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Subscriber Contest (3 Viewers)

Interesting to compare the pre-Thursday night sim results with the Friday morning sim results. The 18 LeSean McCoy owners benefited the most from last night's game, with an average change in survival % of 20.4%. On the flip side, the 7 Desean Jackson owners took the biggest hit, averaging a -10.1% change. Here are all the changes:

Code:
Player	Entries	Surv% changeLeSean McCoy	18	20.4%Andre Johnson	123	6.5%Michael Vick	25	4.6%Matt Schaub	38	2.4%Owen Daniels	13	1.7%Mike Bell	11	1.5%Brent Celek	20	0.9%Arian Foster	498	0.1%Neil Rackers	63	-0.5%Leonard Weaver	5	-1.5%Philadelphia Eagles	29	-2.1%David Akers	21	-3.2%Derrick Ward	3	-3.3%Kevin Walter	14	-3.6%Jacoby Jones	64	-3.9%Houston Texans	16	-4.0%Ben Tate	1	-5.1%Jason Avant	15	-6.1%Jeremy Maclin	9	-7.0%Kevin Kolb	2	-7.7%DeSean Jackson	7	-10.1%
 
Interesting to compare the pre-Thursday night sim results with the Friday morning sim results. The 18 LeSean McCoy owners benefited the most from last night's game, with an average change in survival % of 20.4%. On the flip side, the 7 Desean Jackson owners took the biggest hit, averaging a -10.1% change. Here are all the changes:

Code:
Player	Entries	Surv% changeLeSean McCoy	18	20.4%Andre Johnson	123	6.5%Michael Vick	25	4.6%Matt Schaub	38	2.4%Owen Daniels	13	1.7%Mike Bell	11	1.5%Brent Celek	20	0.9%Arian Foster	498	0.1%Neil Rackers	63	-0.5%Leonard Weaver	5	-1.5%Philadelphia Eagles	29	-2.1%David Akers	21	-3.2%Derrick Ward	3	-3.3%Kevin Walter	14	-3.6%Jacoby Jones	64	-3.9%Houston Texans	16	-4.0%Ben Tate	1	-5.1%Jason Avant	15	-6.1%Jeremy Maclin	9	-7.0%Kevin Kolb	2	-7.7%DeSean Jackson	7	-10.1%
I have Schaub and Foster and my percentage went down around 3%, how's that work?
 
Interesting to compare the pre-Thursday night sim results with the Friday morning sim results. The 18 LeSean McCoy owners benefited the most from last night's game, with an average change in survival % of 20.4%. On the flip side, the 7 Desean Jackson owners took the biggest hit, averaging a -10.1% change. Here are all the changes:

Code:
Player	Entries	Surv% changeLeSean McCoy	18	20.4%Andre Johnson	123	6.5%Michael Vick	25	4.6%Matt Schaub	38	2.4%Owen Daniels	13	1.7%Mike Bell	11	1.5%Brent Celek	20	0.9%Arian Foster	498	0.1%Neil Rackers	63	-0.5%Leonard Weaver	5	-1.5%Philadelphia Eagles	29	-2.1%David Akers	21	-3.2%Derrick Ward	3	-3.3%Kevin Walter	14	-3.6%Jacoby Jones	64	-3.9%Houston Texans	16	-4.0%Ben Tate	1	-5.1%Jason Avant	15	-6.1%Jeremy Maclin	9	-7.0%Kevin Kolb	2	-7.7%DeSean Jackson	7	-10.1%
I have Schaub and Foster and my percentage went down around 3%, how's that work?
You either have weak QBs or strong RBs. A good Foster performance hurts the guys who have other strong RB options. I the past, a good Foster performance has hurt the smaller rosters.
 
*sigh* shouldn't have calculated my "path not taken" entry that was objectively optimum but which I decided to tinker with. It would still be alive :thumbdown:

My ghost (real) entry woulda been at 118.8 with like a million people left to play as of 1pm. *sigh*

-QG

 
Tough first set of games for me... sitting at 115.20.
Sitting a bit better now at 138.95 with 3 guys to go... Feeling a bit better.. Brady (-3.65), Boldin (-5.6), and Branch (-6.5). I keep telling myself Boldin is due for a big game... I didn't spend that $24 for nuttin ya munch. Now go get me some TDs!
 
Well if I were still in I'd be at 153.70 + (Branch - 5.60). Looks like I might not have been fated to make it regardless.

My woulda coulda shoulda "optimum" entry that would've still been alive has struggled this week and would be at 144.35 + (Branch - 7) + (F Taylor :lmao: -12.7) + (Folk - 8).

Good luck to those sweating the real Turk and trying to making it to the end :lmao:

-QG

 
Feelin' good at 189.8 and Branch/Holmes (-12.2) left. Almost feel bad I can't use Choice's first good game of the season.

 
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138 with LT2, Welker, Edelman, Gronk, and the Jets D to go (though the Jets won't count since the Giants put up a monster week for me).

I'm one of the 9 Wayne owners left... :unsure:

 
163.55 and I am probably done. Hoping for some kind of Heap/E. Sanders miracle tonight. Heap is -16.0 at Flex and E. Sanders is -12.7 at WR.

The 8.0 and the 6.0 from my seven combined roster spots of K and D are probably going to be my downfall here. They have been chipping in at 22 ppg.

Go Ravens!

(Oh and the dang Chargers got me knocked out of my suicide league too)

 
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Looks like I am going to need 25-30points from Brady to have a chance at this. D's and PKs combined for 8 pts - ouch.

Only hope is for E.Sanders to put up more than 7.1 so I don't have to use M.Thomas' # and Keller putting up more than 12.7 for a better flex option than T.Jones.

:goodposting:

 
161 pending giant games by Roeths or decent outputs by Sanders today or Hernandez tomorrow. Seems like a down week for production but it's going to be close.

 
Are you guys getting real time updates, or are you guys just calculating your total yourself? I'm still in but I honestly haven't looked at it very close.

 
Ownership percentages for Monday Night those sweating the Turk - there's a lot to sweat:

Sanchez 0.4

LT2 23.1

Greene 1.0

S Holmes 5.8

B Edwards 2.4

McKnight 0.0

Cotchery 0.6

Keller 7.6

Folk 2.4

Jets D 6.6

Brady 11.7

F Taylor 12.9

Faulk 0.2

Brandon Tate 1.4

S Morris 4.2

A Hernandez 24.7

Edelman 7.8

Welker 26.0

D Branch 34.8

S Graham 0.8

R Gronkowski 33.0

NE Defense 4.6

On average, teams will have 2.12 players going tomorrow night.

Please let me know if I missed anyone.

-QG

 
This is probably where I'll be leaving the contest. 152.15 with Branch (-11.1) to go. Oh, I forgot...I have Sammy Morris playing tomorrow also...on to the final 250!

 
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Drunken Cowboy said:
Thoughts on the cut line this week? Higher or lower than the sim?
I don't think there was enough scoring this week to reach the sim cutoff of 176. Last week, the cut opened at 170, jumped to 172 with the three relatively high scoring games on Thurs. After a Sunday in which alot of players that were unowned or not widely owned put up the better numbers, the estimate dropped to mid to high 160s, and then eventually came in a little over 162. Absent a shootout on Monday night, my guess is 166 to 168. I'm a little short of that now, with LT and Tate on Monday.
 
Are you guys getting real time updates, or are you guys just calculating your total yourself? I'm still in but I honestly haven't looked at it very close.
If you have mfl's Game Day program, all you have to do is add that league someone set up, and you can get all the players.
 
I've got to think the cut is much lower than projected with alot of low scoring games...somebody, anybody...please :unsure:

:scared:

Going to take a 30+ Brady MNF effort for me to have a shot of advancing.

 
I am going to be sweating it out, but I think I will get through. I have 162 with Brady (-17.5) and Branch (-5.6) left.
I like your optimism! 156 with Brady (-3.65) and Branch (-6.70). I have to believe Brady and Branch will out produce those numbers. Can't wait to see the morning sim run from Drinen.
 
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Stick a fork in me - 1.7% per sim..... Disappointing QB scores from Rivers, Roeth and D Anderson and no big scores from anyone on my roster. Good luck to the final 250.....

 

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