THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA
Footballguy
169.96 yikes......hope its enough.
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jamil
Footballguy
when is it official? I always just check on Tuesday morning but if it releases tonight I'll wait. My heart can't take the wait till tomorrow.The highest Turkomatic cut line was 172 (though reality is often stranger than a simulation).The 80% percentile Turkomatic had a cut line of 166.It's gonna be a close one.-QG
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Here's the ownership breakdown of all Broncos and Chargers, with their scores.
Player, Ownership Pct, Points
Orton, 19.6, 16.25
Rivers, 20.0, 35.25
Tebow, 1.6, 0.00
Tolbert, 9.7, 22.3
Buckhalter, 0.5, 1.4
Moreno, 1.1, 21.5
Mathews, 9.1, 0.0
Sproles, 0.4, 15.9
Maroney, 0.4, 0.0
Gaffney, 16.9, 6.3
Crayton, 16.9, 19.5
Naane, 8.2, 0.0
Decker, 1.4, 0.0
Floyd, 16.5, 10.4
D Thomas, 0.7, 4.7
Royal, 1.5, 3.2
C Davis, 0.1, 0.0
V Jax, 0.1, 0.0
D Graham, 1.7, 3.6
Gates, 3.7, 0.0
M Branson, 0.1, 0.0
Prater, 1.9, 2.0
Kaeding, 1.1, 5.0
SD Def, 6.1, 7.0
Den Def, 4.7, 3.0
-QG
Player, Ownership Pct, Points
Orton, 19.6, 16.25
Rivers, 20.0, 35.25
Tebow, 1.6, 0.00
Tolbert, 9.7, 22.3
Buckhalter, 0.5, 1.4
Moreno, 1.1, 21.5
Mathews, 9.1, 0.0
Sproles, 0.4, 15.9
Maroney, 0.4, 0.0
Gaffney, 16.9, 6.3
Crayton, 16.9, 19.5
Naane, 8.2, 0.0
Decker, 1.4, 0.0
Floyd, 16.5, 10.4
D Thomas, 0.7, 4.7
Royal, 1.5, 3.2
C Davis, 0.1, 0.0
V Jax, 0.1, 0.0
D Graham, 1.7, 3.6
Gates, 3.7, 0.0
M Branson, 0.1, 0.0
Prater, 1.9, 2.0
Kaeding, 1.1, 5.0
SD Def, 6.1, 7.0
Den Def, 4.7, 3.0
-QG
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
The Turk is sorta like Santa in that it's generally advisable to go to sleep and await your (hopefully) treasure in the morning. I don't recall exactly what time but it's more like a 6-8am type deal.Good luck my fellow Turk-sweaters!-QGwhen is it official? I always just check on Tuesday morning but if it releases tonight I'll wait. My heart can't take the wait till tomorrow.The highest Turkomatic cut line was 172 (though reality is often stranger than a simulation).The 80% percentile Turkomatic had a cut line of 166.It's gonna be a close one.-QG
wollac
Footballguy
My top five by money spent:
Andre Johnson
Calvin Johnson
Philip Rivers
Jerome Harrison
C.J. Spiller
My top five by total points contributed:
Philip Rivers
Arian Foster
Calvin Johnson
Andre Johnson
Brandon Pettigrew
(I'm the only one with either one of these combos)
199.65
On to week 12...
Andre Johnson
Calvin Johnson
Philip Rivers
Jerome Harrison
C.J. Spiller
My top five by total points contributed:
Philip Rivers
Arian Foster
Calvin Johnson
Andre Johnson
Brandon Pettigrew
(I'm the only one with either one of these combos)
199.65
On to week 12...
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Punch out my lights, my party is over.
Saint
Footballguy
H8fulHuck
Footballguy
Sweat and survive. Sweat and survive.Scored exactly 2 points about the cut line and was 929th. There were 71 teams that made it by less than 2.
Cleared the cut by 3 points... 3 out of 4 years that I have gone to week 12, but have never made it to the final 250 yet.
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I don't think the Turk likes it when you bootleg the power rankings
Good luck everyone
Buddy Ball 2K3
Footballguy
Knocked out by 3 pts. Had the Bears defense and figured it was a lock being they shut the Dolphins out. However, number of points awarded for shut outs... ZERO!!!
seatownfavorite
Footballguy
missed by 0.75, my best showing yet. See you guys next year...164.90
THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA
Footballguy
Bruce Leroy
Footballguy
What a brutal cut line. Turk with a roundhouse K.T.F.O.!
Cheap-Shot
Footballguy
I'm out, but am happy to have made it to week 11 my first year competing in the contest. I'll be back next year with a better strategy, using what I learned this year to hopefully go deeper than week 11. Thanks for holding this contest, as it was a blast while it lasted. As others have said, the Football Guys subscription fee is worth it just to compete in this contest alone. Best of luck to those that are still alive and Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.
The Iguana
Footballguy
still sadly following along. week 8 did me in by a slim margin... wouldn't have missed a cut since. Week 8 was the only week I was even close to getting the ax. 
Wonder how many other teams are like that (other than the several hundred that it happened to this week).
Wonder how many other teams are like that (other than the several hundred that it happened to this week).
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The Iguana
Footballguy
me verses the cut line:
1. +90.75
2. +248.60
3. +69.30
4. +71.30
5. +35.95
6. +40.20
7. +25.95
8. -4.05
9. +9.75
10. +16.85
11. +15.00
1. +90.75
2. +248.60
3. +69.30
4. +71.30
5. +35.95
6. +40.20
7. +25.95
8. -4.05
9. +9.75
10. +16.85
11. +15.00
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QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Congrats to the others that have made it this far - as you can see there are nothing but strong entries left now and a lot of good ones just missed out.
I feel particularly bad for this poor guy. Were it not for the 2 kneel downs by Rivers at the end, he would've made it.
Good luck in week 12 to those who've also made it.
Some stats:
Out of 1006 entries (including 6 staff) there are only 17 that do not have Arian Foster. With 2 weeks left until the finals it very well could be a clean sweep for him.
Here's the quickee breakdown. Another tough one for the 18-player guys.
The overall survival rate is 7.70%. The week 12 survival rate was 62.41%
18 players. 5416 started. 189 remain. 3.49% survival rate. 56.59% week 11 survival rate
19-21 players. 4204 started. 277 remain. 6.59% survival rate. 60.09% week 11 survival rate
22-24 players: 1905 started. 232 remain. 12.18% survival rate. 64.09% week 11 survival rate.
25-27 players. 943 started. 173 remain. 18.35% survival rate. 64.55% week 11 survival rate.
28-30 players. 593 started. 135 remain. 22.77% survival rate. 72.19% week 11 survival rate.
-QG
roster size, teams remaining, original teams, % remaining, % surviving wk11
18 - 189 of 5416, 3.49%, 56.59%
19 - 106 or 1905, 5.56%, 56.99%
20 - 95 of 1338, 7.10%, 62.99%
21 - 76 of 961, 7.91%, 62.30%
22 - 79 of 799, 9.89%, 64.23%
23 - 85 of 615, 13.82%, 63.91%
24 - 68 of 491, 13.85%, 64.15%
25 - 76 of 402, 18.91%, 69.72%
26 - 50 of 308, 16.23%, 58.82%
27 - 47 of 233, 20.17%, 63.51%
28 - 35 of 180, 19.44%, 71.43%
29 - 27 of 142, 19.01%, 62.79%
30 - 73 of 271, 26.94%, 76.84%
Looks like the small rosters continued to take a beating, however the average sized rosters held their own vs. the larger rosters. For some reason the 30 man rosters are bucking all statistical trends.
18 - 189 of 5416, 3.49%, 56.59%
19 - 106 or 1905, 5.56%, 56.99%
20 - 95 of 1338, 7.10%, 62.99%
21 - 76 of 961, 7.91%, 62.30%
22 - 79 of 799, 9.89%, 64.23%
23 - 85 of 615, 13.82%, 63.91%
24 - 68 of 491, 13.85%, 64.15%
25 - 76 of 402, 18.91%, 69.72%
26 - 50 of 308, 16.23%, 58.82%
27 - 47 of 233, 20.17%, 63.51%
28 - 35 of 180, 19.44%, 71.43%
29 - 27 of 142, 19.01%, 62.79%
30 - 73 of 271, 26.94%, 76.84%
Looks like the small rosters continued to take a beating, however the average sized rosters held their own vs. the larger rosters. For some reason the 30 man rosters are bucking all statistical trends.
LittlePhatty
Footballguy
Tolbert saved my bacon! (barely)
The sim had me at 19% going into MNF.
I am not at all confident in the next couple of weeks. Lots of good teams and the cut will be high.
The sim had me at 19% going into MNF.
I am not at all confident in the next couple of weeks. Lots of good teams and the cut will be high.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Updated again.-QGUpdated.-QGGoing into week 10, these are the entries with the most players left at each position.
There's 6 5-QB guys.
10 RB Guy #1 STILL IN
10 RB Guy #2 OUT
10 RB Guy #3 STILL IN
18 WR Guy!!!
STILL IN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
7 TE Guy STILL IN
7 PK Guy #1. STILL IN
7 PK Guy #2. STILL IN
6 Defense Guy! STILL IN
So there you go
-QG
TheChairman
Footballguy
On my entire 30 man roster, the only zero for me in week 11 was the Rams D.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
I would still be alive had I not been axed in week 9. Had been between 30 and 65 over the cut line weeks 3-8 and then BAMM!!still sadly following along. week 8 did me in by a slim margin... wouldn't have missed a cut since. Week 8 was the only week I was even close to getting the ax.Wonder how many other teams are like that (other than the several hundred that it happened to this week).
Utter Chaos
Footballguy
NYRAGE
Footballguy
Holy cow, I survived again with what has to be one of the worst receiving groups in the contest (Knox, Mike Wiliams, Gaffney are my top 3). Made the cut by 8. I'm on borrowed time, but it's been a good run considering that I only put a few minutes into making my roster. I wish I would have used that Finley money on better receivers.
TheChairman
Footballguy
Or that $40 on Johnson on Tomlinson, Brandon Jackson, Gronk, Hernandez, Steve Johnson, Patrick Crayton, Tolbert, Bess, and Lance Moore
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KarmaPolice
Footballguy
For those who are still in it and lingering around the thread:
1. What's your roster?
2. How original is it?
3. How do you rate your chances of getting through the next few weeks?
1. What's your roster?
2. How original is it?
3. How do you rate your chances of getting through the next few weeks?
TheChairman
Footballguy
1. It is a selection of players I made before the season started.2. It's Chairman Guaranteed Original3. 25%
Utter Chaos
Footballguy
This NEWS severally hurts my chances. My key guys are Matt Forte, Thomas Jones, Pierre Garcon, and Dez Bryant.
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Otis
Footballguy
My roster here:
Code:
This entry is still alive. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Drew Brees $28 17.25 25.40 34.25 19.65 23.15 30.35 25.80 26.05 23.65 0.00 41.10 Sam Bradford $9 15.65 19.35 16.95 26.25 8.75 16.70 18.50 21.75 0.00 19.65 24.35 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Frank Gore $34 11.30 32.30 19.00 17.20 15.30 14.90 17.90 19.00 0.00 22.90 8.50 Reggie Bush $22 7.20 11.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Arian Foster $13 42.30 15.30 14.60 32.20 3.70 24.70 0.00 27.20 33.70 12.50 29.30 LaDainian Tomlinson $12 8.80 12.20 16.30 29.00 13.20 19.70 0.00 11.60 13.20 14.00 14.20 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Reggie Wayne $28 22.90 22.60 10.50 34.60 13.50 13.10 0.00 13.90 19.30 6.40 24.70 Hakeem Nicks $24 29.50 11.80 12.60 19.00 37.00 3.80 31.80 0.00 24.80 13.20 12.50 Wes Welker $21 26.40 15.80 8.50 15.00 0.00 12.30 6.50 5.40 7.60 16.90 16.80 Eddie Royal $15 17.80 17.50 6.30 25.30 7.10 8.00 4.60 7.40 0.00 10.90 3.20 Mike Williams $8 14.00 13.40 10.50 0.00 22.90 8.50 13.20 20.50 18.90 10.80 14.40 Julian Edelman $5 0.00 1.60 3.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dwayne Jarrett $3 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye bye bye bye bye Mark Clayton $3 21.90 16.40 13.50 12.80 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 out? out? out? out? out? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Rob Gronkowski $3 7.60 2.90 14.80 1.90 0.00 3.90 10.00 2.00 10.70 32.70 4.00 Desmond Clark $2 0.00 0.00 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Neil Rackers $4 13.00 17.00 8.00 8.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 8.00 11.00 6.00 10.00 Matt Bryant $2 12.00 12.00 11.00 14.00 9.00 5.00 9.00 0.00 12.00 11.00 16.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------New York Jets $9 8.00 7.00 4.00 7.00 16.00 5.00 0.00 2.00 2.00 7.00 3.00 New York Giants $5 14.00 3.00 1.00 16.00 7.00 8.00 7.00 0.00 6.00 3.00 7.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 206.15 172.20 150.55 215.45 157.15 140.45 125.80 137.65 169.85 160.75 180.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 CUTOFF 125.90 141.75 145.00 129.75 127.10 139.90 123.50 132.55 151.70 144.35 165.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Thanks man but I'm not done yet. I added up my total slightly wrong and finished with 166.75 to just barely squeeze in. Team is fading fast but hope lives for another week.
PAO
Footballguy
My 22 man roster
I'm a bit concerned that I don't have enough depth at WR. Just didn't really hit any home runs on my lower salary guys there.
I'm a bit concerned that I don't have enough depth at WR. Just didn't really hit any home runs on my lower salary guys there.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
This is getting more and more tempting... who's with me?
Utter Chaos
Footballguy
Ted Lange as your Bartender
Footballguy
Players used through Week 11:
QB - E Manning 6, Roethlisberger 3, Bradford 2
RB - Gore 9, Foster 9, R Brown 4, Spiller 1, Choice 0
WR - C Johnson 8, Welker 7, Tampa Mike 7, Garcon 4, Shipley 4, Clayton 4, Murphy 3, Camarillo 2
TE - Hernandez 8, Z Miller 5, Gronk 2
K - Bryant 5, Lindell 3, Hanson 3
D - Raiders 4, Lions 4, 49ers 3
My roster is not very deep, particularly at RB, as Ronnie Brown has been a big disappointment, and the $17 on Spiller was a wasted investment. Eli losing all of his receivers really hurts too. I like my WRs but it's a very non-unique group, and suddenly my TEs have trended downward.
I've gotten in the top 500 before, it would be nice to break through to the Top 250, but I may not have enough bullets to make it.
QB - E Manning 6, Roethlisberger 3, Bradford 2
RB - Gore 9, Foster 9, R Brown 4, Spiller 1, Choice 0
WR - C Johnson 8, Welker 7, Tampa Mike 7, Garcon 4, Shipley 4, Clayton 4, Murphy 3, Camarillo 2
TE - Hernandez 8, Z Miller 5, Gronk 2
K - Bryant 5, Lindell 3, Hanson 3
D - Raiders 4, Lions 4, 49ers 3
My roster is not very deep, particularly at RB, as Ronnie Brown has been a big disappointment, and the $17 on Spiller was a wasted investment. Eli losing all of his receivers really hurts too. I like my WRs but it's a very non-unique group, and suddenly my TEs have trended downward.
I've gotten in the top 500 before, it would be nice to break through to the Top 250, but I may not have enough bullets to make it.
shims3
Footballguy
Mine isnt too much better.Andre Johnson $32 6.30 33.80 10.40 0.00 14.50 27.80 0.00 23.60 8.10 29.60 7.20 Johnny Knox $18 8.20 12.60 13.60 3.60 2.40 17.00 20.60 0.00 7.90 14.00 10.50 Mike Williams $8 14.00 13.40 10.50 0.00 22.90 8.50 13.20 20.50 18.90 10.80 14.40 Bernard Berrian $7 1.30 4.40 3.10 0.00 0.00 1.40 4.00 3.50 17.10 0.00 0.00 Laurent Robinson $7 10.80 1.40 0.00 0.00 2.10 0.00 2.90 8.30 0.00 4.40 10.50 Early Doucet $6 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30 7.90 1.20 19.30 3.30 Louis Murphy $4 6.80 21.10 16.90 1.50 8.10 5.70 4.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.50
My Roster:
Matt Ryan $16
Ben Roethlisberger $14
Derek Anderson $6
------------------------------
Frank Gore $34
Michael Turner $31
Arian Foster $13
Fred Taylor $6
-------------------------------
Marques Colston $25
Wes Welker $21
Santana Moss $18
Lee Evans $16
Mike Williams $8
------------------------------
Tony Gonzalez $19
Jared Cook $7
-------------------------------
Mason Crosby $6
Olindo Mare $2
-------------------------------
Green Bay Packers $6
Detroit Lions $2
My Uniqueness: I'm the only one left with Roethlisberger, Foster, Gore, Colston and Williams.
My Chances: Some pretty good match ups the rest of the way with Gore, Turner, Colston, and Moss. But with only 18 on my team the odds are against me, especially since I finished top 150 last year with only 18. Very slim chance of doing it twice.
Matt Ryan $16
Ben Roethlisberger $14
Derek Anderson $6
------------------------------
Frank Gore $34
Michael Turner $31
Arian Foster $13
Fred Taylor $6
-------------------------------
Marques Colston $25
Wes Welker $21
Santana Moss $18
Lee Evans $16
Mike Williams $8
------------------------------
Tony Gonzalez $19
Jared Cook $7
-------------------------------
Mason Crosby $6
Olindo Mare $2
-------------------------------
Green Bay Packers $6
Detroit Lions $2
My Uniqueness: I'm the only one left with Roethlisberger, Foster, Gore, Colston and Williams.
My Chances: Some pretty good match ups the rest of the way with Gore, Turner, Colston, and Moss. But with only 18 on my team the odds are against me, especially since I finished top 150 last year with only 18. Very slim chance of doing it twice.
