I agree with the general sentiment that Dak‘s situation didn’t get worse, but Schultz’s situation certainly did.
we can all spin the “rookie QB needs dump off options” idea to make us feel a little better, but to me there’s no spinning going from a top offense to a bottom offense. Last year, the Texans had 289 points for vs the Cowboys who had 467 points for. A world of a difference.
sure things change from year to year but, unless a miracle happens quickly in Houston on his 1 year deal, this is a massive downgrade.
Counterpoint: The Texans have no one else at TE, while the Cowboys were effectively sprinkling in Hendershot & Fergusen.
The Cowboys defense is also significantly better than the Texans defense, which typically leads to more rushing, while the Texans might well be in more high scoring pass-oriented play-from-behind situations.
I see it as a lateral for Schultz. As others have said, the Texans lack reliable chain movers, and that’s Schultz’s bread & butter. Less scoring but potentially more yards and receptions makes that aspect a wash. And at the moment, his 6’5” frame & smooth route running might well be Hou’s best RZ target. Hard to say until we see their new QB & who they look for, but we can’t assume Schultz TDs will drop off just because DAL scores more than HOU.
While ideally I would have liked to have seen the Bengals or Chargers grab him, I have no issues with the Texans. Other offenses with more weapons might not afford Schultz as large of a target share as Schultz will likely see in HOU.
In my 16 team TE-P format, he’s going to be just fine. I’d put him around TE 7-8, which is around what I would have expected had he remained in DAL.