Darnold, SEA (2 Viewers)

If Rodgers goes to Pitt and Fields to the Jets, Darnold is running out of places and I imagine his salary leverage drops a bit.
Completely disagree. By all accounts his # has gone up after the Geno trade. $30M and now $40M. He’s still the #1 QB option out there and it’s not close. Every team would like to have him if they can afford him.
Well that is the problem. Afford him and need him. Options are dwindling for him to start and if not starting, not making as much money.
 
If Rodgers goes to Pitt and Fields to the Jets, Darnold is running out of places and I imagine his salary leverage drops a bit.
Completely disagree. By all accounts his # has gone up after the Geno trade. $30M and now $40M. He’s still the #1 QB option out there and it’s not close. Every team would like to have him if they can afford him.
Well that is the problem. Afford him and need him. Options are dwindling for him to start and if not starting, not making as much money.
Yup.

There's maybe 6 teams left with both a need for a QB and the cap space to pay $40 million (by my count Steelers, Jets, Giants, Titans, Colts, Seahawks). Two of those teams will likely take Ward and Sanders, respectively. The Jets won't happen. Darnold is realistically looking at 3 teams.
 
If Rodgers goes to Pitt and Fields to the Jets, Darnold is running out of places and I imagine his salary leverage drops a bit.
Completely disagree. By all accounts his # has gone up after the Geno trade. $30M and now $40M. He’s still the #1 QB option out there and it’s not close. Every team would like to have him if they can afford him.
Well that is the problem. Afford him and need him. Options are dwindling for him to start and if not starting, not making as much money.
Yup.

There's maybe 6 teams left with both a need for a QB and the cap space to pay $40 million (by my count Steelers, Jets, Giants, Titans, Colts, Seahawks). Two of those teams will likely take Ward and Sanders, respectively. The Jets won't happen. Darnold is realistically looking at 3 teams.
And signs point to Rodgers signing in Pitt.
 
If Rodgers goes to Pitt and Fields to the Jets, Darnold is running out of places and I imagine his salary leverage drops a bit.
Completely disagree. By all accounts his # has gone up after the Geno trade. $30M and now $40M. He’s still the #1 QB option out there and it’s not close. Every team would like to have him if they can afford him.
Well that is the problem. Afford him and need him. Options are dwindling for him to start and if not starting, not making as much money.
Yup.

There's maybe 6 teams left with both a need for a QB and the cap space to pay $40 million (by my count Steelers, Jets, Giants, Titans, Colts, Seahawks). Two of those teams will likely take Ward and Sanders, respectively. The Jets won't happen. Darnold is realistically looking at 3 teams.
That’s 1 more team than he needs to have a bidding war for his services.
 
If Rodgers goes to Pitt and Fields to the Jets, Darnold is running out of places and I imagine his salary leverage drops a bit.
And there it is. Somewhere around the 18th highest paid qb. He had no leverage.

Or maybe other teams realize he’s actually not very good? Especially without Jefferson to throw to…
Being not very good could be part or all of having no leverage.
 
I don't think they let Lockett and DK go without having a plan here.
So JSN + Tet / Burden, (with Walker, Charbs), and Kubiak... there's a little something there I don't hate and Darnold at 27 is the oldest piece. An Oliine upgrade away from liking it...
 
Not much of an upgrade for Seattle over Geno Smith
Significant upgrade to Geno, 7 years younger, and a better contract for the Seahawks than LVR paid Geno with the extension.

They got younger, saved money, and got a better QB.

I find your comment perplexing in every way
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
Did you catch Sam Darnold: The Early Years
I don't see a huge upgrade from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold
Raiders could have kept their 3rd round pick and just signed Sam Darnold
I don't think Darnold is as highly regarded in NFL circles as he is here on the message board by some.

I'm not rooting against him, maybe he will take the Seahawks further than they could go with Geno
But he lands on a team that doesn't throw the ball as well as they do in Minnesota and I am focused on the play scheme. Downgrade in head coaching for Darnold after Shanny/OConnell
I'm surprised you feel this is a big upgrade for Seattle
Rams and Niners still in the West, yes/no?
I think the Rams getting Adams is just as big if not bigger than the Seahawks bringing in Darnold for 3 yrs/$100M
Oh yeah, DK Metcalf is no longer with Seattle either, Darnold won't have the same cache of weapons at his disposal
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
He came into a perfect situation and now his situation isn't perfect. In fact, it's pretty much on the opposite spectrum. And yes, playing like crap when there is real pressure does matter. Nobody ever doubted his throwing ability, but a lot of doubts about his processing and decision making. That showed up huge in those last two games and that has been the norm for him during the entire rest of his career.

I guess when Seattle shows any ability to draft OL, then I might put some stock in those extra picks. They may change the OL, but based on past performance, that doesn't mean they will get better there. Cross was a decent pick but he was top 10.

Seattle fans as a rule loved Geno. Always claimed he was a top 10 QB. Not sure of that, but certainly in the top half of NFL QBs. Darnold is a one year wonder.
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
Did you catch Sam Darnold: The Early Years
I don't see a huge upgrade from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold
Raiders could have kept their 3rd round pick and just signed Sam Darnold
I don't think Darnold is as highly regarded in NFL circles as he is here on the message board by some.

I'm not rooting against him, maybe he will take the Seahawks further than they could go with Geno
But he lands on a team that doesn't throw the ball as well as they do in Minnesota and I am focused on the play scheme. Downgrade in head coaching for Darnold after Shanny/OConnell
I'm surprised you feel this is a big upgrade for Seattle
Rams and Niners still in the West, yes/no?
I think the Rams getting Adams is just as big if not bigger than the Seahawks bringing in Darnold for 3 yrs/$100M
Oh yeah, DK Metcalf is no longer with Seattle either, Darnold won't see the same cache of weapons at his disposal
I said what I said. He’s 7 years young, has a bigger arm, a better football IQ, and was cheaper than Geno.

Yeah, I sew Darnold’s early career. I saw Geno’s early career on that same craptastic team. A hilarious comment considering they had the same career trajectory in the same bad organization.

I also see Geno’s schitzo 2024 and Darnold play at an extremely high level, despite the MIN offense being not particularly well suited for Darnold’s game. Darnold is moving to a WCO, which is a perfect fit (it’s why the Niners brought him in).

I’m assuming the Seahawks use draft picks/cap room to improve the interior OL, but at the same time their offense won’t be as deep shot reliant as MIN’s was - which means quicker decisions and less time “seeing ghosts” because he won’t be expected to hold the ball as long.

As such I see no validity to your comment that Geno ~> Darnold was somehow a downgrade for the Seahawks.

Again:
• cost less
• 7 years younger
• better QB

And I’ll add the context of last year since you’re adding the context of their early careers. Darnold >>>> Geno
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
He came into a perfect situation and now his situation isn't perfect. In fact, it's pretty much on the opposite spectrum. And yes, playing like crap when there is real pressure does matter. Nobody ever doubted his throwing ability, but a lot of doubts about his processing and decision making. That showed up huge in those last two games and that has been the norm for him during the entire rest of his career.

I guess when Seattle shows any ability to draft OL, then I might put some stock in those extra picks. They may change the OL, but based on past performance, that doesn't mean they will get better there. Cross was a decent pick but he was top 10.

Seattle fans as a rule loved Geno. Always claimed he was a top 10 QB. Not sure of that, but certainly in the top half of NFL QBs. Darnold is a one year wonder.
Also note the offensive style change because it matters. MIN was a deep shot home run hitting offense. That’s not great for a poor OL who can’t protect long enough.

Seattle expected to run a WCO. Much better suited to his style and makes me worry a bit less about the OL.
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
Did you catch Sam Darnold: The Early Years
I don't see a huge upgrade from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold
Raiders could have kept their 3rd round pick and just signed Sam Darnold
I don't think Darnold is as highly regarded in NFL circles as he is here on the message board by some.

I'm not rooting against him, maybe he will take the Seahawks further than they could go with Geno
But he lands on a team that doesn't throw the ball as well as they do in Minnesota and I am focused on the play scheme. Downgrade in head coaching for Darnold after Shanny/OConnell
I'm surprised you feel this is a big upgrade for Seattle
Rams and Niners still in the West, yes/no?
I think the Rams getting Adams is just as big if not bigger than the Seahawks bringing in Darnold for 3 yrs/$100M
Oh yeah, DK Metcalf is no longer with Seattle either, Darnold won't see the same cache of weapons at his disposal
I said what I said. He’s 7 years young, has a bigger arm, a better football IQ, and was cheaper than Geno.

Yeah, I sew Darnold’s early career. I saw Geno’s early career on that same craptastic team. A hilarious comment considering they had the same career trajectory in the same bad organization.

I also see Geno’s schitzo 2024 and Darnold play at an extremely high level, despite the MIN offense being not particularly well suited for Darnold’s game. Darnold is moving to a WCO, which is a perfect fit (it’s why the Niners brought him in).

I’m assuming the Seahawks use draft picks/cap room to improve the interior OL, but at the same time their offense won’t be as deep **** reliant as MIN’s was - which means quicker decisions and less time “seeing ghosts” because he won’t be expected to hold the ball as long.

As such I see no validity to your comment that Geno ~> Darnold was somehow a downgrade for the Seahawks.

Again:
• cost less
• 7 years younger
• better QB

And I’ll add the context of last year since you’re adding the context of their early careers. Darnold >>>> Geno
Cost, age, arm don't factor into Redraft '25 my friend...you're focused on Dynasty it seems
We're speaking different languages here but I read you the first time, appreciate the clarification, I said plenty on my last post and stand by it, no reason to repeat it
(y)
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
He came into a perfect situation and now his situation isn't perfect. In fact, it's pretty much on the opposite spectrum. And yes, playing like crap when there is real pressure does matter. Nobody ever doubted his throwing ability, but a lot of doubts about his processing and decision making. That showed up huge in those last two games and that has been the norm for him during the entire rest of his career.

I guess when Seattle shows any ability to draft OL, then I might put some stock in those extra picks. They may change the OL, but based on past performance, that doesn't mean they will get better there. Cross was a decent pick but he was top 10.

Seattle fans as a rule loved Geno. Always claimed he was a top 10 QB. Not sure of that, but certainly in the top half of NFL QBs. Darnold is a one year wonder.


Seattle expected to run a WCO. Much better suited to his style and makes me worry a bit less about the OL.
Have to disagree here. WCO relies more on processing and quick decisions. Sam's strength is throwing the intermediate and deep routes. I think it's actually a worse offense for him.

I actually wish the guy well despite him now playing for that despicable franchise. Hard not to root for someone who has overcome the adversity he has in his still young career.
 
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But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
He came into a perfect situation and now his situation isn't perfect. In fact, it's pretty much on the opposite spectrum. And yes, playing like crap when there is real pressure does matter. Nobody ever doubted his throwing ability, but a lot of doubts about his processing and decision making. That showed up huge in those last two games and that has been the norm for him during the entire rest of his career.

I guess when Seattle shows any ability to draft OL, then I might put some stock in those extra picks. They may change the OL, but based on past performance, that doesn't mean they will get better there. Cross was a decent pick but he was top 10.

Seattle fans as a rule loved Geno. Always claimed he was a top 10 QB. Not sure of that, but certainly in the top half of NFL QBs. Darnold is a one year wonder.


Seattle expected to run a WCO. Much better suited to his style and makes me worry a bit less about the OL.
Have to disagree here. WCO relies more on processing and quick decisions. Sam's strength is throwing the into the intermediate and deep routes. I think it's actually a worse offense for him.

I actually wish the guy well despite him now playing for that despicable franchise. Hard not to root for someone who has overcome the adversity he has in his still young career.
Guess time will tell. I think he’s a significant better fit in a WCO than one he’s expected to hold the ball longer.
 
Warren Sharp on Darnold in Seattle:

A massive 29% of Sam Darnold's incompletions were because he was being pressured. Thats the 5th highest percentage in the NFL.

But that was behind a Vikings OL that ranked #2 in pass block win rate. He's going to be pressured a lot more next year in Seattle. The Seahawks' OL last year ranked 30th in pressure rate allowed. They've ranked terribly in pressure rate for several years, and it has plagued ther passing game consistently.

Darnold is either gonna have to get a lot better at passing the ball under pressure or his completion rate is probably going to dip because he's being pressured too much in 2025.

 
Put me in the camp that prefers Geno to Darnold. Yeah Darnold's younger but not better. Seattle better improve that OL. Think Seattle had to pivot when Geno turned down the 40+Mn a year and took the next best option.
• Darnold: 4319 PaYd, 35 TD, 12 Int (2.91:1)
• Smith: 4320 PaYd, 21 TD, 17 Int (1.23:1)

Not sure how one looks at Geno and sees a remarkably better QB. Was that 1 more PaYd that significant?
:oldunsure:

At best I’d say they’re close. That’s me being generous with the fact that Geno threw 4 of those TD in a meaningless game against the Rams practice squad. realistically he’s closer to 17:17, which last I checked isn’t as good as 35:12, but my math may be off.

Also Geno was a weekly headache in FF - one week he’s 300+, the next he’s unstable. Consistency matters in both NFL and FF
 
Put me in the camp that prefers Geno to Darnold. Yeah Darnold's younger but not better. Seattle better improve that OL. Think Seattle had to pivot when Geno turned down the 40+Mn a year and took the next best option.
• Darnold: 4319 PaYd, 35 TD, 12 Int (2.91:1)
• Smith: 4320 PaYd, 21 TD, 17 Int (1.23:1)

Not sure how one looks at Geno and sees a remarkably better QB. Was that 1 more PaYd that significant?
:oldunsure:

At best I’d say they’re close. That’s me being generous with the fact that Geno threw 4 of those TD in a meaningless game against the Rams practice squad. realistically he’s closer to 17:17, which last I checked isn’t as good as 35:12, but my math may be off.

Also Geno was a weekly headache in FF - one week he’s 300+, the next he’s unstable. Consistency matters in both NFL and FF
That’s some serious cherry picking. Sam had a lot of stat whoring himself.
 
Put me in the camp that prefers Geno to Darnold. Yeah Darnold's younger but not better. Seattle better improve that OL. Think Seattle had to pivot when Geno turned down the 40+Mn a year and took the next best option.
• Darnold: 4319 PaYd, 35 TD, 12 Int (2.91:1)
• Smith: 4320 PaYd, 21 TD, 17 Int (1.23:1)

Not sure how one looks at Geno and sees a remarkably better QB. Was that 1 more PaYd that significant?
:oldunsure:

At best I’d say they’re close. That’s me being generous with the fact that Geno threw 4 of those TD in a meaningless game against the Rams practice squad. realistically he’s closer to 17:17, which last I checked isn’t as good as 35:12, but my math may be off.

Also Geno was a weekly headache in FF - one week he’s 300+, the next he’s unstable. Consistency matters in both NFL and FF
That’s some serious cherry picking. Sam had a lot of stat whoring himself.
Cherry picking?

It’s the main statistical categories.

The biggest issue was Geno’s week to week inconsistency.
 
Sam Darnold move was Brillant for the Seahawks. I had thought the Seahawks were playing checkers they weren't they were playing chess. But a bad move for Sam for the skilled positions in Seattle are of lesser quality.
 
Warren Sharp on Darnold in Seattle:

A massive 29% of Sam Darnold's incompletions were because he was being pressured. Thats the 5th highest percentage in the NFL.

But that was behind a Vikings OL that ranked #2 in pass block win rate. He's going to be pressured a lot more next year in Seattle. The Seahawks' OL last year ranked 30th in pressure rate allowed. They've ranked terribly in pressure rate for several years, and it has plagued ther passing game consistently.

Darnold is either gonna have to get a lot better at passing the ball under pressure or his completion rate is probably going to dip because he's being pressured too much in 2025.


Lousy offensive line.

No WRs.

What could go wrong?
 
Warren Sharp on Darnold in Seattle:

A massive 29% of Sam Darnold's incompletions were because he was being pressured. Thats the 5th highest percentage in the NFL.

But that was behind a Vikings OL that ranked #2 in pass block win rate. He's going to be pressured a lot more next year in Seattle. The Seahawks' OL last year ranked 30th in pressure rate allowed. They've ranked terribly in pressure rate for several years, and it has plagued ther passing game consistently.

Darnold is either gonna have to get a lot better at passing the ball under pressure or his completion rate is probably going to dip because he's being pressured too much in 2025.

I like Warren Sharp, but he was also pretty bearish on Baker last year.
 
But he's not an upgrade to Geno. Sam showed his true colors in week 18 and round one of the playoffs. No longer has Jefferson, Addison and Hockenson to throw to. JSN is a nice receiver, but Jefferson is elite. Plus Seahawks OL is not good in pass protection. Sam gonna be seeing ghosts again in 2025
Dismissing an entire season because of 1-2 games is a wild take. Especially after they lost - top OL.

A whole draft coming up with extra 2nd & 3rd picks, and a ton of cap room and you’re assuming the OL of SEA will be the same?
Did you catch Sam Darnold: The Early Years
I don't see a huge upgrade from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold
Raiders could have kept their 3rd round pick and just signed Sam Darnold
I don't think Darnold is as highly regarded in NFL circles as he is here on the message board by some.

I'm not rooting against him, maybe he will take the Seahawks further than they could go with Geno
But he lands on a team that doesn't throw the ball as well as they do in Minnesota and I am focused on the play scheme. Downgrade in head coaching for Darnold after Shanny/OConnell
I'm surprised you feel this is a big upgrade for Seattle
Rams and Niners still in the West, yes/no?
I think the Rams getting Adams is just as big if not bigger than the Seahawks bringing in Darnold for 3 yrs/$100M
Oh yeah, DK Metcalf is no longer with Seattle either, Darnold won't have the same cache of weapons at his disposal
did anyone see Geno Smith early years? or just this last couple seasons when he's throwing into triple coverage in the redzone? He's been average at best.....Darnold strengths fit Kubiak/Shanny type offense. Don't worry about the o-line, clearly they are going to have some work still to come (Fries/draft)
 
Lousy offensive line.

No WRs.

What could go wrong?
March 10th.

FA just opened this morning. The draft isn’t for a while yet.

Maybe hold off on these types of posts until we actually know the situation?

I’m a Darnold shareholder x2 in 16-team SF leagues. He’s my QB2 in both. For the moment I’m reserving judgement on the Seattle OL & receiving corps because a lot will change between now and September.

Believe me, I’ll be the 1st one here to criticize them if they look the same come opening day. I’m skeptical that will be the case given their draft capital & cap room.

Wouldn’t be surprised by some in-draft trades for IOL & WR either.
 
Career-wise they both (Geno and Darnold) seem very bad with an occasional good season.
Situations were shall we say, less than ideal for both.

Context is critical here - they both started off as Jets.

The Jets with young QBs have a habit of turning gold into tin like some sort of wacky reverse alchemists.
 
Some of the talking heads at the Athletic were saying Ryan Grubb's offense was a very bad fit for Seattle's personnel, especially the Oline. They mentioned the offense not being QB friendly (lack of play action, specifically) and how Geno was consistently forced to bail them out under immense pressure.

Now enter Klint Kubiak. We all know the Kubiak/Shanahan offenses are essentially the opposite of what I said above. Kubiak was the passing game coordinator with the 49ers when Darnold was there. If DK sticks around I can see this being the best situation Darnold has been in besides last year.
Is Darnold with Seattle now?
Yes
 
Lousy offensive line.

No WRs.

What could go wrong?
March 10th.

FA just opened this morning. The draft isn’t for a while yet.

Maybe hold off on these types of posts until we actually know the situation?

I’m a Darnold shareholder x2 in 16-team SF leagues. He’s my QB2 in both. For the moment I’m reserving judgement on the Seattle OL & receiving corps because a lot will change between now and September.

Believe me, I’ll be the 1st one here to criticize them if they look the same come opening day. I’m skeptical that will be the case given their draft capital & cap room.

Wouldn’t be surprised by some in-draft trades for IOL & WR either.
Nah. Holding off is boring.

I'll put a stake in the ground here: Minus his QB whisperer coach and assuming the O-line and WR corp isn't upgraded considerably, I predict that Darnold's performance is more like his last two games as a Viking vs. all the games prior.

Feel free to save. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong.
 

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