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TE Dalton Schultz, HOU (1 Viewer)

The one-foot failed catch was very bad ... the one thing I can say about it, though, is I think the priority level of "getting out of bounds literally as fast as humanly possible" erroneously surpassed that of "completing the catch" in his CPU. So I don't think it was so much lazy, careless, or nonchalant. Inexcusable, for sure, but maybe explainable.
 

Dallas' Morning News Michael Gehlken reports there is "little momentum" towards Dalton Schultz returning to the Cowboys.​

Most of the beat buzz has been about Tony Pollard getting franchise-tagged by the Cowboys, and Dallas drafted Jake Ferguson last season and could see him as their starting tight end if they don't draft one with a pick in the first two rounds. So it's fairly unsurprising that Schultz will be let go after being franchised last offseason. His fantasy value will depend heavily on where he ends up in 2023, and it's possible he's not on the TE1 radar at all if he lands in the wrong spot.
SOURCE: Michael Gehlken on Twitter
Mar 2, 2023 at 4:58 PM ET
 

Dallas' Morning News Michael Gehlken reports there is "little momentum" towards Dalton Schultz returning to the Cowboys.​

Most of the beat buzz has been about Tony Pollard getting franchise-tagged by the Cowboys, and Dallas drafted Jake Ferguson last season and could see him as their starting tight end if they don't draft one with a pick in the first two rounds. So it's fairly unsurprising that Schultz will be let go after being franchised last offseason. His fantasy value will depend heavily on where he ends up in 2023, and it's possible he's not on the TE1 radar at all if he lands in the wrong spot.
SOURCE: Michael Gehlken on Twitter
Mar 2, 2023 at 4:58 PM ET
Gut punch for my TEP team relying on Schultz (or for McBride to break out in year 2)
 

Dallas' Morning News Michael Gehlken reports there is "little momentum" towards Dalton Schultz returning to the Cowboys.​

Most of the beat buzz has been about Tony Pollard getting franchise-tagged by the Cowboys, and Dallas drafted Jake Ferguson last season and could see him as their starting tight end if they don't draft one with a pick in the first two rounds. So it's fairly unsurprising that Schultz will be let go after being franchised last offseason. His fantasy value will depend heavily on where he ends up in 2023, and it's possible he's not on the TE1 radar at all if he lands in the wrong spot.
SOURCE: Michael Gehlken on Twitter
Mar 2, 2023 at 4:58 PM ET
Gut punch for my TEP team relying on Schultz (or for McBride to break out in year 2)
Same. I have Kmet/Schultz, TE-P, start 2 TE. Ugh.

. I need Schultz to land in a TE-friendly offense.
 
Having a tough time identifying the market for #Cowboys Dalton Schultz. Feel like the league is scared off the big money FA Tight Ends after Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, etc. Plus, it’s the deepest TE Class in recent memory. 2 teams that could spend on TEs Commanders & Panthers.
https://twitter.com/nfldraftbites/status/1631783976082743297?s=21
I'd love to see him go to Washington. Commanders usually spend years waiting for frequently-injured TE's to rebound and duplicate their top season from years ago, which they never duplicate. (Jordan Reed, Logan Thomas)
 
Having a tough time identifying the market for #Cowboys Dalton Schultz. Feel like the league is scared off the big money FA Tight Ends after Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, etc. Plus, it’s the deepest TE Class in recent memory. 2 teams that could spend on TEs Commanders & Panthers.
https://twitter.com/nfldraftbites/status/1631783976082743297?s=21
I'd love to see him go to Washington. Commanders usually spend years waiting for frequently-injured TE's to rebound and duplicate their top season from years ago, which they never duplicate. (Jordan Reed, Logan Thomas)
Draft TEs in the late 2nd and 3rd, otherwise trade for them. They are too risky in the first and early 2nd
 
Having a tough time identifying the market for #Cowboys Dalton Schultz. Feel like the league is scared off the big money FA Tight Ends after Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, etc. Plus, it’s the deepest TE Class in recent memory. 2 teams that could spend on TEs Commanders & Panthers.
https://twitter.com/nfldraftbites/status/1631783976082743297?s=21
I'd love to see him go to Washington. Commanders usually spend years waiting for frequently-injured TE's to rebound and duplicate their top season from years ago, which they never duplicate. (Jordan Reed, Logan Thomas)

Stephen Alexander.

Shultz is good not great. As long as you don’t overpay hes more than serviceable.
 

The Score's Jordan Schultz reports the Chargers have "shown interest" in signing TE Dalton Schultz.​

In LA, Schultz could reunite with former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who used Schultz as an effective short-area pass catcher in the Dallas offense over the past two seasons. Schultz finished the 2022 season with 577 yards and five scores on 57 receptions while missing two games with a knee injury. Schultz signing with the Bolts would be not-so-great news for Gerald Everett's fantasy prospects in 2023.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Jordan Schultz on Twitter
Mar 15, 2023, 9:06 AM ET
 

The Score's Jordan Schultz reports the Chargers have "shown interest" in signing TE Dalton Schultz.​

In LA, Schultz could reunite with former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who used Schultz as an effective short-area pass catcher in the Dallas offense over the past two seasons. Schultz finished the 2022 season with 577 yards and five scores on 57 receptions while missing two games with a knee injury. Schultz signing with the Bolts would be not-so-great news for Gerald Everett's fantasy prospects in 2023.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Jordan Schultz on Twitter
Mar 15, 2023, 9:06 AM ET
Seems like many fantasy pundits were calling this one over the last few weeks with the Schultz/Moore connection. Would probably be a good landing spot for Schultz with Keenan starting to get up there in age.
 

The Score's Jordan Schultz reports the Chargers have "shown interest" in signing TE Dalton Schultz.​

In LA, Schultz could reunite with former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who used Schultz as an effective short-area pass catcher in the Dallas offense over the past two seasons. Schultz finished the 2022 season with 577 yards and five scores on 57 receptions while missing two games with a knee injury. Schultz signing with the Bolts would be not-so-great news for Gerald Everett's fantasy prospects in 2023.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Jordan Schultz on Twitter
Mar 15, 2023, 9:06 AM ET
Seems like many fantasy pundits were calling this one over the last few weeks with the Schultz/Moore connection. Would probably be a good landing spot for Schultz with Keenan starting to get up there in age.
I would be pretty relieved for my Schultz teams with this landing spot. Best case scenario outside of returning to Dallas. I think he's a solid, situation-dependant TE, so he needs a good landing spot to stay relevant.
 

Texans signed TE Dalton Schultz, formerly of the Cowboys, to a one-year, $9 million contract.​

Schultz has been one of the more productive tight ends over the last three seasons, posting a line of 198-2000-17 over that span. Despite his productivity and reputation of being one of Dak Prescott's favorite targets, Schultz will now head South for Houston, joining the revamping Texans on a one-year deal worth up to $9 million. With a career aDOT of 7.0, Schultz offers little upside as a downfield threat, but he's shown reliable hands and an ability to move the chains and should make for a good security blanket for the Texans' incoming rookie quarterback.
RELATED:
SOURCE: Tom Pelissero on Twitter
Mar 20, 2023, 5:25 PM ET
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
 
Well. I was hoping for the Bengals or Chargers, but I’ll take it. Young QBs need a reliable short yardage option. Schultz should be solid enough PPR in my TE-P, start 2 TE format.
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
Ya, they need to sign someone and also invest heavily in the draft in WR. 5 Picks in the top 73, I wouldn't be surprised if QB, WR, WR was 3 of those picks. RB/TE is already set, so invest early in young offensive talent and give it a year.
 
Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
Schultz is excellent at finding soft spots in the zone where he seemingly gets open at will.

Collins, Metchie, Bobby Trees - I imagine they’re going to draft a WR as well. Should be plenty of receivers to draw coverage. Plus Schultz is 6’5 - it’s not like everyone can cover him.
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
Oh c'mon now with the comparison.
Also, he's excellent at concentrating and winning a battle. Dak is worse today. There's at least a dozen passes a year that were super questionable and somehow Schultz made the grab. The Boys put out a slew of WRs around CeeDee that often didn't cut it and Schultz kept a drive alive.
Nico could improve. I think he might be over his head with wishful thinking but he's got a lot of support from dynasty folks.
The Texans need more, certainly, but they were awful and have been awful and this is a piece. Their TEs last like four games, another comes in and he lasts four, then the first guy is back in....they could also use a veteran to show taking care of their bod and toughness and all that stuff.
 
I would think it would be a pretty good spot. Isn't it true rookies often lean on the TEs in an offense? I think it may not be the downgrade some are picturing. Plus they don't exactly have established chain movers at the WR position (although I am really hopeful for Metchie)
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
Oh c'mon now with the comparison.
Also, he's excellent at concentrating and winning a battle. Dak is worse today. There's at least a dozen passes a year that were super questionable and somehow Schultz made the grab. The Boys put out a slew of WRs around CeeDee that often didn't cut it and Schultz kept a drive alive.
Nico could improve. I think he might be over his head with wishful thinking but he's got a lot of support from dynasty folks.
The Texans need more, certainly, but they were awful and have been awful and this is a piece. Their TEs last like four games, another comes in and he lasts four, then the first guy is back in....they could also use a veteran to show taking care of their bod and toughness and all that stuff.
I may be misunderstanding what you are saying, but I certainly don't think Dak is worse off from losing Schultz and gaining Cooks. That's a major pass catcher upgrade in my eyes.

I don't think Schultz is anything special. It may have been unfair to compare him with Jordan Akins, but I don't think Dallas will miss him much at all. I don't think he's a top-10 TE in the NFL. He does make some impressive catches, but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch. He reminds a lot of Austin Hooper when he left the then powerful Atlanta offense for Cleveland.
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?
Oh c'mon now with the comparison.
Also, he's excellent at concentrating and winning a battle. Dak is worse today. There's at least a dozen passes a year that were super questionable and somehow Schultz made the grab. The Boys put out a slew of WRs around CeeDee that often didn't cut it and Schultz kept a drive alive.
Nico could improve. I think he might be over his head with wishful thinking but he's got a lot of support from dynasty folks.
The Texans need more, certainly, but they were awful and have been awful and this is a piece. Their TEs last like four games, another comes in and he lasts four, then the first guy is back in....they could also use a veteran to show taking care of their bod and toughness and all that stuff.
I may be misunderstanding what you are saying, but I certainly don't think Dak is worse off from losing Schultz and gaining Cooks. That's a major pass catcher upgrade in my eyes.

I don't think Schultz is anything special. It may have been unfair to compare him with Jordan Akins, but I don't think Dallas will miss him much at all. I don't think he's a top-10 TE in the NFL. He does make some impressive catches, but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch. He reminds a lot of Austin Hooper when he left the then powerful Atlanta offense for Cleveland.
I agree with the general sentiment that Dak‘s situation didn’t get worse, but Schultz’s situation certainly did.
we can all spin the “rookie QB needs dump off options” idea to make us feel a little better, but to me there’s no spinning going from a top offense to a bottom offense. Last year, the Texans had 289 points for vs the Cowboys who had 467 points for. A world of a difference.
sure things change from year to year but, unless a miracle happens quickly in Houston on his 1 year deal, this is a massive downgrade.
 
I agree with the general sentiment that Dak‘s situation didn’t get worse, but Schultz’s situation certainly did.
we can all spin the “rookie QB needs dump off options” idea to make us feel a little better, but to me there’s no spinning going from a top offense to a bottom offense. Last year, the Texans had 289 points for vs the Cowboys who had 467 points for. A world of a difference.
sure things change from year to year but, unless a miracle happens quickly in Houston on his 1 year deal, this is a massive downgrade.
Counterpoint: The Texans have no one else at TE, while the Cowboys were effectively sprinkling in Hendershot & Fergusen.

The Cowboys defense is also significantly better than the Texans defense, which typically leads to more rushing, while the Texans might well be in more high scoring pass-oriented play-from-behind situations.

I see it as a lateral for Schultz. As others have said, the Texans lack reliable chain movers, and that’s Schultz’s bread & butter. Less scoring but potentially more yards and receptions makes that aspect a wash. And at the moment, his 6’5” frame & smooth route running might well be Hou’s best RZ target. Hard to say until we see their new QB & who they look for, but we can’t assume Schultz TDs will drop off just because DAL scores more than HOU.

While ideally I would have liked to have seen the Bengals or Chargers grab him, I have no issues with the Texans. Other offenses with more weapons might not afford Schultz as large of a target share as Schultz will likely see in HOU.

In my 16 team TE-P format, he’s going to be just fine. I’d put him around TE 7-8, which is around what I would have expected had he remained in DAL.
 
but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch
Neither of these statements are accurate.
They were in 2022. Among TE's with 50 or more catches, only Dawson Knox had a higher drop %. Among TE's with 50 targets, only 2 rookies (Likely and Dulcich) and Knox had a higher drop %.

Among TE's with 50 or more catches, Schultz had the lowest YAC of any TE in the NFL. 50 or more targets, only Ertz and Gesicki were lower.

ETA: I'd probably have Schultz as a high-end TE2 in fantasy with this move. TE11-15 or so. I'm certainly not taking him over guys like Freiermuth or Njoku, let alone Waller or Goedert.
 
but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch
Neither of these statements are accurate.
They were in 2022. Among TE's with 50 or more catches, only Dawson Knox had a higher drop %. Among TE's with 50 targets, only 2 rookies (Likely and Dulcich) and Knox had a higher drop %.

Among TE's with 50 or more catches, Schultz had the lowest YAC of any TE in the NFL. 50 or more targets, only Ertz and Gesicki were lower.

ETA: I'd probably have Schultz as a high-end TE2 in fantasy with this move. TE11-15 or so. I'm certainly not taking him over guys like Freiermuth or Njoku, let alone Waller or Goedert.
Question, will Hendershot + Ferguson be able to replace his production? Or will it just be running Trips WR all day going Lamb/Gallup/Cooks? Considering MM "wants to run the ball more" you'd think you'd have the TE more on the field.
 
but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch
Neither of these statements are accurate.
They were in 2022. Among TE's with 50 or more catches, only Dawson Knox had a higher drop %. Among TE's with 50 targets, only 2 rookies (Likely and Dulcich) and Knox had a higher drop %.

Among TE's with 50 or more catches, Schultz had the lowest YAC of any TE in the NFL. 50 or more targets, only Ertz and Gesicki were lower.

ETA: I'd probably have Schultz as a high-end TE2 in fantasy with this move. TE11-15 or so. I'm certainly not taking him over guys like Freiermuth or Njoku, let alone Waller or Goedert.
Question, will Hendershot + Ferguson be able to replace his production? Or will it just be running Trips WR all day going Lamb/Gallup/Cooks? Considering MM "wants to run the ball more" you'd think you'd have the TE more on the field.
I would bet on the TE production dropping somewhat just from an increase in WR production. I also think the passing game will be more effective in general just from Dak not having a broken hand, and there not being 5 Cooper Rush starts. I would expect 3-WR to be the Cowboys base formation though.

I don't really buy McCarthy running the ball more. Its not in his nature even dating back to when he was the OC for the Saints in the early 2000s with Aaron Brooks at QB.
 
Question, will Hendershot + Ferguson be able to replace his production? Or will it just be running Trips WR all day going Lamb/Gallup/Cooks? Considering MM "wants to run the ball more" you'd think you'd have the TE more on the field.
I expect Ferguson to get the bulk of Schultz’s work with Hendershot blocking & getting a few targets.

I do not believe they’ll just be running trips all the time. Dak loves his TE safety blanket.
 
I agree with the general sentiment that Dak‘s situation didn’t get worse, but Schultz’s situation certainly did.
we can all spin the “rookie QB needs dump off options” idea to make us feel a little better, but to me there’s no spinning going from a top offense to a bottom offense. Last year, the Texans had 289 points for vs the Cowboys who had 467 points for. A world of a difference.
sure things change from year to year but, unless a miracle happens quickly in Houston on his 1 year deal, this is a massive downgrade.
Counterpoint: The Texans have no one else at TE, while the Cowboys were effectively sprinkling in Hendershot & Fergusen.

The Cowboys defense is also significantly better than the Texans defense, which typically leads to more rushing, while the Texans might well be in more high scoring pass-oriented play-from-behind situations.

I see it as a lateral for Schultz. As others have said, the Texans lack reliable chain movers, and that’s Schultz’s bread & butter. Less scoring but potentially more yards and receptions makes that aspect a wash. And at the moment, his 6’5” frame & smooth route running might well be Hou’s best RZ target. Hard to say until we see their new QB & who they look for, but we can’t assume Schultz TDs will drop off just because DAL scores more than HOU.

While ideally I would have liked to have seen the Bengals or Chargers grab him, I have no issues with the Texans. Other offenses with more weapons might not afford Schultz as large of a target share as Schultz will likely see in HOU.

In my 16 team TE-P format, he’s going to be just fine. I’d put him around TE 7-8, which is around what I would have expected had he remained in DAL.

🤞🤞🤞
 
but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch
Neither of these statements are accurate.
They were in 2022. Among TE's with 50 or more catches, only Dawson Knox had a higher drop %. Among TE's with 50 targets, only 2 rookies (Likely and Dulcich) and Knox had a higher drop %.

Among TE's with 50 or more catches, Schultz had the lowest YAC of any TE in the NFL. 50 or more targets, only Ertz and Gesicki were lower.

ETA: I'd probably have Schultz as a high-end TE2 in fantasy with this move. TE11-15 or so. I'm certainly not taking him over guys like Freiermuth or Njoku, let alone Waller or Goedert.
2022 was a lot of not Dak behind center. As a Schultz shareholder, I watched a lot of those games, and throwing to the TE was not a strong suit of Cooper Rush’s game.

Many of those targets weren’t catchable. Sometimes stat sheets do a disservice when evaluating players.

It’s not a coincidence that Schultz best games were with Dak on the field.
 
I don't really buy McCarthy running the ball more. It’s not in his nature even dating back to when he was the OC for the Saints in the early 2000s with Aaron Brooks at QB.
He’s said some version of this many times in the past. And then he never does. lol
 
but he also misses a lot of easy ones. He also offers nothing after the catch
Neither of these statements are accurate.
They were in 2022. Among TE's with 50 or more catches, only Dawson Knox had a higher drop %. Among TE's with 50 targets, only 2 rookies (Likely and Dulcich) and Knox had a higher drop %.

Among TE's with 50 or more catches, Schultz had the lowest YAC of any TE in the NFL. 50 or more targets, only Ertz and Gesicki were lower.

ETA: I'd probably have Schultz as a high-end TE2 in fantasy with this move. TE11-15 or so. I'm certainly not taking him over guys like Freiermuth or Njoku, let alone Waller or Goedert.
2022 was a lot of not Dak behind center. As a Schultz shareholder, I watched a lot of those games, and throwing to the TE was not a strong suit of Cooper Rush’s game.

Many of those targets weren’t catchable. Sometimes stat sheets do a disservice when evaluating players.

It’s not a coincidence that Schultz best games were with Dak on the field.
I mean, yes in the sense that everybody's best games were with Dak under center. He's a pro bowl QB, and Rush is a bad backup Dallas had to hide. That said, I used drop % and not catch %. So the drops weren't uncatchable, they were drops. Looking at Schultz full career it was an anomaly for him but did still happen. In Schultz defense, he was better than Gallup.

The lack of YAC has been an issue all along though. It was worse than ever last year, but its never been a positive part of his game. He's always been a bit of a catch and fall guy. Some guys (Ertz for example) make that work, but usually its a red flag, and becomes a problem if the targets or quality of the offense drop off.

The targets may be higher, but the offense is a massive downgrade. Texans averaged over 10 fewer PPG than Dallas last year, and that was counting the Rush starts. Its 13 fewer PPG in just the Dak starts.
 
The lack of YAC has been an issue all along though. It was worse than ever last year, but its never been a positive part of his game. He's always been a bit of a catch and fall guy
He tends to fall forward. That’s YAC. Cmon.
:lol:
That reminded me of one of my favorite coach quotes ever, when Mike Ditka was coaching the Saints and they were asking why he was starting end of career Billy Joe Tolliver over young Danny Wuerffel, and he said the only positive thing about Wuerffel is that he falls forward when he's getting sacked.

I don't recall if that was before or after the Danny Awful nickname came around.
 
Certainly prefer the Dallas side of that swap.

This might be a hot take, but I'm not so sure Schultz is much of an upgrade from Jordan Akins. Such a large % of his production was from sitting down in zones, and teams overcommitting to Lamb/Cooper. Who is taking that coverage in Houston, Nico Collins?

Also, he's excellent at concentrating and winning a battle. Dak is worse today. There's at least a dozen passes a year that were super questionable and somehow Schultz made the grab. The Boys put out a slew of WRs around CeeDee that often didn't cut it and Schultz kept a drive alive.
Agree

Since Dallas is on national TV a lot, watch a lot of their games. Was constantly amazed how little they used Schultz. Just seemed like something good happened when they targeted him. But seemed like they would wait until they were behind to do it. Odd
 
I suggest 3 yards and a cloud of bust.
He’ll be a top 10 PPR TE

If I punt on the position at my redraft draft, he’ll be one of my dart throws.

Hard to be a bust with low expectations.
Love the guy as he pretty much was the reason for a post season title when AJ Brown was making Gabe Davis look like a HOFer. That said, the regular season was disappointing. Goedert, Dalton, and Hockerson were the three TEs tiered together after Kelce, Waller, Andrews, Pitts, Kittle. Hockerson ended up being the right choice in a landside and Goedert was significantly better when you factor in a replacement for the games he missed.
 

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