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RB Christian McCaffrey, SF (3 Viewers)

Funny thing is that I was going to skip over Taylor and was hoping to grab Tyreek Hill combing back in the 2nd.  Had the guy right before me NOT taken Hill, I would have had him and Davante Adams.  But because he did, I ended up taking Taylor as the last 1st round RB left. 
We do KTS (aka pick your own draft spot) - when the 1st pick took 1.02, I was strongly considering taking 1.04 specifically targeting Taylor, but the sexiness of the back to back picks at bookend 1.01 was too strong to resist. 

 
I'm only surprised his injuries this season both came after road games. I fully expected his home stadium's new FieldTurf to be the culprit this year.

 
He is too fragile to be trusted with goal line carries.  4 games is SSS anyway
If you took the time to read above, I was only showing that CMC is a stud WHEN HE IS HEALTHY.  It wouldn't matter if it was just 1 game or 4, or 1000.  When CMC plays an entire game, he is a stud, period.  In his career, he has started 58 games, and has 1305.6 PPR fantasy points in those games, for an average of 22.5.  Please let me know what other RB's have started at least 50 games and have a higher per game average, thank you.

 
feels like a bunch of newbs in here crying.....man, get over it....dude is a good football player....he got hurt.....two years in a row....that doesn't make him a bust....I think we have some people misunderstanding the word bust or having different definitions....when healthy, he was productive,.....even the #1 QB's WR's or TE's have bad games....did he have some bad games when healthy?...sure.....but every player does....had he played healthy all year, would he have been "worth the pick"....who knows, maybe....maybe not...he was still the CONSENSUS #1 pick by almost every "expert" and any FF player....it always sucks losing your first round pick....no matter if it is #1 or #12....it hurts....does it hurt more at #1 sure....but that is the risk of having that early pick....and the "advantage" you may or may not get cause you have to wait so long until your next pick....

nobody forced you to pick the guy....did you think he was a bust on your draft night?....no you didn't or else you wouldn't have taken him.....so if he wasn't a bust on draft night, don't call him one now....you don't really get to do that when a player gets hurt....if he plays the majority to all all of the games and under performs his draft spot, then sure....but you can't call him a bust when he only plays four games....it was unfortunate for you....but thats it...because he, heading into both of these last few seasons, was still a very good football player...I have him in my main money league...I lost this week but I am still 10-2... you still need to draft good after round one....and you can recover....

this #### happens sometimes in fantasy....gotta get over it...

 
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Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 

 
Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 


Not touching him with a ten foot pole unless he falls to the late 3rd round. Only thing that would make me feel optimistic is a new coaching staff and a QB upgrade. He needs to be used like Ekeler at the max- plain and simple. But IDK if this guy even wants it anymore 

8-10 carries MAX, and unlimited receptions in space and go down easily, stop taking stupid hits 

 
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feels like a bunch of newbs in here crying.....man, get over it....dude is a good football player....he got hurt.....two years in a row....that doesn't make him a bust....I think we have some people misunderstanding the word bust or having different definitions....when healthy, he was productive,.....even the #1 QB's WR's or TE's have bad games....did he have some bad games when healthy?...sure.....but every player does....had he played healthy all year, would he have been "worth the pick"....who knows, maybe....maybe not...he was still the CONSENSUS #1 pick by almost every "expert" and any FF player....it always sucks losing your first round pick....no matter if it is #1 or #12....it hurts....does it hurt more at #1 sure....but that is the risk of having that early pick....and the "advantage" you may or may not get cause you have to wait so long until your next pick....

nobody forced you to pick the guy....did you think he was a bust on your draft night?....no you didn't or else you wouldn't have taken him.....so if he wasn't a bust on draft night, don't call him one now....you don't really get to do that when a player gets hurt....if he plays the majority to all all of the games and under performs his draft spot, then sure....but you can't call him a bust when he only plays four games....it was unfortunate for you....but thats it...because he, heading into both of these last few seasons, was still a very good football player...I have him in my main money league...I lost this week but I am still 10-2... you still need to draft good after round one....and you can recover....

this #### happens sometimes in fantasy....get over it...


Y'know, the bolded is ironic coming from a poster who's alias is "Stinkin Ref".  :lol:

 
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Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 
Let him be someone else's headache in the 2nd

 
I already admitted I should have stated my league settings for context.

The crux of my statement was that he is a bust for the past two years.  Do you think he's not? 

BUT, I never said he was a bust when healthy. That was your mistake. I said, "Even when healthy this year, he wasn't worth the draft pick." I stand by that statement. First, he has played FIVE full games. Not just four. Points for those games are 18.7, 19.7, 10.6, 16.1, 17.9. That doesn't meet my expectations for the #1 pick.  I'd even prefer more deviation of two blow up games and two duds over those scores.  You expect your tip pick to have monster games. Not just above average games.

You want me to compare specific weeks of other players because it fits your narrative. But if you want an apples to apples approach, you should compare the games other RB have played and been healthy in. Not just those particular four (or five). Compare the PPG of CMC for his healthy games to the other RB's PPG of all their healthy games. It gets lopsided pretty quick. 
This entire time, I have only tried to say he is a stud when he plays.  Every RB is a bust when he doesn't.  Yes, it sucks when your top pick gets injured (as CMC has done the last 2 seasons), but our definitions of "bust" are different.  I don't know your exact scoring, but in the 10 games he has started over the last 2 seasons, he has averaged 21.8 PPR.  To me, a bust is a guy like Mike Davis.

 
feels like a bunch of newbs in here crying.....man, get over it....dude is a good football player....he got hurt.....two years in a row....that doesn't make him a bust....I think we have some people misunderstanding the word bust or having different definitions....when healthy, he was productive,.....even the #1 QB's WR's or TE's have bad games....did he have some bad games when healthy?...sure.....but every player does....had he played healthy all year, would he have been "worth the pick"....who knows, maybe....maybe not...he was still the CONSENSUS #1 pick by almost every "expert" and any FF player....it always sucks losing your first round pick....no matter if it is #1 or #12....it hurts....does it hurt more at #1 sure....but that is the risk of having that early pick....and the "advantage" you may or may not get cause you have to wait so long until your next pick....

nobody forced you to pick the guy....did you think he was a bust on your draft night?....no you didn't or else you wouldn't have taken him.....so if he wasn't a bust on draft night, don't call him one now....you don't really get to do that when a player gets hurt....if he plays the majority to all all of the games and under performs his draft spot, then sure....but you can't call him a bust when he only plays four games....it was unfortunate for you....but thats it...because he, heading into both of these last few seasons, was still a very good football player...I have him in my main money league...I lost this week but I am still 10-2... you still need to draft good after round one....and you can recover....

this #### happens sometimes in fantasy....get over it...
Ok iToughguy….

 
Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 
3rd round at the earliest…

 
Anyone in dynasty/keeper think he's tradable this offseason for anything approaching decent value?
Not quite pennies on the dollar, but his history will be priced in. For someone who has a competitive win-now team he offers depth and starting value, but no way can you hitch your wagon to him. Sadly, he's joining the ranks of Zeke, Cook, and Kamara where he's no longer a cornerstone dynasty player.

 
Lol at saying "He is a stud when he starts and finishes a game" so that you can remove the 2 games that he left early.  He played 7 games and averaged 12.9 per game in standard scoring, which was good for RB 15 per game.

 
Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 
yeah but if we use the CMAC logic that is posted in here, Henry would be considered a bust this year cause he only gave you 8 games and in half of those he had less then 20 points in some leagues.....so no way you take a bust in the first next year....

 
feels like a bunch of newbs in here crying.....man, get over it....dude is a good football player....he got hurt.....two years in a row....that doesn't make him a bust....I think we have some people misunderstanding the word bust or having different definitions....when healthy, he was productive,.....even the #1 QB's WR's or TE's have bad games....did he have some bad games when healthy?...sure.....but every player does....had he played healthy all year, would he have been "worth the pick"....who knows, maybe....maybe not...he was still the CONSENSUS #1 pick by almost every "expert" and any FF player....it always sucks losing your first round pick....no matter if it is #1 or #12....it hurts....does it hurt more at #1 sure....but that is the risk of having that early pick....and the "advantage" you may or may not get cause you have to wait so long until your next pick....

nobody forced you to pick the guy....did you think he was a bust on your draft night?....no you didn't or else you wouldn't have taken him.....so if he wasn't a bust on draft night, don't call him one now....you don't really get to do that when a player gets hurt....if he plays the majority to all all of the games and under performs his draft spot, then sure....but you can't call him a bust when he only plays four games....it was unfortunate for you....but thats it...because he, heading into both of these last few seasons, was still a very good football player...I have him in my main money league...I lost this week but I am still 10-2... you still need to draft good after round one....and you can recover....

this #### happens sometimes in fantasy....get over it...


Well said on all points.

When Mixon fell to me at 2.12 I was more nervous about his injury history than I was CMC's. 

And now Mixon is the #3 RB in FF and I can't name another dude I'd rather have other than Jonathan Taylor. As many folks as there were who were doom & gloom about Mixon this year, he sure seems to be performing pretty well. 

So yeah - CMC isn't a bust. He's a dude who's been hurt a few times. There is a huge difference. Montgomery in his rookie season was a FF bust. ARob this year is a bust. There are a host of busts out there. CMC is not one of them. 

 
Now the question becomes in redraft, where does he get drafted?

I'm guessing he's going around the turn next year, ala Barkley.  I guess a lot depends on his QB situation. That offense and Oline in general need some help. Darnold is awful. 

RBs I'd take for sure before him (we'll see how things shake out the rest of the year): Talylor, Henry. In ppr I think Eckler and Najee would have to be in consideration. I still can't believe Lenny is RB5 in my league. Mixon maybe? He's RB3 in my league scoring. What a world. 
I'll happily take the 2nd round discount next season. 

 
CMC remorse would be worse if cook, Henry, kamara, etc all didn’t underperform too
Solid point. 

And some of us were smart enough to handcuff CMC in that narrow window when CMC was getting 95%+ of the touches & Chubba Hubbard owners thought they had the bust. 

Amazingly I may not even need Chubba (after losing Ridley & CMC) but it's nice to have that depth at Flex. 

Timing-wise, with Carolina's BYE coming next week I wasn't planning on having CMC anyway (nor were any of the other shareholders). 

 
Not quite pennies on the dollar, but his history will be priced in. For someone who has a competitive win-now team he offers depth and starting value, but no way can you hitch your wagon to him. Sadly, he's joining the ranks of Zeke, Cook, and Kamara where he's no longer a cornerstone dynasty player.
I sold Kamara 2 years ago fearing Brees retirement & heavy workload taking a toll. I declined to invest in Zeke last season when the owner was going at me hard for players/picks. Always better to take the risk on a young player breaking out than betting an older player wont break down. Or, as Walsh was famous for, better to sell a year too early than a year too late. 

 
I'll happily take the 2nd round discount next season. 
think I'd bet dollars to donuts he still doesn't make it out of the first in most 12 teamers by the time we get to next year...lots of peacocks spreading their feathers in here right now about how they won't touch him cause they are a little bitter right now....no way he makes it past 2.05 in most drafts IMO....it was a hammy and sprained ankle....

 
Solid point. 

And some of us were smart enough to handcuff CMC in that narrow window when CMC was getting 95%+ of the touches & Chubba Hubbard owners thought they had the bust. 

Amazingly I may not even need Chubba (after losing Ridley & CMC) but it's nice to have that depth at Flex. 

Timing-wise, with Carolina's BYE coming next week I wasn't planning on having CMC anyway (nor were any of the other shareholders). 
This was one hell of a season when it comes to injuries.  My RBs have dropped like flies (Mostert, Jacobs, Edmonds, Barkley, and Carson), but I was fortunate to draft Hubbard in the final round of my league's draft, and picked up Mattison a few weeks ago.  Somehow I've managed to stay in playoff contention even though I'm guessing I've gotten more points from FA/WW/backup RBs than the starters I drafted.

 
If you took the time to read above, I was only showing that CMC is a stud WHEN HE IS HEALTHY.  It wouldn't matter if it was just 1 game or 4, or 1000.  When CMC plays an entire game, he is a stud, period.  In his career, he has started 58 games, and has 1305.6 PPR fantasy points in those games, for an average of 22.5.  Please let me know what other RB's have started at least 50 games and have a higher per game average, thank you.
For a fantasy career, he has been one of the best.  I'll agree with that.  I was even been willing to write off last year as an anomaly.  But his injuries are starting to mount, he keeps getting older and the Panthers keep getting worse.

Our draft is auction, so I won't be touching him next year unless he comes at a discount and the Panthers do something about their QB situation (the latter being more important to me)

yeah but if we use the CMAC logic that is posted in here, Henry would be considered a bust this year cause he only gave you 8 games and in half of those he had less then 20 points in some leagues.....so no way you take a bust in the first next year....
No.  I stated above I would much prefer deviation over a couple of mehhhh games.  Henry is still ranked 3rd in scoring (standard league) and hasn't played since week 8.

 
I'm going to finish last in the league I drafted him 1.01 in, most likely. I went in with the mindset that if you're not winning, you're losing, but a last place finish is tough to swallow. 

Another lost year for this guy. No, he doesn't have anything approaching great value in dynasty. Neither does Barkley. Taylor has what CMC had two years ago in terms of value. Redraft? This guy is still a late-round first round pick, if you ask me. Who else? 

 
It was nice to own Hubbard before, but Hubbard is not even close to what he was earlier this year, 12-15 carries and basically no receptions if Abdullah is stealing work. Abdullah was signed off the street and already started to steal work. Chuba is basically a RB2/RB3 at this point. This offense and team are so lost. I'll let someone else deal with the Chuba roster landmine because we should all have plenty of RB3s on our roster, or one would hope. 

Chuba helped earlier this year but past performance is no indication of future results. I'm going to the grave thinking Chuba will be anything more than slightly above replacement level ROS. Look at that playoff schedule- only CMC could overcome that.

I spent legit $70 in two auctions on CMC this year, and it's been brutal, only for the fact that I hit on some other draft picks that I'm floating near .500.

Switch to auction and let me know how you feel about it. Snake drafts are a thing of the past, and there's no way I'm spending a lot of money on CMC next year. Snake drafts are way more forgiving.

 
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I'm going to finish last in the league I drafted him 1.01 in, most likely. I went in with the mindset that if you're not winning, you're losing, but a last place finish is tough to swallow. 

Another lost year for this guy. No, he doesn't have anything approaching great value in dynasty. Neither does Barkley. Taylor has what CMC had two years ago in terms of value. Redraft? This guy is still a late-round first round pick, if you ask me. Who else? 
I don’t regret drafting CMC at 1.01.  It was the right choice at the time.  When healthy, CMC is a league winner since he produces most weeks on the ground and/or in the air.  

My thought process is similar to yours.  I swing for the fences with my picks.  If I don’t finish first, I don’t care where I finish.  

Not sure where I would draft CMC next year.   Now is not the time to make that decision since I am bummed that this has been a challenging season with CMC, Gus Edwards, and Sanders at RB.  

 
Not sure where I would draft CMC next year.   Now is not the time to make that decision since I am bummed that this has been a challenging season with CMC, Gus Edwards, and Sanders at RB.  
Ouch. I also have Sanders in the league I drafted CMC. And Montgomery. Those were my first three picks, so I'm securely in last, and might be worse if the Michael Pittman/Diontae Johnson 4th and 5th picks hadn't worked out the way they did. I'm lucky to have won four games so far. 

 
Ouch. I also have Sanders in the league I drafted CMC. And Montgomery. Those were my first three picks, so I'm securely in last, and might be worse if the Michael Pittman/Diontae Johnson 4th and 5th picks hadn't worked out the way they did. I'm lucky to have won four games so far. 
I have Pittman too which was a nice surprise but WR hasn’t been a problem.  RB has been a struggle all season.  It happens.  

 
Anyone in dynasty/keeper think he's tradable this offseason for anything approaching decent value?
I can pretty much guarantee the average CMC owner will not sell for less than top 5 overall value, and that people will happily pay good value to get him.

 
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I can pretty much guarantee the average CMC owner will not sell for less than top 5 overall value, and that people will happily pay good value to get him.
I agree. There should be a big injury discount. Which is what I thought when I tried to buy-low on Saquan last offseason. There wasn't, but there should have been. Sunk cost fallacy is only valid if the person who sunk the cost realizes their asset isn't that valuable any more. And FF managers are, in general, too emotionally and collaterally invested in their top players to sell low on a former top asset. 

 
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think I'd bet dollars to donuts he still doesn't make it out of the first in most 12 teamers by the time we get to next year...lots of peacocks spreading their feathers in here right now about how they won't touch him cause they are a little bitter right now....no way he makes it past 2.05 in most drafts IMO....it was a hammy and sprained ankle....
Completely agree. But if I'm sitting 2.05 and CMC is there, team 2.06 ain't getting him. No way I let that pass. Not to mention he'll be relatively rested from having so much time off. I fully expect CMC to dedicate himself to flexibility training to try to avoid the soft tissue injuries. Sprained ankles happen all the time. No preparation will prevent it. 

Neither of his injuries concern me for 2022, and both were kind of flukey. I'm probably in anywhere past 1.10 

 
Completely agree. But if I'm sitting 2.05 and CMC is there, team 2.06 ain't getting him. No way I let that pass. Not to mention he'll be relatively rested from having so much time off. I fully expect CMC to dedicate himself to flexibility training to try to avoid the soft tissue injuries. Sprained ankles happen all the time. No preparation will prevent it. 

Neither of his injuries concern me for 2022, and both were kind of flukey. I'm probably in anywhere past 1.10 
You said his 3 injuries last year were also fluky.  So now we have 2 seasons with 5 "fluky" injuries.  Hmmmmm...something isnt adding up.  Perhaps its the 700+ touches the team gave him in 2 meaningless years.  I dont care who you are, how well you train, what flexibility exercises you do.....your body is writing a check and now we see its getting cashed in cmacs case.  I said it before and i will say it again, he is done.  Probably both fantasy wise and in real life. 

 
I don’t regret drafting CMC at 1.01.  It was the right choice at the time.  When healthy, CMC is a league winner since he produces most weeks on the ground and/or in the air.  

My thought process is similar to yours.  I swing for the fences with my picks.  If I don’t finish first, I don’t care where I finish.  

Not sure where I would draft CMC next year.   Now is not the time to make that decision since I am bummed that this has been a challenging season with CMC, Gus Edwards, and Sanders at RB.  
I'm the same, which is why I drafted Barkley in the 2nd round (oof).  I would still take CMC in the first round next year because when healthy he can win the league for his owners.  There aren't very many players you can say that about.

 
Only trade in my 12 team $$ league was me giving up Hollywood for CMC a month or so ago.  Still was a good trade even though original owner is happy about the news.  Unfortunately for me, my early draft pics included Ridley and Pitts. So I'm done. CMC staying healthy maybe I had a shot. 

 
Lol at saying "He is a stud when he starts and finishes a game" so that you can remove the 2 games that he left early.  He played 7 games and averaged 12.9 per game in standard scoring, which was good for RB 15 per game.
I like how you used standard scoring instead of PPR.  It makes it look alot better to you to type 12.9 versus 18.2, doesn't it?  In PPR, even playing under 30 snaps in 43% of his games, he is still averaging 18.2, which was good for RB7 per game.  Just think about that.  In 3 out of 7 games he had 20, 22, and 29 snaps, and still managed to be the 7th best PPR RB.

I don't own him in any league, and never had.  But when he is healthy, he IS one of the best fantasy RB's that has ever donned a uniform.  But, as you know, we live in a "what have you done for me lately" world.  How soon we forget he didn't miss a single game in his first 3 seasons, and holds the record for most RB receptions in a season with 116.  BTW, do you know whose record he broke? 

 
TheWinz said:
I like how you used standard scoring instead of PPR.  It makes it look alot better to you to type 12.9 versus 18.2, doesn't it?  In PPR, even playing under 30 snaps in 43% of his games, he is still averaging 18.2, which was good for RB7 per game.
I used standard scoring because that is my league’s scoring system.  But yes you are correct, in standard scoring he was an upper-half RB2, and in PPR scoring he was a lower-half RB1.

 
TheWinz said:
But, as you know, we live in a "what have you done for me lately" world.  How soon we forget he didn't miss a single game in his first 3 seasons, and holds the record for most RB receptions in a season with 116.  BTW, do you know whose record he broke? 
We also live in a world where we tell ourselves you can't predict injuries while at the same time, we are constantly trying to predict injuries - or anything else we think we can predict. FF is about the constant pursuit to be the smartest person in the room. This pursuit lead to some brilliantly avoiding CMC while others stupidly drafted him.

We are squarely in salty season and a lot of player threads reflect it. It's the time each year where play-off pictures start to become clearer and we're getting our first taste of the agony of defeat.

 
We also live in a world where we tell ourselves you can't predict injuries while at the same time, we are constantly trying to predict injuries - or anything else we think we can predict. FF is about the constant pursuit to be the smartest person in the room. This pursuit lead to some brilliantly avoiding CMC while others stupidly drafted him.

We are squarely in salty season and a lot of player threads reflect it. It's the time each year where play-off pictures start to become clearer and we're getting our first taste of the agony of defeat.
It's comical.  You visit the thread of any injured stud and all you read are people complaining about how their season is doomed.  But those people are too embarrassed to open the Mike Davis and Allen Robinson thread to complain they drafted a dud.

 
I was offered CMC for Barkley and Antonio Brown and turned it down.  I countered with Barkley and Brown for CMC, Elijah Moore and a 2022 1st (devy league) and was turned down.  So, my feelings are that if I traded for CMC I would need a discount.  Not give one on Barkley.

 

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