What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

RB Rashaad Penny, CAR (1 Viewer)

Penny's really shown something the last couple of seasons and he should be able to come back 100% from this injury. Worth a buy low in dynasty/salary based keeper formats if you can't get him cheap. He still has a chance to be something, in Seattle or elsewhere. Remember "Fragile" Fred Taylor?
We all remember Fred Taylor. Fred started 16 games in his 5th season.

We need a new benchmark if we're going to keep talking about "maybe this year" with Penny.
He's one of the greatest RBs of all time. He IS the benchmark. The gold standard. Why do we need to reinvent the wheel?
 
Penny's really shown something the last couple of seasons and he should be able to come back 100% from this injury. Worth a buy low in dynasty/salary based keeper formats if you can't get him cheap. He still has a chance to be something, in Seattle or elsewhere. Remember "Fragile" Fred Taylor?
We all remember Fred Taylor. Fred started 16 games in his 5th season.

We need a new benchmark if we're going to keep talking about "maybe this year" with Penny.
I had Taylor that year. He fell so far I figured “as my RB4, why not? If I get 5-6 games out of him it’ll be worth the pick”

Helped win me a championship that year. Had almost 50 receptions, too.

Then I took him a little higher in his 6th season & was also worth it.

Then I missed him in his 7th season but took him about the same in his 8th season, when he played 11 games. I had ragrets.

He actually had quite a few years of very good production, which is overshadowed by a few missed games. From 2002-2007 he was a very productive bad, not including that 11 game season.

His moniker is a little unfair. His missed games on average are right there with most modern RBs.

Perhaps in time Penny will have enough full seasons to shake his reputation as well. It won’t be next year, but if he signs for a meaningful role somewhere I’ll happily take the discount in redraft. Broken bones mend just fine - low risk injury so long as there’s no compound fracture.
 
Penny's really shown something the last couple of seasons and he should be able to come back 100% from this injury. Worth a buy low in dynasty/salary based keeper formats if you can't get him cheap. He still has a chance to be something, in Seattle or elsewhere. Remember "Fragile" Fred Taylor?
We all remember Fred Taylor. Fred started 16 games in his 5th season.

We need a new benchmark if we're going to keep talking about "maybe this year" with Penny.
He's one of the greatest RBs of all time. He IS the benchmark. The gold standard. Why do we need to reinvent the wheel?
Because, unlike Fred, Penny continues to get hurt every single year.

Fred played in 17 of 18 games as a rookie (starting 14) and 16 of 16 in his 5th season (100 of 112 over the next 7 seasons). He played in 60 of 84 games in his first five seasons (71%) with 56 starts and 1,173 touches. Penny has played in 43 of 70* (61%) with only 11 starts and 364 touches.

Penny has surpassed Fred's injury history by a massive margin.

Yes, it's catastrophically wrong to mention Penny in the same breath as Fred Taylor.

*Maybe more if the Seahawks make the playoffs.
 
Penny's really shown something the last couple of seasons and he should be able to come back 100% from this injury. Worth a buy low in dynasty/salary based keeper formats if you can't get him cheap. He still has a chance to be something, in Seattle or elsewhere. Remember "Fragile" Fred Taylor?
We all remember Fred Taylor. Fred started 16 games in his 5th season.

We need a new benchmark if we're going to keep talking about "maybe this year" with Penny.
He's one of the greatest RBs of all time. He IS the benchmark. The gold standard. Why do we need to reinvent the wheel?
Because, unlike Fred, Penny continues to get hurt every single year.

Fred played in 17 of 18 games as a rookie (starting 14) and 16 of 16 in his 5th season (100 of 112 over the next 7 seasons). He played in 60 of 84 games in his first five seasons (71%) with 56 starts and 1,173 touches. Penny has played in 43 of 70* (61%) with only 11 starts and 364 touches.

Penny has surpassed Fred's injury history by a massive margin.

Yes, it's catastrophically wrong to mention Penny in the same breath as Fred Taylor.

*Maybe more if the Seahawks make the playoffs.
Why try to start an argument? I'm not here to play that game. Was there anywhere where I said Penny was Fred Taylor? Fred Taylor is an extreme example, that's why he's Fred Taylor. My post was only to say Penny is worth an add at the right price, if you disagree, fine. Most wouldn't.
 
Why try to start an argument? I'm not here to play that game. Was there anywhere where I said Penny was Fred Taylor? Fred Taylor is an extreme example, that's why he's Fred Taylor. My post was only to say Penny is worth an add at the right price, if you disagree, fine. Most wouldn't.
Penny may be a good acquisition but framing your argument around Fred Taylor is selling a false bill of goods.

I'm not starting an argument, I'm pointing out false logic so the people you are trying to help have more information before making a decision to target Penny or not.

It's a bad comp and people should know that.
 
Why try to start an argument? I'm not here to play that game. Was there anywhere where I said Penny was Fred Taylor? Fred Taylor is an extreme example, that's why he's Fred Taylor. My post was only to say Penny is worth an add at the right price, if you disagree, fine. Most wouldn't.
Penny may be a good acquisition but framing your argument around Fred Taylor is selling a false bill of goods.

I'm not starting an argument, I'm pointing out false logic so the people you are trying to help have more information before making a decision to target Penny or not.

It's a bad comp and people should know that.
False logic? What's your deal bud? You're trying to create a straw man argument. Nowhere did I compare the two. Taylor was literally known as Fragile Fred Taylor. I never said Penny was as good as him just that he has amazing risk/reward potential and anything is possible. Taylor is an excellent example of that, is he not? I mean, I just picked up Penny for next to nothing. Why not?

Back then, you could get Taylor for a song too, it was a different era. Everyone was a bell cow so his missed games were very significant.
 

Eagles agreed to terms with RB Rashaad Penny, formerly of the Seahawks.

It's a smart flier for a team letting Miles Sanders walk in free agency, though obviously a risky one. Amongst the league's most dangerous home run hitters, Penny is also amongst the most injury prone. He has been limited to 42 games across five NFL seasons, just five of which came in 2022. When he was healthy the past two years, Penny averaged a dazzling 6.2 yards per carry. He averaged a league leading 2.1 yards over expected during his breakout 2021. No other back was above 1.57. He is a perfect breakaway option between the 20s for a team that will let Kenneth Gainwell catch passes and Jalen Hurts handle the goal line. Even if he is strictly a two-down back who isn't option A at the goal line, Penny would be a top-18 back were he to stay healthy.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Ian Rapoport on Twitter
Mar 14, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET
 

Eagles agreed to terms with RB Rashaad Penny, formerly of the Seahawks.

It's a smart flier for a team letting Miles Sanders walk in free agency, though obviously a risky one. Amongst the league's most dangerous home run hitters, Penny is also amongst the most injury prone. He has been limited to 42 games across five NFL seasons, just five of which came in 2022. When he was healthy the past two years, Penny averaged a dazzling 6.2 yards per carry. He averaged a league leading 2.1 yards over expected during his breakout 2021. No other back was above 1.57. He is a perfect breakaway option between the 20s for a team that will let Kenneth Gainwell catch passes and Jalen Hurts handle the goal line. Even if he is strictly a two-down back who isn't option A at the goal line, Penny would be a top-18 back were he to stay healthy.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Ian Rapoport on Twitter
Mar 14, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET
I don't often agree with the Roto blurbs but I thought they put the bolded perfect and that's what I meant when I said a few posts up it's perfect for what he brings to the table.
 
Well worth the risk. IF he is able to play the whole season, he could be great behind that line.
He won me a bunch of leagues in 2021. He's the kind of moderate price risk I like to take while everyone else is busy making injury jokes and being dismissive.
 
I see this as a big positive until he’s hurt or if they draft an RB relatively early.
I picked him up as end of bench stash that would be a drop after rookie draft, but I will now find a way for him to make my roster.
 
So generally a vote of confidence in Gainwell as the main man in Philly? Thoughts?
No, I feel pretty strongly it's Penny(again queue up the till he's injured chorus).

I don't see Gainwell's role changing.
To add to this.

Penny got a really low one year contract, not even $2m guaranteed. I never thought he'd get a lot but when Miles was saying goodbye after the Penny signing I thought he got more then that.

Nothing they paid Penny would prohibit them paying another RB. They could also draft one but are light on mid round picks with no picks right now between 4-6.

One way or another I'm expecting another low cost addition. Not a big time addition on top of resigning Scott because they only activate 3 RB's each week.

Still like the landing spot for Penny as talent and ability have not been his issues, easy to make an argument he's been the most explosive and perhaps best RB on a per carry basis in the league the last few years. But the money and commitment is not great and with Hurts eating as much as he does you can't deal with to much comp, not matter how efficient you are.

Still see no role change for Gainwell and in general would not view Gainwell as a keeper in FFPC leagues. I do own Penny in 3 FFPC leagues and had him as a fringe candidate to stick on rosters depending on how FA worked out for him. Despite the low pay he is a keeper to me.
 
So generally a vote of confidence in Gainwell as the main man in Philly? Thoughts?
No, I feel pretty strongly it's Penny(again queue up the till he's injured chorus).

I don't see Gainwell's role changing.
To add to this.

Penny got a really low one year contract, not even $2m guaranteed. I never thought he'd get a lot but when Miles was saying goodbye after the Penny signing I thought he got more then that.

Nothing they paid Penny would prohibit them paying another RB. They could also draft one but are light on mid round picks with no picks right now between 4-6.

One way or another I'm expecting another low cost addition. Not a big time addition on top of resigning Scott because they only activate 3 RB's each week.

Still like the landing spot for Penny as talent and ability have not been his issues, easy to make an argument he's been the most explosive and perhaps best RB on a per carry basis in the league the last few years. But the money and commitment is not great and with Hurts eating as much as he does you can't deal with to much comp, not matter how efficient you are.

Still see no role change for Gainwell and in general would not view Gainwell as a keeper in FFPC leagues. I do own Penny in 3 FFPC leagues and had him as a fringe candidate to stick on rosters depending on how FA worked out for him. Despite the low pay he is a keeper to me.
I don't know. If Penny is a end of bench keeper in FFPC-style league, I think Gainwell is sitting right next to him on the edge of that same bench. They gave Gainwell some good touches late last season into the post season and I thought he showed a real spark. But, yeah, a lot can change between now, the NFL draft, and roster cut down.
 
So generally a vote of confidence in Gainwell as the main man in Philly? Thoughts?
No, I feel pretty strongly it's Penny(again queue up the till he's injured chorus).

I don't see Gainwell's role changing.
To add to this.

Penny got a really low one year contract, not even $2m guaranteed. I never thought he'd get a lot but when Miles was saying goodbye after the Penny signing I thought he got more then that.

Nothing they paid Penny would prohibit them paying another RB. They could also draft one but are light on mid round picks with no picks right now between 4-6.

One way or another I'm expecting another low cost addition. Not a big time addition on top of resigning Scott because they only activate 3 RB's each week.

Still like the landing spot for Penny as talent and ability have not been his issues, easy to make an argument he's been the most explosive and perhaps best RB on a per carry basis in the league the last few years. But the money and commitment is not great and with Hurts eating as much as he does you can't deal with to much comp, not matter how efficient you are.

Still see no role change for Gainwell and in general would not view Gainwell as a keeper in FFPC leagues. I do own Penny in 3 FFPC leagues and had him as a fringe candidate to stick on rosters depending on how FA worked out for him. Despite the low pay he is a keeper to me.
I don't see Philly going after another RB.... we already have 3 under contract with Penny/Gainwell/Scott.... Sermon is there (if he makes it), and probably an UDFA since we have very few picks. Wouldn't make sense to go pay for a FA RB as a 4th/5th RB.
 
So generally a vote of confidence in Gainwell as the main man in Philly? Thoughts?
No, I feel pretty strongly it's Penny(again queue up the till he's injured chorus).

I don't see Gainwell's role changing.
To add to this.

Penny got a really low one year contract, not even $2m guaranteed. I never thought he'd get a lot but when Miles was saying goodbye after the Penny signing I thought he got more then that.

Nothing they paid Penny would prohibit them paying another RB. They could also draft one but are light on mid round picks with no picks right now between 4-6.

One way or another I'm expecting another low cost addition. Not a big time addition on top of resigning Scott because they only activate 3 RB's each week.

Still like the landing spot for Penny as talent and ability have not been his issues, easy to make an argument he's been the most explosive and perhaps best RB on a per carry basis in the league the last few years. But the money and commitment is not great and with Hurts eating as much as he does you can't deal with to much comp, not matter how efficient you are.

Still see no role change for Gainwell and in general would not view Gainwell as a keeper in FFPC leagues. I do own Penny in 3 FFPC leagues and had him as a fringe candidate to stick on rosters depending on how FA worked out for him. Despite the low pay he is a keeper to me.
I don't know. If Penny is a end of bench keeper in FFPC-style league, I think Gainwell is sitting right next to him on the edge of that same bench. They gave Gainwell some good touches late last season into the post season and I thought he showed a real spark. But, yeah, a lot can change between now, the NFL draft, and roster cut down.
I just don't agree. Gainwell's best trait is a receiving back on a team that threw less to RB's then any team in the league. I see nothing dynamic, exceptional or really overly above average about him.

Stolen from Sheil Kapadia, over the last two years there have been 56 RB's with at least 150 carries. Out of those 56 Rb's Penny is #1 in YPC and yards after contact. Also per Sheil if you go all the way back to the year 2000 there have 247 RB's with at least 300 carries. Penny is one of them and is #1 in YPC. In the last two years Penny is also #2 in the league in explosive plays per run.

Long story short Penny has been nothing short of spectacular, just has not been able to stay on the field. Gainwell looks like another guy. I'd rather bet on the guy who has looked special and hope he can stay healthy long enough or at the right time then a guy who was healthy all year and gave you about 5 fantasy points a game. I just see no upside in Gainwell.
 
Now that he's out of Seattle, watch Penny be a paragon of durability.

Love the move for Philly. No risk, and potential high reward.

Penny has a career 5.7 YPC, and that's with an OL never even close to as good as what Philly has.
 
Now that he's out of Seattle, watch Penny be a paragon of durability.

Love the move for Philly. No risk, and potential high reward.

Penny has a career 5.7 YPC, and that's with an OL never even close to as good as what Philly has.
even if he plays 5.7 GAMES it will be worth the 600k he's guaranteed.
And a perfect candidate for FF teams that don't go all in at RB.
 
Now that he's out of Seattle, watch Penny be a paragon of durability.
I'm thinking exactly the same - people will shy away from him and he'll stay healthy all year. Sanders wasn't hurt nearly as much as Penny, but he did spend a lot of time on trainer's table quite a bit his first few years. Sometimes guys are injury prone until they're not.
 
Now that he's out of Seattle, watch Penny be a paragon of durability.
I'm thinking exactly the same - people will shy away from him and he'll stay healthy all year. Sanders wasn't hurt nearly as much as Penny, but he did spend a lot of time on trainer's table quite a bit his first few years. Sometimes guys are injury prone until they're not.
Reminds me of the famous quote that sort of goes "some people see things as they are and ask why, some people dream things that never were and say, why not?"

That pretty much sums up my mindset with having a guy like Penny on my roster and really fantasy management in general. Truly think fantasy players to often get caught in how things have been and thinks that's just how it is and fail to think of how it could be. Not that how it's been is not a good indicator or should be ignored, just think more of an open mind that allows for a little optimism never hurt.
 
I'm not saying it's going to happen but "Fragile" Fred Taylor ended up being pretty durable after his first few injury plagued seasons, so it's definitely possible.
 
Funny thing with Penny, I had him in all 3 dynasty leagues last offseason, and sold in 2 to lions fans right after he went off against the lions 😂

I will keep buying if he's offered at an injury discount. Upside + risk baked into cost= a RB I am buying. It's the RBs that everyone is convinced are durable that I'm selling. It's true hardly any RBs have Penny's litany of injuries. But seems like with every RB, a major injury is a matter of when not if.
 
I'm not saying it's going to happen but "Fragile" Fred Taylor ended up being pretty durable after his first few injury plagued seasons, so it's definitely possible.

Fragile Freddy started 3 times as many games in his first 4 seasons than Penny has in 5 seasons. Penny makes Fragile Fred look like Ironman.

But I agree he offers value if he can stay healthy. Will come down to price, I think his ADP will shoot back up to the mid-rounds and out of my preferred price range in dynasty based on this landing spot, especially if Philly doesn’t draft anyone new deemed much of a threat.
 
I'm not saying it's going to happen but "Fragile" Fred Taylor ended up being pretty durable after his first few injury plagued seasons, so it's definitely possible.

Fragile Freddy started 3 times as many games in his first 4 seasons than Penny has in 5 seasons. Penny makes Fragile Fred look like Ironman.

But I agree he offers value if he can stay healthy. Will come down to price, I think his ADP will shoot back up to the mid-rounds and out of my preferred price range in dynasty based on this landing spot, especially if Philly doesn’t draft anyone new deemed much of a threat.
Lol I haven't heard Fragile Freddy y in a long time. Taylor ran like a beast when he was healthy.
 
I'm not saying it's going to happen but "Fragile" Fred Taylor ended up being pretty durable after his first few injury plagued seasons, so it's definitely possible.

Fragile Freddy started 3 times as many games in his first 4 seasons than Penny has in 5 seasons. Penny makes Fragile Fred look like Ironman.

But I agree he offers value if he can stay healthy. Will come down to price, I think his ADP will shoot back up to the mid-rounds and out of my preferred price range in dynasty based on this landing spot, especially if Philly doesn’t draft anyone new deemed much of a threat.
Lol I haven't heard Fragile Freddy y in a long time. Taylor ran like a beast when he was healthy.

Amazingly had a fairly lengthy career too. Was still effective into his early 30’s, made the Pro Bowl at 31!
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top