Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

[CalBear]

Lot of 18 man rosters in the top 20 list.... just sayin.

Nine out of 20--well under the percentage of 18-man rosters in the contest.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Lot of 18 man rosters in the top 20 list.... just sayin.

Nine out of 20--well under the percentage of 18-man rosters in the contest.

But well over the percentage of 18-man rosters in the final 250.

 

[geoff8695]

My 22 man roster just made the top 20 for the first time all season! Woot!

Team #100130 - 205.35pts.

I still don't believe I have a legit shot at winning the grand prize, because the winner is going to need to probably average somewhere in the 210+ range and this is the first time all season my team has scored over 200 points. But right now being in the top 20 is enough to get me pretty excited!

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

I am the only team with LeSean McCoy and Vernon Davis.

 

[apalmer]

Maybe one more cut down to 125 and then a 2 week playoff?Unlike last year when only 20 people at best had a shot after the first playoff week, things look wide open. Probably 2/3's of the top 20 have huge holes in their rosters.

Sounds like a good reason to keep it the way it is. If you've survived 13 cuts, you deserve to have a shot. The 3 week playoffs at least gives a prayer of making up ground from an injury or poor performance.

Anyone in the bottom 125 has next to ZERO shot.

So what purpose would cutting them serve?

 

[BassNBrew]

Maybe one more cut down to 125 and then a 2 week playoff?Unlike last year when only 20 people at best had a shot after the first playoff week, things look wide open. Probably 2/3's of the top 20 have huge holes in their rosters.

Sounds like a good reason to keep it the way it is. If you've survived 13 cuts, you deserve to have a shot. The 3 week playoffs at least gives a prayer of making up ground from an injury or poor performance.

Anyone in the bottom 125 has next to ZERO shot.

So what purpose would cutting them serve?

Not much other than keeping interest up for another week.

1st Place: $20,000 + lifetime subscription to Footballguys.com + 2011 FPC entry + Titlecraft Trophy2nd Place: $4,000 + FPC 3-Pack + 3-year subscription to Footballguys.com3rd Place: $2,000 + FPC 3-Pack + 3-year subscription to Footballguys.com4th Place: $1,500 + FPC Entry + 3-year subscription to Footballguys.com5th Place: $1,000 + FPC Entry + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com6th place: $500 + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com7th place: $300 + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com8th place: $200 + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com9th place: $125 + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com10th place: $75 + 2010 subscription to Footballguys.com11th - 15th place: $5016th - 30th place: $4031st - 100th place: $30101st place - 150th place: $25

Maybe trim to 125 in week 14 and pay everyone remaining $25.Trim to 50 in week 15 and pay everyone remaining another $25.For the 50 remaining, add their week 16 score to their week 14 and 15 score to determine the order of the 50 finalists and then pay out top ten.This would keep interest up the contest with a cut each week. I don't think you would impact the concept of a week 14-16 cummulative total for the grand prize winners since anyone not surviving the cut wouldn't have a shot at winning anyway. The Gore/Finely owners hanging on for dear life would have something to follow after making the final 250.

 

[LittlePhatty]

This would keep interest up the contest with a cut each week.

How so? I think it would cut interest in half each week. The majority of cut entries become disinterested.But I don't really see "keeping interest up" as a problem that needs solving. There isn't any active involvement or management needing to be performed by owners, so the contest is not affected by a loss of interest in those who are "out of the running".

 

[QuizGuy66]

Wow, folks like to see continued employment for the Turk

just kidding, Turk, don't remember this next year!

-QG

 

[BassNBrew]

This would keep interest up the contest with a cut each week.

How so? I think it would cut interest in half each week. The majority of cut entries become disinterested.But I don't really see "keeping interest up" as a problem that needs solving. There isn't any active involvement or management needing to be performed by owners, so the contest is not affected by a loss of interest in those who are "out of the running".

Technically you are right that nothing needs solving. Just pointing out that interest/analysis/discussion/bragging/ posts have fallened off this week steeper than the amount of the "cut" I was floating around.Do you think that 80-85% of the field is now resigned to the fact that they are looking at $25 +/- $25?Something about a looming cut, a Monday Night game, and a new sim gets this place hopping.

 

[LittlePhatty]

Just pointing out that interest/analysis/discussion/bragging/ posts have fallened off this week steeper than the amount of the "cut" I was floating around.Do you think that 80-85% of the field is now resigned to the fact that they are looking at $25 +/- $25?Something about a looming cut, a Monday Night game, and a new sim gets this place hopping.

Oh, interest in this thread/discussion, I see what you mean now.Well, only a small percentage of the 13,000 entries have been posting in this thread from Week 1. When the entries get cut down to 250 you have to figure that most of regular posters have been cut. And there are probably a lot of subscribers who never even read the forum.

 

[QuizGuy66]

I think the fact that there's only 250 folks left has as much to do with the slow-down in discussion as anything. Since my elimination I am down from being 50% of the posts in this thread

-QG

 

[Saint]

To be honest, I usually set my lineup in August and then review the week before the deadline. I didn't even start following the thread until page 46 or so... but it's hard for posters to start following if there is already 96 pages of history. Because I started posted at around 46.. now I pay attention just because I know what's going on....

... and of course I am looking for those nuggets for next year.

 

[fightingillini]

Joe puts up 206 points with Orton and Rodgers both stinking. Imagine what he will score when these guys play their usual game.

My score was similar, 202.10 With having to count Rogers 3.8 as my QB. I have no idea what I was thinking, having Derek Anderson as my only backup qb.

You were probably thinking that you wouldn't have posted 200+ points if you spent excess dollars at QB. As I recall, the two QB approach has won this the last two years.

This is always the best strategy.....your goal is to spend the least amount of $$$ at the QB and get your 25 point average. You need to spend your money on depth at RB-WR-TE. Having 3QBs is nice for injuries and byes, but QBs cost too much to carry a lot of depth. You have to gamble somewhere, and I like to gamble on having only 2 QBs....one being a stud and one cheap backup. Rivers and Orton have been money for me this year....I spent only $31 and getting elite production from the QB spot.

 

[No Way Jose]

Joe puts up 206 points with Orton and Rodgers both stinking. Imagine what he will score when these guys play their usual game.

My score was similar, 202.10 With having to count Rogers 3.8 as my QB. I have no idea what I was thinking, having Derek Anderson as my only backup qb.

You were probably thinking that you wouldn't have posted 200+ points if you spent excess dollars at QB. As I recall, the two QB approach has won this the last two years.

This is always the best strategy.....your goal is to spend the least amount of $$$ at the QB and get your 25 point average. You need to spend your money on depth at RB-WR-TE. Having 3QBs is nice for injuries and byes, but QBs cost too much to carry a lot of depth. You have to gamble somewhere, and I like to gamble on having only 2 QBs....one being a stud and one cheap backup. Rivers and Orton have been money for me this year....I spent only $31 and getting elite production from the QB spot.

I agree, guess I should have worded that different...."I have no idea what I was thinking, having Derek Anderson as my backup qb"

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

Steve Smith's ACL injury probably has me screwed.

 

[No Way Jose]

Steve Smith's ACL injury probably has me screwed.

Its not like he has done a lot lately.

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

No week 15 sim?

 

[Doug Drinen]

Forgot about the sim.

Here it is. Note that the average score and probability of finishing in each place refer to the TOTAL 2-week score, not just to week 15.

 

[Das Boot]

Mike Tolbert

 

[Ariakis]

My 108202 projects for it's usual 170 ish. I'm probably headed towards a $25 payout finishing around #80-120 but it's cool to have gotten this far when my Roeths/Stafford/Vick QB choice had me on the verge of an early exit when all 3 were hurt at once around week 5.

 

[BassNBrew]

Mike Tolbert

10 pts this time of year isn't much.

 

[Das Boot]

Mike Tolbert

10 pts this time of year isn't much.

The post was made in the 3rd Q when he scored his TD, he had 10 pts at that time.Unfortunately he didn't do much more after that.Either way, 10 pts is 10 pts - maybe I'll use it for a flex score.Looking at previous weeks, I've used Tolbert's score 8 out of 13 times.And Tolbert cost a buck.

 

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

any VJAX owners still in this?

 

[apalmer]

Rodgers out, Floyd out, VD virtually out, my team quickly dropping out of contention.

 

[apalmer]

any VJAX owners still in this?

Nope. Last one bit the dust in Week 11.

 

[Saint]

any VJAX owners still in this?

Nope. Last one bit the dust in Week 11.

Funny.. I was looking that up after the 2nd TD last night....

 

[Saint]

Player/Owner Breakdown for Thursday:

Rivers - 21 (8%) I thought there would be more with the way he's played this year.

VJ - 0 (0%)

Floyd - 30 (12%) Ouch.

Nanee - 18 (7%)

Mathews - 13 (5%)

Tolbert - 52 (21%) Wish I would have spent that $1 there instead of on Johnnie Lee Higgins.

Smith - 5 (2%)

Crabtree - 10 (4%)

Morgan - 4 (2%)

Davis - 24 (9.6%)

Westbrook - 2 (1%)

 

[Doug Drinen]

New sim

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

New sim

Last night really hurt me.

 

[Saint]

Orton not starting is going to hurt some folks: 37 have Orton

Meanwhile, ironically, there are 4 teams still alive that have Tebow.

 

[Saint]

Some big time players today should make Week 15 interesting.

Sitting at 133.10 with a few more to go...

 

[geoff8695]

Over 200 pts. for the 2nd week in a row with only Bears D (-2) to go tomorrow night!

Anyone else over 200 in both weeks?

 

[Doug Drinen]

Pre-MNF sim

 

[Wide Right]

Pre-MNF sim

First - Thanks Doug and the FBG's team for running the a great contest.

Second - Thank you Michael Vick (and the Giants Def) for taking my team from a 68th first week finish to a 12th ranked pre-Monday night sim. Puts the top 10 back in sight!

 

[fightingillini]

I am very surprised that I scored 180 in Week 14, expected to score 180 again this week, but I am increasing my placing from 110th to 44th.

Must of been a low scoring week. Maybe because Foster had a bad week.

 

[BassNBrew]

Pre-MNF sim

Doug, can you provide some explanation on the sim? Are the percentages for placement based on anticipated standings after this week and not week 16?

 

[Ariakis]

108202 broke 200 with Jennings and Choice scoring for me at RB instead of Turner/Foster. A really interesting week to be a 30 man roster placing me in the 11-50 range for Doug's latest sim. One more monster week from Vick please!

 

[geoff8695]

Pre-MNF sim

Doug, can you provide some explanation on the sim? Are the percentages for placement based on anticipated standings after this week and not week 16?

I think it has to be for week 15 ONLY. Otherwise there would be many more teams with a chance of finishing #1. As it stands there are only about 10 teams listed with a chance to finish #1 in this sim. I expect Doug will hit us up with a week 16 sim in a couple days.BTW, major props to Drinen for doing this. For those of us still in the running, I can't tell you how excited I get everytime the turk posts another sim update in this thread.

 

[Saint]

Tough week for me... I have a couple of folks tonight... but my team overall did not do so well. Boldin is such a munch.. Anyway... AP, Forte, (-9.10 for RB, -5.5 for FLEX) and Camarillo (-7.1) tonight for me.

 

[Northbound Train]

202.95 with Forte (-10.6)....here's to hoping he can make a few guys miss and score some long ones ...or how bout 10 catches tonight

194.75 week 14

 

[texasheat]

I need Berrian to go 8-170 3TDs

 

[THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA]

161.75 lokely got me out of the running of hitting it big

 

[Saint]

161.75 lokely got me out of the running of hitting it big

Right there with ya.... but I am jealous of the 161.75.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

This 18-man roster would be leading the pack with 441.9 points right now, if it hadn't been eliminated in week 9.

 

[geoff8695]

2nd place 1.5 pts. behind the leader!

WOOT!!!

 

[Wide Right]

My team was 68th after the first week of the finals. Thanks to Vick and the bears have moved up to 5th. The diversity of a 29 person roster has definatley helped my team out.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Here's the final 250 leaderboard with roster sizes appended:

Entry	Size	Points
104238	25	429.10
100130	22	427.60
107908	29	416.10
109089	22	409.70
111098	29	403.75
100449	26	402.20
107711	22	399.50
102273	20	399.25
101876	24	397.70
103425	20	397.00
101104	18	393.50
109773	22	392.15
102777	22	391.45
108580	18	389.60
105091	23	385.25
110355	19	383.45
106459	28	382.90
110723	25	382.80
108023	30	381.50
107229	30	379.80
111282	22	379.40
100123	20	377.20
100624	25	375.50
100189	23	372.70
108202	30	371.80
103218	22	371.40
103970	23	370.25
102592	19	369.40
107351	19	368.35
101035	26	368.20
109504	18	367.70
104804	21	367.65
108043	23	366.85
103980	20	366.85
102491	26	366.40
105903	18	366.15
101872	30	365.75
101395	20	365.40
101100	25	365.30
104736	21	362.50
101383	19	362.00
100331	28	361.35
103647	25	360.90
104796	21	360.90
110194	18	359.90
100547	23	359.70
100075	23	359.10
107833	30	358.90
100639	27	358.80
100634	24	357.80
104564	30	357.50
100310	22	357.10
103267	28	357.10
107339	24	356.45
104385	18	356.10
100031	26	355.60
109257	28	354.90
101758	23	354.50
101072	20	354.20
104342	20	352.90
100505	21	352.60
102991	22	352.50
105045	18	352.00
103882	20	351.15
102837	25	350.20
109501	22	349.05
108241	25	348.20
101369	18	347.60
107146	19	346.95
109103	30	346.80
103322	23	346.70
109084	26	346.20
105030	30	346.15
100502	22	345.65
112416	21	344.15
102941	20	344.00
103101	28	343.75
100291	25	343.45
106670	21	343.35
112610	19	343.30
104742	19	342.45
102026	19	342.20
100516	23	341.30
109915	25	340.70
101855	28	340.70
103453	30	340.25
111896	18	339.60
101363	23	339.55
107975	18	339.00
100231	29	337.80
104965	24	337.70
110789	19	337.55
110796	21	337.15
108047	18	336.95
111325	18	336.90
100711	25	336.50
106570	26	336.30
107614	22	334.50
103297	18	334.50
106041	23	334.40
101816	30	334.35
108735	18	333.20
108466	18	333.10
101371	21	332.90
104803	24	330.60
104554	23	329.90
101910	20	329.85
101596	30	329.60
103804	24	329.40
104766	25	329.30
108411	28	328.30
108093	18	328.00
103742	18	327.70
101015	19	326.75
110936	18	326.55
102684	27	326.25
104667	18	326.00
101446	25	325.30
101828	22	324.05
100266	20	322.50
102381	18	322.20
102442	19	321.90
102859	23	321.90
102990	28	321.80
107299	23	320.90
111898	18	320.50
100003	18	320.25
104371	26	319.60
107104	19	319.10
100219	27	318.15
100523	30	317.90
100005	20	317.75
102605	30	317.70
100609	24	317.10
109913	21	317.10
103470	18	315.90
110012	22	315.80
101399	23	315.70
100488	21	315.15
108372	30	314.80
109267	24	314.70
107454	23	314.55
108666	19	314.55
102003	18	314.40
111102	18	314.25
102507	25	312.50
103754	18	312.40
104180	22	312.30
108354	19	311.90
101022	18	311.40
102051	20	311.20
101903	18	311.20
111556	28	310.50
104745	26	310.50
100413	18	310.20
103116	18	309.50
105600	21	309.10
110599	25	308.50
104068	30	308.40
101182	25	307.90
107594	20	307.60
107709	19	307.25
108933	24	307.00
102022	28	306.90
100810	30	306.50
103383	18	306.30
103400	23	306.20
109663	23	306.10
105039	18	305.50
107549	24	304.80
104795	20	304.75
100618	24	304.45
103406	18	304.35
106544	27	304.30
106264	22	304.10
104263	21	303.20
107133	30	302.10
100506	20	301.40
107087	18	301.35
107449	20	301.15
107579	26	301.15
100350	26	301.00
103454	30	300.95
101473	24	300.10
105436	24	299.90
102693	29	299.50
108201	20	298.65
100826	30	298.20
100244	21	296.70
111185	21	296.60
106995	18	296.50
102111	19	295.95
111818	23	295.45
108582	28	295.40
109743	20	294.35
102539	29	293.60
109982	20	293.00
110158	24	292.70
108436	28	292.30
106823	22	291.50
107684	18	291.30
106800	18	290.90
105082	20	289.95
108486	25	288.90
107892	19	288.50
105713	21	287.65
103334	22	287.15
107037	25	286.80
106535	27	286.80
107762	22	285.75
105819	24	285.50
103311	27	284.80
107073	18	284.50
110745	18	283.55
108553	26	281.30
110013	18	280.35
105756	24	279.10
106932	22	277.60
108538	19	276.90
100339	27	275.30
101235	18	274.30
109894	19	272.50
103358	18	271.25
111553	18	268.70
106443	19	268.50
100569	19	268.20
108362	19	267.90
108571	19	263.80
112422	18	262.45
100055	25	262.25
102448	22	261.20
100577	18	260.80
103287	21	260.35
102584	25	259.55
101381	27	259.10
103268	18	258.50
110413	18	256.50
101018	26	254.70
104383	19	250.80
107546	18	250.40
104966	26	247.90
106562	19	246.05
106066	18	243.80
105078	18	242.00
109601	20	241.00
104491	19	239.80
104885	19	236.40
111616	18	236.30
106178	18	235.70
100740	18	226.80
104877	19	195.10

 

[eaglezzz]

It's a shame I lost in week 12 by 0.70 points.

I just checked my scores for week 14 and 15

I would be at 368.65 and 29th place going into the final week. Had a strong team too.

Rivers/Ben

Bradshaw/Foster/Choice/Tolbert/T.Jones/Spiller/B.Scott/L.Washington

Calvin/Marshall/Garcon/Bess/Branch/Murphy/M.Williams/E. Sanders/Camillrio/Stroughter/Finneran

Gronkowski/Scheffler/Finley

Succup/Janikowski/Bironas

Lions/SF/NO

 

[Saint]

Fell 19 spots from #38 to #57.... Still just happy to have a shot!

 

[Northbound Train]

Where can you find the two week totals

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/week-15.php

In 9th....damn I could've used Forte to get a goal line carry or two over that stiff Taylor....and Bush vultured a pair from McFadden